市场调查报告书
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2030 年核融合能源市场预测 - 按燃料、技术和地区分類的全球分析Fusion Energy Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Fuel (Deuterium, Deuterium Tritium, Deuterium Helium 3 and Proton Boron), Technology (Inertial Confinement and Magnetic Confinement) and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2023年全球核融合能源市场规模为3068亿美元,预计到2030年将达到5755亿美元,预测期内年复合成长率为9.4%。核聚变导致核融合能源的产生。
当暴露在阳光下时也会发生同样的情况。太阳由持续的核聚变提供动力,因此即使没有氧气它也能产生能量。在当今世界,能源是基本必需品。当两个或多个轻核结合时,会发生释放大量能量的反应。这种能量是由于过程中的质量差异而产生的。生产清洁、安全、环保的能源。
根据国际能源论坛的报导,核聚变产生的能量是煤炭、石油、天然气产生的能量的400万倍。
随着人们越来越意识到化石燃料等传统能源对环境的负面影响,对安全、可靠、环保的替代能源的需求日益增长。核融合能源有能力满足这些要求,因为它利用核聚变发电,不会排放温室气体,也不会产生半衰期长的放射性废弃物。因此,核融合能源市场的研发资金和建设计画不断增加。
法规和公众批准方面的困难就是其中之一,因为聚变发电设施的安全和运营风险可能会出现问题。由于可再生能源的激烈竞争,外国直接投资正在下降,许多地方的核能发电行业投资预计将阻碍市场扩张。这些因素可能会阻碍核融合能源技术的广泛使用并推迟其商业化。
考虑到对聚变发电厂安全和风险的担忧,另一个挑战是获得法规和公众的批准。来自可再生能源的激烈竞争预计将减少外国直接投资,而核能发电领域的投资将阻碍许多地区的市场扩张。这些要素可能会延迟核融合能源技术的商业化并阻止其广泛使用。
核融合能源技术的开发和部署高成本且技术复杂。核融合能源需要极高的温度和压力来启动和维持聚变过程,这需要先进的材料和復杂的工程解决方案。由于创造该技术的高成本和技术复杂性,一些投资者和政府可能不会将核融合能源作为一种实用能源。
COVID-19 的爆发严重扰乱了全球供应线。此次疫情,核能和燃料行业供需双方均受到影响。短期内,铀市场供应方面受到的影响最为强烈,一些矿山和核燃料循环设施因健康问题而停止运营。然而,在疫情期间,利用现有核能发电能力提供了可靠、低排放的电力。
氘氦 3 领域预计将出现良好的增长。氘-氦-3 反应需要使用氦-3(氦的同位素)。 Hel-3 在地球上极为稀有,因此必须从太空开采或通过其他核反应生产。氕和硼11的结合会引起副反应,但它们不直接产生中子。核聚变的主要燃料是氢、氘和氚的较重同位素。
预计惯性约束领域在预测期内将以最快的年复合成长率增长。惯性约束装置使用离子或激光束将氘氚燃料芯块压缩至非常高的密度。一旦达到临界阈值,颗粒就会被冲击波加热点燃。这种方法可用于创建每秒可多次点燃燃料芯块的聚变发电厂。然后,利用该热量产生的蒸汽为发电涡轮机动力来源。
由于预计全球人口增长以及新兴国家的经济和工业增长,预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。该地区还拥有出色的融合技术活动。预计新竞争的市场进入将在预测期内对该地区的增长做出重大贡献。
预计欧洲在预测期内的年复合成长率最高。核聚变可能成为本世纪晚些时候的主要能源,如果欧洲的资源管理得当,它就能够引领潮流。该领域的发展得益于许多公共和商业性团体的积极努力,推进聚变发电的研究并增加对新发电设施建设的投资。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Fusion Energy Market is accounted for $306.8 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $575.5 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 9.4% during the forecast period. Nuclear fusion results in the production of fusion energy. The same thing occurs when exposed to the sun. The sun is powered by the ongoing nuclear fusion, which is why it emits energy even if it lacks oxygen. In today's world, energy is a basic necessity. When two or more light nuclei combine, a reaction is created that releases a huge quantity of energy. As a result of the process's mass differences, this energy is produced. Clean, secure, and ecologically friendly energy is generated.
