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全球电动客车市场规模、份额和行业趋势分析报告:2023-2030年按电池类型、车辆、应用、最终用途和地区划分的展望和预测Global Electric Bus Market Size, Share & Industry Trends Analysis Report By Battery Type, By Vehicle, By Application (Intercity, and Intracity), By End-use (Public, and Private), By Regional Outlook and Forecast, 2023 - 2030 |
电动公交车市场规模预计到 2030 年将达到 1212 亿美元,预测期内復合年增长率为 20.8%。
市场增长因素
柴油和汽油价格上涨
与同类汽油或柴油汽车相比,电动汽车可以显着降低运营成本。 电动汽车不使用汽油或柴油等化石燃料,而是使用能源为电池充电。 其卓越的效率和较低的能源成本使电动汽车比汽油或柴油汽车更便宜。 电动汽车还有助于保护环境,因为它们由可再生能源提供动力。 如果使用可再生能源充电,例如公交车站安装的太阳能电池板,电费甚至会更便宜。 为此,世界各国都在从传统汽车向电动汽车转型,市场不断扩大。
采用先进技术,快速工业化、电气化
快速城市化、人口快速增长、工业部门扩张和基础设施发展是全球优质运输车辆数量大幅增加的主要因素。 特别是在发展中国家,工业部门的扩张正在为采矿、建筑和旅游业等多个行业创造大量就业机会。 因此,更多的就业机会意味着更多的通勤者,这对公共交通服务的需求产生重要影响。 这一因素推动了对高效公共交通方式的需求。
市场製约因素
电动汽车电池的高开发成本和安全问题
电池需要一个管理系统来确保最佳的工作温度和安全性。 然而,製造商必须花费大量时间和金钱来发明先进的电池管理系统。 对于电动公交车来说,电池组的尺寸会影响车辆的续航里程和电池价格。 电池的大尺寸使电动公交车车身和底盘的设计进一步复杂化。 根据年/日行驶里程、工作温度和充电水平/速率等多种因素,这些电池在公交车的使用寿命内至少需要更换一次或两次。 因此,这些因素对市场扩张构成了重大障碍。
车辆视图
根据车辆,市场分为纯电动汽车、插电式混合动力汽车和燃料电池电动汽车。 燃料电池电动汽车(FCEV)细分市场在2022年实现了可观的市场增长率。 得益于燃料电池电动汽车,温室气体排放和空气污染得到部分减少。 由于政府更加积极地减少碳排放和保护环境,该细分市场正在增长。 例如,德国正在加速使用燃料电池公交车。 德国政府正在为公共交通电动汽车的生产和安装做出重大贡献。
电池类型展望
根据电池类型,市场分为镍锰钴酸锂和磷酸铁锂。 2022年,镍锰钴酸锂细分市场在市场中取得了巨大的收入份额。 此类可充电锂离子电池矿物以粉末形式批量用作正极材料。 这种材料的特点是具有极好的热稳定性。 镍镁钴电池由于其自热率低、容量高、循环率高和功率输出高等优点,在电动公交车中越来越受欢迎。
使用前景
按照用途,市场分为城际市场和城内市场。 2022年,城市内市场的市场增长率显着。 随着新兴经济体意识到减少碳排放的必要性以及更严格的排放法规鼓励使用电动公交车,这一细分市场正在不断增长。 城市化进程的不断加快使得清洁交通解决方案变得至关重要。 由于不断增长的城市人口需要广泛的城市交通,电动交通具有巨大的潜力。
最终用途展望
根据最终用途,市场分为公共市场和私人市场。 2022 年,公共部门在市场上占有最高的收入份额。 市场的很大一部分与运输服务需求的增加以及政府努力减少温室气体排放和对化石燃料的依赖有关。 公共举措通常侧重于开发支持电动公交车所需的充电基础设施。 这包括在公交车站、终点站和公交车路线沿线安装充电站。
区域展望
按地区划分,我们对北美、欧洲、亚太地区和拉美地区 (LAMEA) 的市场进行了分析。 2022 年,亚太地区收入市场份额最大。 对环保交通不断增长的需求以及印度、中国和日本等国家的存在是促成这一扩张的因素。 中国是市场的关键参与者,也是顶级公司的所在地。 例如,截至2020年底,中国新能源公交车保有量超过46.6万辆,其中纯电动公交车37.87万辆。 严格的政府法规、环境问题和不断扩大的充电基础设施也推动了该地区的需求。
The Global Electric Bus Market size is expected to reach $121.2 billion by 2030, rising at a market growth of 20.8% CAGR during the forecast period.
Battery Electric Vehicle are gaining traction in the Market due to the rising greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Therefore, Battery Electric Vehicle accounted for $19.3 billion revenue in the market in 2022. Employing hydrogen energy for transportation as well as business and industrial uses will drastically cut GHG emissions. The announcement of GHG emission reduction targets has compelled bus makers to use electric alternatives. For example, 2019 saw the establishment of the Colorado emissions reduction target in the US. By setting the baseline at its 2005 levels, it has set reduction goals of 26% by 2025, 50% by 2030, and 90% by 2050. Similarly, by 2030, Germany wants to reduce carbon emissions by at least 65% compared to 1990 levels. One of the leading nations in adopting electric buses is the Netherlands, which already employs electric public buses in day-to-day operations and wants to have all of its public bus transportation emission-free by 2030. The market is anticipated to increase as a result.
