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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1339936
2030 年区域供热市场预测 - 按热源、组件、电厂类型、用途和地区进行的全球分析District Heating Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Heat Source, Component, Plant Type, Application and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2023 年全球区域供热市场规模为 1815.8 亿美元,预计预测期内年复合成长率为 8.2%,到 2030 年将达到 3152.5 亿美元。
在区域供暖中,热量集中产生并分配给附近的家庭、企业和工业设施。区域供暖是一种具有成本效益且对生态无害的方法。它经常用于单户住宅、多用户住宅、高层建筑、特大城市和区域供热。与单独的建筑设备相比,它们具有许多优势,包括提高安全性和可靠性、减少排放以及提高燃料弹性(特别是在使用生物质和废弃物等替代燃料时)。区域供暖通过用可再生能源替代依赖化石燃料的供暖来减少碳排放和对不可再生资源的依赖。这一策略消除了浪费并充分利用了可用能源。
根据IEA的数据,2020年全球近90%的热量生产来自化石燃料,主要是煤炭(45%)、天然气(40%)和石油(5%),与2000年的95%相比有所下降。 。
都市化的加快创造了组织良好的基础设施,是区域供热系统的理想选择。区域供热和发电是不断发展的大都市地区需求旺盛的公用事业服务的两个例子。区域供热系统从多种来源获取热量,包括锅炉、工业废热、可再生能源、热电联产和锅炉。随着工业化的发展,企业和资料中心产生的大量热量可用于区域供热,从而提高经济效益。这一因素正在推动区域供热市场的增长。
区域供暖非常适合领先开发商的大规模倡议。造成这种现象的主要原因是,儘管小型开发商认识到集中供热的好处,但由于建设进度和投资金额不同,他们并没有与邻近开发商合作实施集中供热。因此,小型开发商正在转向传统供暖以适应他们的日程安排。所有在建筑施工过程中留有管网空间的新计画均采用区域供热。然而,在较旧的建筑中,可能没有足够的空间安装管网,这限制了区域供暖的广泛使用。
近年来,世界人口快速增长,许多地区正在经历快速都市化。这直接增加了各种最终用途行业的能源需求。前所未有的二氧化碳排放和全球变暖对地球构成了威胁,同时人们对可再生能源的兴趣也与日俱增。区域能源系统有助于经济向绿色转型,并减少製冷和供暖产生的温室气体排放。结果,二氧化碳排放减少了 70%。这些要素正在加速市场扩张。
由于建立安全的输配电连接网络的成本较高,建立区域供热系统需要大量的初始投资。隔热管并将其埋在地下的成本是投资者的主要障碍。此外,缺乏必要的基础设施以及其他更便宜的空间供暖和热水加热解决方案的可用性可能会限制未来几年的市场扩张。
COVID-19 的爆发对区域供热市场的扩张产生了重大影响。由于致命的冠状病毒的出现,区域供暖系统的需求普遍下降,导致重大基础设施项目推迟,许多工业和製造业企业暂时关闭。此外,全球市场受到严重製约,疫情期间几乎所有建设项目都被搁置,世界各国政府制定了严格的法规和贸易限制。
由于其高度的永续性和成本效益,热电联产行业预计将出现良好的增长。由于能源供应效率的提高、余热利用和低碳可再生能源的发展,产品需求预计将增加。要求降低碳足迹和降低成本的严格法规标准也可以推动增长。向永续电力、热力和供应的范式转变,以及提高能源效率的立法目标,都将有助于将热电联产系统引入该行业。所有这些预测都推动了热电联产系统行业的增长。
在预测期内,住宅行业预计将以最快的年复合成长率增长。紧凑型供暖系统的普及和扎实的房地产投资正在增加对住宅区域供暖系统的需求。城市人口的增加和分布式发电机的使用增加可能会对商业环境产生积极影响。快速的都市化和工业化预计将影响商业领域对区域供热系统的需求。增加对新生产设施和单位建设的投资预计也将推动该业务部门的扩张。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。中国是区域能源消费大国。该国正在寻求强有力的公共政策选择,以支持更清洁、更节能的当地能源。主要相关人员正在使用人工智能来控制区域供热系统的运作。製造商还致力于实现与人工智能相结合的尖端自动化,以提高生产率并节省能源。市场的技术进步也有望加速扩张。
预计欧洲在预测期内的年复合成长率最高。此外,都市化的加快、对节能係统的需求增加以及旨在减少温室气体排放的政府法规的加强也要素了增长。此外,欧洲区域供热行业的扩张得到了多个环保组织製定的严格排放限制的支持。此外,美国环境保护署(EPA)日益重视排放和追求零净碳排放预计将刺激区域供热市场的扩张。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global District Heating Market is accounted for $181.58 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $315.25 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.2% during the forecast period. In district heating, heat is produced centrally and then distributed to nearby households, companies, and industrial facilities. District heating is a cost-effective and ecologically responsible approach. It is frequently used in single-family homes, multi-family buildings, high-rise structures, and mega townships, district heating. Comparing it to individual building equipment provides a number of benefits, such as increased safety and reliability, reduced emissions, and higher fuel flexibility, especially when using alternative fuels like biomass or waste. District heating lessens carbon emissions and dependency on non-renewable resources by substituting renewable energy for heating that is dependent on fossil fuels. This strategy reduces waste and makes the best use of available energy.
