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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1818116
全球最后一哩配送物流市场:未来预测(至 2032 年)—按配送方式、营运模式、车辆类型、目的地、最终用户和地区进行分析Last-Mile Delivery Logistics Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Delivery Mode, Operational Model (Third-Party Logistics, and In-House/Captive Logistics), Vehicle Type, Destination, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球最后一哩配送物流市场规模预计在 2025 年达到 1,994 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 4,166 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 11.1%。最后一哩配送物流市场专注于将货物从配送点运送到最终消费者,确保快速且有效率地送达。最后一哩配送物流是电子商务和零售供应链的重要组成部分,其驱动力来自网路购物的成长和消费者对更快配送时间的期望。路线优化软体、自动储物柜、无人机和电动车等技术正在提高效率。供应商正在强调即时追踪、非接触式配送和城市微型仓配中心,以优化配送速度并减少人口密集地区的环境影响。
消费者对快速送货的期望
在电子商务成长和消费行为变化的推动下,当日或隔天送达的需求不断增长,迫使物流公司提高服务效率。此外,路线优化软体和即时追踪系统等技术进步正在提高配送速度和可靠性。此外,智慧型手机和行动应用程式的普及使客户能够追踪订单并与服务提供者沟通,从而催生了更高的期望。为了满足这些需求,物流供应商正在投资自动化、进阶分析和创新的配送模式,从而推动市场成长和区域竞争。
最后一哩配送成本高昂
营运成本(包括燃油、人事费用、车辆维护和路线效率低下)会显着影响利润率,尤其是在交通拥挤的都市区。此外,分散的配送系统和缺乏规模经济进一步推高了成本。此外,对更小、更频繁配送的需求正在推高单位成本。这些成本挑战阻碍了最后一哩物流解决方案的采用,尤其是对于中小型企业而言。主要企业必须在成本效益与消费者对速度和服务品质的期望之间取得平衡,这往往会导致营运效率低下,并限制其短期市场扩张潜力。
微型仓配中心的兴起
微型仓配中心的发展为最后一哩配送物流市场带来了诱人的机会。这些紧凑的自动化仓库位于市中心附近,可加快存货周转并缩短配送时间。此外,它们还能透过最大限度地缩短运输距离和提高订单履行效率来应对最后一哩物流相关的挑战。此外,都市化的加快和电子商务的兴起凸显了就近库存策略的必要性。对微型履约技术的投资可透过自动化和提高空间利用率来节省成本。采用这种模式的公司可以更灵活地回应消费者需求。因此,微型履约中心有望透过提高速度、效率和客户满意度来彻底改变最后一哩物流。
劳动力短缺
该行业严重依赖司机和仓库工人,但恶劣的工作条件和低工资使其难以吸引和留住技术人才。此外,人口结构变化和零工经济平台的竞争加剧了劳动挑战。虽然自动化解决方案可以缓解部分劳动依赖,但它们需要大量的资本投入和时间来整合。此外,一些地区严格的劳动法规进一步加剧了劳动力管理的复杂性。这些因素增加了营运成本和交付延迟,威胁到服务的可靠性。
新冠疫情加速了电子商务的普及,并重塑了消费者的购买行为,对最后一哩配送物流市场产生了重大影响。封锁和保持社交距离措施导致线上订单激增,迫使物流供应商迅速调整营运方式。此外,供应链中断和劳动力短缺最初给最后一哩配送能力带来了压力。然而,企业采用了数位化工具、非接触式配送方式和自动化技术来维持营运。此外,消费者对宅配服务的信心增强,带来了长期需求的转变。儘管疫情初期面临挑战,但最终加速了该行业的数位化和基础设施投资,增强了市场韧性,并促进了此后的持续成长。
预计汽车市场将成为预测期内最大的市场
预计四轮车辆细分市场将在预测期内占据最大市场份额。四轮车辆(例如厢型车和卡车)是远距大容量运输的理想选择,与两轮车和三轮车相比,其容量优势显着。此外,它们还具备更高的安全性、防风雨性能以及运输各种货物的能力,这对于满足各行各业的需求至关重要。此外,远端资讯处理和先进车辆管理系统的整合能够优化路线并提高燃油效率,这也促成了四轮车辆的普及。
预计在预测期内,食品和饮料行业将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
预计食品饮料产业将在预测期内实现最高成长率。尤其是在疫情之后,线上杂货和食品配送服务的激增,增强了该行业对高效「最后一英里」配送解决方案的需求。此外,食品易腐烂的特性需要配备温控技术的专用配送车辆,以确保产品新鲜并符合安全标准。此外,消费者不断变化的生活方式和对便利性的偏好也加速了对快速可靠配送服务的需求。对低温运输物流、微型履约中心和先进追踪解决方案的投资进一步推动了该领域的成长,使食品饮料成为成长最快的细分市场。
预计北美将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额。该地区拥有发达的物流基础设施,并由高度的技术整合和完善的法规结构提供支援。此外,亚马逊和沃尔玛等电商巨头的崛起凸显了其对高效能最后一哩配送模式的战略重点。大型物流服务提供者的存在及其对自动化技术的投资正在提高营运效率。此外,消费者对快速配送和可靠服务品质的期望也进一步推动了市场需求。
预计亚太地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。快速的都市化、日益增长的电子商务普及以及不断壮大的中阶消费群体,正在推动最后一哩配送需求的激增。此外,政府支持数位基础设施和智慧城市发展的措施也将推动市场成长。此外,主导物流驱动解决方案的本地物流新兴企业的崛起,正在为人口稠密地区提供经济高效的最后一哩配送服务。该地区多元化的市场为微型仓配中心的发展和电动车在永续配送解决方案中的应用提供了重要机会。