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巴士市场 - COVID-19 的增长、趋势、影响和预测 (2023-2028)
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1190166

巴士市场 - COVID-19 的增长、趋势、影响和预测 (2023-2028)

Bus Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 129 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

价格

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简介目录

客车市场预计到 2021 年将达到 414.4 亿美元，到 2027 年将达到 640.7 亿美元，预测期内復合年增长率为 7.58%。

COVID-19 大流行促使世界各国政府和当局以前所未有的规模实施交通和行动限制。 身体距离对旅行行为和偏好有重大影响。 因此，在疫情期间，很多人选择了乘坐私家车出行，以降低感染风险。 在此期间，私家车的使用有所增加，但那些依赖公共交通工具的人转而使用其他交通方式，例如骑自行车或步行。

从中期来看，对污染的日益关注和更严格的废气法规正在推动各国在现有公交车队中增加电动公交车，从而促进整个公交车市场的增长。 同时，城市人口的不断增长促使政府设计BRT系统，将地铁的容量和速度、公交系统的灵活性、低成本和便利性有效地结合起来。 预计在预测期内，不断增长的城市人口和对高效快速公交系统 (BRT) 发展的关注将推动公交市场。

北美，其次是亚太地区，由于需求和人口不断增长，预计将占据很大的市场份额。 预计这些地区的需求将受到对公共交通（例如公共汽车，尤其是双层和铰接式公共汽车）不断增长的需求的支持。

客车市场趋势

电动公交车普及拉动市场需求

燃料是车辆运行成本的很大一部分。 不断上涨的燃料成本推动了公共交通对电动巴士的需求。 这是因为电动公交车可以降低初始成本，例如燃料成本和总拥有成本。 到 2030 年，电动公交车的价格有望下降并达到柴油公交车的水平。 与柴油发动机公交车相比，电动公交车有助于将维护和运营成本降低 81-83%。

由于世界各地严格的排放法规，电池电动公交车市场在研究期间稳步增长。 例如，2019 年纯电动公交车数量为 69.961 辆，到 2020 年增长 11.5% 至 78,032 辆。 这一增长是由于政府向购买者和车队所有者提供了多项激励措施。

由于重型运输领域的销售额预计会上升，电动汽车的需求也会增加，一些原始设备製造商正在向全球市场推出新的电动产品，以满足不断增长的需求。 例如：

  • 2021 年 9 月，沃尔沃客车推出了一项新的全球电动汽车产品。 随着沃尔沃 BZL 电动底盘的推出，沃尔沃客车为世界各地城市的可持续高效公共交通设施提供了坚实的平台。
  • 该公司已收到一份订单，将在瑞典部署 60 辆纯电动公交车，使用沃尔沃 7900 电动铰接模型以满足零排放区的城市公共交通需求和严格的噪音和排放法规。对应于该地区。

这些新兴国家的市场发展和因素预计将在预测期内促进市场发展。

北美预计在预测期内增长最快

截至 2020 年 12 月，美国拥有近 2,800 辆零排放公交车（已部署併计划交付），其中 2,700 多辆据信是电动的。 儘管与政府机构竞争提供交通服务，但私人和个人车主正在获得帮助，将他们的公交车队转变为零排放车辆。 例如：

  • 2022 年 3 月，作为新基础设施一揽子计划的一部分，美国政府宣布提供约 15 亿美元的补贴，用于对其公交车队进行现代化和电气化改造。 该倡议将帮助运输机构和运营商购买或租赁无污染车辆。
  • 加利福尼亚目前拥有最大的零排放巴士车队 (1,016)，超过 200 辆电动巴士投入使用，还有许多其他订单积压。 芝加哥交通管理局 (CTA) 宣布推出一款新的电动公交车作为该市环保工作的一部分，并已与製造商签订了 17 辆电动公交车的合同。

在美国，由于实施严格的尾气法规，电动巴士市场有望復苏。 许多美国城市现在要求他们的公共汽车车队中有一定比例是电动或混合动力的，并且还对新的内燃机公共汽车招标施加了限制。 例如，费城交通管理局 SEPTA 已承诺到 2021 年将柴油公交车的比例限制在不超过 5%，并逐步过渡到纯电动公交车。 全国各州已经开始交付新型电动校车，一些州还计划在未来引入更多的电动公交车。 例如：

