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全球橡胶炭黑市场-2024年至2029年预测Global Rubber Carbon Black Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
预计在预测期(2024-2029 年)橡胶炭黑市场将以 3.8% 的复合年增长率成长。
由于汽车、电子、消费品和建筑等行业的相对增长,橡胶炭黑市场正在成长。橡胶製品广泛应用于这些行业的各种用途,进一步扩大了市场。炭黑由于其在橡胶化合物中的物理特性而具有重要的应用。
橡胶碳的主要用途之一是工业应用。炭黑有多种用途。典型应用包括挡风雨条、商业屋顶、输送机和软管。可为挤压型材、软管、皮带、煞车隔膜和塑胶管道提供稳定性。这些应用需要不同的产品品质、等级和产品规格。
汽车轮胎需求的成长预计将成为预测期内橡胶炭黑市场成长最快的部分。轮胎是汽车的重要部件,对乘坐舒适性起着重要作用。由于全球汽车需求和产量的增加,轮胎市场预计将扩大。随着汽车整体消费量的增加,更换轮胎的需求也随之增加。相应地,橡胶炭黑的需求也会增加。根据欧洲汽车工业协会(ACEA)的数据,2022年全球汽车产量为8,540万辆。欧洲占全球汽车产量的份额为15.3%。
此外,新车需求的成长,特别是在新兴市场,也促进了汽车轮胎需求的成长。在印度,根据印度汽车工业协会(SIAM)的数据,2021-2022年国内汽车总销量将为17,617,606辆,2022-2023年将迅速升至21,204,162辆。这是由于人口变化、经济扩张和生活方式的改变。经济地位较高的人可以负担家里拥有多辆汽车。汽车製造的相应增加预计将扩大对橡胶炭黑的需求。
电动车市场的成长预计将进一步扩大。这将推动对专用轮胎的需求,其次是对炭黑的需求。根据国际能源总署 (IEA) 的数据,2023 年纯电动车销量为 950 万辆。预计到 2030 年,这一数字将增至 3,300 万台。这是许多国家汽车行业的主要推动力。这一增长归因于各国采取严格措施抑制排放以实现净零排放。
此外,中国也是最大的轮胎生产国之一。中国海关总署资料显示,2022年4月橡胶轮胎出口总量为64万吨。与去年同月相比,大幅成长11.6%。这种扩张将增加对具有独特性能(例如卓越的紫外线防护和导电性)的特殊炭黑的需求,并且还将推动对橡胶炭黑的需求。
全球特种轮胎的消费是为了因应电动车需求的成长、新兴经济体的新车需求以及现有车辆的其他轮胎替代品。由于上述因素,预计在预测期内(2024-2029年)全球橡胶炭黑市场需求将以3.8%的复合年增长率成长。
在大多数橡胶应用中,炭黑用于改善合成橡胶基复合材料的性能。炭黑旨在改善胎面磨损和滚动阻力,同时保持牵引力。应用包括管材和软管、输送机、模製零件、挤压型材、垫圈、挡风玻璃雨刷、橡胶地板材料和密封件。随着世界各地工业化的进步,一般和特殊应用对橡胶炭黑的需求不断增加。根据世界银行预测,工业占GDP的增加价值额将从2021年的27.2%提高到2022年的27.5%。
工业化的稳定进展主要发生在亚洲和非洲地区。这种工业化也与不断发展的都市化相对应,其中汽车消费最高。此外,不同等级的炭黑用于不同的应用。例如,N339 用于输送机和马达安装座。 N550用于乘用车轮胎内衬层、汽车胎体、胎侧、橡胶製品、软管及压製产品。 N660 用于轮胎内衬层、胎侧、密封圈、电缆护套和挤压产品。 N990用于轮胎气密层及橡实製品。
中国、日本、印度、韩国等主要经济体在亚太地区占据主导地位。一些成长最快的新兴经济体来自该地区,例如东南亚国协。汽车产业的成长是由该地区两个最大的经济体印度和中国所推动的。此外,中国在电动车的应用方面处于领先地位。电动车需要专用轮胎来提高牵引力和能源效率。 2021年至2022年,中国电动车销量暴增81.82%,2022年至2023年暴增35.00%。
到2024年,电动车销量预计将达到1,010万辆。在中国,电动车比竞争对手的内燃机车型便宜。到2023年,电动车占市场上销售的所有汽车的份额将达到35%。这直接增加了对占炭黑消费量最大份额的轮胎的需求。
此外,亚太国家拥有丰富的炭黑生产所需原料,包括主要原料、石油渣油和天然气。此外,印度是世界第三大天然橡胶生产国和第五大合成橡胶消费国。全国有橡胶生产企业6000家,生产橡胶製品约35000种。
推动亚太橡胶炭黑市场成长的另一个重要因素是工业成长和都市化。该地区正在经历快速的工业化和都市化,导致对轮胎和其他橡胶产品等各种工业产品的需求增加。工业化的发展极大地促进了对各种橡胶製品的需求。
综上所述,汽车工业的快速成长、橡胶製品的工业需求、轮胎製造业的蓬勃发展、汽车工业对电动车的需求、人口的成长、可支配收入的增加、有利的政府政策、原材料的供应等,这些组合使得亚洲-太平洋地区是炭黑市场的重要地区,尤其是橡胶产业。
The global rubber carbon black market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.8% during the forecast period (2024-2029).
