 |
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1610983
全球贸易转型（2024-2035）Global Trade Transformation, 2024-2035 |
||||||
在贸易加速成长情境下，到2035年世界贸易额将超过105兆美元，国际贸易流向以区域化为轴心进行重组。
在快速的技术进步、新兴经济力量和不断变化的地缘政治动态的支持下，到 2035 年，全球贸易格局将发生重大转变。自2020年以来供应链的持续中断导致了区域化的重大转向，推动了回流和近岸外包的优先考虑，从而使已开发国家重返当地和区域市场。供应链的快速转型正在改写全球贸易流。
Frost & Sullivan 宏观经济思想领袖为 2035 年全球贸易总额提供了基于情境的预测。该报告在基准情境下对全球主要贸易驱动因素进行了定性经济影响评估，并确定了企业可以建立的潜在策略解决方案，以确保长期竞争力。该报告深入探讨了全球贸易的大趋势，包括亚洲、非洲和中东作为全球贸易中心的崛起、贸易区域化的兴起以及服务贸易的转型。我们也分析了决策者和产业领导者可以利用不断变化的全球贸易格局中出现的成长机会。
目录
成长环境：到 2035 年改变全球贸易
- 为什么成长如此困难？
- The Strategic Imperative 8（TM）
- 三大策略挑战对全球贸易转型的影响（2024-2035）
成长环境：2035 年的全球贸易生态系统
- 全球贸易转型（2024-2035）：概述
成长机会分析：全球贸易
- 全球贸易转型（2024-2035）：驱动因素与限制因素
- 世界贸易转型（2024-2035）：总贸易指标
成长环境：基于情境的全球贸易预测
- 世界贸易展望（按情境）
- 情境假设概述
经济影响分析及对策：基准情景
- 基准情境：影响分析
- 基准情境：对策
改变全球贸易的新大趋势
- 亚洲、非洲、中东成为世界贸易重心
- 区域化支点重塑全球贸易流动
- 劳动力套利收益减少缩短了製成品的贸易路线
- 数位平台将成为全球服务贸易的基础
成长机会领域
- 成长机会一：绿色科技与永续货物贸易
- 成长机会2：数位贸易
- 成长机会三：製造业本土化
附录
- 详细的先决条件摘要
下一步
- 成长机会的好处和影响
- 行动项目和后续步骤
- 附件清单
- 免责声明
Global Trade will Surpass $105 Trillion by 2035 in an Accelerated Trade Growth Scenario, Reorienting International Trade Flows Amidst a Regionalization Pivot
The global trade landscape is poised for significant transformation through 2035, underpinned by rapid technological advancements, emerging economic powers, and evolving geopolitical dynamics. The persistent disruptions in supply chains since 2020 have led to a sizable pivot towards regionalization, driving advanced nations to prioritize reshoring or nearshoring back to local or regional markets. This rapid transformation in supply chains is redrawing the global trade flows.
This Frost & Sullivan macroeconomic thought leadership showcases scenario-based global total trade forecasts through 2035. It offers a qualitative economic impact assessment of key global trade drivers in the baseline scenario and identifies potential strategy solutions that firms can craft to ensure long-term competitiveness. The report provides insights into the Megatrends in global trade, such as the emergence of Asia, Africa, and the Middle East as global trade hubs, the rising prominence of trade regionalization, and the transformation of services trade. The analysis also identifies the growth opportunities emerging from the changes in the global trade landscape for decision-makers and industry leaders to leverage.
Table of Contents
Growth Environment: Global Trade Transformation through 2035
- Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
- The Strategic Imperative 8™
- The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on Global Trade Transformation, 2024-2035
Growth Environment: Ecosystem in Global Trade through 2035
- Global Trade Transformation, 2024-2035: An Overview
Growth Opportunity Analysis: Global Trade
- Global Trade Transformation, 2024-2035: Drivers and Restraints
- Global Trade Transformation, 2024-2035: Total Trade Metrics
Growth Environment: Scenario-based Global Trade Forecasts
- Global Trade Outlook by Scenario
- Scenario Assumptions Overview
Economic Impact Analysis & Responsiveness Measures: Baseline Scenario
- Baseline Scenario: Impact Analysis
- Baseline Scenario: Responsiveness Measures
Emerging Megatrends Transforming Global Trade
- Asia, Africa, and the Middle East will be Global Trade's Center of Gravity
- Regionalization Pivot will Re-architect Global Trade Flows
- Falling Labor Arbitrage Benefits will Shorten Manufactured Goods' Trade Routes
- Digital Platforms will be the Bedrock of Global Services Trade
Growth Opportunity Universe
- Growth Opportunity 1: Green Technologies and Sustainable Commodities Trade
- Growth Opportunity 2: Digital Trade
- Growth Opportunity 3: Localized Manufacturing
Appendix
- Detailed Assumptions Overview
Next Steps
- Benefits and Impacts of Growth Opportunities
- Action Items & Next Steps
- List of Exhibits
- Legal Disclaimer
