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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1961083
乳製品市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会和预测(按产品类型、性质、最终用户、分销管道、地区和竞争格局划分,2021-2031年)Dairy Product Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity and Forecast, By Product Type, By Nature, By End User, By Distribution Channel, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球乳製品市场预计将从 2025 年的 6,756.5 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 9,358.6 亿美元,复合年增长率为 5.58%。
这个市场主要由源自牛奶(如牛、羊、山羊等哺乳动物的奶)的营养丰富的食品组成,包括液态奶、起司、优格和奶油等产品。全球成长主要得益于快速的都市化和人口成长,这推动了人们对便利、高蛋白营养来源的需求。此外,开发中国家可支配收入的增加使消费者能够透过摄取高价值的动物性蛋白质来丰富膳食,从而支撑了所有产品类型的需求。根据联合国粮食及农业组织(粮农组织)的预测,到2024年,全球牛奶产量预计将接近9.79亿吨,而加工技术的进步(延长了产品的保质期)和供应链物流的改善将进一步促进这一增长。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 6756.5亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 9358.6亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 5.58% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 在线的 |
| 最大的市场 | 欧洲 |
儘管前景乐观,但该行业仍面临许多可能限制未来发展的重大障碍。其中一项主要挑战是日益严格的废弃物管理和温室气体排放环境法规,这将增加生产商的营运成本。除了这些监管负担外,气候变迁和饲料价格波动也威胁着利润率,并可能限制製造商扩大生产规模以满足不断增长的全球需求的能力。
新兴市场可支配收入的成长和都市化正在从根本上改变全球乳製品消费习惯,并成为推动销售量成长的主要动力。随着印度和中国等国中产阶级的壮大,人们的饮食结构正从高碳水化合物饮食转向高蛋白饮食,这显着增加了对加工乳製品和生乳的需求。低温运输物流和零售基础设施的进步进一步推动了这一人口趋势,使不断扩张的都市区能够更便捷地获得新鲜乳製品。根据美国农业部海外农业局2024年10月发布的《印度乳製品年鑑》,预计这些社会经济因素将推动印度生乳消费量在2025年达到9,100万吨。
同时,高附加价值细分市场(尤其是优格和起司)的成长正成为市场价值的关键催化剂。生产商正加速产品系列多元化,不再局限于液态奶,以确保功能性乳製品和西式乳製品带来的高利润率。这一趋势的驱动力在于消费者不断变化的饮食偏好以及乳製品在全球范围内融入简便食品。美国农业部海外农业局于2024年7月发布的《乳製品:全球市场与贸易》报告也印证了这一趋势,该报告预测,随着主要出口国加大对起司生产的投入,2024年全球起司出口量将增加3%。为了满足不断增长的整体需求,供应端也在积极调整。国际酪农联合会(IDF)于2024年10月发布的《2024年全球酪农情势报告》显示,2023年全球原乳产量增加了2.1%。
日益严格的废弃物管理和温室气体排放环境法规是全球乳製品市场面临的主要阻碍因素。各国政府和国际组织不断加强其减少农业排放和降低碳足迹的义务,导致生产商承担了高昂的合规成本。这些监管压力往往需要耗资巨资建设基础设施并强制减少牲畜数量才能实现永续性目标,直接限制了加工用牛奶的供应。因此,生产商无法有效扩大生产规模,无法充分利用不断增长的消费者需求,导致供需失衡,阻碍了整体市场成长。
当前的法规环境迫使产业相关人员将资金投入到无法产生收益的合规措施中,而非扩大产能。随着排放法规和废弃物管理系统相关成本的增加,许多酪农的经营永续性正在下降,导致市场整合和部分酪农退出市场。根据澳洲乳业局2024年的预测,由于酪农面临持续的结构性压力和不断增长的投入需求,该国的牛奶产量预测已下调至约83亿公升。主要产区的这些限制削弱了稳定市场所需的供应韧性,从而拖慢了整个产业的财务成长速度。
随着主要生产商积极从化石基原生塑胶转向完全可回收和可再生材料,循环和永续包装解决方案的采用正在改变整个产业。这项转变的驱动力在于实现循环经济目标和减少范围3排放的需求,迫使企业重新设计包装,以提高其可回收性,同时又不影响食品安全或保质期。创新措施包括纤维基容器、生物基瓶盖,以及引入透明聚对苯二甲酸乙二醇酯(PET)瓶,以取代难以回收的彩色瓶。根据Arla Foods于2025年2月发布的《2024年财务与永续发展报告》,该合作社已实现其关键目标,即到2024年底,将自有品牌产品包装设计为可回收材料。
同时,无乳糖和特定成分产品的普及正在加速,这些产品正从小众的医疗必需品转变为面向更广泛消费群体的、以生活方式为导向的功能性选择。这一趋势的驱动力在于,越来越多的人追求消化健康和更轻盈的替代品,製造商正在加速投资酶法技术,以在去除乳糖的同时,保持传统乳製品的天然风味和营养成分。在这个领域,产品多样化正在迅速发展,从液态乳製品到优格、奶油和优质乳酪,以满足注重健康的消费者的需求。例如,Valio 于 2025 年 2 月发表的报导《无乳糖乳製品快速成长-为何对企业有利》指出,2021 年至 2024 年间,全球无乳糖乳製品新品上市数量以 11% 的复合年增长率增长。
The Global Dairy Product Market is projected to expand from USD 675.65 Billion in 2025 to USD 935.86 Billion by 2031, reflecting a CAGR of 5.58%. This market comprises a diverse range of nutrient-rich foods derived mainly from the milk of mammals like cattle, goats, and sheep, including items such as liquid milk, cheese, yogurt, and butter. Global growth is fundamentally underpinned by rapid urbanization and strong population increases, which stimulate the demand for convenient, protein-dense nutrition. Additionally, rising disposable incomes in developing nations enable consumers to enrich their diets with high-value animal proteins, supporting demand across all product categories. As stated by the 'Food and Agriculture Organization' in '2024', world milk production is expected to approach 979 million tonnes, an expansion further supported by advancements in processing technologies and supply chain logistics that enhance product shelf stability.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 675.65 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 935.86 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 5.58% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Online |
| Largest Market | Europe |
Despite this positive outlook, the sector encounters significant obstacles that could limit its future progress. A major challenge involves the tightening of environmental regulations concerning waste management and greenhouse gas emissions, which increases operational costs for producers. These regulatory burdens, coupled with climatic instability and the volatility of feed prices, threaten profit margins and may restrict the ability of manufacturers to scale their operations sufficiently to satisfy growing global requirements.
