市场调查报告书
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1445434
货运:市场占有率分析、产业趋势与统计、成长预测(2024-2029)Freight Forwarding - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2024 - 2029) |
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2024年货运市场规模预计为1760.2亿美元,预计到2029年将达到2158.1亿美元,在预测期内(2024-2029年)复合年增长率为4.16%增长。
由于多重衝击对全球经济带来压力,预计全球贸易将在 2022 年下半年失去动力,并在 2023 年保持疲软。世贸组织经济学家目前预计 2022 年全球商品贸易量将成长 3.5%,高于 4 月的 3.0%。不过,预计2023年将成长1.0%,较先前预测的3.4%大幅下降。由于多种原因,主要国家的成长预计将放缓,进口需求预计将放缓。俄罗斯和乌克兰衝突造成的能源价格上涨可能会减少欧洲家庭支出并增加製造成本。美国的金融紧缩可能会影响对利率敏感的支出,例如住宅、汽车和固定投资。
加拿大商品进口继 2022 年 1 月下降 7.5% 后,2022 年 2 月成长 3.9%。同时,2022年2月出口成长2.8%,主要是由于能源产品出口增加。受此影响,加拿大全球商品贸易顺差从1月的31亿美元降至2月的27亿美元。 2月基础化学品、工业化学品、塑胶和橡胶产品进口成长5.6%,其中化肥、农药和其他化学品进口创纪录(成长18.4%)是推动因素。最近发生的一系列事件影响了该行业,包括中国产量下降、俄罗斯新的化肥出口配额以及乌克兰衝突。这些事件引起了人们对这些产品的可用性和成本的担忧,从而导致加拿大化肥进口的典型举动。
2022年对于货柜运输业的从业人员来说是盈利的一年。随着疫情的结束,预计出货状况将比过去两年更加稳定。 2022年国际货柜出口量成长约2-3%。这不仅是去年订单积压的原因,也与航运业復苏缓慢有关。此外,未来几个月,全球港口拥堵预计将恢復正常。然而,这在很大程度上取决于大流行,因为新的 COVID-19 爆发可能会使情况变得更糟。
航空货运业目前面临多项挑战,包括飞机停飞、航线减少、需求减少等。一些跨国航空货运公司报告称,与大流行期间相比,需求减少。电商旺季已经开始,距离假期季节开始还有不到两个月的时间。然而,儘管时机如此,航空货运业的消费者需求却在下降,与过去两年货物需求的激增形成鲜明对比。简而言之,由于多种因素,航空货运公司预计 2022 年第四季将表现疲软。
客户需求正在推动全通路技术的发展趋势。航空公司正在认识到有必要超越传统的机场到机场航线,航空公司和其他相关人员也已经认识到提供端到端协助的好处。随着这种趋势的恢復,航空公司和托运人之间的协议可能会进一步发展。航空运输未来很可能采取全通路策略,更容易以有限的运能和合理的定价来竞争。除了航空货运领域的机会外,还有其他挑战,因为重大权益为货运和客运以及各行业的公司带来了招聘危机。
货运代理市场呈碎片化,由全球、区域和本地参与者组成。当地中小型企业仍然以小型车队和储存空间服务市场。然而,前 20 名公司占据市场主导地位,占市场总量的 50% 以上。该市场的主要企业包括 DHL Global Forwarding、Kuehne+Nagel International AG、DB Schenker、DSV、Expeditors International 等。货运代理市场正稳定成长,机会无所不在,要求企业拥抱科技、数位化,提高业务规模和效率。对公司来说,拥有遍布全球的强大网路非常重要。外国投资者对东协物流市场的併购兴趣日益浓厚。由于商业和贸易活动的增加,全球物流公司正在向东协地区扩张。
The Freight Forwarding Market size is estimated at USD 176.02 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 215.81 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 4.16% during the forecast period (2024-2029).
As multiple shocks weigh on the global economy, global trade is expected to lose momentum in the second half of 2022 and remain subdued in 2023. WTO economists now forecast a 3.5% growth in global merchandise trade volumes in 2022, up from 3.0% in April 2022. However, they predict a 1.0% increase in 2023, a significant decrease from the previous estimate of 3.4%. Import demand is expected to soften as growth in major economies slows for a variety of reasons. High energy prices caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict will reduce household spending and raise manufacturing costs in Europe. Monetary policy tightening in the United States will have an impact on interest-sensitive spending in areas such as housing, automobiles, and fixed investment.
Canada's merchandise imports increased by 3.9% in February 2022, following a 7.5% decline in January 2022. Meanwhile, exports increased by 2.8% in February 2022, owing primarily to increased exports of energy products. As a result, Canada's global merchandise trade surplus fell from USD 3.1 billion in January to USD 2.7 billion in February. Imports of basic and industrial chemicals, plastics, and rubber products increased 5.6% in February, owing in part to record-high imports of fertilizers, pesticides, and other chemical products (+18.4%). A slew of recent events has had an impact on this industry, including lower Chinese output, new Russian fertilizer export quotas, and the Ukraine conflict. These occurrences raise concerns about the availability and cost of these products, resulting in a typical movement for Canadian fertilizer imports.
For those working in the container shipping industry, 2022 was a profitable year. The end of the pandemic is expected to make the shipping scenario more stable than it has been in the previous two years. The volume of international container exports increased by around 2-3% in 2022. This is due not only to last year's backlogs but also to the maritime shipping sector's slow recovery. Furthermore, port congestion is expected to normalise in the coming months around the world. However, this was heavily dependent on the pandemic, as another COVID-19 outbreak could worsen the situation.
The air freight industry is currently dealing with several issues, including grounded planes, route reductions, and a drop in demand. Some multinational air freight companies are reporting a drop in demand compared to the pandemic period. The peak season for e-commerce has already begun, with less than two months until the start of the holiday season. However, despite the time of year, the air freight sector is experiencing a drop in consumer demand, as opposed to the previous two years' burgeoning demand for goods. Simply put, air freight companies anticipate a subdued fourth quarter of 2022 due to several factors.
Customer needs are fueling a growing trend toward omnichannel techniques. Airlines are recognising the need to expand their operations beyond traditional airport-to-airport routes, and airlines and other stakeholders are already recognizing the benefits of providing end-to-end assistance. As this trend resumes, agreements between airlines and shippers are likely to prosper. Air shipment will most likely adopt an omnichannel strategy in the future, making it easier to compete for limited cargo capacity and reasonable pricing. In addition to the opportunities for air cargo, there are additional challenges, with the significant concession feigning recruitment crises for the business on both freight and passenger positions, as it is for various sectors.
The freight forwarding market is fragmented with a mix of global, regional, and local players. Small- and medium-sized local players still serve the market with small fleets and storage spaces. However, the top 20 players dominate the market, accounting for more than 50% of the total market. Leading players in the market include DHL Global Forwarding, Kuehne + Nagel International AG, DB Schenker, DSV, Expeditors International, and many more. As the freight forwarding market is growing steadily and there exists abundant opportunity, the players need to embrace technologies, become more digitized, and increase the scale and efficiency of their operations. Having a strong network spanning the globe is important for companies. International investors are increasingly interested in mergers and acquisitions in the ASEAN logistics market. Global logistics companies have been expanding in the ASEAN region because of increased commerce and trade activities.