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市场调查报告书
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1822434

2032 年自动驾驶最后一哩配送市场预测：按组件、范围、自主等级、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Component (Hardware, Software and Services), Range, Autonomy Level, End User and By Geography
出版日期: | 出版商: Stratistics Market Research Consulting | 英文 200+ Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

价格

根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据，全球自动最后一哩配送市场预计在 2025 年达到 292.6 亿美元，到 2032 年将达到 1,403.3 亿美元，预测期内的复合年增长率为 25.1%。

自主最后一哩配送是指利用自动驾驶汽车、无人机和地面配送机器人等先进技术，将货物直接从配送中心或区域枢纽运送到最终客户，无需人工干预。这是供应链中最后也是最关键的一步。透过利用人工智慧、感测器和导航系统，自主配送可以提高营运效率，减少对人工的依赖，并提升客户满意度，尤其是在配送需求旺盛的电商、食品和零售业。

电子商务的快速成长和消费者期望的变化

为了满足都市区日益增长的当日达和定期送达的需求，自动驾驶最后一哩系统正在部署中。零售商和物流供应商正在整合自动驾驶汽车、无人机和人行道机器人，以优化配送速度并减少对人工的依赖。即时追踪、预测路线和数位介面正在提升客户体验和营运透明度。对城市交通和智慧物流的监管支援正在加强部署。这些动态将电子商务和消费行为定位为自动驾驶最后一哩配送应用的关键驱动力。

初始成本和资本投资高

小型物流营运商和零售商面临着在有限的预算内扩大试验计画规模并实现投资回报的挑战。与现有供应链和IT系统的整合增加了复杂性和成本。维护、保险和网路安全条款进一步增加了营运开销。资金筹措管道有限以及投资回报时间的不确定性阻碍了中型企业采用该技术。儘管技术已经成熟，但这些因素仍然限制市场扩张。

政府支持、法规和倡议

各国政府正在资助试点项目，提供税收优惠，并简化自动驾驶汽车测试和部署的监管途径。城市规划框架正在更新，以适应宅配机器人、路边取货和微型仓配中心的发展。市政当局、科技公司和物流供应商之间的合作正在加速创新。安全标准和资料共用通讯协定正在加强信任和互通性。这些发展正在推动整个自动驾驶配送生态系统的政策主导动能。

社会认可、信任与社会关注

涉及自动驾驶系统的事故引发了越来越多的关注，并引发了有关安全性、课责和失业的质疑。零售商和物流公司必须投资教育、透明度和包容性的部署模式，以建立信任。媒体和社区参与在塑造公众认知方面发挥关键作用。监管延迟和道德争议使部署策略变得复杂。这些动态对自动驾驶配送的扩展构成了声誉和营运风险。

COVID-19的影响

新冠疫情扰乱了自动驾驶「最后一哩路」配送市场，导致供应链暂时中断、生产停顿以及原物料采购延迟。零售、物流和消费品行业的主要终端用户经历了需求波动，影响了部署时间表。然而，对非接触式配送、医疗保健物流和城市出行的日益关注在一定程度上抵消了这一放缓。对安全高效的自动化配送系统的需求不断增长，以及永续、高性能自动驾驶平台的创新，正在推动整个行业的后疫情復苏。

预计硬体部分将成为预测期内最大的部分

预计硬体领域将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额，因为它在实现自主导航、感测和交付执行方面发挥核心作用。光达、摄影机、GPS模组和机器人致动器等组件正被整合到地面车辆、无人机和配送机器人。原始设备製造商正专注于模组化、坚固耐用且可扩展的平台。对边缘运算和机载分析的投资正在提高系统响应能力和可靠性，从而加速市场发展。

预计医疗保健提供者和药局部门在预测期内将以最高的复合年增长率成长。

在预测期内，医疗保健提供者和药房细分市场预计将录得最高增长率，这得益于对药品、处方笺和诊断样本安全、及时、非接触式配送的需求。自动化系统正在医院、诊所和家庭护理机构中部署，以提供尽可能减少人工干预的服务。对医疗物流和低温运输合规性的监管支援正在推动其应用。与电子健康记录和智慧库存系统的整合正在提高营运效率。这一细分市场正成为自动化配送创新的高成长前沿。

比最大的地区

由于注重物流现代化、电子商务渗透和自动驾驶汽车创新，预计北美将在预测期内占据最大市场份额。美国和加拿大正在投资智慧基础设施、城市交通平台和自动驾驶配送法规结构。零售商和物流供应商正在大都会圈和大学校园扩大试验计画。消费者对可靠、非接触式配送的需求正在影响部署策略。原始设备製造商和科技新兴企业在人工智慧、感测器和平台的开发方面处于领先地位。

复合年增长率最高的地区

在预测期内，亚太地区预计将呈现最高的复合年增长率，这得益于强劲的电子商务成长、密集的城市环境以及政府对自动驾驶出行的支持。中国、日本、韩国和印度等国家正在投资智慧交通基础设施、电动车整合和最后一哩物流领域的创新。该地区的高科技公司和物流营运商在试点部署和可扩展平台开发方面处于领先地位。官民合作关係正在加强监管协调和基础设施建设。拥堵都市区对高效配送的需求正在推动自动驾驶技术的普及。

免费客製化服务

此报告的订阅者可以选择以下免费自订选项之一：

  • 公司简介
    • 全面分析其他市场参与者（最多 3 家公司）
    • 主要企业的SWOT分析（最多3家公司）
  • 区域细分
    • 根据客户兴趣对主要国家进行的市场估计、预测和复合年增长率（註：基于可行性检查）
  • 竞争基准化分析
    • 根据产品系列、地理分布和策略联盟对主要企业基准化分析

目录

第一章执行摘要

第二章 前言

  • 概述
  • 相关利益者
  • 调查范围
  • 调查方法
    • 资料探勘
    • 数据分析
    • 数据检验
    • 研究途径
  • 研究材料
    • 主要研究资料
    • 次级研究资讯来源
    • 先决条件

第三章市场走势分析

  • 驱动程式
  • 抑制因素
  • 机会
  • 威胁
  • 最终用户分析
  • 新兴市场
  • COVID-19的影响

第四章 波特五力分析

  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 买方的议价能力
  • 替代品的威胁
  • 新进入者的威胁
  • 竞争对手之间的竞争

5. 全球自动驾驶最后一哩配送市场（按组件）

  • 硬体
    • 车辆
    • 感测器和识别系统
    • 电源/推进机制
  • 软体
    • 导航和路线规划
    • 物体辨识与侦测
    • 车辆管理及调度系统
  • 服务
    • 整合和部署
    • 维护和支援
    • 数据分析与绘图

6. 全球自动驾驶最后一哩配送市场（按范围）

  • 短距离（少于5公里）
  • 中距离（5-20​​公里）
  • 远距（>20公里）

7. 全球自动驾驶最后一哩配送市场（按自动驾驶水平）

  • 透过远距协助实现自主
  • 半自动
  • 完全自主

8. 全球自动驾驶最后一哩配送市场（依最终用户划分）

  • 零售商与电子商务平台
  • 物流和宅配公司
  • 食品配送市场/餐厅
  • 医疗保健提供者和药房
  • 地方政府和公共服务
  • 其他的

9. 全球自动驾驶最后一哩配送市场（按地区）

  • 北美洲
    • 美国
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥
  • 欧洲
    • 德国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 法国
    • 西班牙
    • 其他欧洲国家
  • 亚太地区
    • 日本
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 澳洲
    • 纽西兰
    • 韩国
    • 其他亚太地区
  • 南美洲
    • 阿根廷
    • 巴西
    • 智利
    • 其他南美
  • 中东和非洲
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 卡达
    • 南非
    • 其他中东和非洲地区

第十章：重大进展

  • 协议、伙伴关係、合作和合资企业
  • 收购与合併
  • 新产品发布
  • 业务扩展
  • 其他关键策略

第十一章 公司概况

  • Starship Technologies
  • Nuro, Inc.
  • Amazon.com, Inc.
  • JD.com, Inc.
  • Boxbot, Inc.
  • Kiwibot
  • Refraction AI
  • Udelv, Inc.
  • Robby Technologies
  • Eliport
  • FedEx Corporation
  • United Parcel Service, Inc.（UPS）
  • Alibaba Group Holding Limited
  • Meituan
  • Yandex NV
Product Code: SMRC31189

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market is accounted for $29.26 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $140.33 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 25.1% during the forecast period. Autonomous Last Mile Delivery refers to the use of advanced technologies such as self-driving vehicles, drones, and ground delivery robots to transport goods from distribution centers or local hubs directly to end customers without human intervention. It represents the final and most crucial stage of the supply chain, ensuring faster, cost-effective, and contactless deliveries. By leveraging artificial intelligence, sensors, and navigation systems, autonomous delivery enhances operational efficiency, reduces labor dependency, and improves customer satisfaction, particularly in e-commerce, food, and retail sectors facing high delivery demands.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Rapid growth of e-commerce & changing consumer expectations

Autonomous last mile systems are being deployed to meet rising expectations for same-day and scheduled deliveries across urban and suburban zones. Retailers and logistics providers are integrating autonomous vehicles, drones, and sidewalk robots to optimize delivery speed and reduce labor dependency. Real-time tracking, predictive routing, and digital interfaces are enhancing customer experience and operational transparency. Regulatory support for urban mobility and smart logistics is reinforcing deployment. These dynamics are positioning e-commerce and consumer behavior as primary drivers of autonomous last mile delivery adoption.

Restraint:

High initial cost & capital investment

Smaller logistics operators and retailers face challenges in scaling pilot programs and achieving ROI within constrained budgets. Integration with existing supply chains and IT systems adds complexity and cost. Maintenance, insurance, and cybersecurity provisions further increase operational overhead. Limited access to financing and uncertain payback timelines are slowing adoption among mid-tier players. These factors are tempering market expansion despite technological readiness.

Opportunity:

Government support, regulation & initiatives

Governments are funding pilot programs, offering tax incentives, and streamlining regulatory pathways for autonomous vehicle testing and deployment. Urban planning frameworks are being updated to accommodate delivery bots, curbside access, and micro-fulfillment centers. Collaboration between municipalities, tech firms, and logistics providers is accelerating innovation. Safety standards and data-sharing protocols are reinforcing trust and interoperability. These developments are enabling policy-led momentum across the autonomous delivery ecosystem.

Threat:

Public acceptance, trust & societal concerns

Incidents involving autonomous systems have heightened scrutiny and raised questions about safety, accountability, and job displacement. Retailers and logistics firms must invest in education, transparency, and inclusive deployment models to build trust. Media narratives and community engagement play a critical role in shaping public perception. Regulatory delays and ethical debates are complicating rollout strategies. These dynamics are introducing reputational and operational risk into autonomous delivery expansion.

Covid-19 Impact:

The Covid-19 pandemic disrupted the Autonomous Last Mile Delivery market, causing temporary supply chain interruptions, production halts, and delays in raw material procurement. Retail, logistics, and consumer goods sectors, which are major end-users, experienced fluctuating demand, impacting deployment timelines. However, the increased focus on contactless delivery, healthcare logistics, and urban mobility partially offset the slowdown. Post-pandemic recovery is driven by growing demand for safe, efficient, and automated delivery systems, along with innovations in sustainable and high-performance autonomous platforms across industries.

The hardware segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The hardware segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period owing to its central role in enabling autonomous navigation, sensing, and delivery execution. Components such as LiDAR, cameras, GPS modules, and robotic actuators are being integrated into ground vehicles, drones, and delivery bots. OEMs are focusing on scalable platforms with modular designs and enhanced durability. Investment in edge computing and onboard analytics is improving system responsiveness and reliability and thereby accelerating the market.

The healthcare providers & pharmacies segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the healthcare providers & pharmacies segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate driven by demand for secure, timely, and contactless delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, and diagnostic samples. Autonomous systems are being deployed to serve hospitals, clinics, and home care settings with minimal human interaction. Regulatory support for medical logistics and cold-chain compliance is reinforcing adoption. Integration with electronic health records and smart inventory systems is enhancing operational efficiency. This segment is emerging as a high-growth frontier for autonomous delivery innovation.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share due to its strong focus on logistics modernization, e-commerce penetration, and autonomous vehicle innovation. The U.S. and Canada are investing in smart infrastructure, urban mobility platforms, and regulatory frameworks for autonomous delivery. Retailers and logistics providers are scaling pilot programs across metropolitan areas and university campuses. Consumer demand for reliable, contactless delivery is influencing deployment strategies. OEMs and tech startups are leading in AI, sensor, and platform development.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR due to its robust e-commerce growth, dense urban environments, and government support for autonomous mobility. Countries like China, Japan, South Korea, and India are investing in smart transport infrastructure, EV integration, and last mile logistics innovation. Regional tech firms and logistics operators are leading in pilot deployments and scalable platform development. Public-private partnerships are reinforcing regulatory alignment and infrastructure readiness. Demand for efficient delivery across congested urban corridors is driving adoption.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market include Starship Technologies, Nuro, Inc., Amazon.com, Inc., JD.com, Inc., Boxbot, Inc., Kiwibot, Refraction AI, Udelv, Inc., Robby Technologies, Eliport, FedEx Corporation, United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS), Alibaba Group Holding Limited, Meituan and Yandex N.V.

Key Developments:

In March 2025, Starship Technologies partnered with foodora to launch autonomous robot delivery services in Stockholm, Sweden, marking its Nordic market entry. The collaboration supports sustainable urban logistics and expands Starship's reach in European food delivery ecosystems.

In July 2024, Nuro acquired Ike Robotics, a specialist in autonomous trucking, marking its pivot beyond last-mile delivery. The acquisition expands Nuro's capabilities into long-haul logistics, integrating Ike's highway autonomy stack with Nuro's urban delivery platform.

Components Covered:

  • Hardware
  • Software
  • Services

Ranges Covered:

  • Short-range (up to 5 km)
  • Mid-range (5-20 km)
  • Long-range (above 20 km)

Autonomy Levels Covered:

  • Remote-assisted autonomy
  • Semi-autonomy
  • Fully autonomy

End Users Covered:

  • Retailers & e-commerce platforms
  • Logistics & courier companies
  • Food delivery marketplaces & restaurants
  • Healthcare providers & pharmacies
  • Municipal & public services
  • Other End Users

Regions Covered:

  • North America
    • US
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • UK
    • Italy
    • France
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
    • Australia
    • New Zealand
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • South America
    • Argentina
    • Brazil
    • Chile
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East & Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE
    • Qatar
    • South Africa
    • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

  • Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
  • Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
  • Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
  • Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
  • Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
  • Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
  • Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
  • Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

  • Company Profiling
    • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
    • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
  • Regional Segmentation
    • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
  • Competitive Benchmarking
    • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

  • 2.1 Abstract
  • 2.2 Stake Holders
  • 2.3 Research Scope
  • 2.4 Research Methodology
    • 2.4.1 Data Mining
    • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
    • 2.4.3 Data Validation
    • 2.4.4 Research Approach
  • 2.5 Research Sources
    • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
    • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
    • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Drivers
  • 3.3 Restraints
  • 3.4 Opportunities
  • 3.5 Threats
  • 3.6 End User Analysis
  • 3.7 Emerging Markets
  • 3.8 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

  • 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
  • 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
  • 4.3 Threat of substitutes
  • 4.4 Threat of new entrants
  • 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Component

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Hardware
    • 5.2.1 Vehicle
    • 5.2.2 Sensors & perception
    • 5.2.3 Power & propulsion
  • 5.3 Software
    • 5.3.1 Navigation & path planning
    • 5.3.2 Perception & object detection
    • 5.3.3 Fleet management & dispatch systems
  • 5.4 Services
    • 5.4.1 Integration & deployment
    • 5.4.2 Maintenance & support
    • 5.4.3 Data analytics & mapping

6 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Range

  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 Short-range (up to 5 km)
  • 6.3 Mid-range (5-20 km)
  • 6.4 Long-range (above 20 km)

7 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Autonomy Level

  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Remote-assisted autonomy
  • 7.3 Semi-autonomy
  • 7.4 Fully autonomy

8 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By End User

  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 Retailers & e-commerce platforms
  • 8.3 Logistics & courier companies
  • 8.4 Food delivery marketplaces & restaurants
  • 8.5 Healthcare providers & pharmacies
  • 8.6 Municipal & public services
  • 8.7 Other End Users

9 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Geography

  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 North America
    • 9.2.1 US
    • 9.2.2 Canada
    • 9.2.3 Mexico
  • 9.3 Europe
    • 9.3.1 Germany
    • 9.3.2 UK
    • 9.3.3 Italy
    • 9.3.4 France
    • 9.3.5 Spain
    • 9.3.6 Rest of Europe
  • 9.4 Asia Pacific
    • 9.4.1 Japan
    • 9.4.2 China
    • 9.4.3 India
    • 9.4.4 Australia
    • 9.4.5 New Zealand
    • 9.4.6 South Korea
    • 9.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
  • 9.5 South America
    • 9.5.1 Argentina
    • 9.5.2 Brazil
    • 9.5.3 Chile
    • 9.5.4 Rest of South America
  • 9.6 Middle East & Africa
    • 9.6.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 9.6.2 UAE
    • 9.6.3 Qatar
    • 9.6.4 South Africa
    • 9.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

10 Key Developments

  • 10.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
  • 10.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
  • 10.3 New Product Launch
  • 10.4 Expansions
  • 10.5 Other Key Strategies

11 Company Profiling

  • 11.1 Starship Technologies
  • 11.2 Nuro, Inc.
  • 11.3 Amazon.com, Inc.
  • 11.4 JD.com, Inc.
  • 11.5 Boxbot, Inc.
  • 11.6 Kiwibot
  • 11.7 Refraction AI
  • 11.8 Udelv, Inc.
  • 11.9 Robby Technologies
  • 11.10 Eliport
  • 11.11 FedEx Corporation
  • 11.12 United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)
  • 11.13 Alibaba Group Holding Limited
  • 11.14 Meituan
  • 11.15 Yandex N.V.

List of Tables

  • Table 1 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Region (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 2 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Component (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 3 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Hardware (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 4 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Vehicle (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 5 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Sensors & perception (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 6 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Power & propulsion (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 7 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Software (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 8 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Navigation & path planning (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 9 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Perception & object detection (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 10 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Fleet management & dispatch systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 11 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 12 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Integration & deployment (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 13 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Maintenance & support (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 14 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Data analytics & mapping (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 15 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 16 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Short-range (up to 5 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 17 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Mid-range (5-20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 18 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Long-range (above 20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 19 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Autonomy Level (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 20 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Remote-assisted autonomy (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 21 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Semi-autonomy (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 22 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Fully autonomy (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 23 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 24 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retailers & e-commerce platforms (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 25 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Logistics & courier companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 26 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Food delivery marketplaces & restaurants (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 27 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare providers & pharmacies (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 28 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Municipal & public services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 29 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other End Users (2024-2032) ($MN)

Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.