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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1813425
2032年化肥市场预测:按肥料类型、作物类型、形态、分销管道、应用和地区分類的全球分析Chemical Fertilizers Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Fertilizer Type (Nitrogenous Fertilizers, Phosphate Fertilizers, Potash Fertilizers and Compound Fertilizers), Crop Type, Form, Distribution Channel, Application and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2025 年全球化肥市场价值为 2,200.8 亿美元,预计到 2032 年将达到 3,651.3 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 7.5%。
化学肥料是人造产品,旨在为植物提供氮、磷、钾等重要营养物质,促进植物快速旺盛生长。现代农业重视化肥,因为它们能够迅速肥沃土壤,并显着提高作物产量。与有机肥相比,化学肥料效率更高、劳动强度更低、见效更快。然而,过量使用化学肥料会损害土壤健康,降低长期肥力,并污染水源。化学肥料也会破坏土壤微生物,破坏环境稳定性。因此,虽然化肥对于确保充足的粮食供应至关重要,但其施用应受到控制,并结合环保措施。
据国际肥料协会(IFA)称,受人口增长、饮食习惯变化和提高农业生产力的需求推动,到 2026 年全球肥料需求预计将达到 2 亿吨营养物质。
全球粮食需求不断成长
推动化肥市场发展的强大因素之一是人口成长导致的全球粮食需求快速成长。为了养活更多人口,农民需要提高产量并确保粮食供应。化学肥料在此发挥关键作用,它提供重要的营养物质,加速植物生长并提高产量。由于都市化导致可耕地减少,使用化学肥料有助于最大限度地提高有限农业用地的产量。化肥具有速效和高效的特点,是现代农业不可或缺的必需品。因此,全球粮食需求的不断增长直接导致了化肥需求的成长。
成本上升和依赖性
对化学肥料的日益依赖限制了市场的长期前景。长期使用化学肥料会降低土壤的自然肥力,迫使农民必须大量施用化学肥料以维持作物产量。这种依赖增加了生产成本,为资源有限的小农户带来了挑战。此外,原料价格(尤其是天然气价格)的波动导致化肥价格上涨,且难以取得。这些成本的上涨导致许多开发中国家难以负担化肥,并降低了整体需求。为了减轻经济负担,农民越来越多地转向经济高效且永续的替代品。因此,成本上涨加上日益增长的依赖性,对市场扩张构成了巨大的限制。
肥料创新
肥料技术的创新正在为化肥市场创造巨大的机会。缓释、水溶性和生物强化肥料的推出,提高了养分吸收率,减少了损失。这些先进的产品吸引了那些追求效率和永续性的农民。与精准农业技术相结合,它们可以最大限度地提高作物产量,同时最大限度地减少环境影响。那些重视研发和环保创新的跨国公司在抢占市场份额方面占据有利地位。这些进步不仅提高了农业生产力,也解决了日益增长的永续性问题。因此,肥料配方技术的改进为全球农业市场的长期成长和盈利带来了巨大的机会。
来自有机替代品的竞争
人们对有机农业日益增长的兴趣对化肥产业构成了威胁。随着消费者对更清洁、更安全食品的需求,有机农产品在全球发展势头强劲。由于有机农业主要使用堆肥、化学肥料和生物肥料,这一趋势减少了对化学投入的依赖。此外,许多政府正在透过激励措施、认证和宣传计划积极推广有机农业,使其成为对农民颇具吸引力的选择。人们对永续性和健康饮食的日益重视进一步加速了这一转变。因此,化肥面临着天然替代品的激烈竞争,迫使该行业透过技术创新来适应,否则将面临在不断变化的农业格局中失去竞争力的风险。
新冠疫情对化肥市场产生了强烈衝击,扰乱了市场秩序,也让人们重新认识到农业的重要性。全球封锁扰乱了供应链,延误了化肥的生产和供应。许多农民难以获得充足的供应,影响了作物生产週期。燃料成本上涨和原料短缺进一步推高了化肥价格,导致低收入地区难以负担化肥。儘管有这些障碍,但这场危机凸显了化肥在维护粮食安全方面的作用。因此,各国政府在疫情期间优先考虑农业投入。儘管市场成长在短期内有所放缓,但对化肥的基本需求支撑了后疫情时代的经济復苏。
预测期内,氮肥市场预计将成为最大的市场
氮肥是农业生产力的基础,预计在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。氮对植物生长至关重要,因为它能促进叶绿素的生成、增强光合作用并促进蛋白质的形成。小麦、玉米和水稻等高需求作物严重依赖氮肥投入,导致尿素、硝酸铵和其他氮肥产品被广泛使用。农民青睐这些肥料,因为它们具有速效性和立竿见影的产量效果。粮食需求的增加和可耕地面积的减少进一步提升了氮肥的重要性。因此,氮肥仍是最主要的细分市场,在全球化肥市场中保持领先。
预计水果和蔬菜板块在预测期内将出现最高复合年增长率
预计水果和蔬菜产业将在预测期内实现最高成长率。人们的健康意识不断增强,以及富含植物的饮食的普及,推动了全球新鲜农产品消费的成长。这些作物需要精心的养分管理,而肥料对于提高产量、风味和货架稳定性至关重要。收入的增加、快速的都市化以及园艺产品国际贸易的成长也推动了需求的成长。为了满足这些需求,农民开始转向针对水果和蔬菜种植的先进肥料。随着消费者偏好的不断多样化,预计该行业将快速扩张,并在成长率方面超过其他行业。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额。这一领先地位归功于其广阔的农业用地以及中国和印度等主要国家对农业的严重依赖。随着人口成长导致粮食需求上升,化肥在提高作物产量和确保粮食供应方面发挥关键作用。有限的耕地使得化肥对于该地区的集约农业至关重要。政府的大力支持,包括补贴和农民教育,进一步促进了化学肥料的使用。此外,大米、谷物和蔬菜等作物的出口也推动了需求。因此,亚太地区仍保持其作为主要化肥市场的地位。
预计南美洲在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。这一增长主要由巴西和阿根廷推动,这两个国家大豆、玉米和甘蔗等作物占全球出口的大部分。这些作物需要大量肥料,导致肥料使用量增加。农业用地的扩张、农业方法的现代化以及全球粮食需求的不断增长正在强化这一趋势。此外,政府支持、私人投资和物流的加强正在加速全部区域肥料的使用。由于其在全球食品供应链中的作用不断扩大,预计拉丁美洲仍将是肥料市场成长最快的地区。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Chemical Fertilizers Market is accounted for $220.08 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $365.13 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 7.5% during the forecast period. Chemical fertilizers are man-made products designed to provide vital nutrients such as nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium to plants, promoting rapid and vigorous growth. In modern farming, they are highly valued for their ability to enrich soil instantly and enhance crop production significantly. Compared to organic fertilizers, they are more efficient, require less effort, and show quicker results. Yet, their overuse can damage soil health, lower long-term fertility, and pollute water sources. They may also disrupt soil microorganisms and upset environmental stability. Thus, chemical fertilizers are crucial for ensuring sufficient food supply, but their application should be controlled and combined with eco-friendly methods.
According to the International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global fertilizer demand is projected to reach 200 million tonnes of nutrients by 2026, driven by population growth, dietary shifts, and the need to improve agricultural productivity.
Rising global food demand
One of the strongest factors fueling the chemical fertilizers market is the surge in worldwide food requirements caused by population expansion. With more people to feed, farmers are under pressure to achieve higher production levels and guarantee food supply. Chemical fertilizers play a vital role here, offering critical nutrients that speed up plant growth and increase harvest volumes. Because cultivable land is shrinking due to urbanization, the use of fertilizers helps maximize yield from limited farmland. Their quick action and efficiency make them indispensable in modern farming. Therefore, growing global food needs directly contribute to the rising demand for chemical fertilizers.
Rising costs and dependency
Increased reliance on chemical fertilizers is limiting the market's long-term prospects. Prolonged use depletes natural soil fertility, compelling farmers to apply higher amounts to sustain crop output. This dependency drives up production costs, posing challenges for small-scale farmers with limited resources. Additionally, volatility in raw material prices, especially natural gas, makes fertilizers more expensive and less accessible. Such rising costs create affordability issues in many developing nations, reducing overall demand. Farmers are gradually turning toward cost-effective and sustainable alternatives to ease the financial load. Consequently, the combination of rising expenses and dependency acts as a strong restraint for market expansion.
Technological innovations in fertilizers
Innovation in fertilizer technology is creating strong opportunities for the chemical fertilizers market. The introduction of slow-release, water-soluble, and bio-fortified fertilizers enables better nutrient absorption and reduces losses. These advanced products appeal to farmers seeking efficiency and sustainability. When paired with precision farming practices, they maximize crop yields while minimizing environmental impacts. Global companies that prioritize research and eco-friendly innovations are well-positioned to capture greater market share. Such advancements not only enhance farm productivity but also address growing sustainability concerns. Therefore, technological improvements in fertilizer design open significant opportunities for long-term growth and profitability across global agricultural markets.