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Last-Mile Delivery Logistics Market is accounted for $199.4 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $416.6 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 11.1% during the forecast period. The Last-Mile Delivery Logistics Market focuses on transporting goods from distribution hubs to end consumers, ensuring prompt and efficient delivery. It is a critical component of e-commerce and retail supply chains, driven by rising online shopping and consumer expectations for faster delivery times. Technologies like route optimization software, automated lockers, drones, and electric vehicles enhance efficiency. Providers emphasize real-time tracking, contactless delivery, and urban micro-fulfillment centers to optimize delivery speed and reduce environmental impact in densely populated areas.
Consumer expectations for fast delivery
The increasing demand for same-day or next-day deliveries, fueled by e-commerce growth and changing consumer behavior, compels logistics companies to enhance their service efficiency. Moreover, advancements in technology, such as route optimization software and real-time tracking systems, improve delivery speed and reliability. Additionally, the proliferation of smartphones and mobile apps enables customers to track orders and communicate with service providers, fostering higher expectations. To meet these demands, logistics providers are investing in automation, advanced analytics, and innovative delivery models, thereby driving market growth and competitiveness across regions.
High last-mile delivery costs
Operational expenses, including fuel, labor, vehicle maintenance, and route inefficiencies, significantly impact profit margins, especially in urban areas with heavy traffic congestion. Moreover, fragmented delivery systems and the lack of economies of scale further inflate costs. Additionally, the increasing requirement for smaller, more frequent deliveries raises per-unit expenses. These cost challenges hinder the adoption of last-mile logistics solutions, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises. Companies must balance cost-effectiveness with consumer expectations for speed and service quality, often leading to operational inefficiencies and limiting market expansion potential in the short term.
Micro-fulfillment centers development
Micro-fulfillment centers development presents a compelling opportunity for the Last-Mile Delivery Logistics Market. These compact, automated warehouses situated near urban centers enable faster inventory turnover and reduced delivery times. Moreover, they address challenges associated with last-mile logistics by minimizing travel distances and enabling more efficient order processing. Additionally, the rise of urbanization and e-commerce proliferation emphasizes the need for proximity-based inventory strategies. Investment in micro-fulfillment technologies offers cost savings through automation and improved space utilization. Companies adopting this model can achieve greater agility in meeting consumer demands. Consequently, micro-fulfillment centers are poised to revolutionize last-mile logistics by enhancing speed, efficiency, and customer satisfaction.
Labor shortages
The sector heavily depends on drivers and warehouse workers, yet the industry faces difficulties attracting and retaining qualified personnel due to strenuous working conditions and low wages. Moreover, demographic shifts and competition from gig economy platforms exacerbate workforce challenges. Automation solutions, while mitigating some labor dependence, require significant capital investment and time for integration. Additionally, stringent labor regulations in certain regions further complicate workforce management. These factors collectively increase operational costs and delivery delays, threatening service reliability.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the Last-Mile Delivery Logistics Market by accelerating e-commerce adoption and reshaping consumer purchasing behavior. Lockdowns and social distancing measures drove a surge in online orders, compelling logistics providers to rapidly adapt their operations. Moreover, supply chain disruptions and labor shortages initially strained last-mile capabilities. However, companies increasingly adopted digital tools, contactless delivery methods, and automation technologies to sustain operations. Additionally, consumer trust in home delivery services grew, creating long-term demand shifts. Despite initial challenges, the pandemic ultimately accelerated industry digitization and infrastructure investments, bolstering the market's resilience and driving sustained growth in subsequent years..
The four-wheelers segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The four-wheelers segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. Four-wheelers, such as vans and trucks, are ideal for transporting large volumes over long distances, providing significant capacity advantages compared to two- or three-wheelers. Moreover, they offer enhanced security, weather protection, and the ability to carry diverse goods, which is critical for meeting varied industry requirements. Additionally, the integration of telematics and advanced fleet management systems enables better route optimization and fuel efficiency, contributing to their popularity.
The food & beverage segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the food & beverage segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. The surge in online grocery and food delivery services, particularly post-pandemic, has intensified demand for efficient last-mile delivery solutions within this sector. Moreover, perishable nature of food items necessitates specialized delivery vehicles equipped with temperature control technologies to ensure product freshness and compliance with safety standards. Additionally, evolving consumer lifestyles and preference for convenience accelerate the need for rapid and reliable delivery services. The segment's growth is further driven by investments in cold chain logistics, micro-fulfillment centers, and advanced tracking solutions, positioning food & beverage as the fastest-growing market segment.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share. The region boasts a highly developed logistics infrastructure, supported by advanced technological integration and well-established regulatory frameworks. Moreover, the rise of e-commerce giants like Amazon and Walmart emphasizes the strategic focus on efficient last-mile delivery models. The presence of leading logistics service providers and investments in automation technologies enhances operational efficiency. Additionally, consumer expectations for rapid deliveries and robust service quality further propel market demand.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. Rapid urbanization, expanding e-commerce penetration, and growing middle-class consumer base drive the surge in last-mile delivery demand. Moreover, government initiatives supporting digital infrastructure and smart city development catalyze the market's growth. Additionally, the emergence of local logistics startups leveraging technology-driven solutions enables cost-effective and efficient last-mile services across densely populated areas. The region's diverse market presents substantial opportunities in developing micro-fulfillment centers and adopting electric vehicles for sustainable delivery solutions.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Last-Mile Delivery Logistics Market include Amazon Logistics, Aramex, CEVA Logistics, China Post, DB Schenker, DHL Group, DPD, FedEx, Instacart, JD Logistics, Kerry Logistics Network, Lalamove, SF Express, TForce Logistics, Uber Technologies, United Parcel Service, United States Postal Service, XPO Logistics, YTO Express Group, and ZTO Express.
In August 2025, Amazon Freight announced significant fleet expansion with over 70,000 trailers and 20,000 containers in their network. The company highlighted their ongoing focus on customer obsession as a key ingredient in transportation technology development.
In August 2025, FedEx launched their first direct flight between Taiwan and South Korea to enhance capacity and facilitate trade between the two markets.
In March 2025, Instacart introduced "Store View" and "Second Store Check" technologies to enhance real-time inventory understanding and reduce out-of-stock situations. Second Store Check allows a second shopper to source unavailable items from another nearby store location, leveraging their network of approximately 600,000 shoppers.
In February 2025, DHL 2-Mann-Handling launched low-emission last-mile delivery with 21 electric vehicles across several German states, including Lower Saxony, Saxony, Saxony-Anhalt, Thuringia, Berlin, Bavaria, and Baden-Wurttemberg for delivery of large and bulky goods.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.