According to IEA, nearly 90% of global heat production in 2020 was from fossil fuels, primarily coal (45%), natural gas (40%), and oil (5%), down from 95% in 2000.
Increasing urbanization results in the creation of well-organized infrastructure that are ideal for district heating systems. District heating and power generation are two examples of utility services that are in high demand in expanding metropolitan areas. District heating systems obtain heat from a variety of sources, such as boilers, industrial surplus heat, renewable energy, CHP, and boilers. The enormous heat produced by businesses and data centers as a result of expanding industrialization may be used for district heating, which in turn contributes to economic efficiency. This element helps to propel the growth of district heating market.
Large-scale initiatives by powerful developers are appropriate for district heating. The main reason for this is because small-scale developers, although being aware of the advantages of district heating, do not implement it in tandem with nearby developers due to their divergent building timelines and investments. Small-scale developers consequently use traditional heating according to their timetable. Every new project that may plan room for a pipe network during building construction uses district heating solutions. However, an inadequate amount of room for a pipe network may be present in older structures, which restricts its penetration.
Since the population of the world has been increasing at an exponential rate in recent years, many regions have been seeing a surge in urbanization. Because of this, demand for energy across a range of end-use industries has directly grown. Unprecedented carbon emissions and global warming are posing hazards to the planet, which has spurred interest in renewable energy sources. District energy systems help the economy move to a greener one and lower the greenhouse gas emissions from cooling and heating. As a consequence, CO2 emissions are reduced by up to 70%. These factors hasten market expansion.
A significant initial financial outlay is needed to set up a district heating system since it is expensive to build a secure network of transmission and distribution connections. The cost of the insulated pipes and the underground placement of such pipes is a significant barrier for investors. Additionally, the absence of necessary infrastructure and the availability of other, more affordable solutions for space heating and water heating may restrain market expansion in the years to come.
The COVID-19 epidemic has had a big influence on the market expansion for district heating. District heating system demand has decreased overall as a result of the fatal corona virus's appearance, which has caused delays in major infrastructure projects and the temporary closure of a number of industrial and manufacturing businesses. Additionally, almost all building projects were put on hold during the epidemic, and governments all over the world established strict regulations and trade restrictions, which severely constrained the worldwide market.
The combined heat & power segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to its high sustainability and cost-effectiveness. It is anticipated that increased energy supply efficiency, the utilization of waste heat, and low-carbon renewable energy sources will increase product demand. Positive regulatory standards for reduced carbon footprints and cost savings may promote growth. A paradigm change toward sustainable power, heat, and supply, as well as legislative objectives to increase energy efficiency, all help the sector embrace cogeneration systems. The segment's growth is being fuelled by all of these prospects.
The residential segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period. The demand for district heating systems in residential buildings has increased due to the widespread usage of compact heating systems and robust real estate investment. Rising urban population and increased use of decentralized generators may have a favorable effect on the business environment. Fast-paced urbanization and industrialization are predicted to have an impact on the demand for district heating systems in the commercial sector. Increased investments in the construction of new production facilities and units are also anticipated to fuel the business segment's expansion.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. China is the leading consumer of district energy. The nation has been pursuing forceful public policy choices to boost cleaner, energy-efficient district energy. Artificial intelligence is being used by the major stakeholders to control how well the district heating systems are running. The manufacturers are also aiming to create cutting-edge automation that would function in tandem with artificial intelligence to boost productivity and conserve energy. The market's technical advancements are also anticipated to accelerate expansion.
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period. Additionally, the growth is linked to expanding urbanization, a rise in the demand for energy-efficient systems, and a rise in the number of restrictions by the government aimed at lowering greenhouse gas emissions. Furthermore, the expansion of the district heating sector in Europe is supported by rigorous emission limitations established by several environmental organisations. Additionally, the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) increased emphasis on emission reduction and its pursuit of net-zero carbon emissions are anticipated to fuel the market expansion for district heating.
Some of the key players profiled in the District Heating Market include: NRG Energy, Fortum, LOGSTOR A/S, Goteborg Energi, Kelag Warme Gmbh, Vattenfall AB, Hafslund, STEAG GmbH, Korea District Heating Corporation, Statkraft AS, Keppel DHCS Pte Ltd, Shinryo Corporation, Orsted, RWE AG, Vital Energi, Danfoss, Engie, Enwave Energy, Ramboll Group and FVB Energy.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.