The major strategies followed by the market participants are Product Launches as the key developmental strategy in order to keep pace with the changing demands of end users. For instance, In June, 2023, Yutong Bus Co., Ltd. announced the launch of YEA, a technology platform for energy commercial vehicles. The YEA features two core components namely, the C-architecture used as a CPU of the commercial vehicle and the YOS, a commercial vehicle operating system featuring a self-developed OS by Yutong Bus. Additionally, In April,2023, Daimler Truck AG unveiled the Rizon brand of medium-duty trucks. The Rizon branded trucks feature lithium iron phosphate batteries and a single charge mileage of up to 110 miles.
Based on the Analysis presented in the KBV Cardinal matrix; Volkswagen AG and Mercedes-Benz Group AG (Daimler Truck Holding AG) are the forerunners in the Market. In June, 2023, Volkswagen AG released ID. Buzz electric bus. The ID. Buzz features an electric motor capable of producing power of up to 282 horsepower and a maximum speed of up to 99 mph. Furthermore, the bus features power-sliding doors on both sides. Companies such as Hyundai Motor Company, Volvo Group, Nissan Motor Co., Ltd are some of the key innovators in the Market.
Market Growth Factors
Escalating prices for diesel and petrol
Compared to a comparable gasoline or diesel vehicle, an electric car offers substantially reduced operating costs. Instead of using fossil fuels like gasoline or diesel, electric vehicles charge their batteries using energy. Due to their superior efficiency and lower cost of energy, electric automobiles are more affordable to charge than gasoline or diesel vehicles. Deploying electric vehicles can help protect the environment when powered by renewable energy. If charging is done using renewable energy sources like solar panels placed in bus depots, the cost of electricity can be further decreased. Due to this, nations are moving from conventional to electric vehicles worldwide, causing the market to grow.
Use of advanced technologies, rapid industrialization, and electrification
Rapid urbanization, fast population growth, the expansion of the industrial sector, and infrastructural development are the primary drivers of the significant increase in good transport vehicles worldwide. Numerous job opportunities are emerging in several industries, like mining, building, and tourism, due to the expansion of the industrial sector, especially in developing countries. As a result, since there are more employment opportunities, there are also more commuters, which has an important impact on the demand for public transportation services. This factor is driving the demand for efficient public transport modes.
Market Restraining Factors
High development costs and safety issues with EV batteries
The battery needs a management system that guarantees the best operational temperature and security. However, manufacturers must spend a lot of time and money on advanced battery management systems inventions. Regarding electric buses, the size of the battery pack affects both the vehicle's driving range and the battery price. Further complicating the design of the body and chassis of electric buses is the large battery size. Depending on several factors, including the annual/daily mileage, operating temperature, and charging level/rate, these batteries must be replaced at least once or twice throughout the bus's operational lifespan. As a result, such factors are proving to be a significant barrier to market expansion.
Vehicle Outlook
Based on Vehicle, the market is characterized into battery electric vehicle, plug-in hybrid electric vehicle, and fuel cell electric vehicle. The fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV) segment procured a considerable growth rate in the market in 2022. Greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution are reduced in part owing to the FCEV. The segment is expanding due to more aggressive government attempts to cut carbon emissions and save the environment. For instance, the use of fuel-cell transit buses is accelerating in Germany. For the production and installation of electric public transportation vehicles in the nation, the German government has made significant contributions.
Battery Type Outlook
On the basis of battery type, the market is classified into lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide and lithium iron phosphate. The lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide segment recorded a significant revenue share in the market in 2022. The minerals in this type of rechargeable lithium-ion batteries are used in powder form in batch numbers as a cathode material. Extremely great thermal stability characterizes this material. The nickel magnesium cobalt battery has become more popular for use in electric buses because of its beneficial characteristics, which include a high capacity, cycle rate, and power, in addition to a low self-heating rate.
Application Outlook
By application, the market is divided into intercity and intracity. The intracity segment garnered a remarkable growth rate in the market in 2022. The segment is expanding as developing economies become more aware of the need to decrease carbon emissions and as severe emission regulations encourage the usage of electric buses. Clean mobility solutions are now essential due to rising urbanization. Urban population growth would necessitate widespread urban transit, which offers tremendous possibilities for electric mobility.
End-Use Outlook
Based on end-use, the market is segmented into public and private. The public segment procured the highest revenue share in the market in 2022. A significant proportion of the market is linked to the rising demand for transportation services as well as government initiatives to minimize greenhouse gas emissions and reliance on fossil fuels. Public initiatives often focus on developing the necessary charging infrastructure to support electric buses. This includes the installation of charging stations at bus depots, terminals, and along bus routes.
