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非基因改造大豆市场 - 2024 年至 2029 年预测Non-GMO Soybean Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
全球非基因改造大豆市场预计将从 2022 年的 576.31 亿美元增至 2029 年的 737.01 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 3.58%。
有几个关键因素正在推动全球非基因改造大豆市场的成长。关键驱动因素之一是消费者对基改作物潜在健康风险的担忧日益增加。对过敏性、抗生素抗药性以及对人类健康的广泛影响的担忧导致许多人积极寻求非基因改造替代品,例如非基因改造大豆。
此外,非基因改造大豆的生产通常与更永续的农业实践相关,例如减少农药和除草剂的使用以及促进生物多样性。
此外,一些国家对基改作物实施了限製或彻底禁令,为非基因改造大豆生产商创造了利润丰厚的出口机会,并扩大了全球市场。
特别是美国是最大的大豆出口国之一,2023年产量为49吨。美国农业部估计,美国约有440万英亩用于非基因改造大豆种植,而在2022年大豆总种植面积87,455,000英亩中,1,924,010英亩将用于非基因改造食品。
此外,人们对基因改造标籤法规的认识不断提高,一些国家对基因改造产品实施强制标籤。这种透明度的提高可以使消费者做出明智的选择,并导致对大豆等非基因改造食品的需求增加。
植物性蛋白质需求
随着越来越多的消费者采用素食、纯素和弹性素食饮食,对植物性蛋白质替代品的需求显着增加。非基因改造大豆以其多功能性和成本效益而闻名,是许多植物性肉类食品、乳製品食品和各种其他食品的重要成分。
根据欧盟委员会最近发布的报告,欧盟27国大豆种植面积预计将扩大30%,从2023年的100万公顷增加至2035年的130万公顷。
报告预测,2023 年至 2035 年间,欧盟境内的土地用途将发生重大转变,从种植谷物转向种植大豆和豆类。这些土地利用变化是由于对作为饲料的谷物的需求下降、促进轮作和作物蛋白质作物的政策奖励、对植物性蛋白质和当地生产的产品的需求增加以及非转基因标籤的激增这是由多种因素推动的,包括转向无毁林大豆生产。
此外,消费者优先考虑消费性动物性蛋白质对健康的影响以及畜牧业的环境足迹。与传统的动物性蛋白质来源相比,非基因改造大豆被认为是更健康、更永续的替代蛋白质来源。
未来豆粕中非基因改造大豆的使用预计将进一步扩大。
非基因改造大豆是生产灵活且营养丰富的大豆粕的基础,豆粕主要用于动物饲料和其他工业应用。豆粕是在碾碎大豆和提取大豆油的过程中产生的富含蛋白质的残留物。这种豆粕具有很高的价值,由于其蛋白质含量高,对于水产养殖、猪、牛和鸡饲料尤其重要。
世界各地生产的大多数大豆都散装储存,然后运往工业设施,在那里进一步加工成油和豆粕。当大豆加工商将大豆压榨成豆油和豆粕时,为其供应链增加了最大的价值。而且,透过增加大豆压榨、豆粕、大豆油的产量,我们可以选择有利的市场条件并获得利润。
根据美国农业部 (USDA) 发布的资料,饲料废弃物占所有饲料的很大一部分,2020-2021 年增加了 1%。在印度,570万吨豆粕、450万吨棉籽粕(主要用作动物饲料)、340万吨菜籽粕、160万吨花生粕以及其余9,200吨其他油粕用作饲料它被用作。此外,印度豆粕消费量从2020/21销售年度的570万吨大幅增加至2021/22销售年度的575万吨。
此外,印度非基因改造豆粕在欧盟和美国的需求稳定,伊朗的需求不断增加。一般来说,印度食品的最大进口国是孟加拉、越南、泰国、韩国和美国。历史上,印度食品的机会因价格和竞争市场的膳食而减少,特别是在亚洲和中东的消费者中。
随着农业对开放性和永续性的需求不断增长,非基因改造豆粕确保我们满足消费者和动物生产者对非基因改造饲料原料的需求。当添加到复合饲料中时,豆粕可以透过增强肌肉、促进健康生长和整体健康来帮助满足鸡和牛的营养需求。豆粕也用于动物饲料以外的行业,例如黏剂、聚合物和生物基产品。因此,豆粕在各行业中发挥重要作用。总体而言,豆粕对于永续畜牧业至关重要,可以满足各种消费者和生产者的需求。
非基因改造豆粕产业的产业相关人员专注于获得认证和开放供应链。我们正在开发新的大豆品种和加工方法,以提高营养和品质。瞄准和拓展专业市场是策略品牌、行销和协作的目标。
此外,最近的一项研究发现,乌克兰 AdamPolSoya(ATK 集团)压榨机生产的豆粕仅使用经过认证的永续成分,使其成为欧洲销售的最常见豆粕,其二氧化碳排放普通豆粕低 80%。 AdamPolSoya(ATK集团)位于乌克兰赫梅利尼茨基地区,仅使用Europe Soya认证的大豆,显着减少了认证豆粕产品的碳足迹。该研究由奥地利有机农业研究所(FiBL)进行。
预计北美地区市场将成长。
由于商品大豆价格低廉、溢价诱人以及基改大豆种子成本上升,美国农民正在增加种植面积。大学代表、谷物买家和大豆协会代表表示,对非基因改造大豆的需求增加将导致非基因改造大豆的种植面积增加。自推出以来,基改抗农达大豆已占据美国大豆种植面积的大部分。
在美国,2021年大豆种植面积为8,720万英亩,其中440万英亩为非基因改造大豆。相较之下,2022 年和 2020 年预计面积分别为 410 万英亩和 500 万英亩。美国大豆种植者种植了约 260 万英亩食品级大豆,这些大豆被出售用于豆腐、豆奶、味噌、纳豆和豆芽等用途。剩余的170万英亩土地被用作饲料大豆。
此外,国际企业的进入预计将进一步提振国内非基因改造大豆需求。例如,2024 年 1 月,密苏里州商品行销委员会和以其优质机会和遗传多样性而闻名的 Beck 宣布了 SOYLEIC® 大豆的策略性授权合约。透过利用 Beck 的广泛网络,这种合作关係将使高油酸 (HO) 行业受益,并完美地实现 SOYLEIC® 为大豆种植者提供 HO 基因的目标。
与传统油相比,高油酸大豆油具有许多优点和一些理想的特性。来自美国的高油酸大豆油可改善脂肪分布,增加中性风味,延长产品保存期限,让食品成为焦点。它的煎炸时间也是所有食用油中最长的。此外,SOYLEIC(R) 是目前唯一提供的非基因改造大豆品种,而市面上还有其他高油酸品种。
此外,2022 年 2 月,解锁植物遗传多样性的食品科技公司 Benson Hill, Inc. 宣布推出一系列注重永续性的非基因改造国产植物蛋白成分 。 TruVailTM 品牌提供的首款产品是高蛋白大豆粉、大豆浓缩蛋白 (SPC) 的低加工版本、可用于传统大豆蛋白的多种应用的组织化蛋白,并且可以快速也可用于不断增长的替代植物来源市场。
The global non-genetically modified organisms (GMO) soybean market is anticipated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.58% over the forecast period to reach a market valuation of US$73.701 billion by 2029, from US$57.631 billion in 2022.
