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市场调查报告书
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1876776

排碳权交易市场预测至2032年：按类型、计划类型、组成部分、交易类型、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析

Carbon Credit Trading Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Type (Compliance Carbon and Voluntary Carbon), Project Type, Component, Trading Type, End User and By Geography
出版日期: | 出版商: Stratistics Market Research Consulting | 英文 200+ Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

价格

根据 Stratistics MRC 的一项研究，预计到 2025 年，全球排碳权交易市场规模将达到 165.3 亿美元，到 2032 年将达到 1,850.2 亿美元，在预测期内复合年增长率将达到 41.2%。

排碳权交易是一种市场机制，允许企业交换排碳权，碳信用额度代表温室气体排放配额。该体系透过设定排放上限并鼓励企业采取永续的做法来促进排放。排放低于限值的企业可以将多余的碳信用额度交易或出售给排放量超过限值的企业，从而兼顾环境责任和经济效益。

企业净零排放和ESG倡议

各行各业的公司都在公开承诺减少或抵消其温室气体排放，以符合永续性目标和投资者预期。这些努力推动了对检验排碳权的需求，因为企业正在寻求实现碳中和的可靠途径。相关人员对透明度和环境课责日益增长的压力也增强了市场参与企业的能力。各国政府和国际组织也鼓励企业揭露排放和抵销活动的资讯。因此，将碳抵消纳入长期ESG策略是市场扩张的主要驱动力。

缺乏通用标准和可靠性

调查方法和认证流程的差异导致碳信用额的估值和可信度存在不一致。这种不一致引发了投资者和企业的疑虑，阻碍了大规模参与。合规市场框架和自愿市场框架之间的不一致进一步加剧了透明度和可比较性的复杂性。一些碳信用额并不能反映真实的减排放，从而降低了市场可信度。如果没有统一的全球准则，碳交易的可信度和扩充性将持续受到限制。

扩大基于自然的解决方案（NBS）

植树造林、再造林和湿地復育等措施作为经济高效的碳封存方法正日益受到重视。各国政府、非政府组织和企业正在加大对基于生态系统的计划的投资，以产生高品质的排碳权。遥感探测技术和数位化监测、报告和检验（MRV）工具的进步正在提高基于自然的解决方案（NBS）计划的可追溯性。这些措施不仅有助于减少碳排放，还有助于生物多样性保护和增强当地社区的韧性。随着永续金融的扩展，以NBS主导的碳信用有望在未来的碳市场中发挥核心作用。

加强对抵销利用的监管

各国政府和国际组织正在推出政策，限制企业依赖碳抵销而非直接排放的程度。这些限制可能会降低企业对合规体系中碳信用的需求。批评人士认为，过度依赖碳抵销会阻碍真正的脱碳进程，并呼吁加强监管。因此，企业将面临额外的合规负担，并被要求采取综合减排策略。对排放抵消有效性和重复累计风险的更严格审查也可能限制自愿市场的灵活性。

新冠疫情的感染疾病：

新冠疫情导致工业生产放缓和排放暂时下降，干扰了碳排放交易活动。封锁措施降低了航空和製造业等关键产业的需求，造成碳信用价格波动。然而，这场危机重新激发了人们对永续性的关注，并为各国政府和企业加强应对气候变迁的努力提供了机会。随着远距办公成为必需，用于碳排放交易和计划检验的数位化平台变得日益重要。疫情后的復苏计画也越来越多地纳入绿色投资和脱碳目标。

预计在预测期内，合规碳排放细分市场将占据最大的市场份额。

由于合规碳排放配额在实现强制性排放目标方面发挥关键作用，预计在预测期内，合规碳排放配额市场将占据最大的市场份额。世界各国政府正在加强总量管制与交易机制，强制各产业购买碳信用额度以符合监管要求。电力、製造业和能源产业对受监管碳排放配额的需求依然强劲。欧盟排放交易体系（EU ETS）和中国国家碳市场等政策框架的强化进一步推动了市场成长。

预计在预测期内，农业领域将呈现最高的复合年增长率。

在预测期内，农业领域预计将实现最高成长率，这主要得益于再生农业、土壤碳储存和农林业等实践的推动。人们对气候变迁的日益关注、政府支持计画以及企业永续性倡议，正鼓励农民采用保护性耕作、作物多样化和高效灌溉等环境友善技术。这些实践在减少排放的同时，也能改善土壤品质并产生可交易的碳信用。小规模农户参与度的提高、数位化监测解决方案的普及以及对基于自然的碳抵消需求的增长，进一步巩固了农业在碳市场中的地位。

占比最大的地区：

由于政府的大力主导和产业的快速扩张，亚太地区预计将在预测期内保持最大的市场份额。中国、印度和日本等国家已实施大规模的碳定价机制和永续性框架。这些经济体的快速都市化和能源消耗促使它们更加重视排放策略。对可再生能源和植树造林计划的投资正在产生大量的排碳权。透过跨境碳市场进行的区域合作也有助于提高流动性和透明度。

年复合成长率最高的地区：

在预测期内，由于法规结构的不断改进和企业永续性倡议的推进，北美预计将呈现最高的复合年增长率。美国和加拿大正在扩大区域碳市场和自愿抵消计画。科技、能源和製造业的参与度不断提高，正在增强市场格局。区块链和人工智慧的融合正在提升碳信用额的可追溯性和真实性。支持清洁能源转型和碳去除技术的政策正在进一步推动市场应用。

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目录

第一章执行摘要

第二章 前言

  • 概述
  • 相关利益者
  • 调查范围
  • 调查方法
    • 资料探勘
    • 数据分析
    • 数据检验
    • 研究途径
  • 研究材料
    • 原始研究资料
    • 次级研究资讯来源
    • 先决条件

第三章 市场趋势分析

  • 介绍
  • 司机
  • 抑制因素
  • 机会
  • 威胁
  • 终端用户分析
  • 新兴市场
  • 新冠疫情的影响

第四章 波特五力分析

  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 买方的议价能力
  • 替代品的威胁
  • 新进入者的威胁
  • 竞争对手之间的竞争

5. 全球排碳权交易市场类型

  • 介绍
  • 合规碳
  • 自愿碳排放

6. 全球排碳权交易市场（按计划类型划分）

  • 介绍
  • 可再生能源计划
  • 能源效率计划
  • 林业和土地利用计划
  • 废弃物管理计划
  • 工业製程
  • 碳捕获、利用与储存（CCUS）

7. 全球排碳权交易市场各组成部分

  • 介绍
  • 平台和交易所
  • 服务
    • 仲介服务
    • 咨询与检验
    • 报告和合规服务

8. 全球排碳权交易市场依交易类型划分

  • 介绍
  • 现货交易
  • 期货交易
  • 选择权交易

9. 全球排碳权交易市场（以最终用户划分）

  • 介绍
  • 发电
  • 石油和天然气
  • 製造业
  • 运输
  • 农业
  • 建筑和房地产
  • 其他最终用户

第十章 全球排碳权交易市场（按地区划分）

  • 介绍
  • 北美洲
    • 美国
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥
  • 欧洲
    • 德国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 法国
    • 西班牙
    • 其他欧洲
  • 亚太地区
    • 日本
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 澳洲
    • 纽西兰
    • 韩国
    • 亚太其他地区
  • 南美洲
    • 阿根廷
    • 巴西
    • 智利
    • 南美洲其他地区
  • 中东和非洲
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 卡达
    • 南非
    • 其他中东和非洲地区

第十一章 重大进展

  • 协议、伙伴关係、合作和合资企业
  • 收购与併购
  • 新产品上市
  • 业务拓展
  • 其他关键策略

第十二章：企业概况

  • Verra
  • S&P Global
  • Gold Standard
  • Sylvera
  • South Pole
  • BlueSource
  • ClimatePartner
  • Climate Impact X（CIX）
  • Climate Impact Partners
  • Carbon Trade Exchange（CTX）
  • EcoAct
  • Xpansiv
  • CME Group
  • European Energy Exchange（EEX）
  • Intercontinental Exchange（ICE）
Product Code: SMRC32422

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Carbon Credit Trading Market is accounted for $16.53 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $185.02 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 41.2% during the forecast period. Carbon credit trading refers to a market mechanism that enables businesses to exchange carbon credits, each symbolizing a specific amount of permissible greenhouse gas emissions. The system promotes emission reduction by capping overall emissions and incentivizing firms to use sustainable practices. Companies that produce fewer emissions than their limit can trade or sell excess credits to those surpassing their allowed quotas, fostering environmental responsibility and economic efficiency.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Corporate Net-Zero & ESG pledges

Companies across industries are pledging to reduce or offset their greenhouse gas emissions to align with sustainability goals and investor expectations. These commitments are fueling demand for verified carbon credits as firms seek credible pathways to achieve neutrality. Increasing stakeholder pressure for transparency and environmental accountability is reinforcing market participation. Governments and global organizations are also encouraging corporate disclosures related to emissions and offset activities. As a result, the integration of carbon offsetting into long-term ESG strategies is significantly boosting market expansion.

Restraint:

Lack of universal standards and integrity

Variations in methodologies and certification processes lead to inconsistencies in credit valuation and reliability. This lack of integrity creates skepticism among investors and corporations, slowing large-scale participation. Disparities between compliance and voluntary market frameworks further complicate transparency and comparability. Some credits fail to represent genuine emission reductions, reducing market confidence. Without harmonized global guidelines, the credibility and scalability of carbon trading remain limited.

Opportunity:

Nature-based solutions (NBS) expansion

Initiatives such as afforestation, reforestation, and wetland restoration are gaining momentum as cost-effective methods to sequester carbon. Governments, NGOs, and corporations are increasingly investing in ecosystem-based projects to generate high-quality carbon credits. Advances in remote sensing and digital MRV (Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification) tools are enhancing the traceability of NBS projects. These initiatives not only contribute to carbon reduction but also promote biodiversity and community resilience. As sustainability financing grows, NBS-driven credits are expected to play a central role in future carbon markets.

Threat:

Stricter regulatory limits on offset use

Governments and international bodies are introducing policies that limit how much companies can rely on offsets instead of direct emission reductions. Such restrictions may reduce corporate demand for credits in compliance systems. Critics argue that overreliance on offsets can delay real decarbonization efforts, prompting stricter oversight. As a result, firms may face additional compliance burdens and need to adopt integrated emission reduction strategies. Increasing scrutiny of offset validity and double-counting risks could also constrain voluntary market flexibility.

Covid-19 Impact:

The Covid-19 pandemic disrupted carbon trading activities by slowing industrial production and reducing emissions temporarily. Lockdowns led to fluctuations in credit prices as demand from key sectors like aviation and manufacturing declined. However, the crisis renewed focus on sustainability, prompting governments and corporations to reinforce their climate action commitments. Digital platforms for carbon trading and project verification gained prominence as remote operations became necessary. Post-pandemic recovery programs have increasingly incorporated green investment and decarbonization goals.

The compliance carbon segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The compliance carbon segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to its critical role in meeting mandatory emission reduction targets. Governments worldwide are strengthening cap-and-trade systems that require industries to purchase credits for regulatory compliance. The demand for regulated carbon allowances remains high across power generation, manufacturing, and energy sectors. Enhanced policy frameworks such as the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) and China's national carbon market are further driving growth.

The agriculture segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the agriculture segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, driven by practices such as regenerative farming, soil carbon storage, and agroforestry. Heightened climate concerns, supportive government programs, and corporate sustainability pledges are motivating farmers to adopt eco-friendly techniques like conservation tillage, crop diversification, and efficient irrigation. These methods cut emissions while improving soil quality, producing tradable credits. Expanding participation from smallholders, digital monitoring solutions, and rising demand for nature-based offsets are further strengthening agriculture's position in carbon markets.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, due to strong government initiatives and industrial expansion. Countries such as China, India, and Japan are implementing large-scale carbon pricing mechanisms and sustainability frameworks. Rapid urbanization and energy consumption in these economies have heightened focus on emission reduction strategies. Investments in renewable energy and reforestation projects are generating significant carbon credit volumes. Regional cooperation through cross-border carbon markets is also improving liquidity and transparency.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to advancing regulatory frameworks and corporate sustainability efforts. The U.S. and Canada are expanding their regional carbon markets and voluntary offset programs. Rising participation from technology, energy, and manufacturing sectors is strengthening the market landscape. The integration of blockchain and AI is enhancing credit traceability and authenticity. Supportive policies promoting clean energy transitions and carbon removal technologies are further propelling market adoption.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Carbon Credit Trading Market include Verra, S&P Global, Gold Standard, Sylvera, South Pole, BlueSource, ClimatePartner, Climate Impact X, Climate Impact Partners, Carbon Trust, EcoAct, Xpansiv, CME Group, European Energy Exchange, and Intercontinental Exchange.

Key Developments:

In November 2025, S&P Global announced the successful completion of its acquisition of ORBCOMM's Automatic Identification System (AIS) business. The AIS business is a leading provider of satellite data services used to track and monitor vessels, enhancing maritime visibility and delivering critical insights that support business intelligence and decision-making for clients worldwide.

In October 2025, Verra and Indonesia have signed an agreement that formalizes their partnership to expand the country's access to climate finance and strengthen the integrity of its carbon markets. The Mutual Recognition Agreement (MRA) between Verra, the world's leading standards setter for climate action and sustainable development, and Indonesia's Ministry of Environment/Environmental Protection Agency (MoE/EPA) was signed today and is effective immediately.

Types Covered:

  • Compliance Carbon
  • Voluntary Carbon

Project Types Covered:

  • Renewable Energy Projects
  • Energy Efficiency Projects
  • Forestry and Land Use Projects
  • Waste Management Projects
  • Industrial Processes
  • Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS)

Components Covered:

  • Platforms & Exchanges
  • Services

Trading Types Covered:

  • Spot Trading
  • Futures Trading
  • Options Trading

End Users Covered:

  • Power Generation
  • Oil & Gas
  • Manufacturing
  • Transportation
  • Agriculture
  • Construction and Real Estate
  • Other End Users

Regions Covered:

  • North America
    • US
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • UK
    • Italy
    • France
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
    • Australia
    • New Zealand
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • South America
    • Argentina
    • Brazil
    • Chile
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East & Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE
    • Qatar
    • South Africa
    • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

  • Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
  • Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
  • Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
  • Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
  • Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
  • Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
  • Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
  • Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

  • Company Profiling
    • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
    • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
  • Regional Segmentation
    • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
  • Competitive Benchmarking
    • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

  • 2.1 Abstract
  • 2.2 Stake Holders
  • 2.3 Research Scope
  • 2.4 Research Methodology
    • 2.4.1 Data Mining
    • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
    • 2.4.3 Data Validation
    • 2.4.4 Research Approach
  • 2.5 Research Sources
    • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
    • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
    • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Drivers
  • 3.3 Restraints
  • 3.4 Opportunities
  • 3.5 Threats
  • 3.6 End User Analysis
  • 3.7 Emerging Markets
  • 3.8 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

  • 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
  • 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
  • 4.3 Threat of substitutes
  • 4.4 Threat of new entrants
  • 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market, By Type

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Compliance Carbon
  • 5.3 Voluntary Carbon

6 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market, By Project Type

  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 Renewable Energy Projects
  • 6.3 Energy Efficiency Projects
  • 6.4 Forestry and Land Use Projects
  • 6.5 Waste Management Projects
  • 6.6 Industrial Processes
  • 6.7 Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS)

7 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market, By Component

  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Platforms & Exchanges
  • 7.3 Services
    • 7.3.1 Brokerage Services
    • 7.3.2 Consulting & Verification
    • 7.3.3 Reporting & Compliance Services

8 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market, By Trading Type

  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 Spot Trading
  • 8.3 Futures Trading
  • 8.4 Options Trading

9 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market, By End User

  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 Power Generation
  • 9.3 Oil & Gas
  • 9.4 Manufacturing
  • 9.5 Transportation
  • 9.6 Agriculture
  • 9.7 Construction and Real Estate
  • 9.8 Other End Users

10 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market, By Geography

  • 10.1 Introduction
  • 10.2 North America
    • 10.2.1 US
    • 10.2.2 Canada
    • 10.2.3 Mexico
  • 10.3 Europe
    • 10.3.1 Germany
    • 10.3.2 UK
    • 10.3.3 Italy
    • 10.3.4 France
    • 10.3.5 Spain
    • 10.3.6 Rest of Europe
  • 10.4 Asia Pacific
    • 10.4.1 Japan
    • 10.4.2 China
    • 10.4.3 India
    • 10.4.4 Australia
    • 10.4.5 New Zealand
    • 10.4.6 South Korea
    • 10.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
  • 10.5 South America
    • 10.5.1 Argentina
    • 10.5.2 Brazil
    • 10.5.3 Chile
    • 10.5.4 Rest of South America
  • 10.6 Middle East & Africa
    • 10.6.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 10.6.2 UAE
    • 10.6.3 Qatar
    • 10.6.4 South Africa
    • 10.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

11 Key Developments

  • 11.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
  • 11.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
  • 11.3 New Product Launch
  • 11.4 Expansions
  • 11.5 Other Key Strategies

12 Company Profiling

  • 12.1 Verra
  • 12.2 S&P Global
  • 12.3 Gold Standard
  • 12.4 Sylvera
  • 12.5 South Pole
  • 12.6 BlueSource
  • 12.7 ClimatePartner
  • 12.8 Climate Impact X (CIX)
  • 12.9 Climate Impact Partners
  • 12.10 Carbon Trade Exchange (CTX)
  • 12.11 EcoAct
  • 12.12 Xpansiv
  • 12.13 CME Group
  • 12.14 European Energy Exchange (EEX)
  • 12.15 Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)

List of Tables

  • Table 1 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Region (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 2 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 3 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Compliance Carbon (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 4 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Voluntary Carbon (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 5 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Project Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 6 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Renewable Energy Projects (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 7 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Energy Efficiency Projects (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 8 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Forestry and Land Use Projects (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 9 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Waste Management Projects (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 10 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Industrial Processes (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 11 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 12 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Component (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 13 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Platforms & Exchanges (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 14 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 15 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Brokerage Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 16 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Consulting & Verification (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 17 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Reporting & Compliance Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 18 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Trading Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 19 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Spot Trading (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 20 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Futures Trading (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 21 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Options Trading (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 22 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 23 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Power Generation (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 24 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Oil & Gas (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 25 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Manufacturing (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 26 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Transportation (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 27 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Agriculture (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 28 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Construction and Real Estate (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 29 Global Carbon Credit Trading Market Outlook, By Other End Users (2024-2032) ($MN)

Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.