  • 2020 年 12 月，德克萨斯州的一个学区收到了该州首次交付的三辆电动校车。 Everman 独立学区 (ISD) 在本学年开始使用 Bluebird Vision 电动巴士运送学生。 在当地经销商、拉什巴士中心和德克萨斯州环境质量委员会的帮助下，该地区能够在大众汽车 (VW) 和解基金的资助下采购巴士和充电站。
  • 2021 年 4 月，盐湖城学区 (SLCSD) 部署了四辆 Microbird 电动校车，以更换部分老化的柴油公交车。 部分电动校车的资金来自犹他州环境质量部 (DEQ) 大众安置计划和犹他州清洁柴油计划 (UCDP)。 DEQ 已授予 SLCSD 两笔总计 150 万美元的赠款，用于购买这些电动巴士。

此类新兴市场的发展预计将在预测期内对市场产生重大影响。

客车市场竞争分析

客车市场适度整合，主要参与者凭藉其发达的产品和多元化的经销商网络占据了很大的市场份额。 主要参与者包括郑州宇通客车有限公司、厦门金龙联盟、戴姆勒股份公司、沃尔沃、Traton（Man、Scania 等）、塔塔汽车和 Ashok Leyland。

公交车市场的特点是各种製造商合併、收购和合作，以期开拓潜在市场。 由于电动客车市场预计在预测期内将显着增长，因此客车製造商正在大力投资研发以增强其产品组合以包含更多电动车型。

  • 2021 年 2 月，安徽安凯汽车与 Idealomics Inc. 签约。 该合作伙伴关係扩大了 Ideanomics 最近成立的 NETS Group 的产品范围。 它将为公共汽车和旅游巴士运营商提供从工厂和团体购买力到简化的 ABS 融资服务等一系列好处。 两家公司已同意在马来西亚、东盟地区、欧洲和美国开展销售和营销活动合作。
  • BYD 是一家全球电动巴士製造商，已收到来自芬兰 Novina 的零排放电动巴士的大订单。 北欧地区最大的公共交通运营商 Novina 又订购了 70 辆最新一代比亚迪电动公交车，这是一项扩大其快速发展的“绿色车队”的战略举措。 来自芬兰诺维纳的订单涵盖比亚迪最畅销的两款电动巴士车型，包括 42 辆 42 英尺巴士车型和 28 辆比亚迪 50 英尺车型。 这些飞机计划于 2022 年夏季交付，主要在赫尔辛基市区的城市航线上运营。

其他好处

  • Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
  • 三个月的分析师支持

内容

第一章介绍

  • 调查先决条件
  • 调查范围

第二章研究方法论

第 3 章执行摘要

第四章市场动态

  • 市场驱动力
  • 市场製约因素
  • 产业吸引力 - 波特五力分析
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 买方/消费者议价能力
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争公司之间的敌对关係

第 5 章市场细分（价值基础市场规模 - 十亿美元）

  • 按类型
    • 单层
    • 双层
  • 通过使用
    • 公交车
    • 城际巴士/长途汽车
    • 其他（校车等）
  • 按燃料
    • 柴油机
    • 电动/混合动力
    • 其他（压缩天然气、生物燃料等）
  • 按载客量
    • 15-30 个席位
    • 31个席位以上50个席位以下
    • 50 个或更多席位
  • 按地区细分
    • 北美
      • 美国
      • 加拿大
      • 其他北美地区
    • 欧洲
      • 英国
      • 德国
      • 法国
      • 西班牙
      • 意大利
      • 其他欧洲地区
    • 亚太地区
      • 中国
      • 日本
      • 印度
      • 韩国
      • 其他亚太地区
    • 世界其他地区
      • 南美洲
      • 中东和非洲

第六章竞争格局

  • 供应商市场份额
  • 公司简介
    • Anhui Ankai Automobile Company
    • Daimler AG
    • NFI Group Inc.
    • Volvo Group
    • Solaris Bus & Coach SA
    • Tata Motors Limited
    • Ashok Leyland
    • Traton Group（Scania, MAN, Etc.）
    • Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co. Ltd
    • XIAMEN KING LONG MOTOR GROUP CO. LTD
    • BYD Co. Ltd
    • Suzhou Eagle Electric Vehicle Manufacturing Co. Ltd
    • Iveco SpA

第7章 市场机会今后动向

简介目录
Product Code: 66199

The bus market registered USD 41.44 billion in 2021, and it is projected to be worth USD 64.07 billion by 2027, registering a CAGR of 7.58% during the forecast period.

