市场调查报告书
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1574181
全球农药市场-2024年至2029年预测Global Agrochemicals Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
农业化学品市场预计到 2029 年将达到 3,724.72 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 4.33%,而 2024 年估计值3,013.34 亿美元。
农药是指帮助作物生长以满足世界粮食需求的杀虫剂和化学肥料等化学物质。农药可以保护作物免受各种可能损害作物或减缓其生长的微生物的侵害。全球人口的增加和耕地面积的稳定下降预计将在未来几年推动农化市场的发展。此外,在世界各国政府有利的农业政策下,农民收入逐年相对增加。这进一步增加了市场参与者在预测期内的业务成长机会。对生物基农药的日益关注预计将为市场参与者扩大其足迹提供多种新机会,从而进一步促进未来几年农药市场的成长。
补充农化市场成长的主要因素之一是世界人口的增加。世界各地的农业生产不断增加,以满足因人口增长而日益增长的粮食需求。根据联合国2024年发布的新报告(资料来源:联合国《世界人口展望》),世界人口将从760万增至2030年的86亿,2100年将增至112亿。 。与此同时,全球都市化趋势正稳步减少耕地。欧盟(EU)耕地面积预计将从2017年的1.065亿公顷减少到2030年的1.04亿公顷(资料来源:欧盟农业展望,欧盟委员会)。
因此,农业中化肥的使用量迅速增加,作物产量得以显着提高。这意味着,根据世界银行提供的统计资料(化肥消费量占化肥生产的比重),化肥消费量占化肥生产的比重将从2019年的87.6%上升到2021年的91.1%。这些因素对农化市场的成长产生了积极影响,并可能在未来几年继续推动市场成长。
农化市场的地域前景
从地理位置来看,由于农业活动支出的增加和化肥使用量的增加,预计北美地区将在农业化学品市场中占据重要的市场占有率。美国化肥产业受到多种因素的影响,包括作物需求和生产要求,这些因素可能受到现行法规和地方政府补贴的影响。此外,生产商的化肥采购决策受到某些作物(尤其是玉米和大豆)相关全球价格波动的影响。精密农业技术的发展也刺激了国内化肥需求,进一步推动农化市场的成长。
根据美国农业部预测,美国每千英亩作物面积将从2020年的291,429,000英亩增加到2021年的298,863,000英亩。 、大豆、花生、向日葵、棉花、干食用豆、鹰嘴豆、马铃薯、双低油菜、菜籽和甜菜,干草、烟草和甘蔗的收穫面积包括双季作物和未收穫的小粒谷物。
此外,根据美国2021 年的报告,大约 3,000 个水果和蔬菜种植企业使用 CEA 类型的保护措施。就美国作物总价值而言,这 2-3% 是重要部分。 CEA 种植的作物以高价值草本植物、叶类蔬菜、微型菜苗、浆果、藤本蔬菜(如黄瓜、番茄和辣椒)、花卉、蘑菇和苗圃作物为特色。据估计,美国有超过2000个垂直农场大规模使用化学肥料。所有这些都增加了对农药的需求,以提高每公顷的产量,同时在肥料和农药的支持下在作物生命週期中保护食品。
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The agrochemicals market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 4.33% over the forecast period to reach US$372.472 billion by 2029, increasing from estimated value of US$301.334 billion in 2024.
Agrochemicals refer to the chemicals such as pesticides and fertilizers that aid in crop cultivation to meet the global food demand. They provide crops from various organisms, which can potentially damage or slow the growth of the crops. The growing global population and the steady reduction in arable land are anticipated to drive the agrochemicals market in the coming years. Furthermore, farm income has improved relatively over the years, along with favorable agricultural policies by governments worldwide. This, in turn, further propels the market players' business growth opportunities over the forecast period. The growing focus on bio-based agrochemicals is anticipated to offer multiple new opportunities for the market players to expand their footprints, thus further leading to bolstering the agrochemicals market growth in the coming years.
One of the key factors supplementing the agrochemicals market growth includes the growing global population. Agricultural production is increasing globally to meet the rising food demand of the growing population. The global population of 7.6 million is anticipated to increase to 8.6 billion by 2030 and 11.2 billion by 2100, according to a new United Nations Report launched in 2024 (Source: The World Population Prospects, United Nations), which will further drive agriculture production activity. Simultaneously, the global trend of urbanization is steadily reducing the arable land available for cultivation. The arable land in the European Union is projected to fall from 106.5 million hectares in 2017 to 104 million hectares in 2030 (Source: EU Agriculture Outlook, European Commission).
As a result, the use of fertilizers in agriculture has increased rapidly because of their ability to significantly improve crop yield. This is indicated by the fact that fertilizer consumption as a percentage of fertilizer production has increased from 87.6% in 2019 to 91.1% in 2021, as per the statistical data provided by the World Bank (% of fertilizer production). These factors positively impact the agrochemicals market's growth and will continue bolstering the market growth in the coming years.
Agrochemicals Market Geographical Outlook
Geographically, the North American region is anticipated to hold a significant market share in the agrochemicals market owing to the increasing expenditure on agricultural activities and the rising use of fertilizers. The fertilizer industry in the United States is affected by various factors, such as crop demand and output requirements, that might depend on the current rules and subsidies of the local government. In addition, producers' fertilizer purchasing decisions are affected by fluctuations in the global prices that accompany specific crops, particularly maize and soybeans. Growth-enabling precision agricultural technological developments are also fueling the demand for fertilizers in the nation, further driving the agrochemicals market growth.
According to USDA, crop area harvested per 1,000 acres in the United States increased from 2,91,429 thousand acres in 2020 to 2,98,863 thousand acres in 2021, The list included crops like corn, sorghum, oats, barley, rye, winter wheat, Durum wheat, rice, soybeans, peanuts, sunflower, cotton, dry edible beans, chickpeas, potatoes, canola, proso millet, and sugarbeets, with harvested acreage for hay, tobacco, and sugarcane, including double cropped acres and unharvested small grains.
Furthermore, the 2021 USDA report shows that among the fruit and vegetable agricultural businesses, there are around 3,000 that use CEA-type protection. This 2-3% is a significant sector in the US regarding total crop value. CEA-grown crops are characterized by high-value herbs, leafy greens, microgreens, berries, vine vegetables (like cucumbers, tomatoes, and peppers), flowers, mushrooms, and nursery crops. As per the estimates, more than 2,000 vertical farming operations in the US utilize fertilizers on a large scale. All of these together, in turn, are boosting the demand for agrochemicals to increase yield per hectare while protecting food products during the crop lifecycle with the support of fertilizers and pesticides.
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