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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1876723
2032年垃圾焚化发电市场预测:按废弃物类型、原料、产能、技术、应用、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Waste-to-Energy Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Waste Type (Municipal Solid Waste (MSW), Industrial Waste, Agricultural Waste, Medical Waste, and Other Waste Types), Feedstock, Capacity, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
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根据 Stratistics MRC 的一项研究,预计到 2025 年,全球垃圾焚化发电市场价值将达到 391.3 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 608 亿美元,在预测期内的复合年增长率为 6.5%。
垃圾焚化发电(WtE)是指利用废弃物处理产生电力和热能的过程。它透过燃烧、气化、热解和厌氧消化等多种技术,将不可回收的废弃物转化为可用能源。这种方法不仅有助于减少废弃物掩埋,还能提供一种永续的替代能源,进而促进环境保护和资源高效利用。
根据国际能源总署(IEA)的数据,到 2024 年,生质燃料将占全球交通能源需求的约 3.5%,并在道路运输领域发挥特别重要的作用。
废弃物产生量不断增加,而掩埋空间却有限
许多城市正面临废弃物掩埋场空间不足的困境,迫切需要寻找替代性的废弃物管理解决方案。垃圾焚化发电(WtE)技术提供了一种永续的方式,将废弃物转化为可用能源,从而减少对环境的影响和掩埋的依赖。各国政府正透过政策奖励和严格的掩埋减量指令来鼓励采用垃圾发电技术。掩埋维护成本的不断上涨以及遵守环境法规的压力也是推动这项转变的因素。因此,垃圾量的增加和掩埋空间的有限性是推动垃圾发电市场成长的主要因素。
缺乏适当的废弃物分类
混合废弃物会降低能源回收的燃烧效率并增加营运成本。源头缺乏标准化的垃圾分类系统往往会导致污染,对能源产量和设施性能都产生负面影响。许多发展中地区缺乏公共意识和基础设施来有效分类回收物、有机物和危险废弃物。这种低效率阻碍了技术最佳化并造成环境问题。因此,垃圾分类不规范的做法仍限制着各地区垃圾发电技术的普及应用。
垃圾焚化发电技术的进步
先进技术提高了能源回收回收率,同时最大限度地减少了温室气体排放。与数位化监控系统、人工智慧驱动的工厂管理系统和排放控制解决方案的集成,进一步提高了营运效率。模组化和小规模垃圾焚化发电厂的发展,使得分散式能源产出成为可能,尤其是在都市区和工业区。此外,材料和燃烧技术的进步降低了维护成本,并延长了工厂的使用寿命。随着全球永续性目标的日益严格,技术进步正在为垃圾焚化发电市场开闢新的成长机会。
回收和减少垃圾的积极性下降的风险
过度依赖焚烧会导致可回收材料转移到能源回收过程中,损害循环经济的目标。批评人士认为,需要稳定废弃物供应的垃圾焚化发电厂可能会限制废弃物减量工作。为了避免这种衝突,政策制定者正在努力平衡能源回收目标和回收要求。公共意识和政策协调至关重要,以确保垃圾焚化发电能够与回收项目相辅相成,而不是相互竞争。如果没有严格的监管,这种风险可能会损害废弃物管理系统的长期永续性。
新冠疫情对全球废弃物产生模式和能源回收营运产生了重大影响。封锁措施导致废弃物激增,给现有的收集和处理系统带来了挑战。许多垃圾焚化发电厂因劳动力短缺和物流限製而被迫暂停营运。然而,这场危机凸显了建立具有韧性的废弃物管理基础设施以确保环境安全的重要性。疫情过后,预计该产业将更加重视永续性、工人安全和技术整合,以应对未来挑战。
预计在预测期内,都市废弃物(MSW)细分市场将占据最大的市场份额。
由于城市都市区生活垃圾(MSW)来源广泛且产生稳定,预计在预测期内,生活垃圾将占据最大的市场份额。快速的都市化和工业化过程产生了大量的生活垃圾,从而催生了对能源回收解决方案的强劲需求。各国政府正在实施相关政策,将生活垃圾从掩埋转移到能源转换。利用生活垃圾的垃圾焚化发电厂有助于减少温室气体排放,同时也能生产再生能源和热能。智慧分拣和预处理技术的应用正在提高生活垃圾的转换效率。
预计在预测期内,商业领域将实现最高的复合年增长率。
预计在预测期内,商业领域将呈现最高的成长率。办公大楼、零售综合体和住宿设施产生的废弃物排放不断增加,为社区能源回收创造了巨大的机会。企业正在采用垃圾发电 (WtE) 解决方案,以实现永续性目标并降低废弃物成本。紧凑型和模组化垃圾发电装置的技术进步使其成为商业环境的理想选择。此外,零废弃营运的监管压力也正在推动该领域采用垃圾发电技术。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额。由于都市区成长和经济成长,中国、印度和日本等国的废弃物产生量显着增加。该地区各国政府正将垃圾焚烧发电计划作为其永续和能源多元化计画的优先事项。大规模的基础设施投资和有利的法规进一步推动了市场扩张。地方政府与国际技术供应商之间的合作正在提高工厂的效率和营运标准。
在预测期内,北美预计将实现最高的复合年增长率,这主要得益于其技术领先地位和强有力的政策支持。美国和加拿大正在加速将垃圾焚化发电融入循环经济框架和可再生能源战略。等离子气化和基于人工智慧的製程优化等先进技术正在提高能源回收和排放气体控制水准。政府奖励和碳减排目标进一步推动了新建垃圾发电计划的投资。人们对永续废弃物管理和减少掩埋的日益关注也推动了市场成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Waste-to-Energy Market is accounted for $39.13 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $60.80 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 6.5% during the forecast period. Waste-to-Energy (WtE) refers to the process of generating energy in the form of electricity or heat from the treatment of waste materials. It involves converting non-recyclable waste into usable energy through various technologies such as combustion, gasification, pyrolysis, or anaerobic digestion. This approach not only helps reduce landfill waste but also provides a sustainable alternative energy source, contributing to environmental protection and resource efficiency.