Market Driver
Rising disposable incomes and urbanization in emerging markets are fundamentally altering global dairy consumption habits, serving as the primary engine for volume expansion. As middle-class populations grow in countries such as India and China, there is a distinct shift from carbohydrate-based diets to protein-rich nutrition, significantly increasing the demand for processed dairy and fluid milk. This demographic trend is further supported by advancements in cold chain logistics and retail infrastructure, which facilitate access to fresh dairy in expanding urban centers. According to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service's 'Dairy and Products Annual - India' report from October 2024, domestic fluid milk consumption in India is expected to rise to 91 million metric tons in 2025, driven largely by these socioeconomic factors.
Simultaneously, the growth of the value-added segment, particularly yogurt and cheese, acts as a crucial catalyst for market value. Producers are increasingly diversifying their portfolios beyond liquid milk to secure higher margins associated with functional and western-style dairy items. This development is bolstered by changing culinary preferences and the global integration of dairy into convenience foods. Underscoring this trend, the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service's 'Dairy: World Markets and Trade' report from July 2024 forecasts a 3 percent rise in global cheese exports in 2024 as key exporters focus on cheese production. To meet this rising aggregate demand, the supply side remains active; the International Dairy Federation's 'World Dairy Situation Report 2024' from October 2024 notes that total global unprocessed milk production increased by 2.1 percent in 2023.
Market Challenge
The tightening of environmental regulations regarding waste management and greenhouse gas emissions represents a significant constraint on the global dairy product market. Governments and international organizations are increasingly enforcing strict mandates to minimize agricultural runoff and reduce carbon footprints, resulting in substantial compliance costs for producers. These regulatory pressures often require expensive infrastructure upgrades or mandatory herd reductions to meet sustainability targets, directly limiting the volume of milk available for processing. Consequently, the inability to efficiently scale production prevents manufacturers from fully capitalizing on rising consumption needs, creating a supply-demand imbalance that impedes overall market expansion.
This regulatory environment forces industry participants to divert capital toward non-revenue-generating compliance measures rather than capacity growth. As expenses related to emission controls and waste management systems increase, the operational viability for many farmers decreases, leading to market consolidation or exits. According to 'Dairy Australia' in '2024', the national milk production forecast was adjusted to approximately 8.3 billion litres as producers faced persistent structural pressures and elevated input requirements. Such limitations in key production regions restrict the supply elasticity required to stabilize the market, thereby slowing the sector's broader financial trajectory.
Market Trends
The adoption of circular and sustainable packaging solutions is reshaping the industry as major producers aggressively transition from virgin fossil-based plastics to fully recyclable and renewable materials. This shift is driven by the need to meet circular economy goals and reduce Scope 3 emissions, compelling companies to redesign formats for better end-of-life processability without compromising food safety or shelf life. Innovations include the deployment of fiber-based containers, bio-based caps, and clear polyethylene terephthalate (PET) bottles that replace difficult-to-recycle colored variants. According to Arla Foods, February 2025, in the 'Annual Financial and Sustainability Report 2024', the cooperative achieved a significant milestone where 94 percent of the packaging for its own brands was designed for recycling by the end of 2024.
At the same time, the mainstreaming of lactose-free and free-from varieties is transforming these products from niche medical necessities into lifestyle-oriented functional options for a broader consumer base. This trend is fueled by a growing demographic seeking digestive wellness and lighter alternatives, prompting manufacturers to invest in enzymatic technologies that eliminate lactose while preserving the natural taste and nutritional profile of conventional dairy. The segment is witnessing rapid product diversification, expanding beyond fluid milk into yogurts, creams, and premium cheeses to cater to health-conscious shoppers. Highlighting this momentum, according to Valio, February 2025, in the article 'Lactose free dairy is booming-here's why that's good for business', global lactose-free milk product launches grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11 percent between 2021 and 2024.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Dairy Product Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Dairy Product Market.
Global Dairy Product Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: