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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1489487
全球钠离子电池市场 - 2024-2031Global Sodium-Ion Battery Market - 2024-2031 |
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概述
2023年,全球钠离子电池市场达到8.602亿美元,预计2031年将达到40.052亿美元,2024-2031年预测期间复合年增长率为21.2%。
许多西方国家对中国完全主导钠离子电池供应链提出安全疑虑。因此,人们越来越关注使用独立于中国的材料和供应链来开发电池技术。 2023年11月,瑞典公司Northvolt推出了完全独立于中国供应链开发的新型钠离子电池组,能量密度为1,60Wh/kg。
缺乏完善的支持生态系统可能会阻碍市场成长。锂电池具有先发优势,广泛的生产和回收基础设施已经开发出来。即使技术障碍被克服,钠离子电池要与锂电池竞争,也必须开发支撑生态系统。
动力学
提高锂产量的问题
锂离子电池已成为电动车和消费性电子产品供电的预设选择。然而,锂的需求一直超过供应,惠誉评级甚至表示,世界最早可能在 2025 年出现锂短缺。
因此,科学家正在研究钠离子电池作为锂化学电池的替代品。与锂不同,钠资源丰富,并且拥有易于建立的供应链,可以扩大规模以满足任何假设的需求成长。如果锂产量增加的问题持续存在,长远来看可能会增加对钠离子电池的需求。
扩大太阳能产能
根据国际再生能源机构(IRENA)最新统计,目前2023年太阳能装置容量为106万兆瓦,较上年成长17.5%。中国、欧盟和美国在2022年的产能增量最高。
研究表明,在大规模储存剩余太阳能方面,钠离子电池可能比锂离子电池经济得多。 2023年8月,中国电池製造商百瓦特推出了首款用于住宅太阳能储存应用的钠离子电池。
与锂离子电池相比的性能限制
与锂化学电池相比,钠离子电池的最大缺点之一是能量密度低。此电池的平均能量密度在90-150Wh/kg范围内,接近锂电池平均能量密度250Wh/kg的一半。此外,钠离子电池的放电性能也不稳定,使其不适合电动车等高性能应用。
克服这些效能限制并不容易。儘管经过十多年的研究,科学家仍无法有意义地提高钠离子电池的能量密度。到目前为止,钠离子电池唯一的主要优点是不会像锂离子电池那样热失控,并且在更广泛的温度范围内具有稳定的性能。
Overview
Global Sodium-Ion Battery Market reached US$ 860.2 Million in 2023 and is expected to reach US$ 4,005.2 Million by 2031, growing with a CAGR of 21.2% during the forecast period 2024-2031.
Many western nations have raised security concerns about China's complete domination of the sodium-ion battery supply chain. As a result, there is an increased focus on developing battery technology with materials and supply chains independent from China. In November 2023, the Swedish company Northvolt unveiled its new sodium-ion battery pack with an energy density of 160Wh/kg which was developed completely independent of Chinese supply chain.
The lack of a well-developed support ecosystem could hamper market growth. Lithium batteries have a first mover advantage, with extensive production and recycling infrastructure already being developed. Even if technological hurdles are overcome, the support ecosystem will have to be developed in order for sodium-ion batteries to compete with lithium batteries.
Dynamics
Problems in Increasing Lithium Production
Lithium-ion batteries have become the default choice for powering electric vehicles and consumer electronics. However, demand for lithium has consistently outstripped supply, with Fitch Ratings even stating that the world could enter into a deficit of lithium as soon as 2025. Developing new mines and getting capacity online can take years, which is not favorable for the current supply shortfalls.
Therefore, scientists are looking at sodium-ion batteries as an alternative to lithium chemistry batteries. Unlike lithium, sodium is available in abundance and has a readily established supply chain which can be scaled up to meet any hypothetical increase in demand. If problems with increasing lithium production continue to persist, it could raise demand for sodium-ion batteries in the long term.
Expansion of Solar Energy Production Capacity
According to the latest stats of the international renewable energy agency (IRENA), there is currently 1.06 million MW of installed solar energy production capacity in 2023, up by 17.5% from the previous year. China, the European Union and U.S. had the highest capacity addition in 2022. As solar energy production accelerates, it opens up new growth opportunities for the global sodium-ion battery market, especially in energy storage applications.
