市场调查报告书
商品编码
1623641
自动驾驶列车市场:各自动化等级,各列车类型,各用途,各地区,机会,预测,2018年~2032年Autonomous Train Market Assessment, By Grade of Automation, By Train Type, By Application, By Region, Opportunities and Forecast, 2018-2032F |
2025-2032年预测期间,全球自动驾驶列车市场规模将以5.75%的复合年增长率成长,从2024年的119.9亿美元成长到2032年的187.5亿美元。由于自动化和人工智慧(AI)等技术进步提高了列车营运能力并提供了额外的安全措施以减少人为错误,全球自动驾驶列车市场预计将快速成长。将雷射雷达(光探测和测距)和雷达等先进感测器系统与物联网(物联网)结合,可以即时理解和分析数据,以优化列车运作和维护。
此类技术进步也得到了政府铁路基础设施项目的大力支持和投资。这些永续发展举措预计也将有助于推动这一市场动能。日益严重的环境污染正在推动人们对更永续的交通选择的支持,而自动驾驶火车之所以有吸引力,是因为与传统替代方案相比,它们更节能,并且可以减少排放。大多数国家都投入大量资金来实现交通系统现代化,包括为开发自动驾驶技术留出预算,以提高公共交通的连结性和效率。支持性监管框架的建立将进一步支持该领域的投资。
此外,全球城市化的快速发展持续推动公共交通的发展。自动驾驶列车是公路运输的可行替代方案,有助于向铁路系统过渡,从而以更高的效率运送更多乘客。此外,自动化可以优化和降低营运成本,使其成为客运和货运更具吸引力的选择。
本报告提供全球自动驾驶列车市场相关调查,提供市场概要,以及各自动化等级,各列车类型,各用途,各地区趋势,及加入此市场的主要企业简介等资讯。
Global autonomous train market is projected to witness a CAGR of 5.75% during the forecast period 2025-2032, growing from USD 11.99 billion in 2024 to USD 18.75 billion in 2032. The global autonomous train market is expected to grow rapidly due to technological advancements, including automation and artificial intelligence (AI), that improve the operational ability of trains and provide extra safety measures to reduce human error. Sophisticated sensor systems such as LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) and radar, in conjunction with the Internet of Things (IoT), would enable data to be grabbed and analyzed in real time, optimizing train operations and maintenance. This technological advancement has received firm backing and investment from government programs in rail infrastructure as well. Such initiatives concerning sustainability will also contribute to the momentum of this market. Increased environmental pollution has drawn advocacy towards more sustainable modes of transportation, which makes autonomous trains appealing due to their energy efficiency and reduced emissions compared to their conventional counterparts. Most countries have dedicated enormous amounts of money towards modernizing their transport systems, including a budget set aside for the development of autonomous technologies that will enhance their connectivity and efficiency in public transport. The creation of supportive regulatory frameworks further bolsters investments in the sector.
Moreover, the rapid pace of urbanization worldwide continues to drive the phenomenon of public transportation. Autonomous trains represent a feasible alternative to road transport, leading to appreciable movements towards rail-based systems, capable of handling more passengers very efficiently. Further, they can optimize and reduce operational costs through automation, making them much more attractive options for both passenger and freight transport.
For instance, in November 2024, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. (MHI) completed the delivery of the final trainset of the 2020 Series Automated Guideway Transit (AGT) system for the New Shuttle transportation system operated by Saitama New Urban Transit Co., Ltd. in Saitama Prefecture.
Government Investments are Expanding the Global Market
The autonomous train market has been thriving due to increased government investments and policies. Governments of emerging countries are improving and developing rail infrastructure, propelling the adoption of autonomous trains, which offer numerous benefits including improved safety, operational efficiency, and cost savings. For example, the reduction of human error by autonomous trains would cause them to add more punctuality, with lower operation costs, to becoming an attractive option in rail. Also, government investments are facilitating the development of autonomous train technologies and addressing the growing need for efficient and sustainable public transportation systems globally, this shift aligns with global efforts to reduce carbon emissions and promote public transport usage.
For instance, in December 2023, initiatives such as the European Union's Horizon Europe program are funding large-scale projects focused on the automation and digitalization of railways, thereby enhancing the safety and efficiency of transport systems across Europe. Notable projects include significant loans from the European Investment Bank aimed at developing autonomous train technologies.
Technological Advancements Propelling the Global Market Growth
The market for autonomous trains is witnessing significant growth due to the quick technological advancement related to safety, efficiency, and operational aspects. Breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, sensor technology, and connectivity are modifying the entire rail transport experience. One of the most significant developments here is the ATO (Automated Train Operations) systems, where trains can run with minimal human interference and optimized speed, braking, and planning performance. When fully automated, these functions should reduce energy consumption and infrastructure wear and improve safety. Sensor technologies like LiDAR and radar also provide essential contributions to the safety of autonomous trains. They measure the environment around the train, allowing for instant reactions to obstacles and strict adherence to safety parameters.
For instance, in September 2024, ALSTOM ARTE (Autonomous Regional Train Evolution) showcased how existing rail networks can be retrofitted with automation technologies. ARTE Project is set to revolutionize the rail network by implementing automated train operations (ATO) using the European Train Control System (ETCS). This project employs image recognition systems to interpret railway signals without the need for additional trackside equipment, thereby facilitating a seamless transition to automated operations on current lines. Such initiatives highlight the potential for widespread adoption of autonomous technologies without extensive infrastructure overhauls.
Higher Growth of Grade of Automation 4 in Global Autonomous Train Market
The global autonomous train market is expected to witness higher growth of Grade of Automation 4 (GoA4), representing the highest automation level in train operations. GoA4 trains operate entirely autonomously without any human intervention, significantly enhancing operational efficiency and safety, and causing fewer accidents, unlike traditional rail. Autonomous trains equipped with advanced sensors and artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms can detect obstacles, monitor track conditions in real-time, and automatically respond to emergencies. This capability not only enhances safety but also improves reliability and efficiency, making GoA4 trains an attractive option for both urban and intercity rail systems.
For instance, in June 2023, Europe's Rail FP2 R2DATO brought the next generation of digital and automated railways. The project aims to deliver scalable automation in train operations, up to GoA4 by 2030, and to enhance infrastructure capacity on existing rail networks. The first tangible results of FP2 R2DATO are expected to be delivered by 2025, for enabling key technologies.
Asia-Pacific is Expected to Dominate Global Autonomous Train Market
Underpinned by extensive rail infrastructure, heavy government investments, and a growing demand for efficient public transportation, Asia-Pacific dominates the global autonomous train market. One of the critical reasons is the fact that some of the largest rail networks in the world run in countries like China, Japan, and India. Additionally, significant government incentives are pushing for the modernization of railways across the region. For example, India has budgeted decent amounts for the enhancement of its railway infrastructure, which is aimed at driverless trains on metro lines. These investments involve benefits in the new rail projects and making provisions for upgrading already existing structures. Also, it creates a fast track for urbanites in the Asia-Pacific who will demand a good share of efficient public transport solutions. Metro systems are among great examples of urban transit systems, in densely populated and fast beating cities such as Tokyo and Mumbai. There will be corresponding pressure on planning for autonomous trains to alleviate congestion and improve transit times.
For instance, in February 2024, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. (MHI) received an order for the Automated Guideway Transit (AGT) system from the Public Works Bureau (DSOP) of the Macau Special Administrative Region of China, for the Macau Light Rapid Transit (LRT) East Line.
Future Market Scenario (2025 - 2032F)
The introduction of Grade of Automation (GoA) levels, particularly GoA4, which allows for fully automated operations without human intervention, is anticipated to drive market expansion rapidly.
Autonomous trains typically offer lower emissions and higher energy efficiency compared to traditional transport modes. Aligning with governmental goals for reducing carbon footprints, the global push towards sustainable transportation solutions will further drive the market.
Significant government initiatives aimed at modernizing railway infrastructure further support this trend.
Key Players Landscape and Outlook
The global autonomous train market is characterized by a competitive landscape dominated by several key players driving innovation and shaping industry trends. As the autonomous train market evolves, companies focus on developing higher levels of automation, particularly with GoA (Grade of Automation) levels 3 and 4 gaining traction. The GoA4 segment, representing fully automated operations without human intervention, is projected to grow rapidly due to its potential to enhance operational efficiency significantly. The global autonomous train market is set for substantial expansion driven by technological advancements, strategic initiatives from key players, and supportive regional dynamics. As these trends continue to unfold, the market is likely to redefine rail transportation through enhanced safety, efficiency, and sustainability. Major Players are actively engaged in various strategic initiatives such as product development, partnerships, and collaborations to enhance their market positions and leverage emerging opportunities in autonomous train technologies.
For instance, in September 2022, Appenzeller Bahnen AG and Stadler Rail AG signed a contract for the manufacture and delivery of a rack-and-pinion rail vehicle for the Rheineck-Walzenhausen rail link. The contract includes equipping the vehicle with Stadler's CBTC (Communication-Based Train Control) solution. The new train on the Rheineck-Walzenhausen line will be the world's first fully automated overland adhesion/rack-and-pinion rail vehicle.
All segments will be provided for all regions and countries covered
Companies mentioned above DO NOT hold any order as per market share and can be changed as per information available during research work.