自动驾驶最后一公里配送市场规模、份额和成长分析（按车辆类型、配送方式、应用、组件、解决方案和地区划分）－2026-2033年产业预测

预计到 2024 年，自动驾驶最后一公里配送市场规模将达到 305.5 亿美元，到 2025 年将成长至 379.2 亿美元，到 2033 年将成长至 2133.1 亿美元，在预测期（2026-2033 年）内复合成长率为 24.1%。

由于电子商务行业的蓬勃发展和互联网普及率的不断提高，消费者对高效、及时的配送解决方案的需求日益增长，因此，自主末端配送市场正经历着显着的增长。各公司正利用自动驾驶汽车、无人机和智慧配送系统等创新技术来提升客户满意度，同时维护自身的市场声誉。配送车辆技术的进步使企业能够简化物流流程，并满足消费者对速度和便利性不断变化的期望。随着全球企业投资于自主配送机器人等尖端解决方案，市场格局正在快速变化。自主末端配送领域创新技术和调查方法的演进可望满足消费者对高效产品配送的迫切需求，并推动市场持续成长。

自动驾驶最后一公里配送市场驱动因素

全球最后一公里自主配送市场的主要驱动力是全球电子商务的蓬勃发展。随着消费者对更快、更有效率的配送方式的需求日益增长，能够满足这些不断提升的期望的创新解决方案也应运而生。这促使无人机和机器人等自主配送技术的应用，这些技术不仅提高了配送速度，也降低了人事费用和营运成本。对及时可靠配送的需求正推动企业采用这些先进系统，从而在不断变化的零售格局中塑造物流和客户满意度的未来。

自主最后一公里配送市场限制因素

阻碍自动驾驶末端配送市场扩张的一大挑战是围绕自动驾驶车辆营运的复杂监管环境。各国不同的法规造成了不确定性，限制了这些创新配送解决方案的普及。遵守安全标准、解决责任问题以及获得必要的许可证都会使市场成长和发展变得复杂且缓慢。如果这些监管障碍持续存在，它们将对自动驾驶配送系统的广泛应用和发展构成重大阻碍，最终影响其融入全球物流和运输网路。

自动驾驶最后一公里外送市场的发展趋势

随着永续性意识的日益增强，自动驾驶最后一公里配送市场正逐步成形。企业正转向环保解决方案，以满足客户需求和监管要求。这一趋势的特点是电动车的广泛应用以及能够最大限度减少碳排放的创新绿色配送方式。随着消费者环保意识的不断提高，企业正积极部署永续性策略，不仅是为了满足排放严格的排放法规，也是为了提升品牌声誉，吸引环保意识的消费者。这种向永续实践的转变有望推动市场竞争的差异化和创新。

目录

介绍

• 调查目标
• 调查范围
• 定义

调查方法

• 资讯收集
• 二手资料和一手资料方法
• 市场规模预测
• 市场假设与限制

执行摘要

• 全球市场展望
• 供需趋势分析
• 细分市场机会分析

市场动态与展望

• 市场规模
• 市场动态
  • 驱动因素和机会
  • 限制与挑战
• 波特分析及其影响

关键市场考察

• 关键成功因素
• 竞争程度
• 关键投资机会
• 市场生态系统
• 市场吸引力指数（2025）
• PESTEL 分析
• 总体经济指标
• 价值链分析
• 定价分析
• 监管环境
• 专利分析
• 案例研究

全球自动驾驶最后一公里配送市场规模（按车辆类型和复合年增长率划分）（2026-2033 年）

• 空中配送无人机
  • 固定翼飞机
  • 旋翼机
  • 杂交种
• 地面运输车辆
  • 自动驾驶货车和卡车
  • 配送机器人
• 人行道机器人
• 配送机器人

全球自主最后一公里配送市场规模（以配送方式划分）及复合年增长率（2026-2033 年）

• B2B（企业对企业）
• B2C（企业对消费者）

全球自主最后一公里配送市场规模（依应用领域及复合年增长率划分）（2026-2033 年）

• 电子商务
• 食品和杂货
• 小包裹和宅配服务
• 製药
• 家具和家电
• 零售
• 卫生保健
• 后勤
• 製造业
• 政府

全球自主最后一公里配送市场规模（按组件划分）及复合年增长率（2026-2033 年）

• 硬体
  • 感应器
  • 致动器
  • 电源
  • 控制系统
• 软体
  • 人工智慧和机器学习
  • 导航与地图绘製
  • 使用者介面
• 服务
  • 维护/修理
  • 客户支援
  • 软体更新

全球自主最后一公里配送市场规模（按解决方案和复合年增长率划分）（2026-2033 年）

• 路线规划和导航
• 交通管理
• 车队优化

全球自动驾驶最后一公里配送市场规模（按续航里程和复合年增长率划分）（2026-2033 年）

• 短距离
• 长途
• 都市区
• 地区

全球自主最后一公里配送市场规模及复合年增长率（2026-2033）

• 北美洲
  • 美国
  • 加拿大
• 欧洲
  • 英国
  • 德国
  • 西班牙
  • 法国
  • 义大利
  • 其他欧洲地区
• 亚太地区
  • 中国
  • 印度
  • 日本
  • 韩国
  • 亚太其他地区
• 拉丁美洲
  • 巴西
  • 其他拉丁美洲地区
• 中东和非洲
  • 海湾合作委员会国家
  • 南非
  • 其他中东和非洲地区

竞争资讯

• 前五大公司对比
• 主要企业的市场定位（2025 年）
• 主要市场参与者所采取的策略
• 近期市场趋势
• 公司市占率分析（2025 年）
• 主要企业公司简介
  • 公司详情
  • 产品系列分析
  • 依业务板块进行公司股票分析
  • 2021-2023年营收年比比较

主要企业简介

• Amazon.com, Inc.
• JD.com, Inc.
• Starship Technologies
• Nuro, Inc.
• Marble Robot
• Savioke
• DHL International GmbH
• United Parcel Service of America, Inc.（UPS）
• FedEx Corporation
• Matternet
• Flirtey
• Drone Delivery Canada
• Flytrex
• Airbus SAS
• Zipline
• Robomart
• Boxbot
• Kiwibot
• Serve Robotics
• Ottonomy, Inc.

结论与建议

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market size was valued at USD 30.55 Billion in 2024 and is poised to grow from USD 37.92 Billion in 2025 to USD 213.31 Billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 24.1% during the forecast period (2026-2033).

The autonomous last mile delivery market is experiencing significant growth due to the increased demand for efficient and timely delivery solutions, fueled by the booming e-commerce sector and heightened internet accessibility. Businesses are leveraging innovative technologies such as self-driving vehicles, drones, and smart delivery systems to enhance customer satisfaction while maintaining their market reputation. Developments in delivery vehicle technology are enabling companies to streamline logistics and meet evolving consumer expectations for speed and convenience. As global players invest in cutting-edge solutions, such as autonomous delivery robots, the market landscape is transforming rapidly. Enhanced innovations and methodologies in autonomous last mile delivery are expected to drive sustained market growth, addressing the urgent need for effective product distribution to consumers.

Top-down and bottom-up approaches were used to estimate and validate the size of the Autonomous Last Mile Delivery market and to estimate the size of various other dependent submarkets. The research methodology used to estimate the market size includes the following details: The key players in the market were identified through secondary research, and their market shares in the respective regions were determined through primary and secondary research. This entire procedure includes the study of the annual and financial reports of the top market players and extensive interviews for key insights from industry leaders such as CEOs, VPs, directors, and marketing executives. All percentage shares split, and breakdowns were determined using secondary sources and verified through Primary sources. All possible parameters that affect the markets covered in this research study have been accounted for, viewed in extensive detail, verified through primary research, and analyzed to get the final quantitative and qualitative data.

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Segments Analysis

Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market is segmented by vehicle type, delivery mode, application, component, solution and region. Based on vehicle type, the market is segmented into aerial delivery drones (fixed-wing, rotary-wing, hybrid), ground delivery vehicles (self-driving vans and trucks, delivery bots), sidewalk robots and delivery bots. Based on delivery mode, the market is segmented into B2B (business to business), B2C (business to consumer). Based on application, the market is segmented into e-commerce, food and grocery, parcel & courier service, pharmaceutical, furniture & appliance, retail, healthcare, logistics, manufacturing and government. Based on component, the market is segmented into hardware (sensors, actuators, power supply, control systems), software (AI and machine learning, navigation and mapping, user interface) and services (maintenance and repair, customer support, software updates). Based on solution, the market is segmented into routing & navigation, traffic management and fleet optimization. Based on region, the market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America and Middle East & Africa.

Driver of the Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market

The global autonomous last mile delivery market is primarily fueled by the increasing adoption of e-commerce worldwide. As consumers seek quicker and more efficient delivery options, there is a rising demand for innovative solutions that can meet these heightened expectations. This has led to the integration of autonomous delivery technologies, such as drones and robots, which not only enhance delivery speed but also reduce labor costs and operational expenses. The desire for timely and reliable deliveries drives businesses to explore these advanced systems, ultimately shaping the future of logistics and consumer satisfaction in the ever-evolving retail landscape.

Restraints in the Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market

The primary challenge hindering the expansion of the autonomous last mile delivery market is the complex regulatory landscape surrounding the operation of autonomous vehicles. Variations in regulations from one country to another generate uncertainty and limit the deployment of these innovative delivery solutions. Compliance with safety standards, navigating liability concerns, and obtaining necessary permits can complicate and slow down market growth and development. As these regulatory hurdles remain, they pose significant obstacles to the widespread adoption and progress of autonomous delivery systems, ultimately affecting their integration into logistics and transportation networks globally.

