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2030 年石油加工市场预测:按产品类型、精製类型、技术、应用和地区分類的全球分析Oil Processing Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product, Refining Type, Technology, Application and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2023年全球石油加工市场规模为51.4亿美元,预计2030年将达到67.6亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为4.0%。
石油精製通常称为石油加工,是将原油转化为各种有价值产品的工业过程。使用蒸馏、裂解和其他精製技术分离各种碳氢化合物和杂质。用于汽油、柴油、喷射机燃料、润滑油、塑胶等行业的石化产品是从石油加工中获得的重要产品。炼油厂使用由蒸馏塔、反应器和其他设备组成的复杂系统来裂解和重组碳氢化合物,以优化所需产品的产量。
基础建设发展
石油产品的提取、精製和分配依赖于可靠、有效的设备。对管道网路、储存码头、运输系统和精製产能扩张的投资对于满足世界不断增长的能源需求至关重要。对当前基础设施进行现代化和升级可以提高整体效率、减少营运瓶颈并提高吞吐量。在战略定位建设设施使石油产业能够优化成品油和原油的运输,同时应对不断变化的市场动态。
环境问题
由于促进永续营运和减少碳排放的更严格法规,石油加工商目前面临营运成本上升的问题。对自然能源等清洁替代能源的需求不断增长,正在导致传统石油产品的转变。环境灾难和石油洩漏进一步引起了公众的关注,促使政策制定者和消费者寻求环保的替代方案。此外,这些问题危及石油加工市场的成长,并要求转向更永续和环境友善的能源来源。
提高采收率法
提高采收率(EOR) 是石油加工行业中一个很有前景的领域,它使用最先进的方法从储存中采收比透过一次和二次采油工艺可采收的更多石油。利用化学、石油和天然气以及热注入等技术,EOR 可以提高石油生产率并延长现有油井的寿命。此策略对于传统储存较不成功的困难或成熟储存特别有效。采用EOR技术将有助于优化碳氢化合物开采,提高石油总产量,并满足市场不断扩大的能源需求。
石油价格波动
不可预测的快速价格波动可能会扰乱规划和投资决策,并对石油加工公司的盈利产生负面影响。价格波动较大可能会减少勘探和生产支出,并阻碍我们采取创新措施。它也可能给营运依赖固定价格的公司的财务稳定性带来压力。面对不断变化的市场情势,石油加工业要维持平稳成长和稳定,就必须策略性地管理风险,灵活应对。
由于大面积停工和经济活动急剧下降,COVID-19 大流行对石油加工市场产生了重大影响。旅行限制和工业活动放缓抑制了对汽油和喷射机燃料等精炼产品的需求,造成石油库存过剩。主要产油国之间爆发价格竞争,这种供应过剩导致原油价格出现前所未有的下跌。石油加工设施面临财务困难,生产暂停并短期关闭。儘管随着经济好转,该行业正在稳步稳定,不确定性继续影响石油加工行业的投资选择和未来市场扩张潜力。
预计柴油生产部门在预测期内将是最大的
由于全球柴油需求不断增加,柴油生产行业正在经历显着增长。这种增长的原因是对交通的需求、工业化程度的提高以及对清洁燃烧燃料的日益关注。加氢裂解和加氢裂解技术的发展提高了柴油的产率和品质。此外,有利于低硫柴油的监管倡议正在推动该领域的成长,迫使炼油厂升级其设备。此外,由于柴油仍然是发电和运输等许多行业的重要组成部分,因此预计柴油生产行业将进一步成长。
天然气加工产业预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高。
全球对清洁能源来源的需求不断增长正在推动天然气加工领域的强劲成长。天然气已被优先视为能源转型的关键组成部分,因为它比传统石化燃料的碳排放更低。页岩气产量的快速成长增加了对有效加工设施的需求,以提取甲烷、乙烷和丙烷等有价值的成分。对天然气加工的日益重视与该行业遵守严格环境法规的努力是一致的,也是石油加工行业整体扩张的关键因素。
由于探勘和生产的增加,中东和非洲的石油加工市场正在显着扩大。沙乌地阿拉伯、阿联酋和伊拉克等中东国家是重要的石油生产地区,正在投资最尖端科技,以最大限度地提高原油加工能力并提高精製能力。在尼日利亚、安哥拉等发展中产油国的非洲,随着国内外需求的增加,对炼油厂的投资正快速增加。此外,该地区在全球石油加工市场的影响力不断增强也是战略联盟、现代化计划和重视下游多元化的结果。
由于亚太地区工业化的快速发展、都市化程度的提高以及能源消耗的增加,亚太地区的石油加工市场正在显着扩大。随着中国、印度等国家经济的发展,製造业、交通运输等多个领域的石油消耗不断增加。由于现代化计划的投资,该地区的石油加工业正在成长。该地区采用新颖的精製技术,重视清洁燃料和环境标准,正在推动技术进步,并将其定位为全球石油加工市场的主要参与者。我可以肯定这一点。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Oil Processing Market is accounted for $5.14 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $6.76 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 4.0% during the forecast period. Petroleum refining, commonly referred to as oil processing, is the industrial process of turning crude oil into a variety of valuable products. Using distillation, cracking, and other refining techniques, different hydrocarbons and impurities are separated during the process. Gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, lubricants, and petrochemicals used in plastics and other industries are important products obtained from oil processing. Refineries optimize the yield of desired products by breaking down and recombining hydrocarbons using intricate systems of distillation towers, reactors, and other equipment.