Competition from organic alternatives
Rising interest in organic farming presents a growing threat to the chemical fertilizers industry. With consumers demanding cleaner and safer food, organic produce has gained global momentum. This trend decreases reliance on chemical inputs, since organic cultivation primarily uses compost, manures, and biofertilizers. Additionally, many governments actively promote organic farming with incentives, certifications, and awareness programs, making it an appealing option for farmers. The emphasis on sustainability and health-conscious diets further accelerates this shift. As a result, chemical fertilizers face stiff competition from natural alternatives, forcing the industry to adapt through innovation or risk losing relevance in an evolving agricultural landscape.
Covid-19 strongly influenced the chemical fertilizers market, leading to disruptions as well as new realizations about agriculture's importance. Global lockdowns interrupted supply chains, delaying fertilizer manufacturing and delivery. Many farmers struggled to secure adequate supplies, which impacted crop production cycles. Increased fuel costs and shortages of raw materials further drove up fertilizer prices, creating affordability issues in low-income regions. Despite these obstacles, the crisis emphasized the role of fertilizers in maintaining food security. As a result, governments prioritized agricultural inputs during the pandemic. Although market growth slowed in the short term, the essential demand for fertilizers supported recovery in the post-Covid era.
The nitrogenous fertilizers segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The nitrogenous fertilizers segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, as they are fundamental to agricultural productivity. Nitrogen is vital for plant development because it enhances chlorophyll production, facilitates photosynthesis, and aids in protein building. High-demand crops like wheat, maize, and rice depend heavily on nitrogen inputs, driving widespread use of urea, ammonium nitrate, and other nitrogen-based products. Farmers prefer these fertilizers for their immediate effectiveness and ability to boost yields quickly. Increasing food requirements and decreasing arable land further amplify their importance. Consequently, nitrogenous fertilizers remain the most dominant segment, maintaining leadership in the global chemical fertilizers market.
The fruits and vegetables segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the fruits and vegetables segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. Increasing health awareness and the popularity of plant-rich diets are driving higher global consumption of fresh produce. These crops demand careful nutrient management, making fertilizers essential for improving productivity, flavor, and shelf stability. Rising incomes and rapid urbanization are also boosting demand, alongside growth in international trade of horticultural products. To meet these needs, farmers rely on advanced fertilizers tailored for fruit and vegetable cultivation. As consumer preferences continue to diversify, this segment is set to expand rapidly, surpassing others in growth rate.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share. This leadership stems from its extensive farmlands and the agricultural dependence of major countries like China and India. With food demand climbing alongside population growth, fertilizers play a crucial role in boosting crop yields and ensuring food supply. Limited cultivable land has made fertilizers vital for intensive farming in the region. Strong government support, including subsidies and farmer education, further drives their use. Moreover, exports of crops such as rice, cereals, and vegetables add to demand. Thus, Asia-Pacific maintains its position as the leading fertilizer market.
Over the forecast period, the South America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. This growth is largely driven by Brazil and Argentina, where crops like soybeans, corn, and sugarcane dominate global exports. These crops demand intensive fertilizer use, encouraging widespread adoption. Expanding agricultural land, modernization of farming practices and rising global food demand strengthen the trend. Additionally, government support, private investments, and enhanced logistics are accelerating fertilizer penetration across the region. With its expanding role in global food supply chains, Latin America is set to remain the fastest-growing region in the fertilizer market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Chemical Fertilizers Market include Coromandel International, Chambal Fertilisers, Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals (GSFC), Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers (RCF), Deepak Fertilisers, Zuari Agro Chemicals, National Fertilizers Ltd (NFL), Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore (FACT), Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilisers & Chemicals (GNFC), Nagarjuna Fertilisers, ICL Group Ltd., OCI N.V., CVR Partners, Tata Chemicals and Yara International.
In July 2025, Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation's (DFPCL) group company, Performance Chemiserve, has signed a 5.5-year Liquefied Natural Gas regasification agreement with Petronet LNG (PLL). DFPCL Group will be importing the LNG. DFPCL has already signed an LNG sale and purchase agreement with Equinor, a global energy company based in Norway.
In March 2025, Coromandel International Limited announced the signing of definitive agreements to acquire majority stake in NACL Industries Limited (NACL). NACL is an India based Crop Protection player having strong branded formulation business in domestic markets, exports Technicals in key global geographies and has presence in contract manufacturing operations with global multinational agrochemical companies.
In January 2025, ICL announced it has signed a joint venture (JV) agreement with Shenzhen Dynanonic Co., Ltd. to establish lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode active material (CAM) production in Europe, with an initial investment of approximately €285 million. A new facility at ICL's Sallent, Spain, site is currently in planning stages and will substantially expand the company's battery materials business.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.