市场调查报告书
商品编码
1617224
至 2030 年浮体式核能发电厂EPC 市场预测:按类型、组件、技术、应用和地区进行的全球分析Floating Nuclear Power Plant EPC Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Small Modular Reactors, Molten Salt Reactors, Pressurized Water Reactors and Other Types), Component, Technology, Application and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2024年全球浮体式核能发电厂EPC市场规模达75亿美元,预估预测期间内复合年增长率为8.1%,到2030年将达121亿美元。
浮体式核能发电厂(FNPP)EPC(设计、采购和施工)是一种用于在海上平台上开发和部署这些核电厂的综合计划执行模式。 EPC方法涵盖了从设计到试运行的整个计划生命週期。工程阶段将重点放在安全性、效率和对海上条件的适应性。采购阶段涉及采购专用零件并确保品质并符合核能安标准。施工阶段包括在浮体式平台上组装工厂、整合系统并准备部署。
增加能源需求并推广低碳能源解决方案
都市化、工业化和人口成长,正在推高全球能源需求。偏远的工业中心、沿海地区和离岛都面临可靠电力的挑战。 FNPP 无需使用传统电网基础设施即可提供可靠且扩充性的发电。实现净零排放的国家承诺和《巴黎协定》等国际协议将重点放在能源产业脱碳、增加对 FNPP计划的需求以及为 EPC 承包商开闢新视野。
复杂的法规环境
浮体式核能发电厂(FNPP)缺乏明确的法律规范为相关人员带来了不确定性。现有法规主要针对陆基核能发电厂,有空白,无法解决浮体式核子反应炉带来的独特挑战。这种不确定性可能会导致考虑 FNPP计划的投资者和公司犹豫不决,不确定合规要求和潜在责任。此外,公众对 FNPP 的反对可能会导致进一步的监管监督以及计划的取消或修改。
核能技术的进步
非能动安全系统和小型模组化反应器(SMR)等现代核能技术降低了事故和人为参与的风险,显着提高了 FNPP 的安全性和可靠性。对于 EPC 承包商来说,这些技术可以减少部署时间并简化对国际标准的遵守,从而简化计划核准。借助数位双胞胎技术和预测维修系统,可以持续监控和优化核子反应炉性能,从而降低营运风险并推动市场成长。
资金成本高
FNPP计划的高资本成本和长建设时间可能会拖累投资者和金融机构,特别是在经济和能源需求成长不确定的地区。此外,高昂的初始成本和较长的建设时间共同延长了投资回收期,使得 FNPP计划对偏好更快、更具成本效益的能源解决方案(例如可再生能源)的私人公司和政府的吸引力降低。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19大流行严重影响了浮体式核能发电厂(FNPP)EPC市场,导致全球供应链中断,并因劳动力短缺而导致计划进度延误。旅行限制和封锁阻碍了建造和采购活动,增加了成本并延长了计划工期。经济不确定性减少了对包括 FNPP 在内的大型能源基础设施的投资。
小型模组化反应器部分预计将在预测期内成为最大的部分
小型模组化核子反应炉设计具有先进的安全功能和较小的占地面积,使其成为浮体式应用的理想选择。其模组化特性使其易于建造和扩充性,适合在偏远地区和海上使用。中小型反应器还改进了安全通讯协定,可以减少公众对核能的担忧并缓解监管障碍。
预计先进核子反应炉设计领域在预测期内将经历最高的复合年增长率。
先进核子反应炉设计的模组化建造技术允许在受控环境中预製,缩短施工进度并最大限度地减少现场组装,使得先进核子反应炉设计行业预计在预测期内表现出最高的复合年增长率。这对于安装在海上或偏远地区的 FNPP 尤其有利,使 EPC 公司能够更快地完成计划并满足日益增长的能源需求,同时降低风险和成本。
核燃料颗粒厂(FNPP)市场面临复杂的监管流程,其中美国核能管理委员会监督监管许可,加拿大核能安委员会负责监管安全和许可,预计将占据最大的市场占有率。先进的核子反应炉设计必须满足这些机构的要求。同时,北美各国政府正在探索促进核能作为清洁能源来源的政策,包括联邦奖励措施、税额扣抵和研究经费。
包括中国、印度、日本和韩国在内的亚太国家正关注低碳能源解决方案,以满足不断增长的能源需求。由 FNPP动力来源的先进核子反应炉设计不会直接排放碳,这使其成为这些国家的合适选择。地缘政治紧张局势和能源独立的需求也促使这些国家探索 FNPP 等替代能源解决方案,以减少对石化燃料进口的依赖并加强能源安全。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Floating Nuclear Power Plant EPC Market is accounted for $7.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $12.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.1% during the forecast period. A Floating Nuclear Power Plant (FNPP) EPC (Engineering, Procurement, and Construction) is a comprehensive project execution model for developing and deploying these power plants on maritime platforms. The EPC approach covers the entire lifecycle of the project, from design to commissioning. The Engineering phase focuses on safety, efficiency, and adaptability for marine conditions. The Procurement phase involves sourcing specialized components, ensuring quality and compliance with nuclear safety standards. The Construction phase involves assembling the plant on a floating platform, integrating systems, and preparing it for deployment.
Increasing energy demands and the push for low-carbon energy solutions
Urbanization, industrialization, and population growth particularly in emerging economies are driving up global energy demand. Isolated industrial centers, coastal regions, and remote islands all have challenges in obtaining consistent electricity. FNPPs provide reliable and scalable power generation without using conventional grid infrastructure. With national pledges to attain net-zero emissions and international accords such as the Paris Agreement, the emphasis on decarbonizing the energy industry has increased which increases demand for FNPP projects and opens up new prospects for EPC contractors.
Complex regulatory environment
The lack of a clear regulatory framework for floating nuclear power plants (FNPPs) creates uncertainty for stakeholders, as existing regulations primarily focus on land-based nuclear power plants, leaving gaps that don't address the unique challenges posed by floating reactors. This uncertainty can lead to hesitation among investors and companies considering FNPP projects, as they may be unsure about compliance requirements and potential liabilities. Moreover, public opposition to FNPPs can potentially lead to additional regulatory scrutiny and project cancellations or modifications.
Advances in nuclear technologies
Modern nuclear technologies, such as passive safety systems and Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), have greatly increased the safety and dependability of FNPPs by reducing the dangers of accidents and human involvement. For EPC contractors, these technologies expedite deployment times and facilitate project approval by streamlining compliance with international norms. Reactor performance is continuously monitored and optimized thanks to digital twin technology and predictive maintenance systems, their by lower operational risks propelling the growth of the market.
High capital costs
High capital costs and extended construction timelines for FNPP projects can deter investors and financial institutions, especially in regions with uncertain economic or energy demand growth. This restricts deployment to wealthier or economically stable regions, narrowing the overall market and the combination of high initial costs and extended construction timelines can lead to prolonged ROI periods, reducing the attractiveness of FNPP projects for private companies and governments who prefer faster, more cost-effective energy solutions like renewable.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the Floating Nuclear Power Plant (FNPP) EPC market by causing delays in project timelines due to disrupted global supply chains and workforce shortages. Travel restrictions and lockdowns hampered construction and procurement activities, increasing costs and prolonging project schedules. Economic uncertainty reduced investments in large-scale energy infrastructure, including FNPPs.
The small modular reactors segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The small modular reactors is expected to be the largest during the forecast period because small modular reactors, designed with advanced safety features and smaller footprints, are ideal for floating applications. Their modular nature allows for easier construction and scalability, making them suitable for isolated or offshore areas. SMRs also have improved safety protocols, reducing public concerns about nuclear energy and potentially easing regulatory hurdles.
The advanced reactor designs segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The advanced reactor designs segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period owing to modular construction techniques in advanced reactor designs enable pre-fabrication in controlled environments, accelerating construction timelines and minimizing on-site assembly. This is especially beneficial for FNPPs deployed in offshore or remote areas, enabling EPC companies to complete projects faster and meet increasing energy demands with reduced risk and cost.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period because nuclear fuel pellet plant (FNPP) market faces complex regulatory processes, with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission overseeing approvals and the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission regulating safety and licensing. Advanced reactor designs must comply with these bodies' requirements. On the other hand North American governments are exploring policies to advance nuclear power as a clean energy source, including federal incentives, tax credits, and research funding.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the highest CAGR over the forecast period owing to Asia Pacific countries, including China, India, Japan, and South Korea, are focusing on low-carbon energy solutions to meet rising energy demand. Advanced nuclear reactor designs, powered by FNPPs, produce no direct carbon emissions, making them a suitable option for these countries. Geopolitical tensions and the need for energy independence have also driven these countries to explore alternative energy solutions, such as FNPPs, to reduce reliance on fossil fuel imports and strengthen energy security.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Floating Nuclear Power Plant EPC market include China National Nuclear Corporation, Areva, Rosatom, Westinghouse Electric Company, Korea Electric Power Corporation, Vattenfall, Siemens, NuScale Power, TerraPower, Holtec International, Babcock and Wilcox, General Electric, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Toshiba and Korea Electric Power Corporation.
In November 2024, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. (MHI) and Hokuetsu Corporation, one of Japan's leading paper manufacturers, launched a CO2 capture demonstration test at Niigata Mill (Niigata City), in November. This demonstration test aims to capture CO2 from a chemical recovery boiler that produces the steam and electricity needed for paper manufacturing.
In November 2024, GE Aerospace announced its official launch as an independent public company defining the future of flight, following the completion of the GE Vernova spin-off. GE Aerospace will trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker "GE".