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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1725165
2032 年改质沥青市场预测:按改质剂类型、等级、应用方法、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Modified Bitumen Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Modifier Type (SBS, APP, Crumb Rubber, Natural Rubber and Other Modifier Types), Grade (PMB 40, PMB 70, PMB 120 and Other Grades), Application Method, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球改质沥青市场预计在 2025 年达到 254 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 416 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 7.3%。
改质沥青是一种由沥青製成的屋顶或铺路材料,其中已使用 APP(杂排聚丙烯)或 SBS(聚丁二烯)等聚合物进行了改进。与传统沥青相比,它具有优异的柔韧性、耐候性和耐久性。改质沥青通常用于低坡度屋顶,以捲材形式提供,可使用热黏合剂、冷黏合剂或自黏黏合剂进行涂抹。以其出色的防水性能和长期可靠性而闻名。
根据印度石油和天然气部石油规划和分析部门(PPAC)的数据,2024年2月印度沥青销售量激增21.5%。
基础建设进展
随着世界各国政府和企业对新道路、桥樑、机场和城市计划进行大量投资,扩大基础建设是改质沥青产业的主要驱动力。人们对能够承受极端天气和交通繁忙的耐用、高性能建筑材料的需求不断增长,推动了对改性沥青的需求,改质沥青具有更好的柔韧性、抗裂性和长寿命。此外,新兴国家工业化、都市化进程加快,推动市场扩张,改质沥青成为现代基础建设计划的首选材料。
原物料价格波动
原物料价格尤其是原油及石油衍生物的波动对改质沥青市场有较大影响。由于沥青是原油精製的产物,全球原油价格的波动直接影响生产成本,导致改质沥青的价格走势难以预测。此外,这种波动可能会降低改质沥青对最终用户的经济效益,并扰乱计划规划和预算,特别是大型计划项目,从而限制市场成长和稳定。
对永续基础设施的需求不断增加
对永续基础设施日益增长的需求为改性沥青行业带来了巨大的商机。随着环保意识变得越来越重要,政府和企业正在寻找减少资源消耗和促进回收的建筑材料。此外,由回收的聚合物和橡胶製成的改质沥青可提高性能并促进循环经济的概念。此外,改质沥青的耐用性和最低限度的维护要求有助于降低生命週期成本和环境影响,使其成为全球绿色基础设施计划的一个有吸引力的选择。
用替代材料替代
替代材料的替代是改质沥青产业面临的关键挑战。随着混凝土、先进复合材料和生物基黏合剂等新技术和新材料的普及,它们在某些应用领域展现出竞争优势,包括提高永续性和降低初始成本。此外,替代道路和屋顶材料的持续研究和创新可能会削弱改性沥青的市场力量,特别是如果这些替代材料随着时间的推移表现出更好的性能或成本效益。
由于封锁和限制措施导致全球许多建筑计划停工,新冠疫情对改性沥青业务产生了重大负面影响。此外,基础设施投资减少和供应链中断也抑制了道路建设和屋顶应用对沥青的需求。然而,随着经济重新开放和奖励策略的实施,市场开始復苏,基础建设恢復,改性沥青的需求稳步回升。
预计预测期内聚丁二烯(SBS) 部分将达到最大幅度成长。
预计预测期内聚丁二烯(SBS) 部分将占据最大的市场占有率。 SBS 改质沥青因其高柔韧性、长寿命以及对温度变化和机械应力的适应能力而受到青睐。此外,它还能够提高恶劣环境下铺路和屋顶系统的性能,使其成为新建筑和维护的理想选择。此外,SBS改质沥青广泛应用于道路建设、屋顶和防水应用,有助于其在市场上保持主导地位。
预计预测期内,道路建设领域将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
预计道路建设领域在预测期内将实现最高的成长率。这一增长是由建设和改善道路网络的投资增加所推动的,特别是在新兴国家和都市化国家。对持久耐用的路面的需求推动了改质沥青在道路铺设中的使用增加。此外,政府致力于基础设施建设和维护的措施也促进了这一领域的成长。
预计北美地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。这一优势得益于该地区强大的基础设施部门、对道路和建筑开发的持续投资以及对能够承受各种天气条件的高性能材料的需求。此外,尤其是在美国,人们越来越重视永续性和节能建筑技术,这推动了改质沥青在道路和屋顶应用中的使用,巩固了北美的主导地位。
预计亚太地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。快速的都市化、蓬勃发展的建设产业以及政府对道路、桥樑和智慧城市等基础设施计划的大量投资,正在推动中国和印度对改性沥青的需求。此外,亚太地区是改性沥青快速成长的地区,因为该地区对永续发展和先进建筑材料的使用正在刺激市场扩张。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Modified Bitumen Market is accounted for $25.4 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $41.6 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 7.3% during the forecast period. Modified bitumen is roofing and paving material made from asphalt that has been improved with polymers like APP (atactic polypropylene) or SBS (styrene-butadiene-styrene) to work better. It offers superior flexibility, weather resistance, and durability compared to traditional asphalt. Commonly used in low-slope roofing, modified bitumen is available in roll form and can be applied using heat, cold adhesives, or self-adhesion. It's known for excellent waterproofing and long-term reliability.
According to data from the Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC) of India's Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, bitumen sales in India jumped 21.5% month-on-month in February 2024.
Growing infrastructure development
Growing infrastructure development is a primary driver of the modified bitumen industry, as governments and corporate sectors around the world invest extensively in new roads, bridges, airports, and urban projects. The growing demand for long-lasting, high-performance construction materials capable of withstanding extreme weather and heavy traffic is driving up demand for modified bitumen, which provides improved flexibility, crack resistance, and longevity. Furthermore, growing industrialization and urbanization in emerging economies are driving market expansion, making modified bitumen the preferred material for modern infrastructure projects.
Volatility in raw material prices
Raw material price volatility, particularly for crude oil and petroleum derivatives, has a substantial impact on the modified bitumen market. Bitumen is a byproduct of crude oil refining; therefore, fluctuations in global oil prices have a direct impact on production costs, resulting in unexpected pricing trends for modified bitumen. Furthermore, this volatility can make modified bitumen less economical for end users and impede project planning and budgeting, particularly for large-scale infrastructure projects, limiting market growth and stability.
Growing demand for sustainable infrastructure
The increased need for sustainable infrastructure creates significant opportunities for the modified bitumen sector. With a growing emphasis on environmental stewardship, governments and companies are looking for construction materials that reduce resource consumption and encourage recycling. Additionally, modified bitumen made from recycled polymers or rubber improves performance while also promoting circular economy concepts. Furthermore, the endurance and minimal maintenance requirements of modified bitumen contribute to lower lifespan costs and environmental impact, making it an appealing alternative for green infrastructure projects around the world.
Substitution by alternatives
The substitution of alternative materials poses a significant challenge to the modified bitumen sector. As new technologies and materials, such as concrete, sophisticated composites, and bio-based binders, gain popularity, they provide competitive benefits in specific applications, such as increased sustainability or cheaper initial costs. Furthermore, ongoing research and innovation in alternative road and roofing materials have the potential to erode modified bitumen's market dominance, particularly if these substitutes display greater performance or cost-effectiveness over time.
The Covid-19 pandemic had a significant detrimental influence on the modified bitumen business, as lockdowns and limitations caused the suspension of numerous construction projects worldwide. Furthermore, decreased infrastructure investments and supply chain interruptions have lowered demand for bitumen in road building and roofing applications. However, as economies reopened and stimulus measures were implemented, the market began to revive, with infrastructure development resuming and demand for modified bitumen steadily returning.
The styrene-butadiene-styrene (SBS) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The styrene-butadiene-styrene (SBS) segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. SBS-modified bitumen is preferred because of its high flexibility, longevity, and resilience to temperature changes and mechanical stress. In addition, its capacity to improve the performance of pavements and roofing systems in tough environments makes it ideal for both new construction and maintenance operations. Also, the widespread use of SBS-modified bitumen in roadbuilding, roofing, and waterproofing applications helps maintain its market dominance.
The road construction segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the road construction segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. This growth is being driven by increased investment in building and upgrading road networks, particularly in emerging nations experiencing growing urbanization. The demand for long-lasting, durable road surfaces is driving increased use of modified bitumen in road paving, as these surfaces can endure heavy traffic and extreme weather. Furthermore, government measures aimed at infrastructure development and maintenance are fueling the segment's growth.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share. This dominance is due to the region's strong infrastructure sector, continued investments in road and building development, and the demand for high-performance materials that can resist a wide range of weather conditions. Furthermore, the emphasis on sustainability and energy-efficient construction techniques, particularly in the United States, is driving the use of modified bitumen for both road and roofing applications, bolstering North America's leadership position.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. Rapid urbanization, thriving construction industries, and significant government investments in infrastructure projects like roads, bridges, and smart cities are driving demand for modified bitumen in China and India. Furthermore, the area's emphasis on sustainable development and the use of sophisticated construction materials is fueling market expansion, making Asia Pacific the fastest-growing region for modified bitumen.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Modified Bitumen Market include Sika AG, Royal Dutch Shell PLC, ExxonMobil Corporation, TotalEnergies SE, Gazprom Neft PJSC, ROSNEFT, Colas SA, Nynas AB, BASF SE, Soprema Group, Holcim Building Envelope, GAF Materials Corporation, Bitumina Group, BMI Group, Carlisle Companies Incorporated, Repsol, Dow, Inc. and IKO Industries Ltd.
In February 2025, Sika Corporation launched the SikaShield brand in the U.S. market, introducing the innovative "hybrid" modified bitumen membrane, SikaShield HB79. This product combines APAO and SBS asphaltic membrane technologies, offering enhanced durability and adaptability for buildings in areas with seasonal climate changes and heavy foot traffic. Juliana Grippa, National Manager-Bituminous Systems, described this as the next evolution in modified bitumen membranes.
In February 2025, Repsol announced its continued production of various asphalts and bitumens for diverse applications, including road asphalting and waterproofing. The company received Environmental Product Declarations (EPD) for its conventional bitumens, polymer-modified bitumens, bitumens made with rubber dust from end-of-life tires, and cationic and anionic emulsions. This recognition made Repsol the first European manufacturer of bitumen and bituminous emulsions to achieve this milestone.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.