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市场调查报告书
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核能退役服务市场预测至2032年：按核子反应炉类型、退役策略、容量、服务类型、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析

Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Reactor Type, Decommissioning Strategy, Capacity, Service Type, End User, and By Geography
出版日期: | 出版商: Stratistics Market Research Consulting | 英文 200+ Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

价格

据 Stratistics MRC 称，全球核能退役服务市场预计到 2025 年价值 89 亿美元，到 2032 年将达到 123 亿美元。

预计在预测期内，核能退役服务将以4.7%的复合年增长率成长。核设施退役服务面向那些负责规划、拆除、去污和管理报废核能设施放射性废弃物的公司。这包括技术评估、核子反应炉拆解、乏燃料处理、环境修復、法规遵循和长期场地监测，从而确保设施安全退役、降低辐射风险、处置受控材料并进行负责任的土地恢復，同时帮助政府和运营商满足严格的安全和环境标准。

根据核能（IAEA）和国家与经济合作暨贸易组织核能署（OECD/NEA）的分析，已有超过200座核能发电关闭。

已达使用寿命终点的老旧核能发电厂

推动市场发展的关键因素在于，许多核能发电厂，特别是上世纪七、八十年代建造的核电厂，已经达到或超过了其设计使用寿命。这导致退役计划数量持续成长，且需求可预测。许多国家的法规结构强制要求对这些设施进行退役，将老化的基础设施从运作资产转变为基本服务。这种持续且不可或缺的需求为市场成长奠定了坚实的基础，并确保了未来几十年专业退役公司稳定的合约来源。

高成本和财务挑战

与退役相关的巨额资金负担对市场构成重大限制。计划通常需要数十亿美元的资金，其中包括放射性废弃物处置、安全拆除和场地修復等复杂任务。此外，长期资金的筹集和管理也面临挑战，同时也存在资金不足以支付债务的风险。这些巨额成本可能导致计划延期和政治上的犹豫，因为政府和公用事业公司会仔细考虑财务影响，从而减缓新退役计划的启动和完成速度。

国际合作与知识共用

加强国际合作蕴藏着巨大的机会，尤其对于那些刚起步、尚未启动退役计画的国家而言更是如此。透过共用最佳实践、创新成果以及成熟计划的经验教训，全球产业能够有效降低成本、提高效率。这种合作有助于流程标准化，并促进全球部署所需专业知识的累积。此外，它也为成熟的服务供应商进入新的国际市场、提供专业服务铺平了道路，从而加速了全球退役进程。

政治和社会层面都存在着对核能的反对。

反对意见可能会影响政府政策，导致在没有完善退役计划的情况下加速核能发电淘汰，或者反过来，导致政府支持延长营运期限的计划，从而延缓退役工作。这种不确定性有可能扰乱计划进程，并阻碍对退役技术和人才培养的长期投资。此外，公众压力可能会使监管核准和特定地点的活动更加复杂，从而给该行业的公司带来营运和声誉风险。

新冠疫情的感染疾病：

疫情初期，供应链瓶颈、封锁和疾病导致的劳动力短缺以及因场地准入限製而造成的计划延误，对核能退役市场造成了衝击。这导致在建计划的成本增加和工期延误。然而，鑑于核能安和监管义务的重要性，关键工作在采取安全预防措施的前提下得以继续进行。市场展现出了韧性，在被压抑的需求释放以及老旧核能设施仍需退役这一事实的推动下，市场復苏，因此疫情的长期影响相对有限。

预计在预测期内，压水式反应炉（PWR）细分市场将占据最大的市场份额。

由于压水式反应炉（PWR）是全球核能发电厂中最常见的反应器类型，尤其是在北美和欧洲，因此预计在预测期内，压水反应器将占据最大的市场份额。大规模的装置容量意味着目前正在进行退役的压水反应器机组数量也相对较多。与其他不太常见的核子反应炉类型相比，压水反应器拆除方面积累的丰富经验和成熟的流程使其成为一个更加成熟和可预测的服务市场，从而确保其在可预见的未来继续保持主要市场份额。

