市场调查报告书
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1530794
到 2030 年乘用车市场预测:按类型、燃料类型、变速箱类型、价格分布、应用、最终用户和地区进行全球分析Passenger Vehicles Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Sedans, Hatchbacks, Coupes, Convertibles, SUVs, MPVs (Multi-Purpose Vehicles) and Other Types), Fuel Type, Transmission Type, Price Range, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2024年全球乘用车市场规模将达到1.7兆美元,预计2030年将达到2.8兆美元,预测期内复合年增长率为8.5%。
客车是主要用于运输乘客的机动车辆,最多可容纳八人,包括驾驶人。有轿车、掀背车、旅行车、SUV、小型货车和敞篷车等多种类型。它们有别于运载货物的商用车和摩托车。乘用车配备了舒适、安全和便利的设施,例如空调、安全气囊、安全带和资讯娱乐系统。由于环境考量和技术进步,电动和混合型通常由内燃机动力来源,变得越来越受欢迎。
人口从农村地区向都市区流动
随着都市化的加快,由于都市区经济机会的增加和可支配收入的增加,对乘用车的需求往往会增加。由于居住者通常寻求适合城市驾驶的较小、较省油且环保的车辆,小型汽车、电动车 (EV) 和混合动力汽车的销售将飙升。此外,都市区人口密度的增加将鼓励对道路和停车场等基础设施的投资,使持有汽车变得更容易。
景气衰退和经济不稳定
在景气衰退时期,潜在买家经常推迟或取消购车,导致需求下降。失业和对未来收入的担忧使消费者对承担汽车贷款等巨额经济负担持谨慎态度。因此,新乘用车的销售将下降,影响汽车製造商的收益和利润率。因此,经济不稳定会扰乱供应链,增加生产成本,提高汽车价格,加剧销售下降,并阻碍市场成长。
经济成长和可支配所得增加
随着经济扩张,就业率上升,家庭收入增加,公共财政变得更稳定。这将使更多的个人和家庭能够购买新车,从而增加从廉价车到豪华车等各个领域的需求。随着可支配收入的增加,消费者更有可能投资具有先进功能、更高安全性和更高性能的汽车。这一趋势可能会导致高端车型和最新技术(包括电动和混合动力汽车)销量的增加。
应对严格的废气法规
为了遵守这些严格的排放气体法规,製造商必须大力投资研发,开发更省油、低排放气体,例如电动车和混合动力汽车。这通常会导致新车价格上涨,从而阻止对价格敏感的消费者并减少整体需求。它还可能需要逐步淘汰流行但效率较低的模式,限制消费者的选择并可能疏远某些细分市场。
由于经济不确定性和封锁措施,COVID-19 大流行扰乱了供应链、停止了生产并减少了消费者需求,严重影响了乘用车市场。经销商关闭和远端工作的转变进一步减少了汽车销售。然而,疫情加速了销售管道的采用,以及对个人行动解决方案的兴趣增加,部分抵消了经济下滑的影响。随着经济重新开放并适应新的消费行为,市场目前正在逐步復苏。
预计轿车市场在预测期内将是最大的市场
轿车销售量预计将在预测期内达到最高水平,因为它们通常被视为舒适度、风格和性能的基准。轿车以其平衡的设计、宽敞的内部空间和燃油效率而闻名,吸引了从家庭到专业人士的广泛消费者。轿车正在推动安全和技术创新,并影响其他汽车领域的趋势。
预计柴油机领域在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。
柴油引擎预计在预测期内将出现最高的复合年增长率,因为与汽油引擎相比,柴油引擎具有更高的燃油效率和扭矩,并且在远距驾驶和重型车辆中很受欢迎。然而,由于担心废气排放和环境影响而收紧法规,柴油的市场占有率正在下降。柴油门等丑闻也损害了柴油引擎的声誉,促使消费者和製造商转向电动和混合动力汽车等更清洁的替代品。
由于消费者偏好、法规环境和技术进步的多样性,预计北美在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。主要趋势包括对 SUV、跨界车和卡车的强劲需求,反映出消费者对更大、更多功能车辆的偏好。由于环保意识的提高以及税收优惠和排放法规等政府支持的政策,电动车(EV)和混合动力汽车正在推动该地区的市场成长。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内保持最高的复合年增长率,汽车製造商将大力投资电动车技术、自动驾驶和连接功能,以满足消费者对创新和永续性的需求。该市场也受到经济因素、燃油价格以及消费行为变化的影响,例如线上销售和共乘服务的重要性日益增加。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Passenger Vehicles Market is accounted for $1.7 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach $2.8 trillion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.5% during the forecast period. Passenger vehicles are motor vehicles designed primarily for the transportation of passengers, with seating for up to eight people, including the driver. They include various types such as sedans, hatchbacks, station wagons, SUVs, minivans, and convertibles. These vehicles are distinct from commercial vehicles, which are designed for transporting goods, and from motorcycles. Passenger vehicles are equipped with features for comfort, safety, and convenience, such as air conditioning, airbags, seatbelts, and infotainment systems. They are typically powered by internal combustion engines, though electric and hybrid models are becoming increasingly popular due to environmental concerns and advancements in technology.
Shift of population from rural to urban areas
As urbanization increases, the demand for passenger vehicles often rises due to greater economic opportunities and higher disposable incomes in cities. Urban dwellers typically seek more compact, fuel-efficient, and environmentally friendly vehicles suited for city driving, leading to a surge in sales of small cars, electric vehicles (EVs), and hybrids. Moreover, the increased urban population density can spur investments in infrastructure, like roads and parking facilities, facilitating vehicle ownership.
Recessions and economic instability
During economic downturns, potential buyers often defer or cancel vehicle purchases, leading to a decline in demand. Unemployment and uncertainty about future income make consumers more cautious about taking on significant financial commitments, such as auto loans. Consequently, sales of new passenger vehicles drop, affecting automakers' revenues and profitability. Thus, economic instability can disrupt supply chains, increase production costs, and lead to higher vehicle prices, exacerbating the decline in sales hampering the growth of the market.
Economic growth and rising disposable income
Employment rates rise, as economies expand, leading to higher household incomes and greater financial stability. This enables more individuals and families to afford new vehicles, boosting demand across various segments, from budget to luxury cars. With higher disposable incomes, consumers are more likely to invest in vehicles with advanced features, better safety, and enhanced performance. This trend can lead to increased sales of premium models and the latest technology, including electric and hybrid vehicles.
Adherence to stringent emission standards
To comply with these stringent emission standards, manufacturers must invest heavily in research and development to create more fuel-efficient and lower-emission vehicles, such as electric and hybrid models. This often leads to higher prices for new vehicles, which can deter price-sensitive consumers and reduce overall demand and they may necessitate the phasing out of popular but less efficient models, limiting consumer choices and potentially alienating certain market segments.
The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted the passenger vehicle market by disrupting supply chains, halting production, and reducing consumer demand due to economic uncertainty and lockdown measures. Dealership closures and a shift towards remote work further decreased vehicle sales. However, the pandemic also accelerated the adoption of digital sales channels and increased interest in personal mobility solutions, partially offsetting the downturn. The market is now gradually recovering as economies reopen and adapt to new consumer behaviors.
The sedans segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The sedans is expected to be the largest during the forecast period as they often serving as a benchmark for comfort, style, and performance. Known for their balanced design, spacious interiors, and fuel efficiency, sedans appeal to a wide range of consumers, from families to professionals. They drive innovation in safety and technology, influencing trends across other vehicle segments.
The diesel segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The diesel segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period as offering greater fuel efficiency and torque compared to gasoline engines, making them popular for long-distance driving and larger vehicles. However, concerns over emissions and environmental impact have led to stricter regulations and a decline in diesel's market share. Scandals like Dieselgate have also tarnished diesel's reputation, prompting consumers and manufacturers to shift towards cleaner alternatives like electric and hybrid vehicles.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period because diverse consumer preferences, regulatory environments, and technological advancements. Key trends include a strong demand for SUVs, crossovers, and trucks, reflecting consumer preference for larger, versatile vehicles. Electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrids are gaining traction due to increasing environmental awareness and supportive government policies, such as tax incentives and emissions regulations boosts the market growth in this region.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the highest CAGR over the forecast period owing to automakers who are investing heavily in EV technology, autonomous driving, and connectivity features to meet consumer demand for innovation and sustainability. The market is also influenced by economic factors, fuel prices, and shifts in consumer behavior, such as the growing importance of online sales and ride-sharing services.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Passenger Vehicles market include AB Volvo , AUDI AG, BMW AG, BYD Company Ltd., Continental AG, Daimler AG, Ford Motor Company , General Motors, Groupe PSA, Groupe Renault , Honda Motor Co., Ltd., Hyundai Motor Company, Kia Motors Corporation, Nissan Motor Co. LTD., SAIC Motor Corporation Limited, Tesla, TOYOTA MOTOR CORPORATION and Volkswagen AG
In July 2024, Hyundai Motor announced the sale of the made-in-singapore electric vehicle sedan, Hyundai IONIQ 6, out of Hyundai Motor group innovation center Singapore and With more enhanced charging solutions
In July 2024, Hyundai Motor and Hilton Grand vacations agreed to collaborate on expanding customer EV experience. Collaboration to offer premium customer experiences and sustainable mobility solutions in major tourist destinations
In July 2024, Suzuki approves continental tire for new S-Cross. EcoContact 6 ensures lower energy consumption and high noise comfort thanks to its tire technology
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.