全球自动驾驶列车市场规模：依列车类型、技术、自动化、地区、范围和预测

自动驾驶列车市场规模及预测

2021年自动驾驶列车市场规模为61亿美元，预计2023年至2030年复合年增长率为5.7%，到2030年达到99.7亿美元。透过整合先进的安全功能和自动驾驶，自动驾驶列车有可能彻底改变轨道运输产业。人工智慧、雷射雷达、先进通讯系统等解决方案的运用将为轨道运输提供更安全、更快捷、更有效率、更绿色的未来。自动驾驶列车可以透过减少对化石燃料的依赖并使用再生能源来创造更绿色的未来。

实现即时监控、方向追踪和高效通讯的能力可能会促进自动驾驶列车的发展。

政府机构和製造商对减少碳排放的兴趣日益浓厚，也推动了自动驾驶列车的采用。

自动驾驶列车的全球市场动态

塑造全球自动驾驶列车市场的关键市场动态

关键推动因素

对高效率、安全运输的需求日益增长：

人口成长和快速城市化增加了对高效交通系统的需求。此外，当今的工作文化要求采用更快、更安全的解决方案。在此背景下，自动驾驶列车在城市之间行驶的需求持续存在。

自动化和通讯系统的进步：

将自动防撞系统、人工智慧和其他控制演算法整合到列车系统中，正在为未来几年的自动驾驶铺平道路。此外，利用 5G 网路在铁路部门之间实现更快、更可靠的资料交换将有助于决策。这些先进技术为市场提供了新的成长途径。

政府投资与政策措施：

国家经济对运输部门的日益依赖正促使世界各国政府在未来几年探索自动驾驶列车的潜力。因此，对自动列车技术的研发、基础设施和试点计画的投资将为该市场的商业化铺平道路。此外，针对资料隐私、安全和其他认证要求的有利监管和政策实施为自动驾驶列车市场提供了新的成长前景。

环境议题和实现永续发展目标的需求：

采用更绿色、更清洁的运输系统正在推动全球对自动驾驶列车的需求，以减少碳排放并透过最大限度地减少对化石燃料的依赖来实现永续发展。

个人化旅游体验需求：

对个人化旅行体验的需求不断增长，例如按需服务、自动登机系统和车载通讯系统，可能会为自动驾驶列车市场提供利润丰厚的机会。线上旅行预订和智慧行动的日益普及也将推动需求，这些技术提供了便捷且用户友好的体验。

主要挑战

高初始投资：

对研发和技术改进前期投资的需求不断增加，这对预算有限的发展中国家来说是一个不利因素。

认证和监管问题：

自动列车系统的开发需要国际标准以及营运和安全认证，这可能会阻碍自动列车在发展中地区的采用。

社会接受度与安全问题：

对安全、高速和工作流动性的日益担忧是限制自动驾驶列车接受度的主要因素。互联自动列车系统中有关资料隐私和安全的道德问题需要强大的安全性。因此，安全问题阻碍了自动驾驶列车的社会接受度。