预计在预测期内，即时拆除（DECON）细分市场将呈现最高的复合年增长率。

预计在预测期内，即时退役（DECON）细分市场将实现最高成长率，这主要得益于其相对于延期退役方案的优势。此方法可在更短的时间内完成退役流程，从而降低公用事业公司的长期责任和安全成本。此外，监管趋势也越来越倾向于快速释放场地，而机器人技术和废弃物处理技术的进步也使得快速退役在技术和经济上成为可能。这种转变使得公用事业公司能够更快地将场地重新用于其他用途，从而带来显着的经济和社会效益。

占比最大的地区：

预计在预测期内，欧洲地区将维持最大的市场份额，这主要得益于德国全面淘汰核能等积极的政策决策，以及比利时和西班牙等其他成员国采取的类似措施。该地区老旧反应炉的永久关闭，使得退役服务的需求集中且迫切。欧洲完善的监管机构和强有力的政府监管进一步巩固了该地区作为当前除役活动和支出中心的地位。

复合年增长率最高的地区：

预计亚太地区在预测期内将实现最高的复合年增长率。这主要归功于日本在福岛第一核能发电厂事故后加速除役计划，这是一项规模庞大且复杂的工程。此外，随着韩国等国早期核子反应炉的退役，它们也正在启动首批大型除役计划。对管理这些计划所需的本地专业知识和基础设施日益增长的需求将推动市场的快速扩张。

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  • 竞争基准化分析
    • 根据主要企业的产品系列、地理覆盖范围和策略联盟基准化分析

目录

第一章执行摘要

第二章 前言

  • 概述
  • 相关利益者
  • 调查范围
  • 调查方法
    • 资料探勘
    • 数据分析
    • 数据检验
    • 研究途径
  • 研究材料
    • 原始研究资料
    • 次级研究资讯来源
    • 先决条件

第三章 市场趋势分析

  • 介绍
  • 司机
  • 抑制因素
  • 机会
  • 威胁
  • 终端用户分析
  • 新兴市场
  • 新冠疫情的影响

第四章 波特五力分析

  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 买方的议价能力
  • 替代品的威胁
  • 新进入者的威胁
  • 竞争对手之间的竞争

5. 全球核能退役服务市场（依核子反应炉类型划分）

  • 介绍
  • 压水式反应炉（PWR）
  • 沸水式反应炉（BWR）
  • 加压重水式反应炉
  • 气冷反应器
  • 其他核子反应炉类型

6. 全球核能退役服务市场（依退役策略划分）

  • 介绍
  • 即时拆除（DECON）
  • 安全外壳（SAFSTOR）
  • 墓葬（ENTOMB）

7. 全球核能退役服务市场（依产能划分）

  • 介绍
  • 小于100兆瓦
  • 100～1000MW
  • 超过1000兆瓦

8. 全球核能退役服务市场（依服务类型划分）

  • 介绍
  • 停业前的服务
  • 设施消毒拆除服务
  • 废弃物管理服务
  • 场地修復和场地释放服务
  • 其他支援服务

9. 全球核能退役服务市场（依最终用户划分）

  • 介绍
  • 商用动力反应器
  • 研究核子反应炉
  • 军用/原型核子反应炉

10. 全球核能退役服务市场（按地区划分）

  • 介绍
  • 北美洲
    • 美国
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥
  • 欧洲
    • 德国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 法国
    • 西班牙
    • 其他欧洲
  • 亚太地区
    • 日本
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 澳洲
    • 纽西兰
    • 韩国
    • 亚太其他地区
  • 南美洲
    • 阿根廷
    • 巴西
    • 智利
    • 南美洲其他地区
  • 中东和非洲
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 卡达
    • 南非
    • 其他中东和非洲地区