According to an article from International Energy Forum, nuclear fusion is capable of producing energy that is 4 million times more than energy generated from coal, oil, and gas.
There is an increasing need for alternative energy sources that are secure, dependable, and environmentally responsible as people become increasingly aware of the negative effects that conventional energy sources like fossil fuels have on the environment. Fusion energy has the ability to satisfy these requirements since it creates electricity by utilising nuclear fusion, which generates no greenhouse gas emissions or radioactive waste with a long half-life. As a result, there is an increase in funding for fusion energy market research and development as well as plans to construct large-scale fusion power plants.
The difficulty of regulatory and public approval is another one, as there can be doubts about the security and the dangers of operating fusion power facilities. Strong competition from renewable energy is reducing FDI, and market expansion is anticipated to be hampered by investments in the nuclear power sector across a number of locations. These elements might prevent fusion energy technology from becoming widely used and postpone its commercialization.
Another challenge is getting regulatory and public clearance because there may be concerns about the safety and risks of operating fusion power stations. Strong competition from renewable energy is lowering FDI, and it is projected that investments in the nuclear power sector in a number of places would hinder market expansion. These factors could delay the commercialization of fusion energy technology and prevent it from becoming extensively used.
Fusion energy technology development and implementation are expensive and technically complex. In order to start and maintain the fusion processes, fusion energy needs extremely high temperatures and pressures, which calls for sophisticated materials and intricate engineering solutions. Some investors and governments might be discouraged from pursuing fusion energy as a practical energy source due to the high expense and technical complexity of creating the technology.
Global supply lines were significantly disrupted by the COVID-19 outbreak. Both the supply and demand sides of the nuclear power and fuel industries were impacted by the epidemic. Since some mines and nuclear fuel cycle facilities stopped operating due to health concerns, the impact on the supply side of the uranium market was felt most acutely in the short term. However, the use of available nuclear power capacity provided dependable, low-emission electricity throughout the outbreak.
The deuterium helium 3 segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth. The deuterium helium-3 reaction necessitates the use of helium-3, an isotope of helium that is so scarce on earth that it would have to be mined from space or produced through other nuclear reactions. The protium/boron-11 combination can yield side reactions, but it does not directly produce neutrons, which is why researchers want to use it in the future. The main fuels for nuclear fusion are the heavier isotopes of hydrogen deuterium and tritium.
The inertial confinement segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period. Inertial confinement devices compress sized deuterium tritium fuels pellet to exceptionally high densities using ion or laser beams. When a crucial threshold is reached, the shock wave heating ignites the pellet. This method might be used to create a fusion power plant that could ignite fuel pellets several times per second. The steam produced by the heat is then used to power energy-generating turbines.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to projected global population growth as well as the economic and industrial growth of developing countries. Excellent nuclear fusion technology activities are also being carried out in the region. The entry of new competitors joining the market is likely to contribute significantly to the region's growth over the forecast period.
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period. Nuclear fusion could become the primary source of energy in the second half of this century, and Europe is well-positioned to lead the way if its resources are managed properly. The development of this area is credited to the existence of numerous public and commercial groups that are actively working to advance fusion power research and increase investments in the construction of new power facilities.
Some of the key players profiled in the Fusion Energy Market include: General Fusion, Helion Energy Inc., Kyoto Fusioneering Ltd., Hyperjet Fusion Corporation, HB11 Energy Holdings Pty Ltd, Agni Fusion Energy, First Light Fusion, Zap Energy Inc., TAE Technologies, Inc., Tokamak Energy Ltd., Marvel Fusion,, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Commonwealth Fusion Systems, Renaissance Fusion, Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) and National Ignition Facility (NIF).
In May 2023, Helion Energy (Helion) today announced an agreement to provide Microsoft electricity from its first fusion power plant. Constellation will serve as the power marketer and will manage transmission for the project.
In November 2022, Canadian Nuclear Laboratories (CNL) and General Fusion announced that they have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to pursue a series of joint projects to accelerate the deployment of commercial fusion power in Canada.