Several significant factors are driving the global non-GMO soybean market growth. One primary driver is the increasing consumer concern regarding the potential health risks associated with GMOs. Worries about allergenicity, antibiotic resistance, and broader implications on human health are prompting many individuals to actively seek out non-GMO alternatives, such as non-GMO soybeans.
Additionally, non-GMO soybean production is often associated with more sustainable farming practices, including reduced pesticide and herbicide usage, as well as the promotion of biodiversity.
Furthermore, some countries have implemented restrictions or outright bans on GMO products, creating lucrative export opportunities for non-GMO soybean producers and thereby expanding the global market.
Notably, the United States stands as one of the largest exporters of soybeans, with a production of 49 metric tons in 2023 . The USDA estimates that approximately 4.4 million acres in the U.S. are dedicated to non-GMO soybean cultivation, 1,924,010 is given to non-GMO food-grade soybean out of a total soybean acreage of 87,455,000 in 2022.
Moreover, there is a growing awareness surrounding GMO labeling regulations, with some countries mandating labeling requirements for GMO products. This increased transparency empowers consumers to make informed choices and can lead to heightened demand for non-GMO options like soybeans
Demand for plant proteins
A growing number of consumers are embracing vegetarian, vegan, or flexitarian diets, which has spurred a significant uptick in the demand for plant-based protein alternatives. Non-GMO soybeans, renowned for their versatility and cost-effectiveness, serve as a pivotal ingredient in numerous plant-based meat substitutes, dairy alternatives, and various other food products.
According to a recent report published by the European Commission, it is projected that the soybean cultivation area within the EU-27 will witness a 30% expansion, reaching 1.3 million hectares by 2035, up from 1.0 million hectares in 2023.
The report anticipates a notable shift in land utilization within the EU, with a transition from cereals to soybeans and pulses between 2023 and 2035. This shift in land use is driven by several factors, including anticipated reduced demand for cereals as feed, policy incentives promoting crop rotation and the cultivation of protein crops, escalating demand for plant-based proteins and local products, a surge in GMO-free labeled products, and a push towards deforestation-free soybean production .
Further, consumers are increasingly prioritizing concerns regarding the health implications of animal protein consumption and the environmental footprint of animal agriculture. Non-GMO soybeans are perceived as a healthier and more sustainable alternative protein source compared to traditional animal-derived protein sources.
The non-GMO soybean application in soybean meal is estimated to grow
Non-GMO soybean is the basis for the manufacturing of soybean meal, a flexible and nutrient-rich material mostly used in animal feed and other industrial uses. Soybean meal, a residue high in protein, is formed by crushing the soybeans to liberate the oil during the extraction process. This soybean meal is highly regarded and is an essential part of animal diets, especially for aquaculture, pigs, cattle, and poultry, because of its high protein content.
The majority of soybeans produced globally are kept before being sent in huge quantities to industrial facilities where they are further processed into oil and meal. When soybeans are crushed to make soybean oil and meal, soybean processors contribute the greatest value to the supply chain. Additionally, they can make choices and benefit from favorable market circumstances by increasing the amount of soybeans crushed, meal, or oil produced.
As per the data published by the USDA, a significant portion of the total feed used is feed waste increased by 1% in MY 2020-2021. 5.7 million tonnes of soybean meal, 4.5 million tonnes of cottonseed meal (mostly used as animal feed), 3.4 million tonnes of rapeseed meal, 1.6 million tonnes of peanut meal, and the remaining 0.92 million tonnes of other oil meals were utilized as feed in India. Additionally, the consumption of soybean meal in India has significantly increased from 5,700 thousand tonnes in the marketing year 2020/21 to 5,750 thousand tonnes in the year 2021/22.
Furthermore, India's non-genetically modified soybean meal is in consistent demand in the EU and the US, and demand from Iran is also rising. Generally, the top importers of Indian food are Bangladesh, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, and the United States. Opportunities for Indian food have historically been reduced by meals from other markets that are priced competitively, especially among consumers in Asia and the Middle East.
As the need for openness and sustainability in agriculture grows, non-GMO certification guarantees that the soybean meal satisfies the requirements of consumers and animal producers looking for non-genetically modified feed components. It helps meet the nutritional requirements of chickens and cattle by building muscle and promoting healthy growth and general health when added to complex meals. Soybean meal is used in businesses other than animal feeding, including adhesives, polymers, and bio-based goods. This highlights the meal's significance across a range of industries. Overall, non-GMO soybean meal is essential to sustainable animal husbandry and satisfies a range of consumer and producer demands.
Industry participants in the non-GMO soybean meal sector concentrate on securing certifications and opening up the supply chain. To enhance nutrition and quality, they develop novel soybean cultivars and processing methods. Targeting specialized markets and broadening their reach are the goals of strategic branding, marketing, and collaborations.
Furthermore, recent research found that the soymeal produced at the AdamPolSoya (ATK Group) crusher in Ukraine had 80% lower CO2 emissions than the typical soybean meal sold in Europe since it is made only from certified, sustainable, and non-GMO soybeans. The AdamPolSoya (ATK Group) in the Khmelnitsky region of Ukraine exclusively uses Europe Soya certified soybeans, which significantly reduces the processed certified soybean meal's carbon footprint. The study was conducted by the Research Institute of Organic Agriculture (FiBL) Austria.
The market is projected to grow in the North American region.
American farmers are planting more non-GMO soybeans due to low commodity soybean prices, attractive premiums, and rising costs for genetically modified soybean seed. University representatives, grain buyers, and soybean association representatives all state that as demand for non-GMO soybeans rises, more non-GMO acres will be planted. Since their introduction, genetically modified Roundup Ready soybeans have accounted for a growing portion of US soybean acreage annually.
In the United States, 4.4 million of the 87.2 million soybean acres planted in 2021 are non-GMO. This is contrasted with an estimated 4.1 million in 2022 and 5 million in 2020. About 2.6 million acres were planted by American soy farmers with food-grade soybeans, which are sold for tofu, soymilk, miso, natto, sprouts, and other uses. Feed-grade soy covered the remaining 1.7 million acres of non-GMO soy.
In addition, expansion ventures by international players into the market are further expected to boost the non-GMO soybeans demand in the country. For instance, in January 2024, the Missouri Soybean Merchandising Council and Beck's, renowned for their premium opportunities and diverse genetics, announced a strategic licensing agreement with SOYLEIC(R) soybeans. By utilizing Beck's extensive network, this partnership benefits the high oleic (HO) sector and perfectly complements SOYLEIC(R)'s objective of providing soybean farmers with access to HO genetics .
In contrast to conventional oils, high oleic soybean oil offers numerous advantages and several desirable characteristics. American-grown high-oleic soybean oil improves the fat profile, adds a neutral flavour, prolongs the shelf life of products, and lets the food take centre stage. It also offers some of the longest fry times of any edible oil. Furthermore, SOYLEIC(R) is the only non-GMO soybean variety currently offered, even though there are other high oleic varieties on the market.
Moreover, in February 2022 , TruVailTM, a new line of domestically sourced, non-GMO plant-based protein ingredients with special sustainability benefits, was introduced by Benson Hill, Inc., a food technology company that is unlocking the genetic diversity of plants. The first products offered by the TruVailTM brand are high-protein soy flour, a less processed version of soy protein concentrate (SPC), and texturized proteins that can be used in a variety of conventional soy protein applications as well as the quickly expanding markets for alternative plant-based proteins.