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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1848405
2032年油气市场预测:按产品类型、价值链、来源、运输基础设施、应用、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Oil & Gas Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Product Type, Value Chain, Source, Transport Infrastructure, Application, End User and By Geography |
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根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球石油和天然气市场预计在 2025 年达到 8,5507.5 亿美元,预计到 2032 年将达到 13,9113.1 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 7.2%。
石油和天然气产业是全球经济的基础,为车辆、工业和家庭提供能源。它涵盖原油和天然气的探勘、钻探、加工和供应。技术创新提高了营运效率和安全性,而环境压力则推动着人们采用更环保的做法。市场动态和地缘政治事件对产量和定价有重大影响。该行业还在全球范围内提供了大量的就业机会和政府收入。儘管面临价格波动和环境法规日益严格等挑战,石油和天然气仍然是满足全球日益增长的能源需求的关键。
根据国际能源总署(IEA,World Energy Outlook 2023)预测,2022年石油和天然气将占全球能源供应的50%以上,石油需求将达到约1亿桶/日,这显示儘管可再生能源有所增长,但石油和天然气仍将占据主导地位。
全球能源需求不断成长
石油和天然气市场在很大程度上受全球能源需求成长的驱动。人口成长、快速都市化和工业发展持续推高石油和天然气的消费量。交通运输、製造业和发电等产业都严重依赖这些燃料。开发中国家尤其透过大规模基础设施计划推动能源使用。现代生活方式和技术的广泛应用进一步推动了消费模式的转变。因此,该行业正在稳步增长,刺激了对探勘、生产和供应链的投资,以满足已开发市场和新兴市场日益增长的能源需求。
高昂的营运和勘探成本
高昂的营运和勘探成本限制了石油和天然气市场的成长。从海上、深水和传统型油气资源开采需要先进的技术和专用机械,这需要大量的资本投入。包括劳动力、运输、维护和安全措施在内的持续成本进一步增加了支出。这些财务需求降低了利润率,并可能导致计划延期或取消,尤其是在油价下跌的情况下。小型企业往往难以在这些压力下维持营运。总体而言,成本上升限制了市场扩张,限制了新投资,并给那些在石油和天然气领域寻求永续盈利成长的公司带来了持续的挑战。
转向更清洁的能源和永续性
全球对永续性和清洁能源的关注为石油和天然气产业带来了广阔的前景。企业可以探索对氢能、生质燃料、低碳能源和碳捕获技术的投资。这项策略使他们能够在日益推崇环保实践的市场中保持竞争力。采用永续的解决方案可以提升公司形象,吸引具有环保意识的投资者,并确保合规性。将可再生能源计划与传统营运相结合可以创造新的收益管道,并增强长期韧性。拥抱向绿色能源的转型可以巩固石油和天然气公司的市场地位,推动技术创新,并确保在不断变化的全球能源格局中实现永续成长。
与可再生能源的竞争
可再生能源的成长对石油和天然气产业构成了重大威胁。太阳能、风能和水力发电技术正变得越来越经济实惠,应用也越来越广泛,从而减少了对石化燃料的依赖。政策支持、补贴和奖励可能会进一步推动清洁能源的采用,并减少传统石油和燃气公司的市场份额。向低碳解决方案的转变迫使传统能源供应商进行创新,否则将面临失去相关性的风险。投资者和消费者对永续能源的偏好正在加剧竞争。这一趋势威胁着未来的需求和盈利,迫使企业实现能源供应多元化,采用更清洁的技术,并重新评估其长期策略,以在不断变化的能源格局中保持竞争力。
新冠疫情(COVID-19)全球爆发,对石油和天然气产业造成重大衝击,导致全球能源需求急剧下降。停工、出行限制和经济活动放缓大幅减少了工业和交通运输的燃料消耗,导致原油价格暴跌。供应链中断、计划延期和营运困难给该行业带来了进一步的挑战。企业收益下降,员工人数减少,勘探和生产投资被推迟。市场不确定性加剧了市场波动,并削弱了投资者信心。疫情凸显了石油产业在全球动盪面前的脆弱性,并强调了适应性、成本效益以及朝向更清洁、更永续的能源来源多元化发展的重要性。
预计原油板块在预测期内将占据最大份额。
预计原油板块将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额,为交通运输、工业和发电提供能源。原油是生产精炼石油产品和石化产品的主要原料,为能源产业提供动力。其高需求、广泛的应用以及在能源供应链中的核心地位,使其在市场上占据主导地位。儘管价格波动且能源转向可再生能源,原油仍是满足全球能源需求的关键。持续的生产、精炼和分销工作,以及技术创新,提升了原油的重要性,吸引了大规模投资,并使其成为石油和天然气市场中最具影响力的板块。
预计在预测期内,传统型区隔将实现最高的复合年增长率。
受能源需求激增和传统型蕴藏量减少的推动,传统型领域预计将在预测期内实现最高成长率。非常规能源领域包括页岩气和緻密油等资源,这些资源依赖水力压裂和水平钻井等先进的开采方法。不断增长的探勘和生产投资,尤其是在北美和传统型国家,正在推动这一快速扩张。技术创新、政府支持性政策以及不断上涨的能源价格进一步促进了成长。非传统资源为满足日益增长的能源需求、实现供应多元化和提高能源安全提供了机会,使其成为石油和天然气市场中成长最快、最具活力的部分。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额。这一领先地位得益于中国、印度和日本等国快速的工业成长、城市扩张以及不断增长的能源需求。该地区在探勘、生产、炼油和分销领域的大量投资进一步巩固了其市场地位。此外,越来越多地转向天然气和液化天然气等更清洁的替代能源,也巩固了亚太地区在全球能源领域的关键地位。
在预测期内,北美预计将呈现最高的复合年增长率,这得益于页岩油气等非传统资源开采的突破。美国处于领先地位,尤其是在提高其液化天然气生产和出口能力方面。水力压裂和水平钻井等开采技术的进步正在提高效率。此外,优惠的政策和不断增加的基础设施投资也支持着该行业的成长。这种快速扩张凸显了北美在全球能源领域的关键作用,增强了该地区的能源安全和经济繁荣。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Oil & Gas Market is accounted for $8550.75 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $13911.31 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period. The oil and gas sector is fundamental to the global economy, supplying energy for vehicles, industries, and homes. It involves the exploration, drilling, processing, and delivery of crude oil and natural gas. Innovations have improved operational efficiency and safety, while environmental pressures encourage the adoption of greener practices. Market dynamics and geopolitical events strongly impact production and pricing. The industry also provides substantial jobs and government income across countries. Even with issues such as volatile prices and stricter environmental regulations, oil and gas continue to be essential in fulfilling the rising global demand for energy.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA, World Energy Outlook 2023), Data shows that oil and gas together accounted for over 50% of global energy supply in 2022, with oil demand reaching ~100 million barrels per day, underscoring their continued dominance despite renewable growth.
Rising global energy demand
The oil and gas market is largely propelled by the growing worldwide need for energy. Expanding populations, rapid urbanization, and industrial growth lead to a consistent rise in consumption of petroleum and natural gas. Sectors like transportation, manufacturing, and electricity generation heavily depend on these fuels. Developing nations, in particular, drive energy usage through large-scale infrastructure projects. Modern lifestyles and technological proliferation further boost consumption patterns. As a result, the industry experiences steady growth, encouraging investment in exploration, production, and supply chains to fulfill the increasing energy demands of both developed and emerging markets.
High operational and exploration costs
Significant operational and exploration expenses restrict the growth of the oil and gas market. Extracting resources from offshore, deepwater, or unconventional sources requires advanced technologies and specialized machinery, resulting in high capital investments. Ongoing costs, including workforce, transport, maintenance, and safety measures, further elevate expenditures. These financial demands reduce profit margins and may delay or cancel projects, especially when oil prices decline. Smaller firms often struggle to sustain operations under these pressures. Overall, elevated costs constrain market expansion, limit new investments, and pose continuous challenges for companies seeking sustainable and profitable growth within the oil and gas sector.
Shift towards cleaner energy and sustainability
The global emphasis on sustainability and clean energy provides significant prospects for the oil and gas sector. Firms can explore investments in hydrogen, biofuels, low-carbon energy, and carbon capture technologies. This strategy allows companies to stay competitive in a market that increasingly favors environmentally responsible practices. Adopting sustainable solutions improves corporate image, appeals to eco-conscious investors, and ensures regulatory compliance. Combining renewable energy initiatives with traditional operations creates additional revenue channels and enhances long-term resilience. By embracing the transition toward greener energy, oil and gas companies can strengthen their market position, drive innovation, and ensure sustainable growth in an evolving global energy landscape.
Competition from renewable energy sources
Renewable energy growth poses a significant threat to the oil and gas sector. Solar, wind, and hydro technologies are increasingly affordable and widely implemented, lowering dependence on fossil fuels. Policy support, subsidies, and incentives further encourage adoption of clean energy, potentially reducing market share for traditional oil and gas companies. The shift toward low-carbon solutions forces conventional energy businesses to innovate or risk losing relevance. Investor and consumer preference for sustainable energy intensifies competition. This trend threatens future demand and profitability, compelling companies to diversify energy offerings, adopt cleaner technologies, and revise long-term strategies to remain competitive in an evolving energy landscape.
The global outbreak of COVID-19 had a profound impact on the oil and gas industry, sharply reducing energy demand worldwide. Lockdowns, restricted mobility, and slowing economic activity led to a significant decline in industrial and transportation fuel consumption, triggering a steep drop in oil prices. Supply chain interruptions, delayed projects, and operational difficulties further challenged the sector. Companies experienced revenue losses, workforce downsizing, and postponed investments in exploration and production. Market uncertainty heightened volatility and lowered investor confidence. The pandemic underscored the industry's susceptibility to global disruptions and reinforced the importance of adaptability, cost efficiency, and diversification into cleaner, sustainable energy sources.
The crude oil segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The crude oil segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, providing energy for transportation, industry, and electricity generation. It is the main raw material for producing refined petroleum products and petrochemicals, underpinning the energy sector. Its high demand, broad applicability, and central role in energy supply chains maintain its dominant market position. Even with price volatility and the shift toward renewables, crude oil remains vital for fulfilling global energy requirements. Continuous production, refining, and distribution efforts, along with technological innovations, reinforce its significance and attract major investments, making it the most influential segment in the oil and gas market.
The unconventional segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the unconventional segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, driven by surging energy demand and declining conventional reserves. It encompasses resources like shale gas and tight oil, which rely on sophisticated extraction methods such as fracking and horizontal drilling. Increased exploration and production investments, especially in North America and emerging economies, are fueling this rapid expansion. Technological innovations, supportive government policies, and elevated energy prices further contribute to growth. Unconventional resources offer opportunities to meet rising energy requirements, diversify supply, and improve energy security, positioning this segment as the fastest-growing and most dynamic area within the oil and gas market.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share. This leadership is driven by the swift industrial growth, urban expansion, and escalating energy requirements in nations like China, India, and Japan. The region's substantial investments in exploration, production, refining, and distribution sectors have further reinforced its market position. Moreover, the increasing transition towards cleaner energy alternatives, including natural gas and LNG, has bolstered Asia-Pacific's pivotal role in the worldwide energy sector.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, fueled by breakthroughs in extracting unconventional resources like shale oil and gas. The United States is at the forefront, with rising production and export capabilities, notably in LNG. Advancements in extraction technologies, including hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling, have improved efficiency. Moreover, favorable policies and increased infrastructure investments are supporting sectoral growth. This swift expansion underscores North America's crucial role in the global energy sector, enhancing regional energy security and economic prosperity.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Oil & Gas Market include Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL), Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC), Reliance Industries Limited (RIL), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL), Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL), GAIL Limited, Cairn Oil & Gas Inc, Nayara Energy Inc, Oil India Limited, Petronet LNG Limited, Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL), Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CPCL), Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation (GSPC), Essar Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Inc and Adani Total Gas Limited.
In August 2025, Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) announced the formation of a joint venture with Meta to build and scale enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) solutions for businesses in India and select international markets. As part of the agreement, RIL and Meta have committed a joint initial investment of approximately ₹855 crore, with Reliance holding a 70% stake and Meta holding 30%.
In April 2025, Indian Oil Corp has signed a five-year import deal with trader Trafigura to buy 2.5 million metric tons of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in a $1.3-$1.4 billion deal. Supplies under the deal would begin from the second half of this year, he said, adding that the price of the LNG is linked to the U.S. Henry Hub benchmark.
In February 2025, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC) and bp have signed a contract under which bp will serve as the Technical Services Provider (TSP) for the Mumbai High field, India's largest and most prolific offshore oil field. ONGC will retain ownership and operational control of the field. Under the terms of the contract, bp will receive a fixed fee for a period of two years for its deployed personnel, followed by a service fee linked to incremental oil and gas production.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.