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市场调查报告书
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1856847
传统发电市场预测至2032年:按燃料类型、运作角色、部署类型、技术、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Traditional Power Generation Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Fuel Type (Coal, Natural Gas, Oil, Nuclear and Large Hydro), Operational Role, Deployment Type, Technology, End User and By Geography |
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根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,预计 2025 年全球传统发电市场规模将达到 12,680.8 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 17,606.6 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 4.8%。
传统发电严重依赖煤炭、石油和天然气等石化燃料。其过程通常包括燃烧燃料产生热量,热量产生蒸气,蒸汽驱动汽轮机旋转,汽轮机带动发电机发电。虽然这些系统能够满足高电力需求,且基础设施长期稳定,但它们会排放温室气体和其他污染物,使其成为环境污染的主要来源。传统发电厂还需承担高昂的营运成本,并需要稳定的燃料供应。儘管技术进步正在提高效率,但人们对环境影响、气候变迁和有限燃料储备的日益关注,正推动着向可再生和清洁能源解决方案的逐步转型。
根据美国能源资讯署(EIA)的数据,到 2023 年,石化燃料(煤炭、天然气和石油)将占美国总发电量的约 60%。
高能源需求
全球电力消耗量的成长是传统发电产业的主要驱动力。工业扩张、都市区以及科技的进步不断提升着家庭、企业和工厂的能源需求。人口不断增长的国家需要可靠的电力供应来维持经济发展和基本公共服务。使用煤炭、石油和天然气等石化燃料的传统发电厂,由于其成熟的基础设施和强大的发电能力,仍然至关重要。即使再生能源来源不断发展,许多地区持续高负载的电力需求也确保了传统发电系统在全球范围内的持续运作和重要性。
高营业成本
由于营业成本高昂,传统发电市场面临诸多限制因素。石化燃料发电厂依赖煤炭、天然气和石油的持续供应,而这些资源的价格在全球市场上波动频繁。维护、设备升级和人事费用进一步推高了营运费用。此外,遵守环境法规、安装排放控制系统以及缴纳碳排放税也会增加额外的财务负担。因此,与通常营业成本较低的长期可再生能源相比,传统发电的经济竞争力可能会下降。这些财务挑战往往会阻碍电力公司和投资者扩建或改造现有传统发电厂,从而限制了市场成长,并减缓了新型传统发电基础设施的普及。
混合动力和汽电共生系统的兴起
混合发电和汽电共生技术的整合为传统发电厂带来了巨大的发展机会。汽电共生能够利用单一燃料同时生产电力和热能,从而提高整体能源效率并降低营运成本。混合发电系统将石化燃料发电厂与风能、太阳能等再生能源来源结合,提供更稳定且环保的电力供应。这些技术的应用使传统发电厂能够在满足更严格的环保标准的同时,优化能源输出。透过利用汽电共生和混合发电解决方案,电力公司可以提高盈利、提升燃料效率并推动永续性措施。这种方法增强了传统发电方式在能源转型格局中的适应性和长期生存能力。
与可再生能源的竞争日益激烈
包括太阳能、风能和水力发电在内的可再生能源发电的扩张对传统发电行业构成了威胁。这些能源来源具有成本效益高、环境友善且获得政府支持等优势,对投资者和消费者都极具吸引力。随着各国实施减少碳排放和提高永续性的政策,石化燃料发电厂的市占率正在下降。可再生能源技术成本的下降以及储能技术的进步,加剧了竞争压力。传统发电企业必须做出调整才能维持其市场地位。全球向清洁能源转型,强调效率和环境责任,促使传统发电企业进行现代化改造,以应对快速成长的可再生能源市场竞争。
新冠疫情对传统发电产业造成了重大衝击。全球范围内的封锁措施以及工商业活动的减少导致电力需求大幅下降。许多石化燃料燃料发电厂的运作负荷低于运作,导致盈利和营运效率下降。供应链中断延缓了燃料供应、维护和设备升级,进一步加剧了营运挑战。经济的不确定性也抑制了对新建传统发电项目的投资。居民电力消耗在一定程度上缓解了疫情的影响,电力公司则专注于优化营运并确保基本服务的供应。疫情凸显了建构具有韧性的能源系统的重要性,并促使各方加快推进能源结构多元化计划,包括采用更清洁、更灵活的发电解决方案。
预计煤炭板块在预测期内将占据最大份额。
由于煤炭易于取得、基础设施完善且发电能力强,预计在预测期内,煤炭仍将占据最大的市场份额。许多国家,尤其是煤炭资源丰富的地区,都依赖燃煤发电厂作为其主要能源来源。燃煤电厂能够提供稳定的基本负载电力,满足庞大的工业和居民用电需求,因此成为电力公司的首选。儘管环境问题和来自可再生能源的竞争构成了挑战,但煤炭凭藉其成本效益、运作可靠性和稳固的全球地位,仍在传统电力产业中保持主导地位。在许多地区,煤炭仍然是能源生产的关键,也是国家电力战略的重要组成部分。
预计在预测期内,公共产业规模细分市场将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
预计在预测期内,公共产业领域将实现最高成长率。随着工业和城市扩张导致能源需求上升,为区域和国家电网供电的大型发电厂正吸引越来越多的投资。这些计划具有成本效益高、电力输出可靠以及服务庞大人口的能力,因此对政府和私营相关人员都极具吸引力。技术升级和基本负载能源供应的潜力也增加了成长机会。儘管可再生能源蓬勃发展,但由于全球新兴市场和成熟市场对稳定、高容量电力解决方案的需求,大型传统发电厂仍在持续成长。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额,这主要得益于中国和印度等国强劲的工业成长、城市扩张以及不断增长的电力需求。丰富的煤炭蕴藏量和完善的电力基础设施使燃煤电厂成为主要能源来源。该地区各国政府持续支持大型传统发电工程,以确保工业发展、经济成长以及家庭和企业的稳定电力供应。儘管可再生能源发电的普及率不断提高,但对可靠、稳定电力的需求仍支撑着对传统发电的依赖。人口成长、工业化和政府措施共同作用,使亚太地区成为全球传统电力产业的领导者。
预计中东和非洲地区在预测期内将呈现最高的复合年增长率。人口成长、工业化和城市发展正推动家庭、企业和工业电力消耗的成长。丰富的石化燃料蕴藏量,特别是石油和天然气,正在推动传统发电厂的扩张。区域各国政府正大力投资大型电力基础设施,以确保稳定可靠的电力供应。儘管可再生能源的采用率正在逐步提高,但为支持经济成长和都市化,对稳定、高功率电力的需求正在加速传统发电的发展。这些因素共同作用,使中东和非洲成为全球成长最快的地区之一。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Traditional Power Generation Market is accounted for $1268.08 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $1760.66 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 4.8% during the forecast period. Conventional power generation depends largely on fossil fuels, including coal, oil, and natural gas, to create electricity. This process typically involves combusting fuels to produce heat, generate steam, and rotate turbines that drive electricity generators. Although these systems are capable of supporting high electricity demands and have long-standing infrastructure, they are major sources of environmental pollution, releasing greenhouse gases and other pollutants. Traditional plants also involve significant operational expenses and require stable fuel availability. While advances in technology have enhanced their efficiency, growing concerns over environmental impact, climate change, and finite fuel reserves are driving a gradual transition toward renewable and cleaner energy solutions.
According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), in 2023, fossil fuels (coal, natural gas, petroleum) accounted for approximately 60% of total electricity generation in the United States.
High energy demand
Rising worldwide electricity consumption is a major driver for the traditional power generation sector. Expanding industries, urban areas, and advancing technologies have increased energy needs in households, businesses, and factories. Nations with growing populations require dependable electricity to sustain economic development and essential services. Conventional power plants, using fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and natural gas, remain crucial due to their proven infrastructure and ability to produce large energy outputs. Even with the expansion of renewable energy sources, the consistent and high-capacity electricity demands of many regions maintain the relevance and continued operation of traditional power generation systems globally.
High operational costs
The traditional power generation market faces limitations due to high operational expenses. Fossil fuel plants rely on continuous supply of coal, natural gas, or oil, whose prices fluctuate frequently in global markets. Maintenance, equipment upgrades, and workforce costs further add to operational expenditure. Adhering to environmental regulations, installing emission control systems, and paying carbon taxes also create additional financial strain. As a result, conventional power may become less economically competitive than renewable alternatives, which generally have lower long-term operating costs. These financial challenges often discourage utilities and investors from expanding or modernizing existing conventional power plants, limiting growth and slowing the adoption of new traditional generation infrastructure.
Increasing hybrid and co-generation systems
The integration of hybrid and co-generation technologies offers significant opportunities for conventional power plants. Co-generation enables the simultaneous production of electricity and heat from a single fuel source, improving overall energy efficiency and reducing operational expenses. Hybrid systems, which combine fossil fuel-based plants with renewable energy sources like wind or solar, provide more stable and environmentally friendly electricity supply. Implementing these technologies helps conventional plants meet stricter environmental standards while optimizing energy output. By leveraging co-generation and hybrid solutions, utilities can enhance profitability, improve fuel efficiency, and advance sustainability initiatives. This approach strengthens the adaptability and long-term viability of traditional power generation in a transitioning energy landscape.
Increasing competition from renewable energy
Renewable energy expansion, including solar, wind, and hydropower, threatens the conventional power generation sector. These sources provide cost-effective, eco-friendly, and government-supported alternatives, appealing to both investors and consumers. As nations implement policies to reduce carbon emissions and increase sustainability, fossil fuel-based plants face declining market relevance. Falling costs of renewable technologies, coupled with improvements in energy storage, intensify the competitive pressure. Conventional power operators must adapt to maintain their market position or risk obsolescence. The global shift toward cleaner energy emphasizes efficiency and environmental responsibility, challenging traditional power generation to modernize and compete against rapidly growing renewable energy alternatives.
The COVID-19 outbreak had a major effect on the conventional power generation sector. Global lockdowns and decreased industrial and commercial activity caused electricity demand to drop significantly. Many fossil fuel-based plants operated below full capacity, reducing profitability and operational efficiency. Supply chain interruptions delayed fuel supplies, maintenance, and equipment upgrades, creating additional operational challenges. Economic uncertainty also slowed investments in new traditional power projects. Residential electricity consumption partially mitigated the impact, while utilities focused on optimizing operations and ensuring essential services. The pandemic emphasized the importance of resilient energy systems and encouraged accelerated planning for a diversified energy mix, including cleaner and more adaptable power generation solutions.
The coal segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The coal segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to its accessibility, proven infrastructure, and high electricity output. Many nations depend on coal-fired plants as a key source of energy, particularly where coal is abundant. Its capacity to provide consistent base-load power and meet substantial industrial and residential demands makes it a favored option for utilities. Although environmental issues and renewable energy competition pose challenges, coal's cost-effectiveness, operational reliability, and well-established global presence maintain its leading role in the traditional power sector. In numerous regions, coal continues to be a cornerstone of energy production and a critical component of national electricity strategies.
The utility-scale segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the utility-scale segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. Large power plants serving regional or national grids are attracting increased investment as energy demand rises with industrial and urban expansion. These projects provide cost efficiency, dependable electricity output, and the capability to serve vast populations, making them appealing to both governments and private stakeholders. Their potential for technological upgrades and base-load energy provision further enhances growth opportunities. Even with the rise of renewable energy, large conventional plants continue to grow, supported by the necessity for stable, high-capacity power solutions across emerging and established markets worldwide.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, fueled by strong industrial growth, urban expansion, and rising electricity requirements in nations such as China and India. Extensive coal reserves and established power infrastructure make coal-based plants a key source of energy. Governments in the region continue to back large conventional power projects to ensure industrial development, economic progress, and steady electricity for homes and businesses. While renewable energy adoption is increasing, the demand for dependable, high-capacity electricity maintains reliance on conventional power generation. Population growth, industrialization, and government initiatives collectively reinforce Asia-Pacific's dominant role in the worldwide traditional power sector.
Over the forecast period, the Middle East & Africa region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. Rising population, industrialization, and urban development are boosting electricity consumption across homes, businesses, and industries. Abundant fossil fuel reserves, particularly oil and natural gas, facilitate the expansion of conventional power plants. Regional governments are investing heavily in large-scale electricity infrastructure to provide consistent and dependable power. Although renewable energy adoption is gradually increasing, the demand for stable, high-output electricity to support economic growth and urbanization drives the accelerated development of traditional power generation. This combination positions the Middle East & Africa as the region with the highest growth momentum globally.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Traditional Power Generation Market include NTPC Limited, Adani Power, Reliance Power, Gujarat Industries Power Company Ltd (GIPCL), Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd (PGCIL), RattanIndia Power, Tata Power (Tata Group), Maharashtra State Power Generation Co. Ltd, Nuclear Power Corporation of India Limited (NPCIL), India Power Corporation Ltd, Jindal Steel & Power Limited, Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd, Reliance Infrastructure, Vedanta Limited (Talwandi Sabo Power Limited) and Maharashtra State Power Generation Company Limited.
In October 2025, NTPC Green Energy Limited (NGEL), through its subsidiary NTPC Renewable Energy Limited (NTPC REL), has signed an agreement with the Gujarat Government to develop 15 GW of renewable energy projects. The plan includes 10 GW of solar and 5 GW of wind energy capacity. The Memorandum of Understanding was exchanged during the Vibrant Gujarat Regional Conference in Mehsana, Gujarat.
In October 2025, Adani Power Limited and Bhutan's state-owned Druk Green Power Corporation Limited have signed an agreement to jointly develop the 570 MW Wangchhu hydroelectric project. Adani Power and Druk Green will incorporate a public company in Bhutan with a 49:51 shareholding structure to implement the project.
In May 2025, Reliance Power has signed a 25-year power purchase agreement with the public sector enterprise Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI) to supply solar power backed by battery storage. Reliance NU Suntech, a wholly owned subsidiary of Reliance Power, will develop Asia's largest single-site integrated solar and battery energy storage system (BESS) project.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.