The global rubber carbon black market is showing a rise due to relative growth in sectors such as automotive, electronics, consumer goods, and construction. The market is further propelled by the extensive use of rubber goods in various applications within these industries. The carbon black shows critical application because of its physical characteristics of rubber compounds.
One major application of rubber carbon is industrial applications. It has multiple desired applications. Main applications include weather stripping and commercial roofing, conveyor belts, and hoses among others. It can provide stability for extruded profiles, hoses, belts, brake diaphragms, and plastic piping. These applications needed different product qualities, grades, and product specifications.
The increasing demand for automotive tires is expected to be the fastest-growing segment in the rubber carbon black market during the forecast period. Tires are a critical component of vehicles, playing a crucial role in the ride. The tire market is expected to expand with the growing demand and production of motor vehicles around the world. As the overall consumption of automobiles increases the demand for replacement tires also grows. Correspondingly the demand for rubber carbon black also grows. The global motor vehicle production in 2022 was 85.4 million units, according to the Association of European Automobile Manufacturers (ACEA). Europe produced a 15.3% share of the global vehicle production.
Additionally, the growing demand for new vehicles particularly in emerging markets, is also contributing to the growth in the demand for automotive tires. In India, total sales of automobile domestic sales were 17,617,606 in the year 2021-22 and jumped to 21,204,162 in 2022-23, according to the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM). This is only due to the changing demography, expanding economy, and changing lifestyle. People with better economic status could afford more than one vehicle in their homes. The corresponding manufacturing increase in motor vehicles would expand the demand for the rubber carbon black.
The growth of the EV market is expected to grow further. This is driving the demand for specialized tires and, subsequently, the demand for carbon black. In 2023, BEV car sales were 9.5 million, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). This is projected to rise upto 33 million by 2030. This is a major driver for many countries in the automotive sector. This growth is because countries are taking strict measures to control emissions to achieve net zero emissions.
Further, China is one of the largest tire-producing countries. According to data General Administration of Customs P.R.China, the total export of rubber tires was 640,000 tons for April 2022. This is a considerable increase of 11.6% year-on-year. This expansion increases the demand for specialty carbon black, which offers unique properties such as exceptional UV protection and conductivity and will also drive the demand for rubber carbon black.
The global consumption of specialty tires is in correspondence with the increase in demand for electric vehicles, the demand for new vehicles in developing economies, and other replacements of tires in existing vehicles. Owing to the above-mentioned factors the global demand for the rubber carbon black market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8% during the forecast period (2024-2029).
Carbon black is used to improve the performance properties of elastomer-based composites in most rubber applications. Carbon blacks are designed to improve treadwear and rolling resistance while maintaining traction. Applications included tubes and hoses, conveyor belts, molded products, extruded profiles, gaskets, wiper blades, rubber flooring, and seals. The increased industrialization around the world would lead to an increased demand for the rubber carbon black for its specific as well as generalized applications. The Industry sector value added to the GDP, according to the World Bank, has increased from 27.2% in 2021 to 27.5% in 2022.
This steady rise in industrialization is mostly taking place in the regions of Asia and Africa. This industrialization is also accommodated by growing urbanization where the consumption of automobiles is taking place the most. Further, different grades of carbon black are used for different applications. Such as N339, which is used for the conveyor belts, and motor mounts. N550 is used in inner liners, carcasses, and sidewalls for passenger tires, rubber goods, hoses, and extruded products. N660, which is utilized in inner liners, sidewalls, sealing rings, cable jackets for tires, and extruded goods. N990 applied in tire inner liners and rubber and plastic products
The major economies like China, Japan, India, and South Korea dominate the Asia-Pacific region. Some of the fastest-growing emerging economies are from this region such as ASEAN countries. The growth of the automotive industry is driven by the two major economies in the region, that is, India and China. Further, China is leading in the adaptation of electric vehicles. The demand for specialty tires is needed in electric vehicles, for better traction and energy efficiency. The sales of electric cars in China surged by 81.82% from 2021 to 2022 and 35.00% from 2022 to 2023.
The sale of electric vehicles is expected to be 10.1 million in the year 2024. In China, electric cars are getting cheaper compared to counterparts internal combustion engine models. The share of electric cars already reached 35% of the total cars sold in the market in 2023. This has directly increased the demand for tires, which account for the largest share of carbon black consumption.
Further, the availability of raw materials also in APAC countries has access to abundant raw materials required for carbon black production, such as petroleum residues and natural gas, which are the primary feedstocks. Additionally, India is the third-largest producer of natural rubber and the fifth-largest consumer of synthetic rubber in the world. There are 6000 rubber manufacturing units in the country, which is manufacturing about 35000 rubber products.
Another significant factor driving the growth of the rubber carbon black market in the Asia-Pacific region is industrial growth and urbanization. The region is experiencing rapid industrialization and urbanization, leading to increased demand for various industrial products, including tires and other rubber goods. This growth in industrialization is a significant driver of the demand for different products made of rubber.
In summary, the combination of a rapidly growing automotive industry, industrial demand for rubber products, thriving tire manufacturing, demand for electric vehicles in the automotive industry, increasing population, and disposable incomes, favorable government policies, and availability of raw materials have made Asia Pacific an important region in the carbon black market, particularly in the rubber industry.