市场调查报告书
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世界小麦市场:未来预测(2025-2030)Global Wheat Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
全球小麦市场预计将以 10.16% 的复合年增长率成长,从 2025 年的 2,351.88 亿美元增至 2030 年的 3,814.85 亿美元。
小麦是禾本科的一员,在世界各地种植主要是为了取得其种子。小麦是世界上大多数人口最常见的谷物之一。小麦是碳水化合物、维生素和矿物质最常见的来源之一。此外,由于它含有大量碳水化合物,摄取后可提供大量能量,有助于体重管理。食用全谷谷物还可以降低心血管疾病的风险。
小麦种子有多种用途,通常用于食品和饮料领域。小麦种子被磨碎以製成麵粉和粗麵粉。世界各地种植各种小麦品种,包括硬红春小麦、软质白小麦和硬小麦。硬红春麦主要种植在北美地区,而软质白小麦则破损率高,且麵粉产量高。其灰分含量低,淀粉损伤少。
随着全球小麦产量的增加,全球小麦市场的需求预计将大幅增加。中国、印度、欧盟和俄罗斯是最大的小麦生产国,产量占世界小麦产量的一半以上。同样,消费者对小麦产品健康益处的认识不断提高预计也会导致全球市场规模的扩大。
全球小麦市场的驱动因素
推动全球小麦市场的主要因素是全球小麦产量的增加。小麦是最常见的谷物谷物之一,几乎世界每个地区都有生产。世界对小麦的需求大幅增加。美国农业部在报告中表示,过去几年全球小麦产量大幅增加。据该部称,2022年欧盟小麦产量约为134,292,000吨,2023年增至134,865,000吨。同样,在印度,小麦产量从 2022 年的 1.04 亿吨增加到 2023 年的约 110,554,000 吨。
美国农业部进一步指出,小麦生产主要集中在欧洲和亚洲地区,其中中国、欧盟、印度和俄罗斯每年生产世界大部分小麦。光是中国、欧盟和印度就占世界小麦产量份额的约48%。该机构称,2023-24财年,中国和欧盟的小麦产量将占全球小麦产量的约17%,而同年印度和俄罗斯的产量将分别占全球的14%和12%左右。
全球小麦市场的地理前景
预计欧盟的小麦产量增幅将超过其他已开发国家。与已开发国家相比,新兴国家预计到 2029 年全球产量将增加 36 公吨,仅略微增加其在全球产量中的份额。欧盟预计将增加小麦产量,因为其最低支持价格政策保证了农民的稳定收入。国内混合种子和化肥、低能源成本、大型商业农场和良好的土壤品质共同促进了俄罗斯和乌克兰的产量增加。
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The global wheat market is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 10.16%, from US$235.188 billion in 2025 to US$381.485 billion in 2030.
Wheat is a type of grass that is cultivated worldwide mainly for its seed. It is among the most common cereal consumed by the majority of the global population. Wheat is among the most common sources of carbohydrates, vitamins, and minerals. The cereal also offers a higher amount of energy on consumption, as it has a higher quantity of carbohydrates, and can help in managing weight. The consumption of whole wheat also lowers the risk of cardiovascular diseases.
The wheat seed is used for multiple applications, commonly in the food and beverage sector. The wheat seeds are grinded for producing wheat flour or semolina. Various wheat varieties are cultivated worldwide, including hard red spring, soft white, hard wheat, and others. Hard red spring wheat is mainly cultivated in the North American region, whereas soft white wheat offers a high break and straight-grade flour yield. It contains lower ash and low starch damage.
The global wheat market is estimated to witness substantial growth in demand, majorly with the increasing wheat production worldwide. In the cultivation of wheat, China, India, the EU, and Russia are among the biggest producers, producing more than half of the global wheat. Similarly, the increasing consumer perception of wheat products' health benefits is also estimated to increase its market size globally.
Global wheat market drivers
A major factor propelling the global wheat market is the increasing wheat production globally. Wheat is among the most commonly produced food grains, and it is produced in almost every region globally. The global demand for wheat witnessed a major increase. The US Department of Agriculture, in its report, stated that the global production of wheat grew significantly over the past few years. The agency stated that in the European Union, about 134,292 thousand tons of wheat were produced in 2022, which increased to 134,865 thousand tons in 2023. Similarly, in India, wheat production increased from 104,000 thousand tons in 2022 to about 110,554 thousand tons in 2023.
USDA further stated that the production of wheat is majorly concentrated in the European and Asian regions, with China, the EU, India, and Russia producing the majority of the global wheat annually. China, the EU, and India alone occupy about 48% of the global production share of wheat. The agency stated that in the 2023-24 financial year, China and the EU occupied about 17% of the global wheat production, whereas India and Russia contributed about 14% and 12%, respectively, each in the same year.
Global wheat market geographical outlook
European Union is expected to grow wheat production more than any other developed country. In contrast to the developed countries, developing countries are projected to add 36 Mt to global output by 2029, representing a marginal increase in their share of global production. EU is projected to increase its wheat production largely due to its minimum support price policy, which guarantees farmers a stable income. A combination of domestically produced hybrid seeds and fertilizers, low energy costs, large commercial farms, and good soil contributed to Russian and Ukrainian production increases.
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