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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1964034
烘焙产品市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会与预测:按产品、通路、地区和竞争格局划分,2021-2031年Bakery Products Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Product, By Distribution Channel, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球烘焙产品市场预计将从 2025 年的 5,171.8 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 6,990.3 亿美元,复合年增长率为 5.15%。
该市场涵盖谷物食品的商业性生产和销售,产品范围从麵包、捲饼等主食到酥皮点心、蛋糕、饼干、薄脆饼干等偏好。该行业的成长主要受快速都市化的驱动,城市化加剧了消费者对便捷易得的餐饮选择的依赖。此外,发展中地区可支配收入的增加也推动了消费者对高附加价值产品的需求,而非仅仅追逐短暂的口味趋势。德国烘焙协会的数据也印证了该行业的重要性,该协会报告称,2024年德国烘焙业的销售额将达到179.2亿欧元。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 5171.8亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 6990.3亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 5.15% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 在线的 |
| 最大的市场 | 欧洲 |
然而,原物料价格的波动是阻碍整体市场成长的一大障碍。製造商面临小麦、糖和能源等关键投入成本持续存在的不确定性,这会显着降低利润率并扰乱长期定价策略。地缘政治衝突和气候变迁导致的作物产量波动往往会加剧这种不稳定性,迫使企业优先考虑严格的供应链管理,而非创新和扩张。
现代零售和电商分销管道的快速扩张正在彻底改变消费者购买烘焙产品的方式。随着数位平台的不断发展,烘焙连锁店越来越多地利用应用程式订购和第三方配送服务,以触及传统门市以外的客户。这种转变提升了便利性,满足了时间紧迫感、注重速度和便利性的消费者的需求,同时兼顾产品品质。事实证明,数位化销售的整合已成为成熟品牌的重要收入来源。例如,Greggs在2025年3月发布的「截至2024年12月28日的52週初步业绩报告」中指出,其2024年的外卖销售额增长了30.9%,显示该通路的成长速度超过了实体店业务。
此外,新兴经济体可支配收入的成长和都市化是推动市场加速发展的第二个关键因素。随着发展中地区都市化的推进,人们的饮食习惯正转向更便利、更符合现代快节奏生活方式的包装烘焙产品。购买力的提升进一步推动了这一趋势,使消费者能够从自製食品转向商业性生产的高附加价值产品。 Grupo Bimbo 在 2025 年 2 月发布的「2024 年第四季及全年业绩报告」中指出,其在欧洲、亚洲和非洲的第四季度销售额增长了 24.6%,这主要得益于印度和罗马尼亚等市场两位数的增长。英国烘焙协会的数据显示,到 2025 年,英国麵包店每天将生产约 1,300 万条麵包和包装麵包,这反映了该行业的日常规模。
原物料价格波动是限制全球烘焙产品市场扩张的主要阻碍因素。製造商依赖小麦、糖和能源等关键原料成本的可预测性来预测利润并为策略性措施资金筹措。当这些投入成本变得不稳定时,利润率就会下降,迫使企业采取防御性的财务策略。企业不再将资金用于创新、新产品开发和地理扩张,而是被迫筹集资金以应对潜在的价格飙升,这种资源转移阻碍了企业把握消费趋势的机会,并减缓了整个行业的成长。
这种不稳定性对关键原料成本上涨的影响最为显着。根据英国麵粉加工商协会(UK Flour Millers)预测,到2024年,麵包小麦相对于饲料小麦的溢价将达到每吨平均64.80英镑,是五年平均的两倍多。基础原料成本的如此急剧上涨给营运预算带来了巨大压力。这种波动性限制了企业投资于对市场可持续成长至关重要的前瞻性计划的能力,因为这些项目需要严格的供应链管理和成本控制。
随着消费者越来越重视烘焙产品的健康益处和易消化性,注重功能性和肠道健康的配方日益受到青睐,这正在改变产品开发方式。现代消费者倾向于远离低营养食品,转而选择富含纤维、后生元和传统谷物等有益于肠道菌丛的产品。尤其是酸麵包,已从一种小众手工产品发展成为主流机能性食品,其独特的发酵过程使其成为备受推崇的肠道友善选择。这种转变也体现在数位化行为。根据 Puratos 于 2025 年 10 月发布的《品味未来》报告,2025 年第二季「附近的酸麵包」搜寻激增 178%,显示消费者对兼具易消化性和优质风味的烘焙产品的需求日益增长。
同时,冷冻烘焙食品和解冻/供应技术的进步正在革新店内烘焙和餐饮服务营运模式。面对严重的人手不足和减少食物浪费的需求,零售商正从按需烘焙转向高品质冷冻产品,以确保产品始终保持新鲜度和供应稳定。这种方式使企业能够灵活应对日常需求,同时最大限度地减少对熟练现场烘焙师的需求。该模式的商业性成功正在推动专业製造商的财务成长。 Aritza 2025年3月发布的2025第一季季快报,其有机销售额增长了3%,证实了全球零售连锁店对高效的已烹调食品供应网络的依赖程度日益提高。
The Global Bakery Products Market is projected to expand from USD 517.18 Billion in 2025 to USD 699.03 Billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 5.15%. This market encompasses the commercial production and sale of grain-based foods, ranging from essential staples like bread and rolls to indulgence items such as pastries, cakes, biscuits, and crackers. Growth in this sector is largely sustained by rapid urbanization, which has increased consumer reliance on convenient, ready-to-eat meal options. Additionally, rising disposable incomes in developing regions are driving demand for value-added products rather than temporary flavor trends. The economic significance of the industry is evident in data from the 'Central Association of the German Bakery Trade', which reported that the German bakery trade generated sales of EUR 17.92 billion in '2024'.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 517.18 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 699.03 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 5.15% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Online |
| Largest Market | Europe |
However, a major obstacle hindering broader market growth is the volatility of raw material prices. Manufacturers contend with persistent uncertainty regarding the costs of critical inputs like wheat, sugar, and energy, which can significantly reduce profit margins and disrupt long-term pricing strategies. This instability, often intensified by geopolitical conflicts and climate-related crop variations, compels companies to prioritize rigorous supply chain management over initiatives for innovation or expansion.
