市场调查报告书
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1494807
到 2030 年自动最后一哩配送市场预测:按车辆类型、解决方案类型、范围、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type (Ground Delivery Vehicles, Aerial Delivery Drones and Other Vehicle Types), Solution Type, Range, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2024 年全球自动驾驶最后一哩配送市场规模达 53 亿美元,预计预测期内复合年增长率为 25.7%,到 2030 年将达到 211 亿美元。
自主最后一哩配送是指使用自动驾驶车辆或无人机将货物从配送中心或交通枢纽运送到最终目的地,通常是消费者的家或企业。这一阶段被称为“最后一英里”,在物流中至关重要,因为它通常是交付过程中最耗时且成本最高的部分。自主解决方案旨在提高效率、缩短交货时间并降低人事费用。这些系统利用 GPS、人工智慧、机器学习和各种感测器等先进技术来导航和操作,无需人工干预。这是电子商务和物流领域的重要创新,满足了人们对快速、可靠和经济高效的配送服务日益增长的需求。
根据欧盟(EU)进行的一项调查显示,过去三个月上网的个人比例从2013年的57%上升到2023年的75%。
电子商务的爆炸性成长
电子商务的激增对自动最后一哩配送市场产生了重大影响,推动了其快速成长和创新。随着网路购物变得普及,对高效、快速和具有成本效益的运输解决方案的需求不断增长。无人机和自动驾驶汽车等自主最后一哩交付技术正在透过提供扩充性且可靠的选项来处理不断增加的交付量来满足这些需求。这些技术透过实现当日或当日送达来帮助降低营运成本、提高交货速度并提高客户满意度。
技术限制
自动送货车和无人机严重依赖 GPS 和感测器技术,但这些技术可能会受到高楼、杂草丛生和恶劣天气等环境因素的阻碍。此外,人工智慧和机器学习的当前状态可能还不够先进,无法处理现实环境的复杂性和不可预测性,从而导致潜在的安全问题和交付错误。此外,电池寿命和能源效率也是重要的限制因素,特别是对于无人机和小型机器人而言,限制了范围和运作,阻碍了市场成长。
交付缺乏驱动因素
随着电子商务和消费行为变化带来的宅配需求的增加,物流业面临确保充足司机的持续挑战。这种短缺导致人事费用上升、交货延迟和交货网路紧张,影响客户满意度和业务效率。无人机和自动驾驶汽车等自主交付解决方案透过减少对人类协助者的依赖,提供了一个有前景的替代方案。这些技术可以连续运作而不会疲劳,从而减少交货时间和成本。减少人工干预的需求不仅可以解决劳动力短缺问题,还可以提高扩充性,使公司能够更有效地管理尖峰时段需求。
负载容量有限
通常用于此类送货的无人机和小型地面机器人通常重量轻,只能携带小包裹。这种限制限制了其在处理大型、笨重负载或同时处理多个负载时的实用性,从而降低了业务效率。如果公司无法满足广泛的交付需求,他们可能会发现很难证明投资自主交付系统是合理的。必须部署多辆车辆,而不是使用传统方法进行单一交付,从而增加了营运成本和复杂性。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19 大流行显着加速了自主最后一哩交付技术的采用。随着关门和社交距离措施的到位,对电子商务和非接触式交付解决方案的需求激增。自动驾驶车辆和无人机对于确保安全且有效率的送货、同时最大限度地减少人际互动和降低病毒传播的风险至关重要。因此,疫情起到了催化剂的作用,促进了自动驾驶最后一英里配送市场的快速创新和部署。
空中送货无人机产业预计将在预测期内成为最大的产业
由于航空宅配无人机提供了更快、更有效的货物运输方式,特别是在基础设施有限或地形复杂的地区,航空宅配无人机产业预计将出现良好的成长。这些无人机可以绕过交通拥堵并快速到达偏远地点,从而缩短交货时间并提高整体供应链效率。此外,无人机还有可能降低人事费用并解决与人类操作的运载工具相关的挑战,例如缺乏协助者和安全问题。
预计医疗产品交付产业在预测期内复合年增长率最高
由于对药品、个人防护设备和其他医疗保健相关商品的快速可靠交付的需求正在推动 ALMD 市场的成长,预计医疗用品交付领域在预测期内将出现最高的复合年增长率。自主配送机器人和无人机被用来运输这些关键物资,确保及时、安全地运送到医疗机构和家庭。此外,ALMD与远端医疗和远距医疗保健服务的结合进一步扩展了该技术在医疗领域的应用。
由于技术进步和电子商务需求的增加,预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。在一个以精通技术的人口和都市化而闻名的地区,各大公司正在大力投资自主交付解决方案,包括无人机和地面机器人。中国、日本和韩国等国家凭藉其强大的高科技产业和支持性的法规环境处于领先地位。该市场的成长是由人口稠密的都市区对高效、快速和具有成本效益的配送系统的需求以及交通拥堵和劳动力短缺带来的挑战所推动的。
由于美国政府对无人机和自主地面车辆升级的投资增加,以及私人公司的倡议和自主最后一英里交付的推动,预计北美在预测期内将经历最高的复合年增长率。此外,北美消费者在疫情期间更有可能在网路上购买日常必需品,例如杂货和药品,以便为与他人的互动和接触做好准备。店主和其他生态系统参与者已同意与国内外无人机和地面配送机器人生产商合作并向其提供产品以履行订单。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market is accounted for $5.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $21.