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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1971365

全球奶粉市场－按产品类型、销售管道、地区和竞争格局分類的产业规模、份额、趋势、机会和预测（2021-2031年）

Evaporated Milk Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity and Forecast, By Product Type (Skimmed, Whole), By Sales Channel (Supermarket/Hypermarket, Convenience Stores, Online, Others), By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 185 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

全球炼乳市场预计将从 2025 年的 59.3 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 69.7 亿美元，复合年增长率为 2.73%。

这种浓缩乳是通过去除原奶中约60%的水分，然后进行均质化和巴氏杀菌製成的。其市场成长主要得益于其保质期长、无需冷藏即可保持稳定等特性，这在低温运输物流不完善的地区尤其重要。此外，该产品在烘焙、糖果甜点和饮料行业的广泛应用也持续推动全球需求。

市场概览
预测期 2027-2031
市场规模：2025年 59.3亿美元
市场规模：2031年 69.7亿美元
复合年增长率：2026-2031年 2.73%
成长最快的细分市场 在线的
最大的市场 欧洲

近期产业指标显示，炼乳产量正呈现復苏迹象，摆脱先前下滑的趋势。根据国际酪农联合会（IDF）预测，2024年全球炼乳产量将年增1.4%，其中美国和欧盟将占据约50%的市场份额。然而，由于消费者偏好转向生乳和植物基替代品，该行业正面临严峻挑战，这一趋势可能会阻碍已开发经济体的市场成长。

市场驱动因素

全球烘焙、糖果甜点和饮料行业的成长是淡奶市场的主要驱动力。这主要归功于淡奶能提升风味和口感的特性。它正日益成为一种口感醇厚且经济实惠的生牛奶和奶油替代品，并在亚洲料理中广泛应用，例如用于製作蛋奶冻、汤和奶茶。星狮集团（Fraser & Neave, Limited）的报告凸显了淡乳商业性的强劲成长动能。该公司在2024年12月发布的《2024年度报告》中指出，旗下品牌TEAPOT透过与饮料和烘焙企业建立策略合作伙伴关係，实现了40%的年增长率，显着优于同类产品的整体表现。

同时，在低温运输基础设施不完善的地区，不易腐烂乳製品的需求仍是市场需求的重要驱动力。在东南亚和拉丁美洲的许多开发中国家，加糖炼乳是重要的营养来源，在常温下不易变质。根据美国农业部海外农业局2025年3月发布的《秘鲁食品加工原料年度报告》，加糖炼乳和炼乳约占全国乳製品市场总量的45%。此外，美国农业部海外农业局2025年11月发布的《菲律宾：乳製品年度报告》预测，2026年，菲律宾乳製品总需求量将增加1.5%，达到350万吨，凸显了依赖进口地区对这些产品的持续依赖。

市场挑战

全球炼乳市场面临的主要障碍之一是消费者日益倾向于选择生牛奶和植物来源替代品，尤其是在已开发地区。随着消费者优先考虑那些被认为更新鲜、加工更少、更环保的产品，对保质期长的浓缩乳的需求正在下降。在成熟市场，消费者越来越多地用生牛奶或植物来源产品（例如杏仁奶和燕麦奶）来取代烹饪和咖啡中的传统炼乳。这使得炼乳从日常必需品转变为偶尔用于烘焙的原料，从而限制了其产量增长。

消费模式的转变导致主要乳製品产业的生产显着停滞。根据欧洲乳业协会预测，到2024年，欧盟炼乳产量将稳定在100万吨，不再实现年成长。这个关键市场的停滞凸显了饮食习惯的改变如何直接抵消了扩张政策的影响，儘管其他地区取得了进展，但实际上却限制了整个产业的成长。

市场趋势

目前，包装产业正经历一场重大变革，加速永续和可重复密封包装形式的转型。随着製造商从传统的金属罐转向低碳替代品，大型乳製品公司正积极采用可再生纤维纸盒，以满足严格的环境目标和消费者对环保产品的需求。这项转型降低了供应链的碳足迹，并引入了可重复密封盖等便利功能，解决了一次性罐装包装的储存难题。根据利乐公司于2025年6月发布的《2024财年永续发展报告》，其整个价值链的温室气体排放较2019年基准值减少了25%。这项成就主要归功于业界对资源高效型包装解决方案的采用。