Regional Outlook
Region wise, the market is analyzed across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and LAMEA. The Asia Pacific segment recorded the largest revenue share in the market in 2022. The rise in demand for environmentally friendly transportation and the presence of nations like India, China, and Japan are responsible for the expansion. China is a significant player in the market and the location of top manufacturers. For instance, there were over 466,000 New Energy buses (NEBs) in China by the end of 2020, of which 378,700 were battery electric buses. Strict government regulations, environmental concerns, and expanding charging infrastructure are also boosting the region's demand.
The market research report covers the analysis of key stake holders of the market. Key companies profiled in the report include BYD Company Ltd., Volvo Group, Solaris Bus & Coach sp. z o.o. (Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A.), Volkswagen AG, Nissan Motor Co., Ltd, Ashok Leyland Limited (Hinduja Group Ltd.), Mercedes-Benz Group AG (Daimler Truck Holding AG), Yutong Bus Co., Ltd., Tata Motors Limited (Tata Group) and Hyundai Motor Company.
Recent Strategies Deployed in Electric Bus Market
Product Launches and Product Expansions:
Jun-2023: Volkswagen AG released ID. Buzz electric bus. The ID. Buzz features an electric motor capable of producing power of up to 282 horsepower and a maximum speed of up to 99 mph. Furthermore, the bus features power-sliding doors on both sides.
Jun-2023: Yutong Bus Co., Ltd. announced the launch of YEA, a technology platform for energy commercial vehicles. The YEA features two core components namely, the C-architecture used as a CPU of the commercial vehicle and the YOS, a commercial vehicle operating system featuring a self-developed OS by Yutong Bus.
Apr-2023: Daimler Truck AG unveiled the Rizon brand of medium-duty trucks. The Rizon branded trucks feature lithium iron phosphate batteries and a single charge mileage of up to 110 miles.
Jun-2022: Switch Mobility Ltd, a subsidiary of Ashok Leyland Limited, introduced Switch EiV 12 electric buses. The Switch EiV 12 electric buses feature 'Switch iON' remote monitoring services and NMC lithium-ion powered modular batteries.
Feb-2022: BYD Company Ltd. unveiled K6 electric bus. The K6 electric bus is a 20-seater bus that has a single-charge mileage of up to 140 miles.
Sep-2021: Solaris Bus & Coach sp. z o.o. announced the launch of Urbino 9 LE electric bus. The Urbino 9 LE electric bus has a power output of up to 220kW and features high-energy batteries with capacities of up to 350 kWh.
Partnerships, Collaborations, and Agreements:
Apr-2023: Volvo Group came into partnership with Manufacturing Commercial Vehicles (MCV), an Egyptian bus manufacturer, to manufacture bodies for Volvo's electric buses. The partnership provides better flexibility for Volvo to meet the market demand.
Mar-2023: Daimler Truck AG signed a partnership with Siemens, a German automation solutions provider, to build a digital engineering platform with the use of Siemens Xcelerator portfolio of software and services. The partnership would allow Daimler to develop state-of-art technologies that would be used by Daimler's customers to boost their productivity.
Dec-2022: Tata Motors Limited came into an agreement with Delhi Transport Corporation, a public transport operator based in Delhi, India, to supply 1500 electric buses in Delhi. The partnership would allow Tata Motors to provide its customers based in Delhi with zero-emission buses.
Oct-2022: Daimler Truck AG signed an agreement with Gehring Technologies GmbH + Co. KG, a machinery manufacturer based in Germany, to build solutions for vehicle electric vehicles. The partnership aids the company in its ambition to build "truck-e-fied" e-motors.
May-2022: Hyundai Motor Company signed a partnership with Tata Power, a power distributor based in India, to build infrastructure for Electric Vehicles. The partnership allows Hyundai to strengthen its position in the Indian market by providing customers with a robust EV ecosystem.
Mar-2022: Volkswagen AG announced an extended partnership with Ford Motor Company, an automobile manufacturer based in the United States, to provide solutions for e-mobility. The partnership sped up Volkswagen's electrification capabilities, thereby allowing it to serve the customers in a better way.
Dec-2021: BYD UK, a subsidiary of BYD Company Ltd., signed a partnership with Alexander Dennis Limited, a bus manufacturer based in Britain, to supply its electric vehicles to the Scottish market. The partnership allows BYD to provide its Scottish customers with innovative solutions for zero-emission transport solutions.
Jul-2021: BYD UK, a subsidiary of BYD Company Ltd., partnered with Alexander Dennis Limited, a bus manufacturer based in Britain, to supply 200 BYD ADL Enviro200EV to the Irish market. The partnership brings zero-emission transport solutions to the Irish customers of BYD, thereby allowing them to serve their customers in a better way.
Geographical Expansions:
Mar-2022: Daimler Truck AG expanded its geographical reach by opening The Daimler Truck Innovation Center India (DTICI) in Bangalore, India. The new center would serve as research and development for Daimler and would aid the company in strengthening its market share.
Market Segments covered in the Report:
By Battery Type
By Vehicle
By Application
By End-Use
By Geography
Companies Profiled
Unique Offerings from KBV Research
LIST OF FIGURES