市场调查报告书
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2030年电动公车市场预测:依推进类型、电池类型、组件、自动驾驶水平、续航里程、电池容量、车型、总长度、座位数、用途和地区分析Electric Bus Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Propulsion Type, Battery Type, Component, Level of Autonomy, Range, Battery Capacity, Vehicle Type, Length, Seating Capacity, Application and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2023年全球电动客车市场规模将达589亿美元,预计2030年将达到7,452亿美元,预测期内年复合成长率为43.7%。
电动公车,称为E-bus,是仅依靠电力而不是传统内燃机运行的公车。车载电动马达由车载电池或电池组合供电。据说电动公车对环境有益,因为它们不排放污染物,而且比传统汽油或柴油公车更具成本效益。此外,电动客车的市占率几乎占电动商用车整体产业贡献的80%。
据联合国环境规划署(UNEP)称,公共交通巴士是交通运输部门大量黑碳排放的罪魁祸首。因此,环境署正在向亚洲、拉丁美洲和非洲的 20 个城市提供技术和政策支持,为公众开发和绘製低排放交通路线,包括电动巴士。
使用电动公车是因为它们比传统公车更具成本效益,而且不需要汽油。电动公车可以将超过 50% 的电网电能转化为车轮上的电能,而汽油公车只能将储存在燃料中的能量转化为约 17-21%。近年来,随着汽油和柴油价格的急剧上升,节能公车的需求也随之增加。这是由于化石燃料蕴藏量的枯竭以及公司越来越倾向于从这些蕴藏量中获得最大利润。因此,需要使用尖端的节油技术,从而增加了对电动公车的需求。
由于这些先进系统的高生产成本和复杂的机制,汽车行业向电动的转型以及将最尖端科技融入汽车可能会受到市场扩张的阻碍。汽车的大部分研究工作都致力于创造新颖的公车技术。汽车製造成本最终是由高资本支出、软体安装以及公车使用的锂离子电池的高成本推高的。这些设备可能会增加计算出的故障和故障风险,由于这些要素,它们可能会阻碍预测年的市场扩张,但在预测期内,电动公车市场将在该行业继续增长,预计将大幅增长。
汽车排放是空气污染、臭氧层消耗和破坏气候的排放的唯一来源。由于汽油价格急剧上升和原油消耗,使用电能且对环境危害较小的汽车变得越来越受欢迎。电动巴士的推出是为了减少对化石燃料的依赖。此外,电动车比传统交通途径更轻、更有效率,因为它们的移动零件更少。因此,它需要较少的维护并且对环境友好。
电动公车中使用的大多数电动车(EV) 电池在使用前都经过了广泛的测试,因此被认为是安全的。该组织还表示,过度充电、极端降雨和温度变化是电动车电池起火的主要原因。许多国家(包括美国、中国、日本和欧盟)要求製造商优先考虑对电池安全、健康和性能的持续监控。限制电池中化学物质的逸出、事故发生后保护电池以及将底盘和高电压系统分开以防止触电是电动公车的主要法规。
汽车部门投资和需求大幅下降。汽车产业也遭受了经济活动突然大规模停摆的影响,包括要求工人留在家中、供应链崩坏和工厂关闭。 2020年和2021年,由于电动车的全球扩张,全球电动汽车趋势增加。因此,疫情对这个产业的影响不大。同样,电动公车的需求也在2020年上半年下降,然后又上升。
预计纯电动车(BEV)细分市场在预测期内将出现良好成长。这主要是由于锂离子电池的有效性已得到证实。该类别正在不断增长,因为许多OEM正在资助研发以创造创新的高性能电池技术。支持纯电动车的政府政策也可能对市场产生正面影响。
随着都市化的不断加快,清洁交通解决方案变得至关重要,预计内城区部分在预测期内将出现最高的年复合成长率。对广泛的城市交通的需求为电动交通带来了巨大的希望,而电动交通将受到城市人口增长的推动。此外,各大主要原始OEM现在都将城市电动公车纳入其产品组合中。该地区许多国家已决定将永续交通整合其公共交通系统。例如,马哈拉施特拉邦道路运输公司是印度采用电动公车的城市之一。在预测期内,该领域的此类配合措施预计将推动市场扩张。
由于亚太地区以 167,000 辆的销量在全球市场占据主导地位,预计在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。中国是销量最大的市场,在区域和全球市场均处于领先地位。该型公车可在中国政府设立的公共运输区域内使用。政府配合措施正在增加该地区电池供电公车的使用。此外,市场领导者比亚迪在该领域的存在也有助于市场扩张。此外,该地区充电基础设施的快速扩张也对该地区市场有利。韩国和日本也是该地区公车销售创纪录的主要要素。
由于政府对汽车排放气体的严格法规,预计欧洲在预测期内将经历最高的年复合成长率。在该地区,许多政府启动了旨在引入清洁和绿色交通技术的计划,以确保公共交通的永续性。该地区对燃料电池公车的需求也在增加。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Electric Bus Market is accounted for $58.9 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $745.2 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 43.7% during the forecast period. An electric bus, often known as an e-bus, is a bus that runs entirely on electricity rather than a conventional internal combustion engine. An on-board electric motor that runs on either on-board batteries or a combination of batteries powers an e-bus. Electric buses are said to be environmentally beneficial because they don't emit any pollutants and are more cost-effective than conventional gasoline or diesel buses. In addition, the market share of electric buses accounts for almost 80% of the total industry contribution of electric commercial vehicles.
