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全球食用油市场:2024-2029 年预测Global Edible Oils Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
食用油市场预计将从2024年的1,133.81亿美元增加到2029年的1,412.14亿美元,复合年增长率为4.49%。
食用油或烹饪油源自植物、动物或微生物,是人类饮食中维生素 E 和不饱和脂肪的主要来源。食用油产品用于家庭烹饪和工业食品生产,以满足人体的各种营养需求。对营养饮食的需求不断增长以及植物油生产和消费的扩大是全球食用油产品需求的主要驱动力,推动了整体市场的成长。
全球食用油市场驱动因素
食用油有多种类型,包括椰子油、葵花籽油、大豆油、棕榈油和芥末油,所有这些都在家庭烹饪和工业食品生产中具有很高的适用性。随着世界人口的成长,消费者食品消费的整体规模不断扩大。由于快速都市化带来的生活水准的提高,住宅用户对食品的需求不断增加。这种强劲的成长增强了烹饪用食用油的需求和使用。例如,根据印度油籽研究委员会预测,印度食用油需求将从2025年的2,902万吨增加到2050年的4,089万吨。
同样,根据联合国粮食及农业组织的数据,到2032年,人类将消耗植物油消费量的57%,其次是饲料。中国和巴西等新兴市场经济体的人均消费水准将与较富裕经济体相当。
食用油富含营养物质,有助于改善心臟、消化器官系统和其他器官的健康。健康意识的增强导致人们转向更健康和适当准备的食品消费,而食用油作为黄油、牛脂和猪油等饱和脂肪来源的更好替代品,是此类饮食的重要组成部分。
认识到食用油的高度适用性,世界各国政府正在投资提高食用油产量的措施和计画。例如,印度政府的国家食用棕榈油使命旨在提高国内棕榈油产能并尽量减少对进口食用油的依赖。同样,世界各国农业部都在专注于加强食用油生产能力,预计将推动全球市场扩张。
全球食用油市场細項分析
依产品类型,食用油市场分为椰子油、葵花油、大豆油、花生油、芥末油等。棕榈油因其高健康益处(包括降低胆固醇和改善整体心臟健康)而有望持续增长。棕榈油已成为高反式脂肪起酥油的有效替代品。由于消费者对营养植物油的偏好日益增强,因此预计对此类食用油产品的需求将持续呈上升趋势。
根据美国农业部油籽市场与贸易报告,到2024年5月,全球植物油产量将达到2,2828万吨,其中棕榈油将占35.05%。同时,剩下的65%是其他类型,如椰子、橄榄、油菜籽、向日葵、大豆和棉籽。报告也指出,同期棕榈油消费量占全球植物油消费量的35.12%。
亚太地区预计将出现一些增长。
从地区来看,食用油市场分为北美、南美、欧洲、中东和非洲以及亚太地区。亚太地区占有重要的市场占有率,在中国、印尼和印度等主要经济体植物油消费蓬勃发展的推动下,预计该地区将持续成长。根据美国农业部预测,到2024年5月,中国国内蔬菜消费量为4,128万吨,其次是印尼2,586万吨,印度2,541万吨。这三个国家合计占全球国内植物油消费量的41.15%。
此外,在嘉吉等主要市场参与者积极努力加强国内和国际食用油供应的推动下,北美预计将呈现稳定成长。此外,包括美国在内的主要国家的蔬菜消费量正在增加,进一步支持了该地区的市场扩张。
The global edible oils market is estimated to grow at 4.49% (CAGR) from US$113.381 billion in 2024 to US$141.214 billion in 2029.
Edible oil or cooking oil is derived from plant, animal, or microbial origin which forms a primary source of vitamin E and unsaturated fats in human diets. Edible oil products fulfill varied nutritional needs of the body, owing to which they are used in home cooking and industrial food manufacturing. The booming demand for nutritional diet coupled with bolstering growth in the production & consumption of vegetable oil is majorly driving the demand for edible oil products globally, thereby augmenting the overall market growth.
Global Edible Oil Market Drivers
Edible oils come in various varieties, including coconut, sunflower, soybean, palm, and mustard oil, all of which find high applicability in home cooking and industrial food manufacturing. The global population growth has increased the consumer's overall food consumption scale. With the improvement in living standards followed by rapid urbanization, the food demand from residential users is set to experience an upward trajectory. Such positive growth will bolster demand and usage of edible oils for cooking purposes. For instance, according to the Indian Council of Oilseed Research, India's edible oil demand will grow from 29.02 million tons in 2025 to 40.89 million tons in 2050.
Likewise, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization, by 2032, human consumption will account for 57% of vegetable oil consumption, followed by feedstock. In the emerging market economies, namely China and Brazil, the per capita consumption level will match the consumption scale of wealthier economies.
Edible oil provides a plethora of nutrients that assist in improving the heart, digestive system, and other organs in healthier shape. The growing health awareness has shifted towards healthier and properly cooked food consumption, and edible oil acting as the better alternative for saturated fat sources such as butter, tallow, and lard are forming an integral part of such diets.
The governments of countries are realizing the high applicability of edible oils and are investing in initiatives and schemes to bolster edible oil production. For instance, the government of India's "National Mission for Edible Palm Oils" aims to elevate palm oil production capabilities in the country thereby minimizing its dependence on edible oil imports. Likewise, agriculture ministries of respective nations globally emphasize bolstering their edible production capacity, which is anticipated to drive global market expansion.
Global Edible Oils Market Segment Analysis
The global edible oils market, based on product type, is categorized into coconut oil, sunflower oil, soybean oil, groundnut oil, mustard oil, and others. Palm oil is anticipated to grow constantly, fuelled by its high health benefits, such as lowering cholesterol and improving overall heart health. The oil formed an effective alternative for high-trans fat shortening. The demand for such edible oil products is anticipated to witness an upward trajectory fuelled by the growing consumer preferences for vegetable oils having high nutritional content.
According to the USDA's "Oilseed Market and Trade" report, by May 2024, global vegetable oil production reached 228.28 million metric tons, of which palm oil accounted for 35.05%. In contrast, the remaining 65% comprised other types such as coconut, olive, rapeseed, sunflower, soybean, and cottonseed. Moreover, the same report also specified that in the same period, palm constituted 35.12% of the global vegetable oil consumption.
Asia Pacific is expected to grow at a constant rate.
Based on geography, the global edible oils market is segmented into North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and Asia Pacific. The Asia Pacific region is posed for constant growth, accounting for a considerable market share fuelled by the booming vegetable oil consumption in major economies, namely China, Indonesia, and India. According to the USDA, by May 2024, the domestic vegetable consumption in China stood at 41.28 million metric tons, followed by Indonesia with a consumption scale of 25.86, and India with 25.41 million metric tons. Together, the three nations accounted for 41.15% of the global domestic vegetable oil consumption.
Moreover, North America is anticipated to show steady growth fuelled by the favorable efforts by major market players such as Cargill to bolster their edible oil supply both domestically and overseas. Additionally, major economies, namely the United States, are experiencing positive growth in vegetable consumption, thereby further augmenting the regional market expansion.
Global Edible Oils Key Market Developments