技术限制：

感测器在恶劣环境条件下无法运作、网路安全威胁以及网路之间无缝通讯的复杂性等挑战可能会对市场成长产生负面影响。

基础设施和遗留系统之间的相容性问题：

将传统号誌系统与现代自动化系统整合的复杂性以及升级成本阻碍了自动驾驶列车的采用。除此之外，全球基础设施开发缺乏标准化进一步阻碍了市场成长。

主要趋势：

聚焦零碳排放：

开发可持续且环保的解决方案的趋势日益明显，例如使用自动驾驶火车来减少化石燃料的使用和能源浪费，这有望推动自动驾驶火车的采用。

技术进步与创新：

整合感测器、人工智慧、通讯系统和控制演算法等创新技术来提高自动驾驶列车的可靠性、性能和其他能力将促使市场扩张。

数位化趋势：

快速的数位化正在增加自动驾驶系统的采用，刺激了对网路安全和资料保护措施的需求。因此，开发透明资料治理框架和解决道德问题的需求将推动市场成长。

目录

第1章 全球自动驾驶列车市场：简介

• 市场概况
• 调查范围
• 先决条件

第 2 章执行摘要

第3章 验证市场情报研究方法

• 数据挖掘
• 确认
• 一次资料
• 数据源列表

第4章 全球自动驾驶列车市场展望

• 概述
• 市场动态
  • 促进因素
  • 抑制因素
  • 机会
• 波特的五力模型
• 价值链分析

第5章全球自动驾驶列车市场（按类型）

• 概述
• 高铁/新干线
• 轻轨
• 捷运/单轨电车

第6章全球自动驾驶列车市场：依技术分类

• 概述
• 列车自动控制（ATC）
• 基于通讯的列车控制（CBTC）
• 欧洲轨道运输管理系统 (ERTMS)
• 主动列车控制 (PTC)

第7章全球自动驾驶列车市场（按自动化）

• 概述
• GOA 1
• GOA 2
• GOA 3
• GOA 4

第8章 全球自动驾驶列车市场（按地区）

• 概述
• 北美
  • 美国
  • 加拿大
  • 墨西哥
• 欧洲
  • 德国
  • 英国
  • 法国
  • 欧洲其他地区
• 亚太地区
  • 中国
  • 日本
  • 印度
  • 亚太其他地区
• 世界其他地区
  • 拉丁美洲
  • 中东/非洲

第9章 全球自动驾驶汽车市场竞争格局

• 概述
• 各公司市场排名
• 主要发展策略

第10章 公司简介

• Siemens AG
• Alstom SA
• Bombardier Inc
• Hitachi
• General Electric
• Thales Group
• ABB
• Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
• Kawasaki Heavy Industries
• CRRC Corporation Limited

第11章 主要进展

• 产品发布/开发
• 併购
• 业务拓展
• 伙伴关係和联盟

第12章附录

• 相关研究

Autonomous Trains Market Size And Forecast

Autonomous Trains Market size was valued at USD 6.1 Billion in 2021 and is projected to reach USD 9.97 Billion by 2030 , growing at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2023 to 2030. Autonomous trains can revolutionize the railway transportation sector with the integration of advanced safety features and automated operations. The use of artificial intelligence, LiDAR, advanced communication systems, and other solutions offer a safer, speedy, more efficient, and environmentally friendly future for rail travel. Autonomous trains help reduce dependency on fossil fuels and instead use renewable energy sources, thereby leading to a greener future.

The ability of real-time monitoring, tracking direction, and enabling efficient communication are abilities likely to enable the development of autonomous trains.

Also, the growing focus of government bodies and manufacturers on reducing carbon footprint is encouraging the adoption of autonomous trains.

Global Autonomous Trains Market Dynamics

The key market dynamics that are shaping the global Autonomous Trains Market include:

Key Drivers:

Rising Need for Efficient and Safe Transportation:

The growing population clubbed with rapid urbanization is increasing the demand for efficient transportation systems. Also, the current work culture is insisting on the adoption of faster and safer solutions. This continuous need for autonomous trains for mobility between urban and intercity.

Advancements in Automation and Communication Systems:

The integration of autonomous collision avoidance systems, artificial intelligence, and other control algorithms in the train systems is paving way for the autonomous operations in the coming years. Also, the use of 5G network for faster and reliable data exchange between railway authorities will help in the decision-making. These advanced technologies offer a new avenue of growth for the market.

Government Investments and Policy Initiatives:

The increasing dependency of national economy on the transportation sector is encouraging the government worldwide to explore the potentials of autonomous trains in the upcoming years. Thus, the investments in the research and development, infrastructure, and pilot projects of autonomous train technology will create a commercialized environment for this market. Also, the implementation of favorable regulations and policies addressing data privacy, safety, and other certification requirements offer new growth prospects for the Autonomous Trains Market.