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 25.7% during the forecast period. Autonomous Last Mile Delivery refers to the use of self-driving vehicles or drones to transport goods from a distribution center or transportation hub to the final delivery destination, typically the consumer's home or business. This stage, known as the "last mile," is crucial in logistics as it is often the most time-consuming and costly part of the delivery process. Autonomous solutions aim to increase efficiency, reduce delivery times, and cut labor costs. These systems utilize advanced technologies such as GPS, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and various sensors to navigate and operate without human intervention. It is a key innovation in the e-commerce and logistics sectors, addressing the growing demand for fast, reliable, and cost-effective delivery services.
According to the European Union, In the survey conducted, the percentage of individuals accessing the internet in the three months prior increased to 75% in 2023, up from 57% in 2013.
Surge in E-commerce
The surge in e-commerce has profoundly impacted the autonomous last mile delivery market, driving its rapid growth and innovation. As online shopping becomes increasingly prevalent, there is a heightened demand for efficient, fast, and cost-effective delivery solutions. Autonomous last mile delivery technologies, such as drones and self-driving vehicles, address these needs by offering scalable and reliable options for handling the increased volume of deliveries. They help reduce operational costs, enhance delivery speed, and improve customer satisfaction by enabling same-day or even same-hour deliveries.
Technological limitations
Autonomous delivery vehicles and drones rely heavily on GPS and sensor technologies, which can be disrupted by environmental factors such as tall buildings, dense foliage, or adverse weather conditions. Additionally, the current state of AI and machine learning may not be advanced enough to handle the complexities and unpredictabilities of real-world environments, leading to potential safety concerns and delivery errors. Moreover Battery life and energy efficiency are also critical constraints, particularly for drones and smaller robots, limiting their range and operational time hampering the market growth
Shortage of delivery drivers
With increasing demand for home deliveries driven by e-commerce and shifting consumer behaviors, the logistics industry faces a persistent challenge in sourcing sufficient drivers. This shortage leads to higher labor costs, delayed deliveries, and strained delivery networks, impacting customer satisfaction and operational efficiency. Autonomous delivery solutions, such as drones and self-driving vehicles, offer a promising alternative by alleviating dependency on human drivers. These technologies can operate continuously without fatigue, reducing delivery times and costs. The reduced need for human intervention not only addresses the labor shortage but also enhances scalability, allowing companies to manage peak demand periods more effectively.
Limited payload capacity
Drones and small ground-based robots, which are commonly used for these deliveries, can typically carry only lightweight and small packages. This constraint limits their utility in handling larger, bulkier items or multiple packages simultaneously, reducing their operational efficiency. Businesses may find it challenging to justify the investment in autonomous delivery systems when they cannot serve a broad range of delivery needs. The necessity to deploy multiple vehicles for what could be a single delivery with traditional methods increases operational costs and complexity.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly accelerated the adoption of autonomous last mile delivery technologies. With lockdowns and social distancing measures in place, there was a sharp increase in e-commerce and the demand for contactless delivery solutions. Autonomous vehicles and drones became essential in ensuring safe, efficient deliveries while minimizing human interaction and reducing the risk of virus transmission. Consequently, the pandemic has acted as a catalyst, driving rapid innovation and deployment in the autonomous last mile delivery market.
The aerial delivery drones segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The aerial delivery drones segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, because aerial delivery drones provide a faster and more efficient means of transporting goods, particularly in areas with limited infrastructure or difficult terrain. These unmanned aerial vehicles can bypass traffic congestion and reach remote locations quickly, enabling quicker delivery times and improving overall supplies chain efficiency. Furthermore, drones have the potential to reduce labor costs and address the challenges associated with human-operated delivery vehicles, such as driver shortages and safety concerns.
The medical supplies delivery segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The medical supplies delivery segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, due to the need for rapid and reliable delivery of medications, personal protective equipment, and other healthcare-related goods has driven the growth of the ALMD market. Autonomous delivery robots and drones have been utilized to transport these critical supplies, ensuring timely and safe delivery to healthcare facilities and individual households. Furthermore, the integration of ALMD with telemedicine and remote healthcare services has further expanded the applications of this technology in the medical domain.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the advancements in technology and increasing e-commerce demand. This region, known for its tech-savvy population and urbanization, is witnessing substantial investments from major players in autonomous delivery solutions, including drones and ground-based robots. Countries like China, Japan, and South Korea are at the forefront, leveraging their strong tech industries and supportive regulatory environments. The market's growth is fuelled by the need for efficient, fast, and cost-effective delivery systems in densely populated urban areas, as well as the challenges posed by traffic congestion and labour shortages.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the US government's increasing investment on drone and autonomous ground vehicle upgrades, as well as the efforts of private companies and the introduction of autonomous last-mile delivery solutions. In addition, consumers in North America are more likely to purchase online for everyday needs like food, medications, and other items during the pandemic as a precaution against interacting with or coming into touch with other people. Shop owners and other ecosystem participants have so partnered and agreed with local and international drone and ground delivery bot producers to provide their products in order to fulfill the orders.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market include Airbus S.A.S., Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., Amazon.com, DHL International GmbH, DPD, Drone Delivery Canada, Flirtey, Flytrex, JD.com Inc., Kiwi Campus, Marble Robot, Matternet, Nuro, Inc., Refraction AI, Savioke, Shenzhen Yiqing Innovation Technology Co., Ltd., Starship Technologies, Udelv Inc., United Parcel Service of America, Inc. and Wing Aviation LLC
In May 2024, the Airbus-built EarthCARE climate monitoring satellite has been successfully launched from Vandenberg military base, California. EarthCARE (Earth Cloud Aerosol and Radiation Explorer) is a joint undertaking between the European and Japanese Space Agencies (ESA and JAXA).
In May 2024, AURA AERO and Airbus Protect signed a cooperation agreement in view of the certification of ERA, the next regional transport 19-seater hybrid-electric aircraft developed by AURA AERO.
In May 2024, Alibaba Group Holding Limited and "Alibaba," "Alibaba Group" or the "Company") today announced the completion of its private offering of US$5 billion aggregate principal amount of 0.50%
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.