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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1662704
碳信用检验、确认和认证市场预测至 2030 年:按类型、服务、计划类型、检验类型、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Carbon Credit Validation Verification and Certification Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Compliance and Voluntary), Service, Project Type, Validation Type, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球碳信用检验、确认和认证 (CVVC) 市场预计在 2024 年达到 2.9731 亿美元,预计到 2030 年将达到 12.0678 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 26.3%。
碳信用额的检验、核实和认证是碳信用系统中的重要环节。验证评估碳补偿计划是否符合指定标准且可行。检验涉及第三方审核,以核实计划减少或消除的实际温室气体(GHG)排放。认证检验的碳信用进行官方核准和註册,使其可以在碳市场上交易。
可再生能源和脱碳计划的成长
由于碳补偿来自可再生能源计划,因此需要经过严格的检验和确认程序,以确保符合国际标准。每个产业的脱碳努力都需要可靠的认证来表明排放目标正在实现。透明的信用检验对于建立相关人员的信心至关重要,因为此类计划可以吸引投资。此外,各国政府和国际组织都已采取更严格的立法,增加了对可靠检验服务的需求。严格的环境法要求对碳排放额度进行第三方检验,这是一个市场优势。
验证和检验成本高
高昂的验证和检验成本通常会限制能够通过所需认证过程的计划数量。规模较小和新兴的计划(尤其是新兴市场地区的项目)将受到特别影响,从而减少其对碳市场的参与。它还涉及复杂而严格的标准,会延长时间并阻碍潜在投资者的积极性。这些财务和时间上的限制可能会减少经过认证的碳信用额的整体供应。这反过来又阻碍了市场的成长潜力,阻碍了其可扩展性和更广泛的环境影响。
越来越多的参与企业市场
随着企业越来越多地参与自愿市场和碳中和目标,企业需要第三方检验以确保准确衡量和抵消其对环境的影响。这需要强大的 CVVC 服务来检验自愿市场上交换的碳信用的合法性。此外,监管压力和客户对环保做法的日益偏好也鼓励企业更依赖值得信赖的认证机构。随着越来越多的公司参与碳补偿,CVVC 组织在维持合规性和透明度方面发挥关键作用。
来自新替代品的竞争
基于区块链的系统和分散式平台等新替代方案的竞争将减少对传统第三方检验机构的依赖,从而减少对现有服务的需求。例如,区块链技术提供安全、自动的碳信用跟踪,最大限度地降低诈欺风险并确保即时检验。因此,传统的 CCVVC参与企业面临着调整其服务以满足更快、更具成本效益的解决方案的需求的挑战。此外,企业自我报告和直接碳补偿计划的兴起正在绕过认证机构。
COVID-19 的影响
新冠疫情扰乱了碳信用验证、检验和认证市场,由于旅行限制和劳动力能力下降,计划时间表和审查放缓。组织难以进入计划现场,从而减慢了认证进程。然而,这场危机提高了人们对永续性和气候变迁的认识,导致人们对疫情后碳信用市场的兴趣增加。远端监控技术和数位认证的广泛使用使我们能够适应新规范。随着经济復苏和永续性努力的加强,政府和企业加大了对净零目标的承诺,推动了市场復苏和成长。
预计在预测期内,身份验证部分将占据最大份额
由于确保遵守监管规范,预计认证部分将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。身份验证透过检验信用交易和资料的真实性来增加对金融机构的信任。它还透过提供评估信用度和风险的结构化框架来提高信用评估的准确性。此外,认证还可作为品质保证机制,减少诈欺和业务错误。随着对安全和透明金融服务的需求不断增加,对行业认可的认证的需求也在增加。随着金融市场的发展,身分验证透过简化信用检验流程提供了竞争优势。
预计预测期内农业领域将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
由于农产品的真实性和质量,预计农业部门将在预测期内实现最高成长率。随着对永续农业实践的需求不断增长,认证过程对于检验环保方法和增强市场信心变得至关重要。金融机构和投资者依靠经过认证的信用检验来确保农业计划的合法性。随着可追溯性意识的增强,认证有助于为采用创新和永续做法的农民获得融资。农业贷款和津贴需要适当的检验,以降低贷款人的风险,从而刺激该市场的成长。
在预测期内,由于环保意识的增强和政府旨在减少碳排放的倡议,预计亚太地区将占据最大的市场占有率。中国、印度和日本等国家是主要参与企业,实施政策鼓励企业采用碳中和做法。市场受到寻求碳信用以遵守碳法规和永续性目标的行业需求的驱动。可再生能源计划和森林保护工作的成长进一步促进了市场的扩大。此外,第三方越来越多地参与碳排放认证也增强了市场的可信度。
由于环境问题和法律规范的日益加剧,预计中东和非洲在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。该地区各国政府正致力于永续性发展,以实现全球气候变迁目标,这推动了对碳信用体系的需求。检验和确认是确保碳排放额度真实、可衡量且符合《巴黎协定》等国际标准的关键过程。中东和非洲的多样化能源部门,包括石油、天然气和农业,为碳信用的产生创造了巨大的机会。绿色金融与投资的兴起,进一步支持了碳排放交易市场的发展。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Carbon Credit Validation Verification and Certification Market is accounted for $297.31 million in 2024 and is expected to reach $1206.78 million by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 26.3% during the forecast period. Carbon Credit Validation, Verification, and Certification are critical processes in the carbon credit system. Validation assesses whether a carbon offset project meets specified standards and is feasible. Verification involves third-party audits to confirm the actual amount of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduced or removed by the project. Certification officially approves and registers verified carbon credits, making them tradeable in carbon markets.
Growth of renewable energy and decarbonization projects
Carbon offsets are produced by renewable energy projects, hence strict verification and validation procedures are required to guarantee adherence to international standards. Credible certificates are necessary for decarbonisation initiatives in all industries to show that emission reduction targets are being met. Transparent credit validation is essential for building stakeholder trust because these programs draw investments. Furthermore, the need for trustworthy verification services is increasing as a result of governments and international organisations adopting stronger laws. Strict environmental laws that require third-party verification for carbon credits are advantageous to the market.
High costs of validation and verification
The high costs of validation and verification often limit the number of projects that can afford to go through the necessary certification processes. Smaller or emerging projects, especially in developing regions, are particularly affected, reducing their participation in carbon markets. The complex and rigorous standards involved also lead to prolonged timelines, discouraging potential investors. These financial and time constraints may lower the overall supply of certified carbon credits. Consequently, the market's growth potential is stifled, preventing its scalability and broader environmental impact.
Increased corporate participation in voluntary markets
Companies need third-party verification to make sure their environmental impact is accurately evaluated and offset, as seen by increased corporate engagement in voluntary markets and carbon neutrality targets. Because of this, strong CVVC services are required to verify the legitimacy of carbon credits that are exchanged in voluntary markets. Furthermore, businesses are encouraged to depend on reliable certifying organisations by regulatory pressure and the growing customer preference for ecologically friendly activities. As more businesses participate in carbon offsetting, CVVC organisations play a critical role in maintaining compliance and transparency.
Competition from emerging alternatives
Competition from emerging alternatives, such as blockchain-based systems or decentralized platforms, reduce the reliance on traditional third-party verifiers, leading to reduced demand for established services. Blockchain technology, for example, provides secure, automated tracking of carbon credits, minimizing fraud risks and ensuring real-time verification. As a result, traditional CCVVC players face challenges in adapting their services to meet the demands for faster and cost-effective solutions. Moreover, the rise of corporate self-reporting methods and direct carbon offset projects bypasses certification bodies.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the carbon credit validation, verification, and certification market, delaying project timelines and audits due to travel restrictions and reduced workforce availability. Organizations faced challenges in accessing project sites, slowing certification processes. However, the crisis heightened awareness of sustainability and climate change, driving interest in carbon credit markets post-pandemic. Remote monitoring technologies and digital verification gained traction, enabling adaptation to new norms. Governments and corporation's strengthened commitments to net-zero goals, fostering market recovery and growth as economies rebounded and sustainability initiatives intensified.
The certification segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The certification segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, by ensuring compliance with regulatory standards. Certifications enhance trust in financial institutions by validating the authenticity of credit transactions and data. They offer a structured framework for evaluating creditworthiness and risk, thus improving the accuracy of credit assessments. Additionally, certifications serve as a quality assurance mechanism, reducing fraud and operational errors. The increasing demand for secure, transparent financial services drives the need for recognized certifications in the industry. As financial markets evolve, certifications provide a competitive advantage by streamlining credit verification processes.
The agriculture segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the agriculture segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, due to the authenticity and quality of agricultural products. As the demand for sustainable farming practices grows, certification processes become essential for verifying eco-friendly methods, boosting market trust. Financial institutions and investors rely on certified credit verification to ensure the legitimacy of agricultural projects. With increasing awareness of traceability, certifications help secure financing for farmers adopting innovative and sustainable practices. Agricultural loans and grants require proper validation to reduce risks for lenders, thereby stimulating growth in this market.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share due to increasing environmental awareness and government initiatives aimed at reducing carbon emissions. Countries like China, India, and Japan are key players, implementing policies that encourage businesses to adopt carbon-neutral practices. The market is driven by demand from industries seeking carbon credits to comply with carbon regulations and sustainability targets. The growth of renewable energy projects and forest conservation efforts further contribute to the market's expansion. Additionally, the increasing involvement of third-party organizations in certifying carbon credits enhances the credibility of the market.
Over the forecast period, the Middle East & Africa region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to increased environmental concerns and regulatory frameworks. Governments in this region are focusing on sustainability initiatives to meet global climate targets, which drive demand for carbon credit systems. Validation and verification are crucial processes in ensuring that carbon credits are genuine, measurable, and aligned with international standards such as the Paris Agreement. The MEA region's diverse energy and industrial sectors, including oil, gas, and agriculture, create vast opportunities for carbon credit generation. The rise of green finance and investments is further supporting the development of a carbon credit trading market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Carbon Credit Validation Verification and Certification Market include Verra, Gold Standard, Carbon Trust, International Organization for Standardization (ISO), American Carbon Registry (ACR), Climate Action Reserve, Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC), The Climate Group, International Emissions Trading Association (IETA), Carbon Footprint Ltd, DNV GL, SGS, Bureau Veritas, TUV SUD, TUV Rheinland, Intertek and Bureau Veritas.
In September 2024, Verra announced a strategic partnership with Turkiye's energy exchange, EPIAS, to facilitate the exchange-based trading of Verra-certified carbon credits on the EPIAS platform. This collaboration aims to enhance the credibility and transparency of Turkiye's voluntary carbon market by enabling the buying and selling of verified carbon credits through a regulated, efficient, and transparent marketplace.
In December 2023, Verra, along with other leading independent carbon crediting standards, announced a collaboration to increase the impact of activities under their standards. The collaboration aims to enhance transparency and consistency across the market by learning from each other's best practices, supporting independent assurance of programs by the Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market (ICVCM), aligning standards to common principles for the quantification and accounting of removals and reductions.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.