Need to Address Environmental Concerns and Sustainability Goals:

The adoption of greener and cleaner transportation systems to attain sustainability by lowering carbon footprint and negligible dependence on fossil fuels align with the global demand for autonomous trains.

Demand for Personalized Travel Experience:

Increasing demand for personalized travel experience included on-demand services, automated boarding systems, and onboard communication systems are likely to create lucrative opportunities for the autonomous train market. Also, the growing popularity of online travel booking and smart mobility for convenient and user-friendly experience will drive the demand.

Key Challenges:

High Initial investments:

Growing demand for upfront investments in the research and development and upgrading technologies are proving unfavorable for developing countries with limited budgets.

Certification and Regulatory Issues:

The demand for international standards for development of autonomous train systems along with operational and safety certifications are likely to hinder the adoption of autonomous trains in developing regions.

Public Acceptance and Safety Concerns:

Growing concerns related to safety, high-speed, and job displacement are major factors limiting the acceptance of autonomous trains. The ethical issues concerning data privacy and security in interconnected autonomous train systems demand for robust safety. Thus, the safety concerns are hindering the public acceptance of autonomous trains.

Technological Limitations:

The challenges such as sensors inability to work in harsh environmental conditions, cybersecurity threats, and complexity associated with seamless communication between networks are factors likely to have a negative impact on the growth of the market.

Compatibility Problems between Infrastructure and Legacy Systems:

The complexity associated with the integration between conventional signaling and latest automated systems along with the costing when upgrading are restraining the adoption of autonomous trains. In addition to the this, lack of standardization in infrastructure development across globe will further hinder the growth of the market.

Key Trends:

Focus on Zero Carbon Emission:

The growing trend of developing sustainable and greener solutions such as use of autonomous trains to reduce use of fossil fuels and energy wastage is anticipated to bolster the adoption of autonomous trains.

Technological Advancements and Innovation:

The integration of innovative technologies such as sensors, AI, communication systems, and control algorithms for improving the reliability, performance, and other capabilities of autonomous trains will lead to expansion of the market.

Growing Trend of Digitalization:

Rapid digitalization is increasing the adoption of autonomous systems which is spurring the demand for cybersecurity and data protection measures. Thus, the need for developing transparent data governance frameworks and addressing ethical considerations will fuel the growth of the market.

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Global Autonomous Trains Market Regional Analysis

Here is a more detailed regional analysis of the global Autonomous Trains Market:

Asia Pacific:

Promising work culture in the region is driving the demand for public transportation such as autonomous trains for easy and safe commutation. Thereby, creating lucrative opportunities for such trains in the region.

Also, the increasing government investment in the transportation sector supporting the ongoing and upcoming railway projects in the region will fuel the growth of the market.

In May 2023, Mumbai got a safety approval for its first underground metro line in December. The plan is to start driverless operations after the commissioning of Phase 1 (Bandra Kurla Complex to Aarey). Such developments are projected to accelerate the adoption of autonomous trains in the region in the coming years.

The popularity and increased application of metros in the developing countries like India create immense prospects of growth for the autonomous trains in Asia Pacific. All these promising factors are expected to enable the region experience significant growth in the market.

North America:

As per the analysts, North America is expected to dominate the global Autonomous Trains Market from 2023 to 2030. The integration of advanced technologies including artificial intelligence, security systems, and autonomous systems in the railway sector in the region is likely to offer immense opportunities for expansion of Autonomous Trains Market.

For instance, in June 2023, Hitachi Rail completed and started the passenger service for the first phase of Honolulu's 'Skyline'. It is the first fully autonomous metro system in the United States.

Moreover, rising demand for freight transportation to improve its trading or supply activities is encouraging the government and private authorities in the region to invest in the railway transportation. Thereby, offering sustainable growth during the forecast period.

Global Autonomous Trains Market Segmentation Analysis

The Global Autonomous Trains Market is segmented on the basis of Type, Technology, Automation, and Geography.

Autonomous Trains Market, By Type

• High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train
• Light Rail
• Metro/Monorail

Based on Type, the market is bifurcated into High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train, Light Rail, and Metro/Monorail. The market share that belonged to Metro/Monorail was the greatest. The advantages offered by the segment, including affordability, dependability, safety, and efficiency in Metro/Monorail operation, are among the reasons for the category's larger market share. Additionally, these serve as the ideal substitute for short-distance, high-capacity transit in urban settings.

Autonomous Trains Market, By Technology

• Automatic Train Control (ATC)
• Communication-Based Train Control (CBTC)
• European Railway Traffic Management System (ERTMS)
• Positive Train Control (PTC)

Based on Technology, the market is bifurcated into Automatic Train Control (ATC), Communication-Based Train Control (CBTC), European Railway Traffic Management System (ERTMS), and Positive Train Control (PTC). Due to its various advantages over competing technologies, such as simpler maintenance, simpler implementation, cost-effectiveness, and advanced features, CBTC currently retains the biggest share. Contrarily, ERTMS is anticipated to expand at the greatest CAGR because of its dependability, increased capacity, and security features.

Autonomous Trains Market, By Automation

• GOA 1
• GOA 2
• GOA 3
• GOA 4

Based on Automation, the market is bifurcated into GOA 1, GOA 2, GOA 3, and GOA 4. The GOA 4 segment is anticipated to experience the highest CAGR growth. The advantages of GOA 4 technology, such as reduced wear and tear, low power consumption, and better capacity, among others, can be acknowledged for the strong growth.

Key Players

• The "Global Autonomous Trains Market" study report will provide valuable insight with an emphasis on the global market including some of the major players such as
• Siemens AG, Alstom SA, Bombardier Inc, Hitachi, General Electric, Thales Group, ABB, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, CRRC Corporation Limited.
• , Deuta, Deutsche Bahn, Tvema, Transmashholding, Intesens, Hollysys, Beijing Traffic Control Technology, Calamp, Wabtec Corporation, American Equipment Company, Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles (CAF), Ingeteam Corporation SA, Bharat Forge.

Our market analysis also entails a section solely dedicated to such major players wherein our analysts provide an insight into the financial statements of all the major players, along with product benchmarking and SWOT analysis. The competitive landscape section also includes key development strategies, market share, and market ranking analysis of the above-mentioned players globally.

Key Developments

• On June 2022, Siemens AG officially launched Siemens Xcelerator, an open digital business platform, to help accelerate digital transformation and value creation for clients of all sizes in the industrial, building, grid, and transportation sectors.
• On July 2022, the largest locomotive upgrade contract in rail industry history was signed by Wabtec and Union Pacific.
• On May 2022, in order to connect Barcelona's light rail system, Alstom developed APS, a tramway route without catenaries.
• In November 2022, Singapore Broadband Transit Rail Pte, Ltd. and Alstom signed a service contract which is long-term services support (LTSS) contract. This contract enable Alstom use the Urbalis signaling system installed on Singapore's North East Line (NEL). NEL is the first-ever completely automated underground driverless heavy metro system. The contract helped Alstom offer technical expertise and local repair doings for the NEL fleet from 2023.
• Ace Matrix Analysis
• The Ace Matrix provided in the report would help to understand how the major key players involved in this industry are performing as we provide a ranking for these companies based on various factors such as service features & innovations, scalability, innovation of services, industry coverage, industry reach, and growth roadmap. Based on these factors, we rank the companies into four categories
• Active, Cutting Edge, Emerging, and Innovators.
• Market Attractiveness
• The image of market attractiveness provided would further help to get information about the region that is majorly leading in the global Global Autonomous Trains Market. We cover the major impacting factors that are responsible for driving the industry growth in the given region.
• Porter's Five Forces
• The image provided would further help to get information about Porter's five forces framework providing a blueprint for understanding the behavior of competitors and a player's strategic positioning in the respective industry. Porter's five forces model can be used to assess the competitive landscape in the global Global Autonomous Trains Market, gauge the attractiveness of a certain sector, and assess investment possibilities.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION OF GLOBAL AUTONOMOUS TRAINS MARKET

• 1.1 Overview of the Market
• 1.2 Scope of Report
• 1.3 Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY OF VERIFIED MARKET RESEARCH

• 3.1 Data Mining
• 3.2 Validation
• 3.3 Primary Interviews
• 3.4 List of Data Sources

4 GLOBAL AUTONOMOUS TRAINS MARKET OUTLOOK

• 4.1 Overview
• 4.2 Market Dynamics
  • 4.2.1 Drivers
  • 4.2.2 Restraints
  • 4.2.3 Opportunities
• 4.3 Porters Five Force Model
• 4.4 Value Chain Analysis

5 GLOBAL AUTONOMOUS TRAINS MARKET, BY TYPE

• 5.1 Overview
• 5.2 High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train
• 5.3 Light Rail
• 5.4 Metro/Monorail

6 GLOBAL AUTONOMOUS TRAINS MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY

• 6.1 Overview
• 6.2 Automatic Train Control (ATC)
• 6.3 Communication-Based Train Control (CBTC)
• 6.4 European Railway Traffic Management System (ERTMS)
• 6.5 Positive Train Control (PTC)

7 GLOBAL AUTONOMOUS TRAINS MARKET, BY AUTOMATION

• 7.1 Overview
• 7.2 GOA 1
• 7.3 GOA 2
• 7.4 GOA 3
• 7.5 GOA 4

8 GLOBAL AUTONOMOUS TRAINS MARKET, BY GEOGRAPHY

• 8.1 Overview
• 8.2 North America
  • 8.2.1 U.S.
  • 8.2.2 Canada
  • 8.2.3 Mexico
• 8.3 Europe
  • 8.3.1 Germany
  • 8.3.2 U.K.
  • 8.3.3 France
  • 8.3.4 Rest of Europe
• 8.4 Asia Pacific
  • 8.4.1 China
  • 8.4.2 Japan
  • 8.4.3 India
  • 8.4.4 Rest of Asia Pacific
• 8.5 Rest of the World
  • 8.5.1 Latin America
  • 8.5.2 Middle East & Africa

9 GLOBAL AUTONOMOUS TRAINS MARKET COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 9.1 Overview
• 9.2 Company Market Ranking
• 9.3 Key Development Strategies

10 COMPANY PROFILES

• 10.1 Siemens AG
  • 10.1.1 Overview
  • 10.1.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.1.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.1.4 Key Developments
• 10.2 Alstom SA
  • 10.2.1 Overview
  • 10.2.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.2.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.2.4 Key Developments
• 10.3 Bombardier Inc
  • 10.3.1 Overview
  • 10.3.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.3.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.3.4 Key Developments
• 10.4 Hitachi
  • 10.4.1 Overview
  • 10.4.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.4.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.4.4 Key Developments
• 10.5 General Electric
  • 10.5.1 Overview
  • 10.5.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.5.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.5.4 Key Developments
• 10.6 Thales Group
  • 10.6.1 Overview
  • 10.6.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.6.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.6.4 Key Developments
• 10.7 ABB
  • 10.7.1 Overview
  • 10.7.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.7.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.7.4 Key Developments
• 10.8 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
  • 10.8.1 Overview
  • 10.8.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.8.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.8.4 Key Developments
• 10.9 Kawasaki Heavy Industries
  • 10.9.1 Overview
  • 10.9.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.9.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.9.4 Key Developments
• 10.10 CRRC Corporation Limited
  • 10.10.1 Overview
  • 10.10.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.10.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.10.4 Key Developments

11 KEY DEVELOPMENTS

• 11.1 Product Launches/Developments
• 11.2 Mergers and Acquisitions
• 11.3 Business Expansions
• 11.4 Partnerships and Collaborations

12 Appendix

• 12.1 Related Research