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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1445434

货运:市场占有率分析、产业趋势与统计、成长预测(2024-2029)

Freight Forwarding - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2024 - 2029)

出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 150 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

2024年货运市场规模预计为1760.2亿美元,预计到2029年将达到2158.1亿美元,在预测期内(2024-2029年)复合年增长率为4.16%增长。

货运 - 市场

主要亮点

  • 市场是由不同地区发生的巨大交易量所驱动的。此外,国内航空货运的恢復也推动了市场的成长。
  • 2022年一系列的黑天鹅事件凸显了灵活、有弹性的供应链对于货运代理产业的重要性。这些意外事件可能会对供应链产生巨大的破坏性影响。从COVID-19大流行的持续影响,到苏伊士运河堵塞和乌克兰战争,供应链近年来屡经考验。劳动力短缺、运力问题、通货膨胀和需求高峰也是货运市场的挑战。供应链面临着比以往更加多样化和不可预测的挑战和问题。 2023 年也不会有什么不同,国内和国际货运代理比以往任何时候都更需要保持弹性并为任何可能发生的情况做好准备。
  • 敏捷性、弹性和可见性通常都得益于数位化,并且对于抵御风暴至关重要。货运代理可以利用正确的技术以及资料收集和分析能力来提高效率。他们也处于有利地位,可以利用颠覆时期之外出现的机会。由于地缘政治紧张局势和通膨上升,人们普遍预期 2023 年将是经济放缓的一年。国际货币基金组织(IMF)预计,全球经济成长预计将从2021年的6.0%放缓至2022年的3.2%和2023年的2.7%。同时,世界贸易组织最近将2023年全球贸易成长预测修正为1.0%。这比之前的 3.4% 有所下降。许多市场动力的丧失将对营运商客户产生重大影响。
  • 除了货船恢復营运外,更多的航空客运能力也正在重返市场。 2023 年,国际航空旅行预计将恢復到疫情大流行前的水平。感染率仍然较低,但仍高于大流行前的水平。除非需求增加,否则预计 2023 年第一季利率将下降。由于消费者需求疲软减少了库存和销售,需求仍然很低,并且在旺季期间没有激增的征兆。这种模式预计将持续到 2023 年初。涉及中国、美国、俄罗斯、乌克兰和欧洲的贸易限制将进一步扼杀和扰乱全球供应链。供应商正在中国、东南亚和南亚以外寻找替代采购地点。
  • 物流经理告诉客户,海运市场的復苏速度快于预期。值得注意的是,从难以满足前所未有的大流行病需求的供应链到需求环境疲软以及船舶和货柜货运市场供应过剩的转变,可能会导致全球经济长期低迷。为了对抗通货膨胀,世界各地的中央银行都在提高利率。包括联准会在内的各国央行的目标之一是减少需求,从而降低供应链价格,该价格已达到历史新高并严重加剧了通货膨胀。但由于供需再平衡可能适得其反,货币政策已陷入停滞。

货运市场趋势

跨境海运贸易成长推动市场

由于多重衝击对全球经济带来压力,预计全球贸易将在 2022 年下半年失去动力,并在 2023 年保持疲软。世贸组织经济学家目前预计 2022 年全球商品贸易量将成长 3.5%,高于 4 月的 3.0%。不过,预计2023年将成长1.0%,较先前预测的3.4%大幅下降。由于多种原因,主要国家的成长预计将放缓,进口需求预计将放缓。俄罗斯和乌克兰衝突造成的能源价格上涨可能会减少欧洲家庭支出并增加製造成本。美国的金融紧缩可能会影响对利率敏感的支出,例如住宅、汽车和固定投资。

加拿大商品进口继 2022 年 1 月下降 7.5% 后,2022 年 2 月成长 3.9%。同时,2022年2月出口成长2.8%,主要是由于能源产品出口增加。受此影响,加拿大全球商品贸易顺差从1月的31亿美元降至2月的27亿美元。 2月基础化学品、工业化学品、塑胶和橡胶产品进口成长5.6%,其中化肥、农药和其他化学品进口创纪录(成长18.4%)是推动因素。最近发生的一系列事件影响了该行业,包括中国产量下降、俄罗斯新的化肥出口配额以及乌克兰衝突。这些事件引起了人们对这些产品的可用性和成本的担忧,从而导致加拿大化肥进口的典型举动。

2022年对于货柜运输业的从业人员来说是盈利的一年。随着疫情的结束,预计出货状况将比过去两年更加稳定。 2022年国际货柜出口量成长约2-3%。这不仅是去年订单积压的原因,也与航运业復苏缓慢有关。此外,未来几个月,全球港口拥堵预计将恢復正常。然而,这在很大程度上取决于大流行,因为新的 COVID-19 爆发可能会使情况变得更糟。