第十一章 重大进展

  • 协议、伙伴关係、合作和合资企业
  • 收购与併购
  • 新产品上市
  • 业务拓展
  • 其他关键策略

第十二章：企业概况

  • AECOM
  • Bechtel Corporation
  • Westinghouse Electric Company LLC
  • EnergySolutions
  • Orano
  • Jacobs Solutions Inc.
  • Fluor Corporation
  • Babcock International Group plc
  • Studsvik AB
  • NUVIA Group
  • GD Energy Services SAS
  • ENERCON GmbH
  • Holtec International
  • AtkinsRealis Group Inc.
  • Wood plc
  • Framatome
Product Code: SMRC32634

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market is accounted for $8.9 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $12.3 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 4.7% during the forecast period. Nuclear decommissioning services cover companies that plan, dismantle, decontaminate, and manage radioactive waste from nuclear facilities reaching the end of life. It includes engineering assessments, reactor segmentation, spent-fuel handling, environmental remediation, regulatory compliance, and long-term site monitoring, enabling safe facility retirement, reduced radiological risks, controlled material disposal, and responsible land restoration while supporting governments and operators in meeting strict safety and environmental standards.

According to the IAEA and OECD/NEA analyses, over 200 nuclear power reactors have already been retired from service.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Aging nuclear power plants reaching end-of-life

The primary market driver is the significant cohort of nuclear power plants, particularly those built in the 1970s and 80s, now reaching or exceeding their designed operational lifespan. This creates a predictable and growing pipeline of decommissioning projects. Regulatory frameworks in many countries mandate the decommissioning of these facilities, transforming aging infrastructure from an operational asset into a required service. This consistent, non-discretionary demand establishes a solid foundation for market growth, ensuring a steady stream of contracts for specialized decommissioning firms over the coming decades.

Restraint:

High costs and financial challenges

The immense financial burden of decommissioning acts as a major market restraint. Projects often require billions of dollars, covering complex tasks like radioactive waste handling, safe dismantling, and site remediation. Furthermore, securing and managing these funds over long periods presents a challenge, with risks of insufficiently funded liabilities. These staggering costs can lead to project delays or political hesitation, as governments and utilities weigh the financial impact, potentially slowing the pace at which new decommissioning projects are initiated and completed.

Opportunity:

International collaboration and knowledge sharing

Enhanced international cooperation presents a significant opportunity, particularly for nations with nascent decommissioning programs. By sharing best practices, technological innovations, and lessons learned from established projects, the global industry can drive down costs and improve efficiency. This collaboration facilitates the standardization of procedures and fosters the development of specialized expertise for global deployment. Moreover, it opens avenues for established service providers to enter new international markets, offering their specialized skills and accelerating decommissioning efforts worldwide.

Threat:

Political and social opposition to nuclear energy

Opposition can influence government policy, leading to accelerated nuclear phase-outs without adequate decommissioning planning or, conversely, to political support for life-extension programs that delay decommissioning work. This uncertainty can disrupt the project pipeline and deter long-term investment in decommissioning technologies and workforce development. Additionally, social pressure can complicate regulatory approvals and site-specific activities, creating operational and reputational risks for companies in this sector.

Covid-19 Impact:

The pandemic initially disrupted the nuclear decommissioning market through supply chain bottlenecks, workforce shortages due to lockdowns and illness, and project delays from mandated site access restrictions. This led to increased costs and schedule overruns for active projects. However, the essential nature of nuclear safety and regulatory obligations ensured that critical work continued, with adaptations for safety. The market has demonstrated resilience, with recovery driven by pent-up demand and the immutable fact that aging nuclear assets still require decommissioning, making the long-term impact moderately contained.

The pressurized water reactor (PWR) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The pressurized water reactor (PWR) segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, attributable to its widespread adoption as the most common reactor design in the global nuclear fleet, particularly in North America and Europe. This large installed base translates into a proportionally higher number of PWR units now entering decommissioning phases. The extensive experience and established protocols for dismantling PWRs create a more mature and predictable service market for this segment compared to other, less common reactor types, ensuring its leading volume share for the foreseeable future.

The immediate dismantling (DECON) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the immediate dismantling (DECON) segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate due to its advantages over deferred options, driving its high growth rate. This method reduces long-term liability and security costs for operators by completing the process within a shorter timeframe. Furthermore, regulatory trends are increasingly favoring prompt site release, and advances in robotics and waste handling now make rapid dismantling more technically and economically feasible. This shift allows utilities to reclaim sites for other uses sooner, a significant financial and community benefit.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share due to proactive policy decisions, such as Germany's complete nuclear phase-out and similar commitments in other member states like Belgium and Spain. Ageing reactors, now permanently shut down in the region, create a concentrated and immediate demand for decommissioning services. Europe's well-established regulatory bodies and significant government oversight further solidify its position as the current epicenter for decommissioning activity and expenditure.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, primarily fueled by Japan's accelerated decommissioning program following the Fukushima Daiichi accident, which represents a massive and complex undertaking. Additionally, countries like South Korea are embarking on their first major decommissioning projects as early reactors are retired. The growing need to develop local expertise and infrastructure to manage these projects will drive rapid market expansion.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market include AECOM, Bechtel Corporation, Westinghouse Electric Company LLC, EnergySolutions, Orano, Jacobs Solutions Inc., Fluor Corporation, Babcock International Group plc, Studsvik AB, NUVIA Group, GD Energy Services SAS, ENERCON GmbH, Holtec International, AtkinsRealis Group Inc., Wood plc, and Framatome.

Key Developments:

In October 2025, Bechtel and the US Department of Energy commenced nuclear vitrification operations at the Hanford site's Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant, marking a milestone in handling legacy nuclear waste from the Manhattan Project and Cold War.

In June 2025, Babcock secured a three-year, £114 million contract to prepare for nuclear defueling of decommissioned Trafalgar Class submarines, a key enabler for the broader UK Submarine Dismantling Project.

Reactor Types Covered:

  • Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR)
  • Boiling Water Reactor (BWR)
  • Pressurized Heavy Water Reactor
  • Gas-Cooled Reactor
  • Other Reactor Types

Decommissioning Strategies Covered:

  • Immediate Dismantling (DECON)
  • Safe Enclosure (SAFSTOR)
  • Entombment (ENTOMB)

Capacities Covered:

  • Below 100 MW
  • 100 - 1000 MW
  • Above 1000 MW

Service Types Covered:

  • Pre-Decommissioning Services
  • Facility Decontamination & Dismantling Services
  • Waste Management Services
  • Site Remediation and Site Release Services
  • Other Support Services

End Users Covered:

  • Commercial Power Reactors
  • Research Reactors
  • Military/Prototype Reactors

Regions Covered:

  • North America
    • US
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • UK
    • Italy
    • France
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
    • Australia
    • New Zealand
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • South America
    • Argentina
    • Brazil
    • Chile
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East & Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE
    • Qatar
    • South Africa
    • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

  • Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
  • Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
  • Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
  • Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
  • Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
  • Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
  • Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
  • Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

  • Company Profiling
    • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
    • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
  • Regional Segmentation
    • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
  • Competitive Benchmarking
    • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

  • 2.1 Abstract
  • 2.2 Stake Holders
  • 2.3 Research Scope
  • 2.4 Research Methodology
    • 2.4.1 Data Mining
    • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
    • 2.4.3 Data Validation
    • 2.4.4 Research Approach
  • 2.5 Research Sources
    • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
    • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
    • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Drivers
  • 3.3 Restraints
  • 3.4 Opportunities
  • 3.5 Threats
  • 3.6 End User Analysis
  • 3.7 Emerging Markets
  • 3.8 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