Market Trends of the Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market

The Autonomous Last Mile Delivery market is increasingly being shaped by the growing emphasis on sustainability, as businesses pivot toward eco-friendly solutions to meet both customer demands and regulatory requirements. This trend is characterized by the widespread adoption of electric vehicles and innovative green delivery methods that minimize carbon footprints. As consumer awareness of environmental issues rises, companies are actively developing strategies to enhance their sustainability profiles, not only to comply with stringent emissions regulations but also to strengthen their brand reputation and appeal to a more environmentally conscious customer base. This shift towards sustainable practices is likely to drive competitive differentiation and innovation in the market.

Table of Contents

Introduction

• Objectives of the Study
• Scope of the Report
• Definitions

Research Methodology

• Information Procurement
• Secondary & Primary Data Methods
• Market Size Estimation
• Market Assumptions & Limitations

Executive Summary

• Global Market Outlook
• Supply & Demand Trend Analysis
• Segmental Opportunity Analysis

Market Dynamics & Outlook

• Market Overview
• Market Size
• Market Dynamics
  • Driver & Opportunities
  • Restraints & Challenges
• Porters Analysis & Impact
  • Competitive rivalry
  • Threat of substitute
  • Bargaining power of buyers
  • Threat of new entrants
  • Bargaining power of suppliers

Key Market Insights

• Key Success Factors
• Degree of Competition
• Top Investment Pockets
• Market Ecosystem
• Market Attractiveness Index, 2025
• PESTEL Analysis
• Macro-Economic Indicators
• Value Chain Analysis
• Pricing Analysis
• Regulatory Landscape
• Patent Analysis
• Case Studies

Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Size by Vehicle Type & CAGR (2026-2033)

• Market Overview
• Aerial Delivery Drones
  • Fixed-Wing
  • Rotary-Wing
  • Hybrid
• Ground Delivery Vehicles
  • Self-Driving Vans and Trucks
  • Delivery Bots
• Sidewalk Robots
• Delivery Bots

Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Size by Delivery Mode & CAGR (2026-2033)

• Market Overview
• B2B (Business to Business)
• B2C (Business to Consumer)

Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Size by Application & CAGR (2026-2033)

• Market Overview
• E-commerce
• Food and Grocery
• Parcel & Courier Service
• Pharmaceutical
• Furniture & Appliance
• Retail
• Healthcare
• Logistics
• Manufacturing
• Government

Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Size by Component & CAGR (2026-2033)

• Market Overview
• Hardware
  • Sensors
  • Actuators
  • Power Supply
  • Control Systems
• Software
  • AI and Machine Learning
  • Navigation and Mapping
  • User Interface
• Services
  • Maintenance and Repair
  • Customer Support
  • Software Updates

Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Size by Solution & CAGR (2026-2033)

• Market Overview
• Routing & Navigation
• Traffic Management
• Fleet Optimization

Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Size by Range & CAGR (2026-2033)

• Market Overview
• Short Range
• Long Range
• Urban
• Rural

Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Size & CAGR (2026-2033)

• North America, (Vehicle Type, Delivery Mode, Application, Component, Solution, Range)
  • US
  • Canada
• Europe, (Vehicle Type, Delivery Mode, Application, Component, Solution, Range)
  • UK
  • Germany
  • Spain
  • France
  • Italy
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia-Pacific, (Vehicle Type, Delivery Mode, Application, Component, Solution, Range)
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
• Latin America, (Vehicle Type, Delivery Mode, Application, Component, Solution, Range)
  • Brazil
  • Rest of Latin America
• Middle East & Africa, (Vehicle Type, Delivery Mode, Application, Component, Solution, Range)
  • GCC Countries
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

Competitive Intelligence

• Top 5 Player Comparison
• Market Positioning of Key Players, 2025
• Strategies Adopted by Key Market Players
• Recent Developments in the Market
• Company Market Share Analysis, 2025
• Company Profiles of All Key Players
  • Company Details
  • Product Portfolio Analysis
  • Company's Segmental Share Analysis
  • Revenue Y-O-Y Comparison (2021-2023)

Key Company Profiles

• Amazon.com, Inc.
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• JD.com, Inc.
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Starship Technologies
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Nuro, Inc.
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Marble Robot
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Savioke
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• DHL International GmbH
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• United Parcel Service of America, Inc. (UPS)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• FedEx Corporation
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Matternet
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Flirtey
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Drone Delivery Canada
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Flytrex
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Airbus S.A.S.
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Zipline
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Robomart
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Boxbot
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Kiwibot
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Serve Robotics
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Ottonomy, Inc.
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments

Conclusion & Recommendation