Research has indicated that sodium-ion batteries could be far more economical than lithium-ion batteries to store surplus solar energy at scale. In August 2023, Biwatt Power, a Chinese battery manufacturer, unveiled the first sodium-ion batteries for residential solar energy storage application.
Performance Limitations as Compared to Lithium-Ion Batteries
One of the biggest drawbacks of sodium-ion batteries over lithium chemistry is its low energy density. The batteries have an average energy density in the range of 90-150Wh/kg, nearly half of lithium batteries, which have an average density of 250Wh/kg. Furthermore, the discharge performance of sodium-ion batteries is also erratic, making them unsuitable for high-performance applications like electric vehicles.
Overcoming these performance limitations has not been easy. In spite of more than a decade of research, scientists have been unable to meaningfully increase the energy density of sodium-ion batteries. So far, the only major advantage of sodium-ion batteries is that they do not experience thermal runaways like lithium-ion batteries and have stable performance across a wider temperature range.
The global sodium-ion battery market is segmented based on battery, technology, end-user and region.
The Automotive Industry is Expected to be the Largest Beneficiary of Advances in Sodium Battery Technology
Scientists and engineers have been long considering sodium-ion batteries as a substitute for lithium chemistry batteries. Although there are still quite a few problems to be worked out, the batteries are being adopted for EV two wheelers. In December 2023, TAILG, a Chinese automotive brand, launched a lineup of luxury electric two wheelers utilizing sodium-ion batteries.
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd announced in May 2024 that it was developing next-generation sodium-ion batteries with energy densities greater than 200Wh/kg. The company also confirmed that Chery, a Chinese automaker, will be the first brand to use the batteries in its electric vehicles.
New Innovations Will Propel Market Growth in North America
One decisive factor that has aided the market growth in North America is its well-developed research ecosystem. In U.S., electric vehicle manufacturers, along with battery technology startups are experimenting with sodium chemistry. The availability of generous venture capital funding and a ready market for commercial deployment are some other factors that work in its favor. Currently, many former engineers at EV companies are launching their own battery tech startups.
In October 2023, Peak Energy, a startup developing sodium-ion batteries and founded by ex-Tesla Engineers, announced that they had raised US$ 10 million in new venture capital funding and that its first batteries will hit the market by 2025. In May 2024, Natron Energy, another U.S-based battery tech startup, announced that it was commencing the mass production of its fast-charging sodium-ion batteries.
Research and development activities within the battery industry continued in a more restricted capacity during the pandemic. The trials and launch of new products were postponed and new research projects were delayed. Venture capital funding for startups dried up due to difficult economic conditions and many companies in the sector went bankrupt.
Many national governments included major funding for green technology in their economic stimulus packaging for pandemic recovery. It created a new growth opportunity for the market, as startups could take advantage of increased capital inflows to launch market-ready products. The global sodium-ion battery market is poised for major growth in the post-pandemic period.
Even before the start of war in Ukraine, Russia's battery industry was struggling. It was lagging behind Europe, U.S. and China in developing and patenting new technologies. Furthermore, public and private investment in the industry was also declining and many research initiatives had to shut down due to a lack of funding.
All western countries imposed tough economic sanctions on Russia for the war, which practically led to a collapse of the domestic sodium-ion battery industry. Many highly qualified research personnel left the country to continue research studies in European universities. It has caused long-term damage to Russia's battery technology sector, which is unlikely to develop further unless co-operation is restored with western countries.
The major global players in the market include Faradion, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, Tiamat Energy, NGK Insulators Ltd., Li-FUN Technology Corporation Ltd., Natron Energy, Inc., Zheijang Natrium Energy Co. Ltd., Transimage Sodium-Ion Battery Co. Ltd., HiNa Battery Technology Co., Ltd and Jiangsu Zoolnasm Energy Technology Co. Ltd.
The global sodium-ion battery market report would provide approximately 62 tables, 59 figures and 194 Pages.
Target Audience 2024
LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE