市场调查报告书
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2030 年低碳推进市场预测:按车辆类型、燃料类型、模式、电动车、铁路应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Low-Carbon Propulsion Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type (Heavy-Duty Vehicle and Light-Duty Vehicle), Fuel Type, Mode, Electric Vehicle, Rail Application, End User and by Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2024年全球低碳推进市场规模为220.2亿美元,预计到2030年将达到625.2亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为19.0%。
低碳推进一词描述了旨在减少机械和车辆温室气体排放的燃料和技术的应用。透过利用电力、氢气、生质燃料和合成燃料等替代能源,该策略旨在减少交通运输部门的碳排放。电力推进系统透过使用电池供电的马达而不是内燃机来显着减少排放气体。此外,氢燃料电池仅透过将氢气转化为水蒸气来发电,从而提供零排放替代方案。
国际能源总署(IEA)表示,采用电动车和氢气燃料电池等低碳推进技术对于实现2050年减少温室气体排放的全球目标至关重要。
对永续能源的需求不断增长
随着消费者越来越意识到传统石化燃料对环境的影响,对清洁替代能源的需求正在增加。在都市区尤其如此,对空气品质的担忧引发了人们对混合动力汽车和电动车技术的兴趣。此外,由于向永续生活和环保移动解决方案的转变,越来越多的消费者选择在其生命週期内排放气体较低且对环境影响较小的汽车。
高起价
氢燃料电池汽车和电动车(EV)等低碳推进技术的初始成本仍明显高于传统内燃机汽车(ICE)。这主要是由于製造电池所需的镍、钴和锂等原材料和组件昂贵,以及製造过程复杂。同样,氢燃料电池的製造成本很高,因为它们需要昂贵且稀有的材料,例如铂金。
扩大公共支持和奖励计划
世界各国政府越来越致力于推广永续交通解决方案和减少温室气体排放。透过津贴、税收减免、补贴和回扣,这项承诺转化为製造商和消费者采用低碳推进技术的机会。此外,政府计划还资助购买氢和电动燃料电池汽车、安装充电基础设施以及研究和开发新的推进技术。
市场波动和经济不确定性
贸易争端、景气衰退和地缘政治不稳定是全球经济波动的例子,可能严重危害低碳推进剂市场的扩张。在景气衰退期间,消费者和企业可能会优先考虑降低成本,而不是对氢能和电动车等新颖且可能昂贵的技术的投资。此外,全球市场波动可能导致原物料价格变得不可预测,特别是电池生产所需的镍、钴和锂等关键材料。
COVID-19大流行对低碳市场产生了重大影响,扰乱了国际供应链,导致电池和半导体等关键零件短缺,并推迟了电动和氢动力汽车的开发和推出。此外,由于经济不确定性和个人消费下降,汽车销售暂时下降,充电站和加氢网路建设等基础设施发展也受到关门和行动限制的阻碍。
小型车细分市场预计将成为预测期内最大的细分市场
在低碳推进市场中,轻型汽车领域通常占据最大的市场占有率。其优势在于,电动和混合汽车因其价格实惠、易于使用以及不断扩大的充电站基础设施而越来越受到个人消费者和企业的欢迎。此外,电池技术的改进、生产效率的提高以及消费者对环保移动选择的需求推动了该市场的全球成长。
预计电力领域在预测期内将经历最高的复合年增长率
在低碳推进市场中,电力领域预计将以最高的复合年增长率成长。这种爆炸性成长主要是由于消费者对更清洁、更有效率的车辆的需求增加、电池技术的显着进步以及电池价格的大幅下降。世界各国政府正透过奖励、补贴和更严格的排放气体法规大力推动电动车(EV)的采用。此外,充电基础设施的开拓和环保意识的提高推动了向电动车的转变,电动车成为低碳推进市场成长最快的部分。
低碳推进市场以北美地区为主。这项优势在很大程度上得益于大规模的政府政策投入、旨在发展低碳推进系统的大规模研发计划以及对清洁能源技术的大规模投资。此外,该地区的成长由美国和加拿大主导,两国共同努力美国温室气体排放并提高交通运输部门的能源效率。
低碳推进市场正以亚太地区最高的复合年增长率成长。中国、日本和印度等国家政府加大对绿色交通技术的承诺和投资是这项爆炸性成长的关键驱动力。在不断发展的汽车工业、不断扩大的替代燃料基础设施以及对减少碳排放的日益关注的推动下,该地区在低碳推进技术方面取得了重大进展。此外,随着亚太经济体满足更严格的环境标准并加速向可再生能源的转变,这一趋势预计将持续下去。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Low-Carbon Propulsion Market is accounted for $22.02 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $62.52 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 19.0% during the forecast period. The term low-carbon propulsion describes the application of fuels and technologies intended to lower greenhouse gas emissions from machinery and automobiles. By utilizing alternative energy sources like electricity, hydrogen, bio fuels, and synthetic fuels, this strategy aims to reduce the transportation sector's carbon footprint. Electric propulsion systems drastically reduce emissions by using battery-powered motors in place of internal combustion engines. Additionally, hydrogen fuel cells provide a zero-emission alternative by producing electricity solely from the conversion of hydrogen gas into water vapor.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the adoption of low-carbon propulsion technologies, such as electric vehicles and hydrogen fuel cells, is critical to achieving the global targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.
Growing need for sustainable energy
There is a growing demand for cleaner energy alternatives as consumers become more conscious of the effects traditional fossil fuels have on the environment. This is especially noticeable in urban settings where worries about air quality are piquing interest in hybrid and electric car technology. Moreover, growing numbers of consumers are choosing cars with lower emissions and a smaller lifetime environmental impact as a result of the shift towards sustainable living and green mobility solutions.
High starting prices
Low-carbon propulsion technologies, like hydrogen fuel cell vehicles and electric vehicles (EVs), still have a substantially higher initial cost than conventional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. Furthermore, this is mostly because of the costly raw materials and parts-like nickel, cobalt, and lithium-that are needed to make batteries, as well as the intricate production procedures. In a similar vein, the production of hydrogen fuel cells is expensive since they require pricey and rare materials like platinum.
Expanding public assistance and incentive programs
The commitment of governments across the globe to promote sustainable transportation solutions and lower greenhouse gas emissions is growing. Through grants, tax breaks, subsidies, and rebates, this commitment is translated into opportunities for manufacturers and consumers who adopt low-carbon propulsion technologies. Moreover, government programs, for instance, provide funding for the purchase of hydrogen and electric fuel cell vehicles, the installation of charging infrastructure, and research and development for novel propulsion technologies.
Market volatility and economic uncertainty
Trade disputes, recessions, and geopolitical unrest are examples of global economic fluctuations that can seriously jeopardize the low-carbon propulsion market's expansion. Both consumers and businesses may place a higher priority on cost savings during economic downturns than on investments in novel, possibly pricey technologies like hydrogen or electric vehicles. Furthermore, unpredictability in raw material prices can result from market volatility worldwide, especially when it comes to vital materials like nickel, cobalt, and lithium that are needed to produce batteries.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a major effect on the low-carbon propulsion market by upsetting international supply chains, leading to shortages of vital parts like batteries and semiconductors, and postponing the development and introduction of electric and hydrogen-powered automobiles. Moreover, vehicle sales temporarily decreased as a result of economic uncertainty and lower consumer spending, and infrastructure development-such as the construction of charging stations and hydrogen refueling networks-was impeded by lockdowns and travel restrictions.
The Light-Duty Vehicle segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
In the low-carbon propulsion market, the light-duty vehicle segment usually holds the largest market share. The reason for this dominance is that due to their affordability, user-friendliness, and expanding infrastructure of charging stations, electric and hybrid cars are becoming increasingly popular among both individual consumers and businesses. Furthermore, the global growth of this market is being propelled by improvements in battery technology, higher production efficiency, and consumer demand for environmentally friendly mobility options.
The Electric segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
In the market for low-carbon propulsion, the electric segment is anticipated to grow at the highest CAGR. The primary causes of this explosive growth are the growing consumer demand for cleaner and more efficient cars, as well as significant advancements in battery technology and a discernible drop in battery prices. Governments all around the world are pushing hard for the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) through incentives, subsidies, and tighter emissions regulations. Moreover, the shift to electric mobility is being expedited by the development of charging infrastructure and growing environmental consciousness, which places the electric segment as the fastest-growing in the low-carbon propulsion market.
The market for low-carbon propulsion is dominated by the North American region. This dominance is mostly attributable to large government policy investments, large R&D projects aimed at developing low-carbon propulsion systems, and large investments in clean energy technologies. Additionally, this regional growth is being led by the United States and Canada because of their shared commitment to cutting greenhouse gas emissions and improving energy efficiency in the transportation sector.
The low-carbon propulsion market is growing at the highest CAGR in the Asia-Pacific region. Growing government initiatives and investments in environmentally friendly transportation technologies in nations like China, Japan, and India are the main drivers of this explosive growth. Significant progress in low-carbon propulsion technologies is being made in the region owing to its growing automotive industry, expanding infrastructure for alternative fuels, and growing focus on lowering carbon emissions. Furthermore, as the economies of the Asia-Pacific region work to meet strict environmental standards and accelerate their shift to renewable energy, this trend is predicted to continue.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Low-Carbon Propulsion market include Ford Motor Company, Airbus SE, Bombardier, Honda Motor Co. Ltd, Nissan Motor Corporation, Daimler AG, ABB Ltd, Hyundai Motor Group, Yara International ASA, Mitsubishi Motors Corporation, Tata Motors Ltd, Boeing Company, Volkswagen AG, Siemens AG, Toyota Motor Corporation, Porsche AG and Tesla, Inc.
In August 2024, Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (Honda) and Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. (Yamaha) announced that they have reached an agreement for Honda to supply Yamaha with electric motorcycle models for the Japanese market, based on the Honda "EM1 e:" and "BENLY e: I" Class-1 category* models, as an OEM (original equipment manufacturer).
In July 2024, Airbus SE has entered into a binding term sheet agreement with Spirit AeroSystems in relation to a potential acquisition of major activities related to Airbus, notably the production of A350 fuselage sections in Kinston, North Carolina, U.S., and St. Nazaire, France; of the A220's wings and mid-fuselage in Belfast, Northern Ireland, and Casablanca, Morocco; as well as of the A220 pylons in Wichita, Kansas, U.S.
In December 2023, Ford Motor Co. has reversed its decision to sell its only remaining factory in Tamil Nadu, India, reaching a recent agreement with the JSW Group led by Sajjan Jindal, according to a report by the Economic Times. This surprising move has led to speculation that the American company might be contemplating a comeback into the world's third-largest automotive market, having exited more than two years ago.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.