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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1635522

亚太地区小水力发电 -市场占有率分析、产业趋势与统计、成长预测（2025-2030）

Asia-Pacific Small Hydropower - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

亚太小水力发电市场预计在预测期内复合年增长率将超过1.5%。

亚太小水电市场-IMG1

2020 年，市场受到 COVID-19 大流行的负面影响。目前市场处于大流行前的水平。

主要亮点

  • 从中期来看，对可靠电力的需求不断增长、对气候可再生和小发电工程的投资增加以及政策倡议等因素将在预测期内推动全球小型水力发电市场的发展。
  • 另一方面，不稳定的能源供应预计将阻碍市场成长，因为发电量将受到季节性高低的影响，并可能在预测期内对小型水力发电设施构成阻碍力。
  • 物联网与水力发电的融合以及小型水力发电大坝维持农村地区生计的积极前景预计将在未来几年为全球小水力发电市场创造重大机会。
  • 由于政府在小水力发电开发方面采取的措施等因素，预计越南在预测期内将占据相当大的市场份额；

亚太小水力发电市场趋势

1-10MW细分市场预计将主导市场

  • 以市场容量计算，1-10 MW 预计在预测期内最受欢迎。 1-10 MW 电厂的高比例（近 80%）归因于开发中国家（特别是中国、印度、日本、印尼和越南）为农村电气化部署的小规模分散计划。
  • 根据国际可再生能源机构（IRENA）的数据，2021年亚太地区水力发电装置容量已达608.72GW，较2020年（584.23GW）成长4.1%。
  • 小水力发电在印尼农村和离网电气化中发挥重要作用。截至2020年终，已建成小水力发电厂和5千瓦至400千瓦小电网286座，解决了农村群众用电问题。此外，从 1992 年到 2018 年，当地非政府组织 IBEKA 在苏门答腊岛、爪哇岛、加里曼丹岛、苏拉威西岛和努沙登加拉岛建造了 65 座小型水力发电发电厂。这些电厂的输出功率范围为0.5至170kW，总设备容量为2,636kW。
  • 这导致了印尼各地小型发电工程的开发。例如，Andritz Energy 于 2022 年 8 月在西爪哇省 Garut运作了1.748 MW x 3 Cikaengan 1 小型水力发电厂。此外，2021年11月，Andritz Energy的3.82MW x 2 Chikaengan 2小型水力发电厂成功取得TOC（接管证书）。
  • 印度设定了2022年实现小型水力发电装置5GW的国家目标，总体目标是实现累积併网可再生能源装置175GW。截至2019年终，全国已建成小型水力发电发电工程1,127个，装置容量467千万瓦。
  • 因此，由于多个地区政府的支持力度加大以及小水力发电发展的巨大潜力，预计小水电市场在预测期内将显着成长。

越南占有很大的市场份额

  • 越南是东南亚最大的水力发电市场之一。根据越南电力局（EVN）统计，截至2022年，越南水力发电装置容量为207.4千万瓦，占全国总设备容量的近29.9%。
  • 传统上，水力发电一直占有较大比重，占越南总发电量的30.77%。传统上，越南经济严重依赖水力发电来满足国内需求。但随着国内需求的激增，燃煤发电占比有所上升，其他可再生能源也稳定成长，但占发电总量的比重较小。
  • 随着越南政府发展可再生能源产能，预计未来几年越南将安装超过 13GW 的装置容量。到 2020 年至 2025 年，预计约 70% 的可再生主导转型将由太阳能和水力发电提供支援。因此，为了实现可再生能源目标并发展能源产业，政府启动了各种发电工程，预计将在预测期内支持市场成长。
  • 根据IRENA统计，2021年亚太地区水力发电装置容量已达4,272万千瓦，较2020年（3,837万千瓦）成长11.3%。
  • 2021年公布的电力发展计画8（PDP8）旨在2045年将可再生能源的比例提高到75%。小水力发电总发电量目标是2025年达到4800MW，2030年达到5,000MW，2045年接近6,000MW。政府计划在电力领域投资120亿美元至130亿美元，其中水电占总总设备容量的17.7%至19.5%。至2030年，整个电力系统的装置容量将约为130,370至143,839兆瓦。
  • 2022年4月，Flovel Energy宣布签署越南Nam Thanh 3HPP（8.75MW x 2）水平式混流机组合同。 Truong Thanh投资建设有限公司正在开发该计划。 Nam Thanh 3发电工程位于越南安沛省，是该公司在该省的第八个计划。
  • 因此，由于上述因素，预计越南将在预测期内占据亚太小水力发电市场的重要份额。

亚太小水电产业概况

亚太小水电市场是细分的。该市场的主要企业包括（排名不分先后）东芝能源系统及解决方案公司、FLOVEL Energy Private Limited、Gesto-Energia SA、通用电气公司和中国电力建设集团公司。

其他好处

  • Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
  • 3 个月分析师支持

目录

第一章简介

  • 调查范围
  • 市场定义
  • 研究场所

第 2 章执行摘要

第三章调查方法

第四章市场概况

  • 介绍
  • 至2027年装置容量及预测（单位：GW）
  • 最新趋势和发展
  • 政府法规和措施
  • 市场动态
    • 促进因素
    • 抑制因素
  • 供应链分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 消费者议价能力
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争公司之间敌对关係的强度

第五章市场区隔

  • 按容量
    • 1MW以下
    • 1～10MW
  • 按用途
    • 电力基础设施
    • 土木工程工作
    • 其他的
  • 按地区
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 印尼
    • 越南
    • 其他亚太地区

第六章 竞争状况

  • 併购、合资、联盟、协议
  • 主要企业策略
  • 公司简介
    • Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation
    • FLOVEL Energy Private Limited
    • Gesto-Energia SA
    • General Electric Company
    • Power Construction Corporation of China
    • Andritz AG
    • Siemens Energy AG
    • Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited
    • Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA
    • Stantec Inc.

第七章市场机会与未来趋势

简介目录
Product Code: 92992

The Asia-Pacific Small Hydropower Market is expected to register a CAGR of greater than 1.5% during the forecast period.

Asia-Pacific Small Hydropower - Market - IMG1

The market was negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Presently, the market has reached pre-pandemic levels.

Key Highlights

  • Over the medium term, factors such as the rising demand for reliable electricity, increasing investments for renewable and small hydropower projects in response to climate change, and policy initiatives are expected to drive the global small hydropower market during the forecast period.
  • On the other hand, an unstable energy supply is expected to hinder market growth because the energy generated depends on seasonal highs and lows and can act as a deterrent for small hydropower installations during the forecast period.
  • Nevertheless, the integration of IoT with hydropower and the positive outlook toward small hydropower dams to sustain lives in rural communities are expected to create significant opportunities for the global small hydropower market in the coming years.
  • Vietnam is expected to have a significant share in the market during the forecast period due to factors such as government policies in developing small hydropower,

APAC Small Hydropower Market Trends

The 1-10 MW Segment Expected to Dominate the Market

  • The 1-10 MW segment is projected to be the most abundant small hydropower plant type by capacity in the market during the forecast period. This higher share of 1-10 MW plants (almost 80%) can be attributed to the small-scale decentralized projects deployed in developing nations, especially in China, India, Japan, Indonesia, and Vietnam, for rural electrification.
  • According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), in 2021, there was already 608.72 GW of hydropower capacity in the Asia-Pacific region, which is 4.1% higher than in 2020 (584.23 GW).
  • Small hydro plays an essential role in rural and off-grid electrification in Indonesia. By the end of 2020, 286 SHP plants and mini-grid with a range of capacity from 5 to 400 kW have been installed to provide people in rural areas with access to electricity. Additionally, during 1992-2018, IBEKA, a local NGO, constructed 65 SHP plants in Sumatera, Java, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, and Nusa Tenggara. These plants range between 0.5 and 170 kW, with a total installed capacity of 2,636 kW.
  • This has kickstarted the development of several small-scale hydropower projects all over Indonesia. For instance, in August 2022, Andritz Energy commissioned the 3 x 1.748 MW Cikaengan 1 Mini Hydropower Plant in Garut, West Java. Additionally, in November 2021, Andritz Energy's 2 x 3.82 MW Cikaengan 2 mini hydropower plant successfully obtained the TOC (Taking Over Certificate).
  • India has set a national target of achieving 5 GW of small hydropower capacity in 2022 under overall targets of achieving a cumulative grid-connected renewable energy capacity of 175 GW. The country has already installed 4.67 GW of small hydropower capacity by the end of 2019 through 1,127 small hydropower projects.
  • Therefore, with increasing support from several regional governments and a huge potential for SHP to be developed, the small hydropower market is expected to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Vietnam to have a Significant Share in the Market

  • Vietnam is one of the largest hydropower markets in Southeast Asia. According to the Electricity Authority of Vietnam (EVN), as of 2022, Vietnam had 20.774 GW of hydropower, accounting for nearly 29.9% of the country's total installed capacity.
  • Traditionally, hydropower has accounted for a significant share of the country's gross electricity generation mix, accounting for nearly 30.77% of the country's total electricity generation. Traditionally, the Vietnamese economy has relied heavily on hydroelectricity to satiate domestic demand. However, as domestic demand has increased rapidly, the share of coal-fired generation in electricity has grown, along with other renewables that have also grown at a steady pace but occupy a relatively smaller share of the total electricity generation mix.
  • As the Vietnamese government develops renewable energy capacity, over 13 GW of installations is anticipated to be installed in Vietnam within the next few years. Around 70% of this renewable-led transition is expected to be supported by solar PV and hydropower by 2020-2025. Thus, to achieve the renewable energy target and to develop its energy sector, the government has initiated various hydropower projects, which are expected to support the market's growth during the forecast period.
  • According to IRENA, in 2021, there was already 42.72 GW of hydropower capacity in the Asia-Pacific, which is 11.3% higher than in 2020 (38.37 GW).
  • Power Development Plan 8 (PDP8), published in 2021, targets a share of 75% for renewable energy by 2045. The total capacity of small hydropower sources is targeted to reach 4,800 MW in 2025, 5,000 MW in 2030, and nearly 6,000 MW by 2045. The government plans to invest USD 12-13 billion in the power sector, and hydropower would account for 17.7% -19.5% of the total installed capacity. The total installed capacity for the whole power system will come to around 130,370-143,839 MW by 2030.
  • In April 2022, Flovel Energy announced the signing of the contract for Nam Tang 3 HPP (2 x 8.75 MW) in Vietnam with Horizontal Francis units. Truong Thanh Investment Construction Company Limited is developing the project. Nam Tang 3 Hydro Project is located in Yen Bai Province, Vietnam, and is the company's eighth Project in the Yen Bai province.
  • Therefore, based on the above-mentioned factors, Vietnam is expected to have a significant share in the Asia-Pacific small hydropower market during the forecast period.

APAC Small Hydropower Industry Overview

The Asia-Pacific small hydropower market is fragmented. Some of the key players in the market (in no particular order) include Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation, FLOVEL Energy Private Limited, Gesto-Energia SA, General Electric Company, and Power Construction Corporation of China, among others.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Installed Capacity and Forecasts in GW, till 2027
  • 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.5 Market Dynamics
    • 4.5.1 Drivers
    • 4.5.2 Restraints
  • 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitute Products and Services
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 By Capacity
    • 5.1.1 Up to 1 MW
    • 5.1.2 1-10 MW
  • 5.2 By Application
    • 5.2.1 Power Infrastructure
    • 5.2.2 Civil Works
    • 5.2.3 Other Applications
  • 5.3 By Geography
    • 5.3.1 China
    • 5.3.2 India
    • 5.3.3 Japan
    • 5.3.4 Indonesia
    • 5.3.5 Vietnam
    • 5.3.6 Rest of Asia-Pacific

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation
    • 6.3.2 FLOVEL Energy Private Limited
    • 6.3.3 Gesto-Energia SA
    • 6.3.4 General Electric Company
    • 6.3.5 Power Construction Corporation of China
    • 6.3.6 Andritz AG
    • 6.3.7 Siemens Energy AG
    • 6.3.8 Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited
    • 6.3.9 Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA
    • 6.3.10 Stantec Inc.

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS