市场调查报告书
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2030 年可再生化学品市场预测:按产品类型、原料、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Bio Renewable Chemical Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product Type, Feedstock, End User and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2024年全球可再生化学品市场规模将达36亿美元,预计2030年将达到75亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为13%。
可再生化学品是由植物、生物质和有机废弃物等生物资源生产的,使其成为传统石化产品的永续替代品。许多行业都使用这些化学品,包括农业、包装、製药和个人护理。鼓励环保生产方式,减少碳排放,减少对石化燃料的依赖。生物基聚合物、溶剂、界面活性剂和润滑剂是可再生化学品的例子,它们支持环境永续性目标并促进各产业的循环经济。
IEA预计,根据现行和规划政策,到2030年,现代可再生能源占最终能源消费量总量的比重预计将达到18%左右。
环保意识不断增强
环保意识的提高是可再生化学品市场的关键驱动因素。随着消费者和产业越来越意识到传统石化产品对环境的影响,对永续替代品的需求不断增加。根据国际能源总署(IEA)预测,到2030年,再生能源在最终能源消耗中的比重预计将达到22%。这种趋势延伸到了化学工业,生物基产品被视为减少碳排放和对石化燃料依赖的解决方案。促进永续实践的政府法规和促进绿色技术的企业措施将进一步加速这一转变。
取得永续原料的困难
生物基化学品的生产严重依赖玉米、甘蔗等生物质资源和其他农产品。然而,这些原材料的可用性可能受到天气、农作物产量以及与粮食生产的竞争等因素的影响。联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)表示,全球粮食安全仍令人担忧,并可能限制工业用途作物的供应。此外,种植饲料原料需要大面积的土地,因此森林砍伐和土地利用变化可能是一个问题。以有竞争力的价格确保稳定和永续的原材料供应的挑战可能会阻碍成长。
发展中地区需求不断成长
随着新兴国家快速工业化和都市化进程,各行业对永续化学解决方案的需求不断增加。根据 OCED 和汇丰银行的数据,到 2030 年,新兴经济体预计将占全球 GDP 的 50-57%。经济成长,加上环保意识的增强和法规的收紧,正在推动生物基化学品的采用。中国和印度等国家正在大力投资可再生技术,为市场扩张创造了有利条件。这些地区不断壮大的中阶也推动了对环保消费品的需求不断成长。这一趋势正在为包装、纺织和个人护理等行业的可再生化学品开拓新市场,为市场相关人员提供巨大的成长潜力。
与石化产品的竞争
儘管对永续替代品的需求不断增长,但石化产品由于其成熟的基础设施、较低的生产成本和广泛的应用,仍然在市场上占据主导地位。石油价格的波动可能使石化产品比生物替代品更具成本竞争力。此外,某些生物可再生化学品的性能和品质可能无法在所有应用中与石化产品相媲美。随着石化产业继续努力透过碳捕获等技术提高效率并减少对环境的影响,竞争可能会进一步加剧。
COVID-19 大流行最初扰乱了可再生化学品市场,导致供应链问题并减少了某些行业的需求。但它也加速了向永续和在地采购原材料的转变。这场大流行凸显了减少对化石资源的依赖和建立有弹性的供应链的重要性。长期影响可能是人们更加关注医疗保健和包装应用中的生物基材料,从而推动这些领域的市场成长。
预计生质能产业将成为预测期内最大的产业。
预计生质能产业将在整个预测期内获得最大的市场占有率。生物质包括农业残留物、林业废弃物和专用作物,是用于化学生产的多功能且丰富的可再生碳来源。生物质产业的优势在于其广泛的可用性、在地采购的可能性以及先进转化技术的发展。生物质加工技术(例如转化为木质纤维素系统)的研发进展将进一步提高生物质利用的效率和成本效益,并巩固其作为可再生化学工业关键原材料的地位。
个人护理和化妆品行业预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计个人护理和化妆品领域在预测期内将呈现最高的复合年增长率。这种快速增长是由于消费者对天然和永续美容产品的需求增加。可再生化学品为化妆品製造商提供了石化成分的替代品,并符合消费者对环保、植物来源产品的偏好。欧洲和北美等地区对个人保健产品中的化学成分有严格的规定,进一步支持了该行业的成长。清洁美容和成分采购透明度的趋势预计将继续推动可再生化学品在该领域的采用并推动市场扩张。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。这一优势得益于该地区工业化的快速发展、人口的增长以及环保意识的不断增强。中国和印度等国家正在大力投资可再生技术和生物基产业,作为其永续发展目标的一部分。该地区庞大的农业部门为可再生化学品生产提供了丰富的原料。此外,政府促进生物基产品使用的措施以及日本和韩国等主要市场参与者的存在也有助于该地区的市场领导地位。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将实现最高的复合年增长率。这种快速增长是由环境法规收紧、消费者对永续产品意识的提高以及政府对生物基产业的支持等因素所推动的。在中国、印度、东南亚国家等国家,各产业对环保材料的需求正快速增加。该地区不断壮大的中阶和消费者对绿色产品偏好的变化正在推动市场成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Bio Renewable Chemical Market is accounted for $3.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $7.5 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 13% during the forecast period. Bio renewable chemicals provide a sustainable substitute for conventional petrochemicals as they are produced from biological sources like plants, biomass, and organic waste. Numerous industries, including agriculture, packaging, pharmaceuticals, and personal care, use these chemicals. They encourage environmentally friendly production methods, cut carbon emissions, and lessen reliance on fossil fuels. Bio-based polymers, solvents, surfactants, and lubricants are examples of bio-renewable chemicals that support environmental sustainability objectives in a variety of industries and promote a circular economy.
According to the IEA, the share of modern renewables in total final energy consumption is expected to reach around 18% by 2030 under current and planned policies.
Growing environmental awareness
Growing environmental awareness is a significant driver for the biorenewable chemical market. As consumers and industries become increasingly conscious of the environmental impact of traditional petrochemicals, there is a rising demand for sustainable alternatives. According to the International Energy Agency, the share of renewables in final energy consumption is expected to reach 22% by 2030. This trend extends to the chemical industry, where bio-based products are seen as a solution to reduce carbon footprints and dependence on fossil fuels. Government regulations promoting sustainable practices and the corporate push for green technologies further accelerate this shift.
Limited availability of sustainable feedstocks
The production of bio-based chemicals relies heavily on biomass sources such as corn, sugarcane, and other agricultural products. However, the availability of these feedstocks can be affected by factors like weather conditions, crop yields, and competition with food production. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), global food security remains a concern, potentially limiting the use of food crops for industrial purposes. Additionally, the need for large land areas to cultivate feedstocks can lead to issues of deforestation and land-use changes. The challenge of securing a consistent and sustainable supply of raw materials at competitive prices can hinder the growth.
Expanding demand in developing regions
As emerging economies experience rapid industrialization and urbanization, there is a growing need for sustainable chemical solutions across various sectors. According to OCED and HSBC, developing countries are expected to account for 50-57% of global GDP by 2030. This economic growth is accompanied by increased environmental awareness and stricter regulations, driving the adoption of bio-based chemicals. Countries like China and India are investing heavily in renewable technologies, creating favorable conditions for market expansion. The rising middle class in these regions also contributes to increased demand for eco-friendly consumer products. This trend opens up new markets for bio-renewable chemicals in industries such as packaging, textiles, and personal care, offering substantial growth potential for market players.
Competition from petrochemicals
Despite the growing demand for sustainable alternatives, petrochemicals still dominate the market due to their established infrastructure, lower production costs, and wide range of applications. The volatility of oil prices can sometimes make petrochemicals more cost-competitive than biobased alternatives. Additionally, the performance and quality of some bio-renewable chemicals may not yet match their petrochemical counterparts in all applications. The petrochemical industry's ongoing efforts to improve efficiency and reduce environmental impact through technologies like carbon capture could further intensify competition.
The COVID-19 pandemic initially disrupted the bio renewable chemical market, causing supply chain issues and reduced demand in certain sectors. However, it also accelerated the shift towards sustainable and locally sourced materials. The pandemic highlighted the importance of reducing dependence on fossil-based resources and building resilient supply chains. Long-term impacts include increased focus on bio-based materials for healthcare and packaging applications, potentially boosting market growth in these sectors.
The biomass segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The biomass segment is predicted to secure the largest market share throughout the forecast period. Biomass, which includes agricultural residues, forestry waste, and dedicated energy crops, offers a versatile and abundant source of renewable carbon for chemical production. The dominance of the biomass segment can be attributed to its wide availability, potential for local sourcing, and the development of advanced conversion technologies. The ongoing research and development in biomass processing techniques, such as lignocellulosic conversion, are further enhancing the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of biomass utilization, solidifying its position as the leading feedstock in the bio-renewable chemical industry.
The personal care & cosmetics segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The personal care & cosmetics segment is projected to have the highest CAGR during the extrapolated period. This rapid growth can be attributed to increasing consumer demand for natural and sustainable beauty products. Bio-renewable chemicals offer cosmetic manufacturers alternatives to petrochemical-derived ingredients, aligning with consumer preferences for eco-friendly and plant-based products. The segment's growth is further driven by stringent regulations on chemical ingredients in personal care products in regions like Europe and North America. The trend towards clean beauty and transparency in ingredient sourcing is expected to continue fueling the adoption of bio-renewable chemicals in this sector, driving market expansion.
The Asia Pacific region is projected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. This dominance can be attributed to rapid industrialization, increasing population, and growing environmental awareness in the region. Countries like China and India are investing heavily in renewable technologies and bio-based industries as part of their sustainable development goals. The region's large agricultural sector provides abundant feedstock for bio-renewable chemical production. Additionally, government initiatives promoting the use of bio-based products and the presence of key market players in countries like Japan and South Korea contribute to the region's market leadership.
The Asia Pacific region is projected to achieve the highest CAGR during the forecast period. This rapid growth is driven by factors such as increasing environmental regulations, rising consumer awareness of sustainable products, and government support for bio-based industries. Countries like China, India, and Southeast Asian nations are experiencing a surge in demand for eco-friendly materials across various industries. The region's expanding middle class and changing consumer preferences towards green products are fueling market growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Bio Renewable Chemical Market include BASF SE, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM), Amyris Inc., Braskem, Cargill Incorporated, DuPont de Nemours, Inc., Evonik Industries, Genomatica, Inc., Gevo, Inc., LanzaTech, NatureWorks LLC, Novamont S.P.A, Royal DSM N.V., Solvay, Toray Industries, Inc., Trucent, and Virent Energy Systems, Inc.
In May 2024, BASF SE Launched the first biomass balanced products for its ammonia and urea portfolio replacing fossil resources with certified biowaste raw materials to reduce emissions.
In July 2023, Archer Expanded its biopolymer production capacity by 30% following an $87 million investment in its bio-based ethylene plant in Brazil. The plant's capacity increased from 200,000 to 260,000 tons/year.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.