The COVID-19 pandemic prompted governments and authorities worldwide to impose restrictions on transport and mobility at an unprecedented scale and magnitude. Physical distancing had a significant impact on mobility behavior and preferences. Therefore, during the pandemic, many people preferred private transport to reduce the risk of infection. The use of private vehicles increased during the period, while those who relied on public transport switched to other modes of transport, such as biking or walking.

Over the medium term, growing concerns over pollution and the rise in stringent emission regulations encouraged countries to include more electric buses in the existing bus fleet, thereby contributing to the overall bus market's growth. The continuous rise in urban population also drove the government to design BRT systems that can effectively combine the capacity and speed of a metro with the flexibility, lower cost, and simplicity of a bus system. The rapidly growing urban population and enhanced focus on developing an efficient bus rapid transit (BRT) system are likely to drive the bus market during the forecast period.

North America, followed by Asia-Pacific, is expected to occupy a significant share in the market due to the increasing demand and population. The demand across these regions is likely to be supported by the growing need for public transportation like buses, particularly double-decker and articulated buses.

Bus Market Trends

Increasing Adoption of Electric Buses Expected to Drive Demand in the Market

Fuel constitutes a major part of the operating cost of any vehicle. With the increasing fuel costs, the demand for an electric bus for public transport is increasing, as an electric can reduce fuel costs and other upfront costs, as well as the total cost of ownership. By 2030, the prices of electric buses are expected to decline and reach the level of diesel fuel buses. Electric buses help reduce 81-83% of the maintenance and operating costs compared to diesel-engine buses.

The battery electric bus market witnessed steady growth over the study period due to the stringent emission norms across several countries of the world. For instance, the number of battery electric buses was 69.961 units in 2019, increasing by 11.5% to 78,032 units in 2020. This increase can be attributed to several government incentives offered to buyers and fleet owners.

Due to the increased sales and the projected increase in demand for electric mobility in the heavy-duty transportation segment, several OEMs are introducing new electric products into the worldwide market to cater to the increasing demand. For instance,

  • In September 2021, Volvo Buses launched the new global electromobility offer. With the launch of the Volvo BZL Electric chassis, Volvo Buses provides a solid platform for sustainable and efficient public transport facilities in cities across the world.
  • The company received an order of 60 battery electric buses to be deployed to Sweden, with Volvo 7900 electric articulated models, to cater to the urban public transport demand and restricted areas with stringent noise and exhaust emission norms in zero-emission zones.

Such developments and factors are anticipated to contribute to the development of the market during the forecast period.

North America is Expected to Witness the Fastest Growth During the Forecast Period

As of December 2020, United States had nearly 2,800 zero-emission buses (deployed and to be delivered), out of which over 2,700 are electric buses. Despite competing with government agencies to provide transit services, private and individual fleet owners have been receiving aid to transition their bus fleets to zero-emission vehicles. For instance,

  • In March 2022, the US government announced that it is awarding nearly USD 1.5 billion in grants to modernize and electrify bus fleets as part of the new infrastructure package. This initiative may help transit agencies and fleet operators purchase or lease no-emission vehicles.
  • Currently, California has the highest number of zero-emission buses (1,016), over 200 electric buses in use, and many other backlogged orders. The Chicago Transit Authority (CTA) unveiled the new electric buses as part of the city's green initiatives, with contracts with manufacturers for additional 17 electric buses.

The implementation of stringent emission laws and regulations is expected to fuel the market for electric buses in United States. Many cities in United States now require a certain fraction of their bus fleet to be electric or hybrid, and they are also pushing the limitations on new IC engine bus tenders. For instance, SEPTA, the transport authority of Philadelphia, is committed to restricting the diesel bus share in its bus fleet to less than 5% by 2021 to gradually make way for battery electric buses. Various states in the country are taking the delivery of new electric school buses, whereas some states are planning to include more electric buses in the coming years. For instance, ​

  • In December 2020, a Texas school district received the first three electric school buses to be deployed in the state. Everman Independent School District (ISD) began transporting students this school year with the Blue Bird Vision Electric buses. With help from a local dealer, Rush Bus Centers, and the Texas Commission for Environmental Quality, the district was able to fund the buses and charging stations with grants from the Volkswagen (VW) settlement funds.​
  • In April 2021, Salt Lake City School District (SLCSD) rolled out four Micro Bird electric school buses to replace some of its aging diesel buses. The electric school buses were partially funded through the Utah Department of Environmental Quality's (DEQ's) Volkswagen settlement program and the Utah Clean Diesel Program (UCDP). The DEQ awarded SLCSD two grants, totaling USD 1.5 million, to purchase these electric buses.

Such developments are expected to significantly impact the market during the forecast period.

Bus Market Competitive Analysis

The market for buses is moderately consolidated, with the major players holding a significant market share due to their developed products and network of various dealers. The major players in the market include Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co., Xiamen King Long United, Daimler AG, Volvo, Traton (Man, Scania, etc.), Tata Motors, and Ashok Leyland.

The bus market is characterized by mergers, acquisitions, and collaborations between various manufacturers trying to tap into potential markets. Since the market for electric buses is expected to grow significantly over the forecast period, bus manufacturers are investing considerably in R&D and ramping up their portfolios to include more electric models.

  • February 2021: Anhui Ankai Automobile Co. Ltd signed an agreement with Ideanomics Inc. The partnership will extend the service offering of Ideanomics' recently-established NETS Group. It will provide bus and tour bus operators with benefits ranging from factory/group purchasing power to streamlined ABS financing services. The parties have agreed to cooperate on sales and marketing activities in Malaysia, the broader ASEAN region, Europe, and United States.
  • BYD, the world's leading e-bus manufacturer, secured another high-volume order for its zero-emission electric buses from Nobina in Finland. Nobina, the largest public transport operator in the Nordic region, ordered a further 70 latest generation BYD e-buses in a strategic move to expand its fast-evolving 'green fleet.' This latest order from Nobina Finland spans two of BYD's best-selling electric bus models, comprising 42 units of the 42-foot bus model and 28 units of BYD's 50-foot model. They were scheduled for delivery in the summer of 2022, and will primarily operate on city routes in the Helsinki Metropolitan area.​

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 4.1 Market Drivers
  • 4.2 Market Restraints
  • 4.3 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.3.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.3.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.3.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.3.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.3.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION (Market Size by Value - USD billion)

  • 5.1 By Type
    • 5.1.1 Single Deck
    • 5.1.2 Double Deck
  • 5.2 By Application
    • 5.2.1 Transit Bus
    • 5.2.2 Intercity/Coaches
    • 5.2.3 Other Applications (School Bus, Etc.)
  • 5.3 By Fuel Type
    • 5.3.1 Diesel
    • 5.3.2 Electric and Hybrid
    • 5.3.3 Other Fuel Types (CNG, Biofuel, Etc.)
  • 5.4 By Seat Capacity
    • 5.4.1 15 - 30 Seats
    • 5.4.2 31 - 50 Seats
    • 5.4.3 More than 50 Seats
  • 5.5 By Geography
    • 5.5.1 North America
      • 5.5.1.1 United States
      • 5.5.1.2 Canada
      • 5.5.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.5.2 Europe
      • 5.5.2.1 United Kingdom
      • 5.5.2.2 Germany
      • 5.5.2.3 France
      • 5.5.2.4 Spain
      • 5.5.2.5 Italy
      • 5.5.2.6 Rest of Europe
    • 5.5.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.5.3.1 China
      • 5.5.3.2 Japan
      • 5.5.3.3 India
      • 5.5.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.5.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.4 Rest of the World
      • 5.5.4.1 South America
      • 5.5.4.2 Middle-East and Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Vendor Market Share
  • 6.2 Company Profiles
    • 6.2.1 Anhui Ankai Automobile Company
    • 6.2.2 Daimler AG
    • 6.2.3 NFI Group Inc.
    • 6.2.4 Volvo Group
    • 6.2.5 Solaris Bus & Coach SA
    • 6.2.6 Tata Motors Limited
    • 6.2.7 Ashok Leyland
    • 6.2.8 Traton Group (Scania, MAN, Etc.)
    • 6.2.9 Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co. Ltd
    • 6.2.10 XIAMEN KING LONG MOTOR GROUP CO. LTD
    • 6.2.11 BYD Co. Ltd
    • 6.2.12 Suzhou Eagle Electric Vehicle Manufacturing Co. Ltd
    • 6.2.13 Iveco SpA

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS