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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1351055
2030 年传统型石油市场预测:按类型、硫分馏、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Conventional Oil Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Heavy Ends, Middle Distillates, and Other Types), Sulfur Content (Low Sulphur and High Sulphur), End User and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2023年全球传统型石油市场规模为27亿美元,预计到2030年将达到51亿美元,预测期内年复合成长率为8.4%。
汽车引擎使用的油称为传统型机油。其作用是润滑和保护引擎部件,减少过度磨损,确保引擎平稳运转。
在整个预测期内,由于技术进步不断进步,传统型石油市场预计将经历巨大的发展潜力。科技的进步使得传统型石油的开采变得更加容易和便宜。例子包括创建更有效的萃取过程和使用提高采收率方法。因此,传统型石油产量可能会增加,蕴藏量寿命可能会延长。
限制传统型石油需求的关键因素之一是越来越多地采用再生能源来源,包括风能、太阳能和水力发电。许多因素促进了再生能源来源的广泛普及,包括对气候变迁、环境永续性以及可再生能源技术成本下降的担忧。此外,世界各国政府也提供补贴和奖励措施,鼓励使用再生能源来源。随着再生能源来源的不断扩大和传统型石油需求的下降,预计传统型石油市场将受到普及。
交通部门对于现代社会至关重要。运输业的兴起是由对商品和服务的需求不断增长以及对所有交通途径(包括公路、铁路、航空和海运)的流动性日益增长的需求所推动的。特别是在开发中国家,运输部门的扩张被认为是经济发展的一个主要要素,因为它增加了市场准入以及贸易和商业预测。
高温和低温都会严重影响机油的品质。当外面寒冷时,普通机油会变得更浓稠,并且您的汽车需要更长的时间才能在引擎中循环。如果润滑不当,引擎零件可能会损坏。
全球范围内的COVID-19大流行不仅对人体构成严重威胁,也改变了人们的生产力和生活方式。随着确诊病例数的增加,各国采取了锁门等预防措施,以阻止疾病的传播。这些行为导致全球经济停摆,并扰乱了世界各地的供应链。 COVID-19 摧毁了传统型石油工业,为阻止病毒传播而实施了严格的封锁和社会隔离政策。对传统型石油的需求受到经济不稳定、部分经济停摆和消费者信心疲软的阻碍。
中间馏分油领域预计将出现良好的成长。当传统型石油分馏以生产更轻和更重的产品时,会产生中间馏分油。从物理角度来看,中间馏分油是具有 10 至 20 个碳原子的透明、无色至淡黄色且易燃的液体。碳链比残余产物长,比轻质馏分短。预计这些将成为预测期内影响传统型石油市场规模的主要变数。
由于硫是原油和石油产品中的常见成分,预计高硫部分在预测期内将以最高年复合成长率成长。硫被认为是一种不良污染物,因为它在燃烧时会释放硫氧化物。
由于其丰富的石油资源和对石油基础设施的大量投资,预计北美在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。地缘政治因素,例如与欧佩克国家的互动和页岩油革命,也正在影响传统型石油业务。近年来,由于页岩油气资源的开发,美国石油产量大幅增加。美国现在正在改变全球传统型石油市场,因为它不再依赖石油进口,甚至将石油出口到其他国家。
预计中东和非洲在预测期内复合年复合成长率最高。这是因为前10大石油生产国中有5个位于该地区,约占世界石油产量的27%。中东是第二个活跃的上游市场,近年来精製产能扩大了30%以上,预计未来将出现更大规模的精製项目。儘管世界上大部分石油是国有企业生产的,但一些全球石油企业透过合资企业、产品分成协议和其他经济模式在中东和非洲开展业务。我就是。所有这些因素预计将加速该地区传统型石油市场的扩张。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Conventional Oil Market is accounted for $2.7 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $5.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.4% during the forecast period. The oil used in automobile engines is known as conventional motor oil, often referred to as mineral oil, ordinary oil, or traditional oil. Its job is to lubricate and safeguard engine components, reducing excessive wear and ensuring the engine runs smoothly. It's likely that some professionals will steadfastly maintain that synthetic oils are superior to conventional ones in every manner. The most notable benefits of utilizing conventional oil are it offers a huge financial savings when it comes to passenger vehicles, conventional oil was the norm.
According to the US Department of Agriculture, palm oil imports were 47.56 million metric tons during the current year, which was higher than the previous year's imports which were 47.21 million metric tons.
Throughout the forecast period, the conventional oil market is anticipated to experience significant development potential due to rising technological improvements. Technology advancements have made it simpler and less expensive to extract conventional oil. Examples include the creation of more effective extraction processes or the use of enhanced oil recovery methods. This might result in a rise in output and a longer reserve life for conventional oil. For instance, the requirement for extra drilling sites is reduced by the ability of directional drilling and horizontal drilling techniques to drill numerous wells from a single location which is enhancing the growth of the market.
One of the key elements limiting the demand for conventional oil is the increasing adoption of renewable energy sources including wind, solar, and hydroelectric power. Numerous causes, such as worries about climate change, environmental sustainability, and the decreasing cost of renewable energy technology, have contributed to the growing popularity of renewable energy sources. Additionally, governments all over the world are offering subsidies and incentives to promote the use of renewable energy sources. The market for conventional oil is anticipated to be constrained as renewable energy sources continue to gain popularity and the demand for conventional oil declines.
A vital part of contemporary society is the transportation sector. The rise of the transportation business is being fueled by the rising demand for goods and services as well as the rising desire for mobility across all means of transportation, including road, rail, air, and sea. Particularly in developing nations, the expansion of the transportation sector is considered as a major factor in economic development since it increases market access and trade and commerce prospects. To meet the rising demand for transportation services, this has led to increased investment in transportation infrastructure, such as new motorways, railways, and airports. As the number of vehicles on the road increases, so does the need for gasoline and diesel to power cars and trucks with internal combustion engines.
The quality of engine oil can be seriously harmed by both hot and cold temperatures. When it's chilly outside, regular oil thickens and takes longer for your car to circulate through the engine. The engine's components could suffer damage if it is not properly lubricated. On the other hand, warm weather can accelerate the evaporation and degradation of conventional oils. This can result in low oil levels, which would result in excessive part wear. Conventional oils' inferior fuel efficiency results in higher emissions than necessary in addition to higher gas prices.
In addition to posing a serious threat to human health, the global COVID-19 epidemic has also changed people's productivity and way of life. Countries have implemented precautions like lockdowns to stop the disease from spreading as the number of confirmed cases climbs. These acts caused a global economic embargo and a disruption in the supply chains around the world. Due to the strict lockdowns and social segregation policies put in place to stop the virus's spread, COVID-19 had a devastating impact on the conventional oil industry. The demand for conventional oil was impeded by economic instability, a partial economic shutdown, and low consumer confidence.
The middle distillates segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, because middle distillate is created when conventional oil is fractionally distilled to create lighter and heavier products. Physically, they are liquids with ten to twenty carbon atoms that are transparent, colorless to light yellow and combustible. Their carbon chains are longer than those of residual products but shorter than those of lighter distillates. During the forecast period, these are anticipated to be the main variables affecting the conventional oil market size.
The high sulphur segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, as it is a common ingredient found in crude oil and petroleum products is sulfur. Sulfur is viewed as an unwelcome pollutant because when it burns, it releases sulfur oxides. On average, a crude oil grade with high sulfur content will be lower. Sour crude is another name for conventional oil that has high sulfur content. It can be used in all industrial settings, buildings, boilers, and power plants. It provides substantial savings because it is a high-temperature burning fuel oil.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the large oil resources and significant investment in oil infrastructure are features of the region. Geopolitical considerations, such as interactions with OPEC nations and the shale oil revolution, have an impact on the conventional oil business as well. Due to the exploitation of shale oil and gas resources, the US has seen a major rise in oil production in recent years. The US is now less reliant on oil imports and even exports oil to other nations, which has caused a change in the global conventional oil market.
Middle East and Africa is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, because five of the top ten oil-producing countries are located in this region, which accounts for about 27% of global oil production. The Middle East, the second most dynamic upstream market, has seen more than 30% of the expansion of refining capacity in recent years, and even more sizable refining projects will be carried out there in the years to come. Several global oil businesses operate in the Middle East and Africa through joint ventures, production-sharing agreements, and other economic models, despite the fact that state-owned enterprises produce the majority of the world's oil. All of these elements are predicted to accelerate the expansion of the conventional oil market in the area.
Some of the key players profiled in the Conventional Oil Market include: TotalEnergies SE, BP p.l.c., Shell Plc., Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron, EQUINOR ASA, Repsol, TotalEnergies SE, Eni, Petrobras, Saudi Aramco, ConocoPhillips, Gazprom, CNPC and PetroChina
In Aug 2023, TotalEnergies has signed an agreement with CapeOmega Carbon Storage AS, a wholly owned subsidiary of CapeOmega AS, to acquire the 40% participating interest held by CapeOmega in the CO2 storage exploration license
In Aug 2023, TotalEnergies and INPEX have signed an agreement with PTTEP in order to acquire the 100% interest held by PTTEP in the AC-RL7 permit in Australia. Under the terms of the agreement, which is subject to approval by the relevant authorities TotalEnergies will acquire a 26% interest in the permit in line with its equity in Ichthys LNG, while INPEX will acquire the remaining 74% and assume operatorship
In July 2023, ExxonMobil announces acquisition of Denbury, The acquisition is an all-stock transaction valued at $4.9 billion, or $89.45 per share based on ExxonMobil's closing price. Under the terms of the agreement, Denbury shareholders will receive 0.84 shares of ExxonMobil for each Denbury share.