According to the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP), city buses are the cause of large amounts of black carbon emissions in the transportation sector. Therefore, the UNEP is providing technical and policy support to 20 cities in Asia, Latin America, and Africa to develop and map low-emission transportation routes for the public by including e-buses
Electric buses are utilized since they are more cost-effective than traditional buses and don't require gasoline. Gas-powered buses can only convert roughly 17-21% of the energy stored in fuel, whereas electric buses can convert more than 50% of the electrical energy from the grid into electricity at their wheels. Because the cost of gasoline and diesel oil has been rising recently, there has been a greater need for fuel-efficient buses. The depletion of fossil fuel reserves and the growing inclination of firms to maximize profits from these oil reserves are the causes of this. Consequently, these factors raise the need for electric coaches by necessitating the use of cutting-edge fuel-saving technologies.
The automobile industry's transition to electrification and the incorporation of cutting-edge technologies in cars may impede market expansion due to the high production costs and intricate workings of these sophisticated systems. The majority of automakers' research efforts are directed toward creating novel bus technologies. The cost of manufacturing vehicles is ultimately driven up by substantial capital expenditures, software installs, and the high cost of lithium-ion batteries used in buses. These devices may increase the calculated risk of malfunction or failure, which may impede market expansion in the year of forecast because of these factors, the industry is anticipated to increase significantly during the course of the electric bus market projection period.
The only source of air pollution, ozone depletion, and climate-damaging material emissions is automobile exhaust. Vehicles that use electrical energy and are less hazardous to the environment are becoming more and more popular due to the rising costs of gasoline and the consumption of crude petroleum. In an effort to lessen reliance on fossil fuels, more of these e-buses are being introduced. Furthermore, compared to conventional forms of transportation, electric cars are lighter and more efficient due to their reduced number of moving parts. Because of this, cars need less maintenance and are generally better for the environment.
Because they go through numerous testing before being utilized, the majority of electric vehicle (EV) batteries used in electric buses are regarded as safe. The group has also said that overcharging, extreme rain, and temperature swings were the main causes of the EV battery fire. Manufacturing firms are required to prioritize ongoing observation of battery safety, health, and performance in a number of nations, including the US, China, Japan, and the EU. Limiting chemical spillage from batteries, securing batteries after an accident, and separating the chassis from the high-voltage system to prevent electric shock are the main regulations particular to electric buses.
The automotive sector experienced a precipitous decline in investment and demand. A sudden and widespread cessation of economic activity, including orders for workers to stay at home, a breakdown in supply networks, and factory closures, also plagued the car industry. Sales of electric vehicles rose globally in 2020 and 2021 as a result of the expanding global trend of vehicle electrification. Thus, the pandemic had less of an impact on this industry. In a similar vein, the demand for electric buses declined during the first half of 2020 before rising again.
The battery electric vehicle (BEV) segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to over the course of the projection period; BEVs are anticipated to dominate the electric bus market. This is primarily due to the effectiveness of lithium-ion batteries being demonstrated. This category is growing because many OEMs are funding research and development efforts to create innovative, high-performing battery technologies. Government policies that support BEVs would also have a favourable effect on the market. Many countries intend to switch to electric public fleets from the current ones. Different governments are likely to offer attractive subsidies and tax breaks, which would cause the sales volume of sophisticated pure electric buses to expand tremendously.
The intracity segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, as clean mobility solutions are now essential due to the increase in urbanization. The requirement for widespread urban transportation-which has enormous promise for electric mobility would be driven by the expanding urban population. Moreover, a wide range of top OEMs now include electric buses in their product lineup for intracity use. Many nations in the area have made the decision to integrate sustainable mobility into their public transportation systems. For instance, the Maharashtra State Road Transport Corporation is one of the Indian cities that have used electric buses. Over the course of the forecast period, the market's expansion is anticipated to be propelled by such initiatives in this area.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the dominant position in the global market, with a valuation of 167,000 units. Because it has the largest market in terms of quantity, China is leading both the regional and worldwide markets. These kinds of buses can be used in the public transit zones that the Chinese government has established. The government's initiatives have increased the region's use of battery-operated buses. In addition, the market leader BYD's presence in this area is contributing to the market's expansion. Furthermore, the rapidly expanding charging infrastructure in this area bodes well for the local market. South Korea and Japan are also major factors in the region's record-breaking bus sales.
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the strict government regulations pertaining to vehicle emissions. In this region, a number of governments have initiated programs aimed at implementing clean and green transportation technology to ensure the sustainability of public transportation. In this area, there is also an increasing need for fuel cell buses.
Some of the key players profiled in the Electric Bus Market include: NFI Group Inc., Daimler AG, Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, AB Volvo, VDL Groep BV, Anhui Ankai Automobile Co.,Ltd, Zhongtog Bus Holding, Proterra, YUTONG, CAF, Ashok Leyland, King Long United Automotive Industry Co. Ltd., Tata Motors Limited, Scania AB, New Flyer Industries and Iveco
In August 2023, NFI Group Inc. announces delivery of the 1,500th electric bus from the BYD-Alexander Dennis partnership, The 1,500th BYD-Alexander Dennis electric bus is one of nearly 300 joining Go-Ahead London this year for routes in the capital. Allocated to Merton Garage with fleet number SEe199, it has been in service on Transport for London routes 163 and 164 since May.
In June 2023, Volvo Group partners with Heidelberg Materials to reduce emissions in construction industry, the partnership will see several Volvo Group's customized electric product and service solutions put to work across much of Heidelberg Materials' Northern European operations, starting this year.
In June 2023, Volvo Autonomous Solutions expands its footprint and starts operations in Texas,t o prepare for commercial launch, V.A.S. has also started to haul loads with trucks using drivers for key customers like DHL and Uber Freight to test aspects of the transport solution and establish frameworks and procedures for safe and reliable operations.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.