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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1906893

印尼油气：市场占有率分析、产业趋势与统计、成长预测（2026-2031）

Indonesia Oil And Gas - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 95 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

预计印尼石油和天然气市场规模将从 2025 年的 138.8 亿美元成长到 2026 年的 146 亿美元，到 2031 年将达到 188.1 亿美元，2026 年至 2031 年的复合年增长率为 5.18%。

印尼油气市场-IMG1

这一成长轨迹标誌着印尼油气市场正从成熟的陆上油田向不断扩张的海上开发、碳捕获技术的整合以及数位转型转型。不断增长的国内需求、有利的产量分成合约条款以及新的深水油田发现正推动资本流入探勘，而维护和维修老旧基础设施的业务收益也持续增长。印尼国家石油公司（Pertamina）占据了国内60%的产量份额，其市场竞争日益激烈；国际石油公司利用先进的采油技术重返印尼市场；以及对碳捕获、利用与封存（CCUS）中心的投资不断增加，旨在延长浮式生产储油卸油设备并减少全生命週期排放。在纳土纳海、阿巴迪-马塞拉和马哈坎Delta的海上油田，浮式生产储卸油船（FPSO）和海底管线回接技术显着缩短了首次产气时间，并重新定义了计划的经济效益。同时，小规模天然气（LNG）解决方案正助力市场向离岛和矿区拓展。

印尼油气市场趋势与洞察

中产阶级的壮大带动了强劲的国内需求。

印尼不断壮大的中产阶级正在推动汽油、柴油和石化产品消费量的成长。预计到2030年，原油日需求量将达到180万桶，高于2025年的约160万桶。爪哇岛的都市化超过60%，儘管采取了提高能源效率的措施，但交通运输燃料的使用量仍不断增加。个人收入的成长也带动了对塑胶和包装材料需求的成长。预计到2030年，天然气日需求量将达到120亿立方英尺，这主要得益于联合循环发电厂的普及，这些电厂可以弥补可再生能源的波动性，并满足工业锅炉的需求。透过燃料补贴改革节省下来的资金可以重新用于公路、港口和公共交通计划，从而进一步刺激能源需求，并增强对国内油气资源的长期需求。

政府的目标是到2030年实现原油日产量100万桶，天然气日产量120亿立方英尺。

鑑于SKK Migas公司成品油进口已达60%，该公司已设定原油日产量目标为100万桶（bbl/d），天然气日产量目标为120亿立方英尺（Bcf/d），以降低进口依赖度。其优先事项包括加速核准127个区块、为增产技术提供财政激励，以及建立数位化油田监测系统以提高低产储存的产量。阿巴迪液化天然气计划和唐古扩建计画等计划有助于提升天然气供给能力，而米纳斯和杜里地区的水力压裂和强化化学采油（EOR）作业则减缓了基础油气资源的损耗。监管措施包括采用总分生产分成合约（PSC），该合约简化了审核，并确保早期现金流，从而吸引了雪佛龙、哈伯能源和Medco等公司进驻边远地区。

可再生能源的扩张和电动车的普及

印尼的目标是到2025年达到23%的可再生能源占比，到2060年达到净零排放。这项雄心勃勃的计画正推动资本从石化燃料计划转向太阳能、风能和地热发电（目前在建装置容量总合10吉瓦）。为电动车组装厂提供的税收优惠政策正吸引全球汽车製造商落脚西爪哇，这与印尼到2030年实现200万辆电池式电动车上路的目标相符。虽然天然气目前仍能弥补间歇性用电的不足，但随着收费公路沿线充电网路的日益密集，长期汽油需求正在下降。然而，基础设施的匮乏和对价格的高度敏感性限制了短期内的替代，印尼的油气市场仍然是交通运输和工业领域的核心力量。

细分市场分析

预计到2025年，印尼油气市场的上游部分规模将达到100.1亿美元（占总营收的72.10%），到2031年将以5.55%的复合年增长率成长。主要资本投资包括BP投资70亿美元的唐福UCC计划和Inpex投资200亿美元的阿巴迪LNG计划，显示各公司对长期天然气计划充满信心。随着盆地的成熟，生产分成合约的改革、数位地下成像技术的应用以及储存机器人技术的应用正在提高现有油井的采收率，并增强上游现金流。

产量分成合约（PSC）提高了透明度和成本确定性，使得雪佛龙得以重返拉帕克油田，哈伯能源得以在图纳油田开展蕴藏量补充宣传活动。印尼国家石油公司（Pertamina）和FPT软体公司共同实施的数位化资产健康系统将计画外停机时间减少了15%，展现了人工智慧整合带来的营运优势。中游扩建计画（一条连接中苏拉威西和爪哇的新管道）保障了运输经济效益；下游方面，图班炼油厂的石化一体化计画正在将高黏度原油转化为高利润烯烃。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市场预测（ME）表
  • 分析师支持（3个月）

目录

第一章 引言

  • 研究假设和市场定义
  • 调查范围

第二章调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章 市场情势

  • 市场概览
  • 市场驱动因素
    • 不断壮大的中产阶级带来的强劲国内需求
    • 政府争取2030年原油日产量提高100万桶，天然气日产量提高120亿立方英尺。
    • 向东北亚出口液化天然气套利
    • 产品分成合约总分配製度的激励措施吸引了国际石油公司的兴趣。
    • 碳捕获中心改善成熟油田的经济效益
    • 人工智慧驱动的数位化油田可降低钻井成本
  • 市场限制
    • 可再生能源的扩张和电动车的普及
    • 老旧盆地产量下降
    • 土地权利以及与原住民社区的衝突
    • 环境、社会及公司治理（ESG）相关资金筹措的限制
  • 供应链分析
  • 监管环境
  • 技术展望
  • 原油产量和消费量预测
  • 天然气生产与消费预测
  • 已安装管道容量分析
  • 非传统资源资本支出展望（緻密油、油砂、深水）
  • LNG接收站产能预测
  • 波特五力模型
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 买方的议价能力
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争对手之间的竞争
  • PESTEL 分析

第五章 市场规模与成长预测

  • 按行业
    • 上游部门
    • 中游产业
    • 下游产业
  • 按位置
    • 陆上
    • 离岸
  • 透过服务
    • 建造
    • 维护和检修
    • 退休

第六章 竞争情势

  • 市场集中度
  • 策略趋势（併购、联盟、购电协议）
  • 市场占有率分析（主要企业的市场排名和份额）
  • 公司简介
    • Pertamina
    • Chevron
    • ExxonMobil
    • Shell
    • BP
    • Petronas
    • ConocoPhillips
    • Medco Energi
    • Eni
    • TotalEnergies
    • Repsol
    • Sinopec
    • PGN
    • Chandra Asri
    • Inpex
    • Mubadala Energy
    • Harbour Energy
    • Conrad Asia Energy
    • PT Connusa Energindo
    • CNOOC

第七章 市场机会与未来展望

简介目录
Product Code: 46964

The Indonesia Oil And Gas market is expected to grow from USD 13.88 billion in 2025 to USD 14.6 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 18.81 billion by 2031 at 5.18% CAGR over 2026-2031.

Indonesia Oil And Gas - Market - IMG1

This trajectory highlights how the Indonesian oil and gas market is shifting from long-mature onshore basins toward offshore growth, carbon capture integration, and digital transformation. Rising domestic demand, favorable production-sharing terms, and deep-water discoveries are widening capital flows into exploration while sustaining service revenues from maintenance and turnaround activities that keep aging infrastructure online. Competitive intensity is shaped by Pertamina's 60% share of national output, the return of international oil companies that leverage advanced recovery techniques, and escalating investment in CCUS hubs, which extend field life and lower lifecycle emissions. Offshore fields in the Natuna Sea, Abadi Masela, and Mahakam Delta are redefining project economics, with FPSOs and subsea tiebacks significantly shortening the time to first gas. Meanwhile, small-scale LNG solutions are broadening the market reach to remote islands and mining enclaves.

Indonesia Oil And Gas Market Trends and Insights

Robust Domestic Demand from Rising Middle Class

Indonesia's growing middle class is driving up gasoline, diesel, and petrochemical consumption, with daily crude demand projected to reach 1.8 million barrels by 2030, up from roughly 1.6 million barrels in 2025. Java's urbanization rate above 60% intensifies transport fuel use, despite efficiency drives, while rising personal incomes underpin higher demand for plastics and packaging. Natural gas demand is expected to reach 12 Bcf/d by 2030, as combined-cycle power plants supplement renewable energy intermittency and meet the needs of industrial boilers. Fuel-subsidy reforms redirect savings into roads, ports, and mass transit projects, which further spur energy needs, reinforcing the long-term pull for domestic hydrocarbons.

Government Push for 1 Million bbl/d Crude and 12 Bcf/d Gas by 2030

SKK Migas targets 1 million barrels per day (bbl/d) of oil and 12 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of gas to curb import dependence, which already covers 60% of refined-product demand. Priority accelerators include 127 blocks slated for fast-track approval, fiscal sweeteners for enhanced recovery, and digital field surveillance that lifts output from marginal reservoirs. Projects such as Abadi LNG and the Tangguh expansion underpin gas deliverability, whereas steamflood and chemical EOR initiatives at Minas and Duri slow base decline. The regulatory path features gross-split PSCs that streamline audits and guarantee earlier cash flow, attracting Chevron, Harbour Energy, and Medco into frontier acreage.

Renewable-Energy Build-Out and EV Adoption

Indonesia aims for 23% renewable energy penetration by 2025 and net-zero emissions by 2060, ambitions that redirect capital from fossil fuel projects into solar, wind, and geothermal units totaling 10 GW under construction. Fiscal incentives for EV assembly plants draw global OEMs to West Java, in line with a national goal of 2 million battery electric vehicles on the roads by 2030. While gas still balances intermittency, long-run gasoline demand faces attrition as charging networks densify across toll-road corridors. Yet infrastructure gaps and price sensitivity moderate short-term displacement, allowing the Indonesian oil and gas market to retain core transport and industrial segments.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. LNG Export Arbitrage to North-East Asia
  2. PSC Gross-Split Incentives Attracting IOCs
  3. Declining Output from Ageing Basins

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Indonesia's oil and gas market size for the upstream segment was USD 10.01 billion in 2025, accounting for 72.10% of the overall revenue and projected to grow at a 5.55% CAGR through 2031. Major capital commitments include BP's USD 7 billion Tangguh UCC and Inpex's USD 20 billion Abadi LNG project, signaling durable corporate confidence in long-cycle gas projects. Production-sharing reforms, digital subsurface imaging, and reservoir robotics enhance recovery rates from legacy wells, reinforcing upstream cash flow even as basins mature.

Gross-split PSCs heighten transparency, with cost certainty spurring Chevron's return to the Rapak Block and Harbour Energy's infill campaign at Tuna. Digital asset integrity systems deployed by Pertamina and FPT Software reduced unplanned shutdowns by 15%, demonstrating the operational advantage that AI integration provides. Midstream expansions-new pipelines linking Central Sulawesi to Java-protect evacuation economics, while downstream petrochemical integration at Tuban refinery monetizes heavier crudes into high-margin olefins.

The Indonesia Oil and Gas Market Report is Segmented by Sector (Upstream, Midstream, and Downstream), Location (Onshore and Offshore), and Service (Construction, Maintenance and Turn-Around, and Decommissioning). The Market Sizes and Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

  1. Pertamina
  2. Chevron
  3. ExxonMobil
  4. Shell
  5. BP
  6. Petronas
  7. ConocoPhillips
  8. Medco Energi
  9. Eni
  10. TotalEnergies
  11. Repsol
  12. Sinopec
  13. PGN
  14. Chandra Asri
  15. Inpex
  16. Mubadala Energy
  17. Harbour Energy
  18. Conrad Asia Energy
  19. PT Connusa Energindo
  20. CNOOC

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Robust domestic demand from rising middle class
    • 4.2.2 Government push for 1 mb/d crude & 12 Bcf/d gas by 2030
    • 4.2.3 LNG export arbitrage to North-East Asia
    • 4.2.4 PSC gross-split incentives attracting IOCs
    • 4.2.5 Carbon-capture hubs boosting mature-field economics
    • 4.2.6 AI-enabled digital oilfields cutting lifting cost
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Renewable-energy build-out & EV adoption
    • 4.3.2 Declining output from ageing basins
    • 4.3.3 Land-right & indigenous community disputes
    • 4.3.4 ESG-linked financing constraints
  • 4.4 Supply-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Crude-Oil Production & Consumption Outlook
  • 4.8 Natural-Gas Production & Consumption Outlook
  • 4.9 Installed Pipeline Capacity Analysis
  • 4.10 Unconventional Resources CAPEX Outlook (tight oil, oil sands, deep-water)
  • 4.11 LNG Terminal Capacity Outlook
  • 4.12 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.12.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.12.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.12.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.12.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.12.5 Competitive Rivalry
  • 4.13 PESTLE Analysis

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts

  • 5.1 By Sector
    • 5.1.1 Upstream
    • 5.1.2 Midstream
    • 5.1.3 Downstream
  • 5.2 By Location
    • 5.2.1 Onshore
    • 5.2.2 Offshore
  • 5.3 By Service
    • 5.3.1 Construction
    • 5.3.2 Maintenance and Turn-around
    • 5.3.3 Decommissioning

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves (M&A, Partnerships, PPAs)
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis (Market Rank/Share for key companies)
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 Pertamina
    • 6.4.2 Chevron
    • 6.4.3 ExxonMobil
    • 6.4.4 Shell
    • 6.4.5 BP
    • 6.4.6 Petronas
    • 6.4.7 ConocoPhillips
    • 6.4.8 Medco Energi
    • 6.4.9 Eni
    • 6.4.10 TotalEnergies
    • 6.4.11 Repsol
    • 6.4.12 Sinopec
    • 6.4.13 PGN
    • 6.4.14 Chandra Asri
    • 6.4.15 Inpex
    • 6.4.16 Mubadala Energy
    • 6.4.17 Harbour Energy
    • 6.4.18 Conrad Asia Energy
    • 6.4.19 PT Connusa Energindo
    • 6.4.20 CNOOC

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space & Unmet-need Assessment