Market Driver
The rapid expansion of modern retail and e-commerce distribution channels is revolutionizing consumer access to bakery goods. As digital platforms evolve, bakery chains are increasingly utilizing app-based ordering and third-party delivery services to reach customers beyond traditional storefronts. This shift enhances convenience and satisfies the demands of time-constrained consumers who value speed and accessibility alongside quality. The integration of digital sales has proven to be a significant revenue driver for established brands; for instance, Greggs plc noted in its 'Preliminary Results for the 52 Weeks Ended 28 December 2024', released in March 2025, that delivery sales rose by 30.9% in 2024, indicating faster growth in this channel compared to physical store operations.
Additionally, growing disposable income and urbanization in emerging economies serve as a second critical engine for market acceleration. As urbanization increases in developing regions, dietary habits are shifting toward convenient, packaged bakery items that fit modern, fast-paced lifestyles. This trend is further supported by rising purchasing power, allowing consumers to transition from homemade staples to commercially produced, value-added products. Highlighting this growth, Grupo Bimbo reported in its 'Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Results' in February 2025 that sales in the Europe, Asia, and Africa region increased by 24.6% in Q4, driven by double-digit growth in markets like India and Romania. To illustrate the sector's daily scale, the Federation of Bakers notes that the UK bakery industry produces approximately 13 million loaves and packs every day in 2025.
Market Challenge
The volatility of raw material prices serves as a significant constraint on the expansion of the Global Bakery Products Market. Manufacturers depend on predictable costs for essential ingredients like wheat, sugar, and energy to forecast profits and fund strategic initiatives. When these input costs become unstable, profit margins erode, forcing companies to adopt defensive financial strategies. Instead of allocating capital toward innovation, new product development, or geographic expansion, businesses are compelled to reserve funds to manage potential price spikes, a diversion of resources that prevents them from capitalizing on consumer trends and slows overall sector growth.
The consequences of this instability are evident in the rising costs of primary ingredients. According to 'UK Flour Millers', in '2024', the price premium for bread milling wheat over feed wheat averaged £64.80 per tonne, a figure more than double the five-year average. Such steep increases in the cost of fundamental raw materials place immense pressure on operational budgets. By necessitating a focus on rigorous supply chain management and cost containment, this volatility limits the industry's capacity to invest in the forward-looking projects required for sustained market growth.
Market Trends
The proliferation of functional and gut-health-focused formulations is reshaping product development as consumers increasingly prioritize wellness and digestibility in bakery items. Modern shoppers are moving away from empty calories, favoring products enriched with fibers, postbiotics, and heritage grains that support the microbiome. Sourdough, in particular, has evolved from an artisanal niche to a mainstream functional staple, valued as a gut-friendly option due to its unique fermentation process. This shift is reflected in digital behaviors; according to Puratos's 'Taste Tomorrow' report from October 2025, searches for 'sourdough bread near me' surged by 178% in the second quarter of 2025, indicating a deepening demand for bakery options that combine digestive benefits with premium flavors.
Simultaneously, the growth of frozen bake-off and thaw-and-serve technologies is revolutionizing the operational model for in-store bakeries and foodservice outlets. Confronted with acute labor shortages and the need to reduce food waste, retailers are replacing scratch-baking with high-quality frozen formats that ensure consistent freshness and availability. This approach allows businesses to adjust dynamically to daily demand while minimizing the need for skilled on-site bakers. The commercial success of this model is driving financial traction for specialized manufacturers; Aryzta's 'Q1 2025 Trading Update' in March 2025 reported 3% organic revenue growth, underscoring the increasing reliance of global retail chains on efficient, pre-prepared bakery supply chains.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Bakery Products Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Bakery Products Market.
Global Bakery Products Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: