欧洲中中型卡车租赁：市场份额分析、行业趋势和统计数据、成长预测（2026-2031）

预计到 2026 年，欧洲中型和重型卡车租赁市场规模将达到 174.8 亿美元。

这意味着从 2025 年的 165 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 233.3 亿美元，2026 年至 2031 年的年复合成长率（CAGR）为 5.94%。

这项加速成长得益于电子商务货运量的成长、更严格的排放气体法规（有利于外包车队）以及在高利率环境下对营运成本的关注。此外，数位化预订平台的普及（缩短了交易时间并扩大了客户覆盖范围）以及电气化试点专案（降低了终端用户的技术风险门槛）也进一步推动了成长。儘管重型车辆在欧洲主要走廊沿线仍占据主导地位，以最大限度地提高运输效率，但随着都市区零排放区的扩大，人们对中型车辆和电动车的兴趣也日益浓厚。

欧洲中中型卡车租赁市场趋势及分析

电子商务主导弹性货运能力激增

受线上零售蓬勃发展的推动，TIMOCOM现货市场的货物需求年增92%，预计2024年大部分时间里，货物需求与运力比将超过70%。货运代理和第三方物流业者正依靠短期租赁来应对高峰需求，而无需增加永久性资产。仅在邮政和小包裹领域就以显着的复合年增长率成长，给欧洲中中型卡车租赁市场的营运商带来了运转率压力。零售商也利用租赁来试行新的区域枢纽，然后再投入资金，为车队的柔软性奠定了坚实的基础。随着2025年復活节移至4月，预计新一轮的紧急需求将进一步增强短期租赁的需求动能。

高利率週期中的成本规避重点

欧洲央行收紧货币政策，导致商用卡车融资成本在2025年初超过4%，年中回落至3.61%，但仍高于2022年之前的水准。因此，小规模车队将租赁作为一种防御性营运支出，以应对资产折旧。 2024年第四季，现货运价格年增，燃油和碳排放税额外费用的上涨进一步凸显了浮动收费模式的合理性。中型卡车用户将感受到最显着的变化，因为残值不确定性加剧了资金筹措风险。可变期限合约和市场定价模式目前支援众多自有品牌分销网络，从而扩大了欧洲中型和重型卡车租赁市场供应商的潜在客户群。

柴油资产残值波动

到2025年中期，2023款和2021款二手重型卡车的价格有所下降，凸显了即将到来的排放气体法规带来的贬值风险。如果柴油车的贬值速度超过车队预定的更新週期，依赖二手市场进行车队更新的租赁公司将面临利润率压缩。儘管营运商透过缩短持有期和实现动力系统配置多样化来规避风险，但整车更换仍然是资本密集的。加速折旧免税额进一步抑制了传统的车辆所有权模式，间接推高了租赁需求。然而，这也缩小了拥有大量柴油车库存的租赁公司的利润来源。

细分市场分析

即使到了2025年，线下通路仍将占据欧洲中中型卡车租赁市场72.48%的份额，因为基于关係的长期租赁合约仍然占据主导地位。然而，受客户对全天候自助服务平台、透明收费系统和即时车辆查询的偏好驱动，线上平台正以7.77%的复合年增长率快速扩张。租赁业者正在采用整合API将库存资讯与托运人的运输管理系统同步，从而将人工报价週期从数小时缩短至数分钟。订阅收费系统、电子文檔签名和内建保险选项进一步提升了平台的易用性。

线上预订的成长加剧了竞争格局的复杂性。数位化原生平台利用低交易成本，触及了以往由本地代理商服务的规模小规模的运输公司。同时，现有企业正透过全通路策略应对，将标准车辆的自助预订与复杂计划的人工客户管理结合。因此，欧洲中中型卡车租赁市场呈现双轨模式：大量短期需求转向线上，而客製化合约仍在线下进行。在预测期内，数位化带来的更高透明度将推动车队运转率的提升，从而在无需相应增加资产的情况下创造过剩运力。

长期租赁预计将在2025年占据欧洲中中型卡车租赁市场61.72%的份额，对于路线可预测的托运人来说，长期租赁具有规模经济效益，且每日成本更低。同时，短期合约以8.49%的复合年增长率成长，在那些存在季节性需求高峰、企划为基础工作或电子商务需求突然增长的行业中蓬勃发展。虽然短期合约的柔软性溢价可能高达15-20%，但托运人愿意接受这一价格差异，以避免车辆閒置的风险。

由于预计遵守欧7排放标准的成本将会增加，越来越多的业者选择试用新一代车辆，导致短期租赁交易量激增。租赁公司正在采用动态定价演算法，以在假日和收穫季节等需求高峰期最大限度地利用有限的运力来提高收入，从而提高单车收益。同时，长期合约提供了稳定的现金流，以支持车队扩张的资本投资。平衡这些收入来源需要可靠的需求预测和资产重新配置策略，而建立分析能力是欧洲中型重型卡车租赁市场竞争优势的关键。

其他福利：

• Excel格式的市场预测（ME）表
• 3个月的分析师支持

目录

第一章 引言

• 研究假设和市场定义
• 调查范围

第二章调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章 市场情势

• 市场概览
• 市场驱动因素
  • 电子商务主导弹性货运能力快速成长
  • 在高利率週期中，应着重于成本规避。
  • 更严格的欧盟7排放标准使得租车比买车更有优势。
  • 补贴型电动卡车试点计画可降低租赁普及风险
  • 原始设备製造商推出“卡车即服务”
  • 跨境碳课税加剧了季节性需求波动
• 市场限制
  • 柴油资产残值波动
  • 由于驾驶人，服务运转率。
  • 充电桩併网延迟
  • 数位货运平台的轻资产竞争
• 价值/供应链分析
• 监管环境
• 技术展望
• 波特五力模型
  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 买方的议价能力
  • 新进入者的威胁
  • 替代品的威胁
  • 竞争对手之间的竞争

第五章 市场规模及成长预测（金额）

• 按预订类型
  • 线下预订
  • 线上预订
• 按租赁类型
  • 短期租赁
  • 长期租赁
• 按卡车级别
  • 中型（7.5-16吨）
  • 重型（超过16吨）
• 按最终用户行业划分
  • 普通货物和第三方物流
  • 建筑和基础设施
  • 零售和快速消费品（FMCG）
  • 邮政、小包裹与电子商务
  • 废弃物和市政服务
• 依推进类型
  • 柴油引擎
  • 电池式电动车
  • LNG/CNG
  • 杂交种
• 按国家/地区
  • 德国
  • 英国
  • 法国
  • 西班牙
  • 义大利
  • 荷兰
  • 波兰
  • 其他欧洲地区

第六章 竞争情势

• 市场集中度
• 策略趋势
• 市占率分析
• 公司简介
  • TIP Group
  • Fraikin SAS
  • Ryder System Inc.
  • Penske Truck Leasing
  • PACCAR Leasing Company
  • Heisterkamp Transportation Solutions
  • Easy Rent Truck & Trailer GmbH
  • Mercedes-Benz CharterWay
  • Scania Group
  • Scania Group
  • SIXT SE
  • Enterprise Flex-E-Rent
  • Dawsongroup Truck & Trailer
  • Dawsongroup Truck & Trailer
  • DKV Mobility

第七章 市场机会与未来展望

Europe Medium & Heavy-Duty Truck Rental market size in 2026 is estimated at USD 17.48 billion, growing from 2025 value of USD 16.50 billion with 2031 projections showing USD 23.33 billion, growing at 5.94% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This acceleration rests on rising e-commerce freight volumes, stringent emissions policy that favors outsourced fleets, and a preference for operating-expense models during an elevated interest-rate climate. Growth is further amplified by digital booking platforms that compress transaction times and broaden customer reach, while electrification pilots reduce technology-risk barriers for end users. Heavy-duty vehicles dominate demand because they maximize payload economics on core European corridors, yet medium-duty and electric options are gaining attention as cities expand zero-emission zones.