According to the International Energy Agency, in 2024, biofuels represented approximately 3.5% of global transport energy demand, especially for road transport.
Increasing waste generation & limited landfill space
Many cities are running out of viable space for waste disposal, intensifying the need for alternative waste management solutions. Waste-to-energy (WTE) technologies offer a sustainable method to convert waste into usable energy, reducing environmental burden and landfill dependency. Governments are encouraging WTE adoption through policy incentives and strict landfill reduction mandates. The increasing cost of landfill maintenance and environmental compliance further supports this shift. Consequently, the expanding waste volumes and limited landfill availability are major drivers propelling the WTE market's growth.
Lack of adequate waste segregation
Mixed waste streams reduce combustion efficiency and increase operational costs for energy recovery plants. The absence of standardized segregation systems at the source often leads to contamination, impacting both energy yield and equipment performance. Many developing regions lack public awareness and infrastructure for effective separation of recyclables, organics, and hazardous waste. This inefficiency hinders technological optimization and raises environmental concerns. Hence, insufficient segregation practices continue to restrain the full potential of WTE deployment across various regions.
Advancements in WTE technologies
The advanced technologies enhance energy recovery rates while minimizing greenhouse gas emissions. Integration with digital monitoring, AI-driven plant management, and emission control solutions is further improving operational efficiency. The development of modular and small-scale WTE plants is enabling decentralized energy generation, especially in urban and industrial areas. Additionally, advancements in materials and combustion technologies are reducing maintenance costs and extending plant lifespan. As sustainability goals tighten globally, technological progress is unlocking new growth opportunities in the WTE market.
Risk of disincentivizing recycling/reduction
Overreliance on incineration could divert recyclable materials into energy recovery processes, undermining circular economy objectives. Critics argue that WTE plants require a consistent waste supply, potentially disincentivizing efforts to minimize waste generation. Policymakers are therefore balancing energy recovery goals with recycling mandates to prevent such conflicts. Public perception and policy alignment are crucial to ensuring that WTE complements, rather than competes with, recycling programs. Without careful regulation, this risk could hinder the long-term sustainability of waste management systems.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly affected waste generation patterns and energy recovery operations worldwide. Lockdowns led to surges in medical and household waste, challenging existing collection and disposal systems. Many WTE facilities faced disruptions due to labor shortages and logistical constraints. However, the crisis highlighted the importance of resilient waste management infrastructure to ensure environmental safety. Post-pandemic, the sector is expected to emphasize sustainability, worker safety, and technology integration for future preparedness.
The municipal solid waste (MSW) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The municipal solid waste (MSW) segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to its high availability and consistent generation across urban centers. Rapid urbanization and industrialization are producing massive volumes of MSW, creating strong demand for energy recovery solutions. Governments are implementing policies to divert municipal waste from landfills toward energy conversion. WTE plants using MSW help reduce greenhouse gas emissions while producing renewable electricity and heat. The integration of smart sorting and pre-treatment technologies is enhancing MSW conversion efficiency.
The commercial sector segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the commercial sector segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. Increasing waste output from offices, retail complexes, and hospitality facilities is creating significant opportunities for localized energy recovery. Businesses are adopting WTE solutions to meet corporate sustainability goals and reduce waste disposal costs. Technological advancements in compact and modular WTE units make them ideal for commercial settings. Additionally, regulatory pressures for zero-waste operations are driving adoption in this segment.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share. Rising urban populations and economic growth are driving substantial increases in waste generation across countries like China, India, and Japan. Governments in the region are prioritizing WTE projects as part of their sustainable development and energy diversification plans. Large-scale infrastructure investments and favorable regulations are further supporting market expansion. Collaborations between local authorities and international technology providers are enhancing plant efficiency and operational standards.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to technological leadership and strong policy support. The U.S. and Canada are increasingly integrating WTE into circular economy frameworks and renewable energy strategies. Advanced technologies such as plasma gasification and AI-based process optimization are enhancing energy recovery and emission control. Government incentives and carbon reduction targets are further stimulating investment in new WTE projects. Growing emphasis on sustainable waste management and landfill diversion is also propelling market growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Waste-to-Energy Market include Veolia, SUEZ, Covanta, Hitachi Zo, Babcock &, Keppel Se, Enerkem, CNIM, Mitsubishi, Doosan Le, Thermax, MARTIN G, Wheelabr, Sembcorp, and Acciona.
In October 2025, TotalEnergies and Veolia have signed a memorandum of understanding for further cooperation in several key areas of energy transition and circular economy, in line with their respective approaches to reduce their greenhouse gases emissions and water footprint. This cooperation will benefit the entire industry through the scaling up of innovative processes and the advancement of research into future-oriented challenges.
In April 2025, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation announced that it has acquired all shares of Ascension Lifts Limited, an Irish elevator company based in Dublin, through its wholly owned subsidiary Motum AB, headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Mitsubishi Electric and its Tokyo-based subsidiary Mitsubishi Electric Building Solutions Corporation are expanding their worldwide business in elevator maintenance and renewal, which is expected to enjoy growing demand in the building systems sector, one of Mitsubishi Electric's priority growth businesses.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.