Infrastructure development
The extraction, refinement, and distribution of petroleum products depend on reliable and effective facilities. To meet rising global energy demands, investments in pipeline networks, storage terminals, transportation systems, and refining capacity expansions are crucial. Modernizing and upgrading current infrastructure increases overall efficiency, lowers operational bottlenecks, and improves processing capabilities. By building facilities in strategic locations, the industry is able to optimize the transportation of refined products and crude oil while also adapting to changing market dynamics.
Environmental concerns
Oil processors now face higher operating costs as a result of strict regulations designed to promote sustainable practices and lower carbon emissions. A move away from conventional oil-based products has been brought about by the growing demand for cleaner energy alternatives, such as renewables. Environmental catastrophes and oil spills draw even more attention from the public, which encourages policymakers and consumers to demand eco-friendly substitutes. Furthermore, these issues put the oil processing market's growth in jeopardy and call for a shift to more sustainable and environmentally friendly energy sources.
Enhanced oil recovery
Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) is a promising field in the oil processing industry that uses cutting-edge methods to recover more oil from reservoirs than can be recovered through primary and secondary recovery processes. With the use of technologies like chemical, gas, and thermal injection, EOR increases oil production rates and prolongs the life of already-existing wells. This strategy is especially useful in difficult or mature reservoirs where traditional techniques are less successful. Adoption of EOR technologies can help optimize hydrocarbon extraction, raise total oil yields, and satisfy the market's expanding energy demands.
Changes in the price of oil
Unpredictable and abrupt price changes can interfere with planning and investment decisions, which can negatively affect the profitability of companies that process oil. Elevated fluctuations could result in reduced expenditures for exploration and production, impeding the advancement of novel initiatives. It can also put pressure on the financial stability of businesses whose operations depend on fixed prices. For the oil processing industry to maintain steady growth and stability in the face of shifting market conditions, it is necessary to strategically manage risk and be flexible.
Due to widespread lockdowns and a sharp decline in economic activity, the COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on the oil processing market. The demand for refined products like gasoline and jet fuel came down due to travel restrictions and industrial slowdowns, which resulted in an excess of oil inventory. There was a price war between major oil-producing countries, and this oversupply led to an unprecedented drop in oil prices. Operating difficulties for oil processing facilities included production halts and brief closures. The industry is steadily stabilizing as economies improve, but uncertainties continue to affect investment choices and the market's potential for future expansion in the oil processing sector.
The diesel production segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
Due to the rising demand for diesel fuel worldwide, the diesel production segment has experienced notable growth. This growth is explained by the need for transportation, increasing industrialization, and the growing focus on fuels that burn cleaner. Technological developments in hydrocracking and hydrotreating have improved the yield and quality of diesel. Further driving this segment's growth are regulatory initiatives supporting low-sulfur diesel, which have forced refineries to upgrade their facilities. Additionally, diesel production segment is expected to grow further since diesel is still an essential component in many areas, such as power generation and transportation.
The natural gas processing segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The growing demand for cleaner energy sources worldwide is driving strong growth in the natural gas processing segment. Natural gas is being given priority as a crucial element of the energy transition because it has a lower carbon footprint than conventional fossil fuels. The need for effective processing facilities to extract valuable components like methane, ethane, and propane has increased due to the surge in shale gas production. This increased emphasis on natural gas processing is in line with industry efforts to comply with strict environmental regulations, establishing it as a key factor in the expansion of the oil processing industry as a whole.
The market for oil processing is expanding substantially in the Middle East and Africa as a result of a rise in exploration and production. Middle Eastern nations, including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Iraq, are significant oil-producing regions and are investing in cutting-edge technologies to maximize the processing of crude oil and improve refinery capabilities. Africa, home to developing oil-producing countries like Nigeria and Angola, is seeing a sharp increase in refinery investments as a result of growing demand both domestically and internationally. In addition, the region's growing influence in the global oil processing market is also a result of strategic alliances, modernization projects, and an emphasis on downstream diversification.
The oil processing market in the Asia-Pacific region is expanding enormously due to the region's fast industrialization, growing urbanization, and rising energy consumption. Oil consumption is on the rise across a number of sectors, including manufacturing and transportation, as a result of economic development in nations like China and India. The oil processing industry in the region is experiencing growth due to investments made in modernization projects. The region's adoption of novel refining techniques and growing emphasis on cleaner fuels and environmental standards are propelling technological advancements and securing the region's position as a major player in the global oil processing market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Oil Processing market include BP (British Petroleum), Chevron Corporation, ConocoPhillips, Eni S.p.A., Equinor ASA, ExxonMobil, Gazprom Neft, Kuwait Petroleum Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation , PetroChina, Phillips 66, Rosneft, Royal Dutch Shell, Saudi Aramco, Sinopec, TotalEnergies and Valero Energy Corporation.
In December 2023, Aramco, one of the world's leading integrated energy and chemicals companies, signed definitive agreements to acquire a 40% equity stake in Gas & Oil Pakistan Ltd. ("GO"). GO, a diversified downstream fuels, lubricants and convenience stores operator, is one of the largest retail and storage companies in Pakistan. The planned acquisition is Aramco's first entry into the Pakistani fuels retail market, advancing the Company's strategy to strengthen its downstream value chain internationally.
In December 2023, Chevron Corporation and Baker Hughes BKR have entered into a 20-year framework agreement. This strategic partnership marks a significant commitment to innovation and efficiency, aimed at unlocking new energy resources while minimizing environmental impact. The agreement focuses on the deployment of Baker Hughes' advanced Aptara Subsea production systems across Chevron Australia's future offshore projects.