  • 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
  • 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
  • 4.3 Threat of substitutes
  • 4.4 Threat of new entrants
  • 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market, By Reactor Type

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR)
  • 5.3 Boiling Water Reactor (BWR)
  • 5.4 Pressurized Heavy Water Reactor
  • 5.5 Gas-Cooled Reactor
  • 5.6 Other Reactor Types

6 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market, By Decommissioning Strategy

  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 Immediate Dismantling (DECON)
  • 6.3 Safe Enclosure (SAFSTOR)
  • 6.4 Entombment (ENTOMB)

7 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market, By Capacity

  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Below 100 MW
  • 7.3 100 - 1000 MW
  • 7.4 Above 1000 MW

8 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market, By Service Type

  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 Pre-Decommissioning Services
  • 8.3 Facility Decontamination & Dismantling Services
  • 8.4 Waste Management Services
  • 8.5 Site Remediation and Site Release Services
  • 8.6 Other Support Services

9 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market, By End User

  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 Commercial Power Reactors
  • 9.3 Research Reactors
  • 9.4 Military/Prototype Reactors

10 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market, By Geography

  • 10.1 Introduction
  • 10.2 North America
    • 10.2.1 US
    • 10.2.2 Canada
    • 10.2.3 Mexico
  • 10.3 Europe
    • 10.3.1 Germany
    • 10.3.2 UK
    • 10.3.3 Italy
    • 10.3.4 France
    • 10.3.5 Spain
    • 10.3.6 Rest of Europe
  • 10.4 Asia Pacific
    • 10.4.1 Japan
    • 10.4.2 China
    • 10.4.3 India
    • 10.4.4 Australia
    • 10.4.5 New Zealand
    • 10.4.6 South Korea
    • 10.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
  • 10.5 South America
    • 10.5.1 Argentina
    • 10.5.2 Brazil
    • 10.5.3 Chile
    • 10.5.4 Rest of South America
  • 10.6 Middle East & Africa
    • 10.6.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 10.6.2 UAE
    • 10.6.3 Qatar
    • 10.6.4 South Africa
    • 10.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

11 Key Developments

  • 11.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
  • 11.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
  • 11.3 New Product Launch
  • 11.4 Expansions
  • 11.5 Other Key Strategies

12 Company Profiling

  • 12.1 AECOM
  • 12.2 Bechtel Corporation
  • 12.3 Westinghouse Electric Company LLC
  • 12.4 EnergySolutions
  • 12.5 Orano
  • 12.6 Jacobs Solutions Inc.
  • 12.7 Fluor Corporation
  • 12.8 Babcock International Group plc
  • 12.9 Studsvik AB
  • 12.10 NUVIA Group
  • 12.11 GD Energy Services SAS
  • 12.12 ENERCON GmbH
  • 12.13 Holtec International
  • 12.14 AtkinsRealis Group Inc.
  • 12.15 Wood plc
  • 12.16 Framatome

List of Tables

  • Table 1 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Region (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 2 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Reactor Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 3 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 4 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Boiling Water Reactor (BWR) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 5 Global Nuclear Decommissionning Services Market Outlook, By Pressurized Heavy Water Reactor (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 6 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Gas-Cooled Reactor (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 7 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Other Reactor Types (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 8 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Decommissioning Strategy (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 9 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Immediate Dismantling (DECON) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 10 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Safe Enclosure (SAFSTOR) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 11 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Entombment (ENTOMB) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 12 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Capacity (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 13 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Below 100 MW (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 14 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By 100-1000 MW (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 15 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Above 1000 MW (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 16 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Service Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 17 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Pre-Decommissioning Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 18 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Facility Decontamination & Dismantling Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 19 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Waste Management Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 20 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Site Remediation and Site Release Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 21 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Other Support Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 22 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 23 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Commercial Power Reactors (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 24 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Research Reactors (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 25 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Services Market Outlook, By Military/Prototype Reactors (2024-2032) ($MN)

Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.