航空货运量的增加将节省时间并推动市场成长

航空货运业目前面临多项挑战,包括飞机停飞、航线减少、需求减少等。一些跨国航空货运公司报告称,与大流行期间相比,需求减少。电商旺季已经开始,距离假期季节开始还有不到两个月的时间。然而,儘管时机如此,航空货运业的消费者需求却在下降,与过去两年货物需求的激增形成鲜明对比。简而言之,由于多种因素,航空货运公司预计 2022 年第四季将表现疲软。

客户需求正在推动全通路技术的发展趋势。航空公司正在认识到有必要超越传统的机场到机场航线,航空公司和其他相关人员也已经认识到提供端到端协助的好处。随着这种趋势的恢復,航空公司和托运人之间的协议可能会进一步发展。航空运输未来很可能采取全通路策略,更容易以有限的运能和合理的定价来竞争。除了航空货运领域的机会外,还有其他挑战,因为重大权益为货运和客运以及各行业的公司带来了招聘危机。

货运代理行业概况

货运代理市场呈碎片化,由全球、区域和本地参与者组成。当地中小型企业仍然以小型车队和储存空间服务市场。然而,前 20 名公司占据市场主导地位,占市场总量的 50% 以上。该市场的主要企业包括 DHL Global Forwarding、Kuehne+Nagel International AG、DB Schenker、DSV、Expeditors International 等。货运代理市场正稳定成长,机会无所不在,要求企业拥抱科技、数位化,提高业务规模和效率。对公司来说,拥有遍布全球的强大网路非常重要。外国投资者对东协物流市场的併购兴趣日益浓厚。由于商业和贸易活动的增加,全球物流公司正在向东协地区扩张。

其他福利

  • Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
  • 3 个月分析师支持

目录

第一章简介

  • 调查先决条件
  • 调查范围

第二章调查方法

  • 分析方法
  • 调查阶段

第三章执行摘要

第四章市场洞察动态

  • 目前的市场状况
  • 市场概况
  • 市场动态
    • 促进因素
      • 电子商务销售导致需求增加
    • 抑制因素
      • 燃料成本增加
    • 机会
      • 物流行业数位化
  • 价值链/供应链分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 买方议价能力
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 替代产品的威胁
    • 竞争公司之间的敌意强度
  • 洞察货运技术进步
  • 全球货运代理市场概况
  • 货运代理市场的数位化
  • 货运代理市场价格分析及收益分析
  • 货运代理市场的区域洞察
  • COVID-19 对市场的影响

第五章市场区隔

  • 按运输方式
    • 航空货物运输
    • 海运
    • 公路货运
    • 铁路货运
  • 依客户类型
    • B2B
    • B2C
  • 按用途
    • 工业和製造业
    • 零售
    • 卫生保健
    • 油和气
    • 食品和饮料
    • 其他用途
  • 按地区
    • 北美洲
      • 美国
      • 加拿大
      • 墨西哥
    • 欧洲
      • 德国
      • 法国
      • 英国
      • 其他欧洲国家
    • 亚太地区
      • 中国
      • 日本
      • 韩国
      • 印度
      • 其他亚太地区
    • 拉丁美洲/中东/非洲
      • 巴西
      • 南非
      • GCC
      • 其他拉丁美洲/中东/非洲

第六章 竞争形势

  • 公司简介
    • Kuehne+Nagel International AG
    • DB Schenker
    • Bollore Logistics
    • DHL Global Forwarding
    • Nippon Express Co., Ltd.
    • Dsv Global Transports and Logistics
    • The Maersk Group
    • CH Robinson
    • Panalpina
    • United Parcel Service
    • FedEx Corp.
    • Walmart Group
    • MGF(Manitoulin Global Forwarding)
    • Hellmann Worldwide Logistics
    • Expeditors International
    • Dachser
    • Imerco
    • Sinotrans India Private Limited
    • CEVA Logistics
    • Uber Freight LLC*

第七章 市场的未来

第8章附录

简介目录
Product Code: 66719

The Freight Forwarding Market size is estimated at USD 176.02 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 215.81 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 4.16% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

Freight Forwarding - Market

Key Highlights

  • The market is driven by the huge trade volumes occurring across different regions. Furthermore, the resumption of internal air freight has propelled the market growth.
  • The influx of black swan events in 2022 underscored the importance of flexible and resilient supply chains for the freight forwarding industry. These unanticipated events can have a massively disruptive impact on supply chains. Supply chains have been repeatedly tested in recent years, from the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic to the Suez Canal obstruction and the war in Ukraine. Staffing shortages, capacity issues, inflation, and demand peaks were also challenges for the freight market. Supply chains are facing more diverse and unpredictable challenges and issues than ever before. The year 2023 will be no different, and the need for domestic and international freight forwarders to be resilient and prepared for anything has never been greater.
  • Agility, flexibility, and visibility, all of which are often aided by digitalization, are essential for weathering a storm. Freight forwarders can improve efficiency with the right technology and the ability to collect and analyze data. They are also better positioned to capitalize on opportunities that arise outside of times of disruption. With geopolitical tensions and rising inflation, 2023 is widely expected to be a year of economic slowdown. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), global economic growth will slow from 6.0% in 2021 to 3.2% in 2022 and 2.7% in 2023. Meanwhile, the World Trade Organization recently revised its global trade growth forecast for 2023 to 1.0%, down from 3.4% previously. This loss of momentum in many markets will have a significant impact on the customers of freight forwarders.
  • In addition to the resumption of freighter schedules, more airline passenger capacity is returning to the market. In 2023, international air travel is expected to return to pre-pandemic levels. While rates are still higher than pre-pandemic levels, they are still low. Rates are expected to fall in the first quarter of 2023 unless demand increases. Demand is still low, with no signs of a peak-season surge, as inventories and sales are down due to weak consumer demand. This pattern is expected to continue into early 2023. Trade restrictions involving China, the United States, Russia, Ukraine, and Europe will suffocate and disrupt global supply chains even further. Suppliers are looking for alternative sourcing locations other than China, Southeast Asia, and South Asia.
  • Logistics managers are informing clients that the ocean freight market is correcting itself faster than expected. The transition from a supply chain that struggled to keep up with unprecedented pandemic demand to a weak demand environment and a freight market that is now oversupplied with both ships and containers highlights the risk of a prolonged global economic downturn. To combat inflation, central banks around the world are raising interest rates. One goal of central banks, including the Federal Reserve, is to reduce demand, which is lowering supply chain prices, which were at record highs and were a significant contributor to inflation. However, monetary policy is treading water because a supply-demand rebalancing can backfire.

Freight Forwarding Market Trends

Growth in Cross-Border and Sea Trade Driving the Market

As multiple shocks weigh on the global economy, global trade is expected to lose momentum in the second half of 2022 and remain subdued in 2023. WTO economists now forecast a 3.5% growth in global merchandise trade volumes in 2022, up from 3.0% in April 2022. However, they predict a 1.0% increase in 2023, a significant decrease from the previous estimate of 3.4%. Import demand is expected to soften as growth in major economies slows for a variety of reasons. High energy prices caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict will reduce household spending and raise manufacturing costs in Europe. Monetary policy tightening in the United States will have an impact on interest-sensitive spending in areas such as housing, automobiles, and fixed investment.

Canada's merchandise imports increased by 3.9% in February 2022, following a 7.5% decline in January 2022. Meanwhile, exports increased by 2.8% in February 2022, owing primarily to increased exports of energy products. As a result, Canada's global merchandise trade surplus fell from USD 3.1 billion in January to USD 2.7 billion in February. Imports of basic and industrial chemicals, plastics, and rubber products increased 5.6% in February, owing in part to record-high imports of fertilizers, pesticides, and other chemical products (+18.4%). A slew of recent events has had an impact on this industry, including lower Chinese output, new Russian fertilizer export quotas, and the Ukraine conflict. These occurrences raise concerns about the availability and cost of these products, resulting in a typical movement for Canadian fertilizer imports.

For those working in the container shipping industry, 2022 was a profitable year. The end of the pandemic is expected to make the shipping scenario more stable than it has been in the previous two years. The volume of international container exports increased by around 2-3% in 2022. This is due not only to last year's backlogs but also to the maritime shipping sector's slow recovery. Furthermore, port congestion is expected to normalise in the coming months around the world. However, this was heavily dependent on the pandemic, as another COVID-19 outbreak could worsen the situation.

Increasing Air Freight to Reduce Time Propelling the Market Growth

The air freight industry is currently dealing with several issues, including grounded planes, route reductions, and a drop in demand. Some multinational air freight companies are reporting a drop in demand compared to the pandemic period. The peak season for e-commerce has already begun, with less than two months until the start of the holiday season. However, despite the time of year, the air freight sector is experiencing a drop in consumer demand, as opposed to the previous two years' burgeoning demand for goods. Simply put, air freight companies anticipate a subdued fourth quarter of 2022 due to several factors.

Customer needs are fueling a growing trend toward omnichannel techniques. Airlines are recognising the need to expand their operations beyond traditional airport-to-airport routes, and airlines and other stakeholders are already recognizing the benefits of providing end-to-end assistance. As this trend resumes, agreements between airlines and shippers are likely to prosper. Air shipment will most likely adopt an omnichannel strategy in the future, making it easier to compete for limited cargo capacity and reasonable pricing. In addition to the opportunities for air cargo, there are additional challenges, with the significant concession feigning recruitment crises for the business on both freight and passenger positions, as it is for various sectors.

Freight Forwarding Industry Overview

The freight forwarding market is fragmented with a mix of global, regional, and local players. Small- and medium-sized local players still serve the market with small fleets and storage spaces. However, the top 20 players dominate the market, accounting for more than 50% of the total market. Leading players in the market include DHL Global Forwarding, Kuehne + Nagel International AG, DB Schenker, DSV, Expeditors International, and many more. As the freight forwarding market is growing steadily and there exists abundant opportunity, the players need to embrace technologies, become more digitized, and increase the scale and efficiency of their operations. Having a strong network spanning the globe is important for companies. International investors are increasingly interested in mergers and acquisitions in the ASEAN logistics market. Global logistics companies have been expanding in the ASEAN region because of increased commerce and trade activities.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  • 2.1 Analysis Method
  • 2.2 Research Phases

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET INSIGHTS DYNAMICS

  • 4.1 Current Market Scenario
  • 4.2 Market Overview
  • 4.3 Market Dynamics
    • 4.3.1 Drivers
      • 4.3.1.1 Increasing Demand From E-commerce Sales
    • 4.3.2 Restraints
      • 4.3.2.1 Increasing Fuel Costs
    • 4.3.3 Opportunities
      • 4.3.3.1 Digitalizing the Logistics Industry
  • 4.4 Value Chain / Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.5.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.5.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.5.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.5.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.5.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
  • 4.6 Insights on Technological Advancements in Freight Forwarding
  • 4.7 Overview of Global Freight Forwarding Market
  • 4.8 Digitalisation of Freight Forwarding Market
  • 4.9 Pricing Analysis and Revenue analysis of Freight Forwarding Market
  • 4.10 Regional insights onFreight Forwarding Market
  • 4.11 Impact of COVID-19 on the market

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 By Mode Of Transport
    • 5.1.1 Air Freight Forwarding
    • 5.1.2 Ocean Freight Forwarding
    • 5.1.3 Road Freight Forwarding
    • 5.1.4 Rail Freight Forwarding
  • 5.2 By Customer Type
    • 5.2.1 B2B
    • 5.2.2 B2C
  • 5.3 By Application
    • 5.3.1 Industrial And Manufacturing
    • 5.3.2 Retail
    • 5.3.3 Healthcare
    • 5.3.4 Oil And Gas
    • 5.3.5 Food And Beverages
    • 5.3.6 Other Applications
  • 5.4 By Geography
    • 5.4.1 North America
      • 5.4.1.1 United States
      • 5.4.1.2 Canada
      • 5.4.1.3 Mexico
    • 5.4.2 Europe
      • 5.4.2.1 Germany
      • 5.4.2.2 France
      • 5.4.2.3 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.2.4 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.3.1 China
      • 5.4.3.2 Japan
      • 5.4.3.3 South Korea
      • 5.4.3.4 India
      • 5.4.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.4 LAMEA
      • 5.4.4.1 Brazil
      • 5.4.4.2 South Africa
      • 5.4.4.3 GCC
      • 5.4.4.4 Rest of LAMEA

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Overview
  • 6.2 Company Profiles
    • 6.2.1 Kuehne + Nagel International AG
    • 6.2.2 DB Schenker
    • 6.2.3 Bollore Logistics
    • 6.2.4 DHL Global Forwarding
    • 6.2.5 Nippon Express Co., Ltd.
    • 6.2.6 Dsv Global Transports and Logistics
    • 6.2.7 The Maersk Group
    • 6.2.8 C.H. Robinson
    • 6.2.9 Panalpina
    • 6.2.10 United Parcel Service
    • 6.2.11 FedEx Corp.
    • 6.2.12 Walmart Group
    • 6.2.13 MGF (Manitoulin Global Forwarding)
    • 6.2.14 Hellmann Worldwide Logistics
    • 6.2.15 Expeditors International
    • 6.2.16 Dachser
    • 6.2.17 Imerco
    • 6.2.18 Sinotrans India Private Limited
    • 6.2.19 CEVA Logistics
    • 6.2.20 Uber Freight LLC*

7 FUTURE OF THE MARKET

8 APPENDIX