同时，针对特定营养需求和健康意识趋势的加值产品线的推出，正在为市场注入新的活力。製造商透过在加糖炼乳添加维生素、矿物质和必需蛋白质，使其从普通产品升级为功能性健康成分，从而实现产品差异化。这种优质化策略使品牌能够获得更高的利润率，并对抗基础浓缩乳的同质化趋势。根据 Arla Foods 于 2025 年 8 月发布的《2025 财年上半年报告》，该公司原材料部门的销售额增长了 53.7%，这主要得益于全球对功能性配方和用于支持高端产品的增值乳蛋白质的强劲需求。

目录

第一章概述

第二章：调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章：客户心声

第五章：全球奶粉市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
    • 按金额
  • 市占率及预测
    • 依产品类型（脱脂、全脂）
    • 销售管道（超级市场/大卖场、便利商店、线上、其他）
    • 按地区
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市场地图

第六章：北美奶粉市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 北美洲：国别分析
    • 我们
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第七章：欧洲奶粉市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 欧洲：国别分析
    • 德国
    • 法国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 西班牙

第八章：亚太地区奶粉市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 亚太地区：国别分析
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韩国
    • 澳洲

第九章：中东与非洲奶粉市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 中东与非洲：国别分析
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 南非

第十章：南美洲奶粉市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 南美洲：国别分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥伦比亚
    • 阿根廷

第十一章 市场动态

  • 促进因素
  • 任务

第十二章 市场趋势与发展

  • 併购
  • 产品发布
  • 近期趋势

第十三章：全球奶粉市场：SWOT分析

第十四章：波特五力分析

  • 产业竞争
  • 新进入者的潜力
  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 顾客权力
  • 替代品的威胁

第十五章 竞争格局

  • Nestle SA
  • Dana Dairy Group LTD
  • Arla Foods amba
  • Fraser and Neave, Limited
  • Alaska Milk Corporation
  • Yotsuba Milk Products Co., Ltd.
  • Royal FrieslandCampina NV
  • Delta Food Industries FZC
  • Alokozay Group
  • Eagle Family Foods Group LLC

第十六章 策略建议

第十七章：关于研究公司及免责声明

简介目录
Product Code: 26665

The Global Evaporated Milk Market is projected to expand from USD 5.93 Billion in 2025 to USD 6.97 Billion by 2031, reflecting a CAGR of 2.73%. This concentrated dairy staple is produced by eliminating roughly 60% of fresh milk's water content before undergoing homogenization and sterilization. The market's growth is anchored by the product's extended shelf life and stability without refrigeration, features that are indispensable in areas with inadequate cold chain logistics, while its widespread use in bakery, confectionery, and beverage applications continues to fuel global demand.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 5.93 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 6.97 Billion
CAGR 2026-20312.73%
Fastest Growing SegmentOnline
Largest MarketEurope

Recent industry metrics suggest a rebound in production levels following prior declines. According to the International Dairy Federation, global condensed milk production rose by 1.4% in 2024 compared to the preceding year, with the United States and European Union comprising nearly 50% of the total market share. Nevertheless, the sector encounters significant headwinds due to evolving consumer preferences favoring fresh milk and plant-based substitutes, a trend that threatens to hinder market growth in developed economies.

Market Driver

The growth of the global bakery, confectionery, and beverage sectors acts as a primary propellant for the evaporated milk market, largely due to the product's ability to enhance flavor and texture. It is increasingly adopted as a creamy, economical alternative to fresh milk and cream, finding extensive application in Asian cuisines for custards, soups, and milk tea preparations. This strong commercial adoption is highlighted by Fraser & Neave, Limited; in their 'Annual Report 2024' published in December 2024, the company noted that its TEAPOT brand recorded a 40% growth rate for the fiscal year, significantly outpacing the broader category through strategic partnerships with beverage and bakery operators.

Concurrently, the need for non-perishable dairy options in areas lacking robust cold chain infrastructure remains a crucial driver of market demand. In many developing nations across Southeast Asia and Latin America, evaporated milk serves as an essential nutritional source that resists spoilage under ambient conditions. According to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service's 'Food Processing Ingredients Annual' report for Peru in March 2025, evaporated and condensed milk comprise nearly 45% of the country's total dairy market. Furthermore, the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service's 'Philippines: Dairy and Products Annual' report from November 2025 projects total dairy demand to rise by 1.5% to 3.5 million metric tons in 2026, emphasizing the enduring reliance on these products in import-dependent regions.

Market Challenge

A significant obstacle to the Global Evaporated Milk Market is the growing consumer preference for fresh milk and plant-based alternatives, especially within developed regions. As shoppers increasingly prioritize items viewed as fresher, less processed, or more environmentally friendly, the appetite for shelf-stable dairy concentrates has diminished. In mature markets, consumers are replacing traditional evaporated milk in culinary and coffee applications with fresh liquid milk or plant-derived options such as almond and oat beverages, transforming the product from a daily staple into an infrequent baking ingredient and thereby limiting volume growth.

This shift in consumption has led to a noticeable stagnation in manufacturing output across key dairy sectors. According to the European Dairy Association, production of condensed milk in the European Union leveled off at 1.000 million tonnes in 2024, exhibiting no growth relative to the prior year. Such stagnation in a major market highlights how changing dietary patterns are directly counteracting expansion initiatives, effectively imposing a ceiling on industry performance despite progress in other geographical areas.

Market Trends

The industry is currently undergoing a significant transformation regarding packaging, shifting towards sustainable and resealable formats as manufacturers transition from traditional metal cans to lower-carbon alternatives. Major dairy corporations are actively adopting renewable, fiber-based cartons to align with strict environmental goals and consumer preferences for eco-friendly goods. This transition reduces the supply chain's carbon footprint and introduces convenient features like resealable caps, resolving the storage issues associated with single-use tins. According to Tetra Pak's 'Sustainability Report FY24' from June 2025, the company realized a 25% decrease in greenhouse gas emissions across its value chain compared to its 2019 baseline, a result driven largely by the sector's adoption of resource-efficient packaging solutions.

At the same time, the market is being revitalized by the introduction of value-added fortified product lines designed to meet specific nutritional needs and health-conscious trends. Manufacturers are differentiating their offerings by enriching evaporated milk with vitamins, minerals, and essential proteins, elevating the product from a standard commodity to a functional wellness ingredient. This premiumization approach enables brands to secure higher margins and counter the commoditization of basic dairy concentrates. According to Arla Foods' 'Half-year report 2025' released in August 2025, the company's ingredients division saw revenue surge by 53.7%, fueled by robust global demand for functional formulations and value-added dairy proteins that support these advanced products.

Key Market Players

  • Nestle S.A.
  • Dana Dairy Group LTD
  • Arla Foods amba
  • Fraser and Neave, Limited
  • Alaska Milk Corporation
  • Yotsuba Milk Products Co., Ltd.
  • Royal FrieslandCampina N.V
  • Delta Food Industries FZC
  • Alokozay Group
  • Eagle Family Foods Group LLC

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Evaporated Milk Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Evaporated Milk Market, By Product Type

  • Skimmed
  • Whole

Evaporated Milk Market, By Sales Channel

  • Supermarket/Hypermarket
  • Convenience Stores
  • Online
  • Others

Evaporated Milk Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Evaporated Milk Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Evaporated Milk Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Product Type (Skimmed, Whole)
    • 5.2.2. By Sales Channel (Supermarket/Hypermarket, Convenience Stores, Online, Others)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Product Type
    • 6.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 6.3.2. Canada Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Sales Channel

7. Europe Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Product Type
    • 7.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.2. France Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.4. Italy Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.5. Spain Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Sales Channel

8. Asia Pacific Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Product Type
    • 8.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.2. India Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.3. Japan Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.5. Australia Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Sales Channel

9. Middle East & Africa Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Product Type
    • 9.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 9.3.2. UAE Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Sales Channel

10. South America Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Product Type
    • 10.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Sales Channel

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Evaporated Milk Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Nestle S.A.
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Dana Dairy Group LTD
  • 15.3. Arla Foods amba
  • 15.4. Fraser and Neave, Limited
  • 15.5. Alaska Milk Corporation
  • 15.6. Yotsuba Milk Products Co., Ltd.
  • 15.7. Royal FrieslandCampina N.V
  • 15.8. Delta Food Industries FZC
  • 15.9. Alokozay Group
  • 15.10. Eagle Family Foods Group LLC

16. Strategic Recommendations

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