Europe Medium And Heavy Duty Truck Rental Market Trends and Insights

E-Commerce-Led Surge in Flexible Freight Capacity

Intensified online retail has lifted freight offers on the TIMOCOM spot marketplace by 92% year-over-year, pushing the freight-to-capacity ratio past 70% for most of 2024 . Carriers and 3PLs lean on short-term rentals to absorb peak season spikes without adding permanent assets. The postal and parcel segment alone is expanding at a notable CAGR, a pace that tightens utilization for every Europe Medium & Heavy-Duty Truck Rental market operator. Retailers also use rentals to pilot new regional hubs before committing capital, supporting a structurally higher baseline for fleet flexibility. As Easter shifts to April in 2025, a fresh swell of ad-hoc demand is expected to reinforce short-term leasing's momentum.

Cost-Avoidance Focus Amid High Interest-Rate Cycle

European Central Bank tightening pushed corporate truck loan costs above 4% in early 2025 before easing to 3.61% mid-year, levels that still exceed pre-2022 norms . Smaller fleets, therefore, treat rentals as a defensive operating expense hedge against asset depreciation. Spot transport prices climbed year-over-year in Q4 2024, an uptick driven by fuel and carbon surcharges that further validate variable-cost models. Medium-duty users exhibit the sharpest shift as residual-value uncertainty compounds financing risk. Variable-term contracts and marketplace pricing now underpin many private-label distribution networks, broadening the addressable pool for Europe's Medium & Heavy-Duty Truck Rental market providers.

Residual-Value Volatility of Diesel Assets

Used heavy-duty truck prices slid in 2023 model-year units and 2021 models by mid-2025, underscoring the depreciation risk tied to looming emissions regulations. Rental companies that rely on resale markets to refresh fleets face compressed margins when diesel values sag faster than scheduled de-fleet cycles allow. Operators adopt shorter holding periods and hedge with diversified propulsion mixes, yet outright replacement remains capital-intensive. Accelerated depreciation further deters traditional ownership, indirectly expanding rental demand; however, it simultaneously tightens profit pools for rental providers that maintain large diesel inventories.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Stricter Euro 7 Norms Favoring Rental Over Ownership
2. Subsidized E-Truck Pilots De-Risking Rental Adoption
3. Driver Shortages Limiting Utilization

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Offline channels still controlled 72.48% of the European Medium & Heavy-Duty Truck Rental market share in 2025, as relationship-based contracts remain the norm for long-term leasing. Nevertheless, online portals are scaling quickly at a 7.77% CAGR as customers prefer 24/7 self-service dashboards, transparent rates, and instantaneous vehicle availability. Rental operators deploy integrated APIs that sync inventory with shipper transportation-management systems, reducing manual quote cycles from hours to minutes. Subscription-style pricing, digital document signatures, and embedded insurance options further reinforce platform convenience.

The growth of online booking also sharpens competitive boundaries: digital-native platforms leverage lower transaction costs to reach small haulers historically served by local agencies. Legacy firms counter with omnichannel strategies that blend self-service ordering for standardized units and human account management for complex projects. As a result, the European Medium & Heavy-Duty Truck Rental market witnesses a twin-track model in which high-volume short-term demand migrates online while bespoke contracts persist offline. Over the forecast window, digital engagement is expected to raise fleet utilization through better visibility, thereby unlocking capacity without proportional asset growth.

Long-term leasing controlled 61.72% of the European Medium & Heavy-Duty Truck Rental market share in 2025 and enjoys economies of scale that keep daily costs low for shippers with predictable routes. Yet short-term contracts, expanding at 8.49% CAGR, flourish in industries characterized by seasonal peaks, project-based work, or rapid e-commerce surges. The flexibility premium can reach 15-20% over equivalent long-term day rates, but shippers willingly absorb that markup to sidestep idle-fleet risk.

As Euro 7 compliance costs loom, more operators opt for trial periods with next-generation vehicles, a dynamic that feeds short-term leasing pipelines. Rental companies employ dynamic pricing algorithms to maximize yield on scarce capacity during holiday or harvest surges, widening revenue per unit. Conversely, long-term deals contribute stable cash flows, underpinning fleet-expansion capex. Balancing these streams requires robust demand forecasting and asset re-allocation strategies, cementing analytics as a competitive differentiator across the European Medium & Heavy-Duty Truck Rental market.

The Europe Medium & Heavy-Duty Truck Rental Market Report is Segmented by Booking Type (Offline Booking and Online Booking), Rental Type (Short-Term Leasing and Long-Term Leasing), Truck Class (Medium-Duty (7. 5-16t) and Heavy-Duty (Above 16t)), End-User Industry (General Freight and 3PL, Construction and Infrastructure, and More), Propulsion Type, and Country. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. TIP Group
2. Fraikin SAS
3. Ryder System Inc.
4. Penske Truck Leasing
5. PACCAR Leasing Company
6. Heisterkamp Transportation Solutions
7. Easy Rent Truck & Trailer GmbH
8. Mercedes-Benz CharterWay
9. Scania Group
10. Scania Group
11. SIXT SE
12. Enterprise Flex-E-Rent
13. Dawsongroup Truck & Trailer
14. Dawsongroup Truck & Trailer
15. DKV Mobility

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 E-Commerce-Led Surge in Flexible Freight Capacity
  • 4.2.2 Cost-Avoidance Focus Amid High Interest-Rate Cycle
  • 4.2.3 Stricter Euro 7 Norms Favoring Rental Over Ownership
  • 4.2.4 Subsidized E-Truck Pilots De-Risking Rental Adoption
  • 4.2.5 OEM "Truck-as-a-Service" Roll-Outs
  • 4.2.6 Cross-Border Carbon Tolls Amplifying Seasonal Demand Swings
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Residual-Value Volatility of Diesel Assets
  • 4.3.2 Driver Shortages Limiting Utilization
  • 4.3.3 Grid-Connection Delays for Depot Chargers
  • 4.3.4 Digital Freight Platforms' Asset-Light Competition
• 4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.6 Technological Outlook
• 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
  • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts (Value (USD))

• 5.1 By Booking Type
  • 5.1.1 Offline Booking
  • 5.1.2 Online Booking
• 5.2 By Rental Type
  • 5.2.1 Short-term Leasing
  • 5.2.2 Long-term Leasing
• 5.3 By Truck Class
  • 5.3.1 Medium-Duty (7.5-16 t)
  • 5.3.2 Heavy-Duty (Above 16 t)
• 5.4 By End-user Industry
  • 5.4.1 General Freight and 3PL
  • 5.4.2 Construction and Infrastructure
  • 5.4.3 Retail and FMCG
  • 5.4.4 Postal, Parcel and E-commerce
  • 5.4.5 Waste and Municipal Services
• 5.5 By Propulsion Type
  • 5.5.1 Diesel
  • 5.5.2 Battery-Electric
  • 5.5.3 LNG / CNG
  • 5.5.4 Hybrid
• 5.6 By Country
  • 5.6.1 Germany
  • 5.6.2 United Kingdom
  • 5.6.3 France
  • 5.6.4 Spain
  • 5.6.5 Italy
  • 5.6.6 Netherlands
  • 5.6.7 Poland
  • 5.6.8 Rest of Europe

6 Competitive Landscape

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (Includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as Available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for Key Companies, Products and Services, SWOT Analysis, and Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 TIP Group
  • 6.4.2 Fraikin SAS
  • 6.4.3 Ryder System Inc.
  • 6.4.4 Penske Truck Leasing
  • 6.4.5 PACCAR Leasing Company
  • 6.4.6 Heisterkamp Transportation Solutions
  • 6.4.7 Easy Rent Truck & Trailer GmbH
  • 6.4.8 Mercedes-Benz CharterWay
  • 6.4.9 Scania Group
  • 6.4.10 Scania Group
  • 6.4.11 SIXT SE
  • 6.4.12 Enterprise Flex-E-Rent
  • 6.4.13 Dawsongroup Truck & Trailer
  • 6.4.14 Dawsongroup Truck & Trailer
  • 6.4.15 DKV Mobility

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

• 7.1 White-space & Unmet-need Assessment