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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1945857
乳製品市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会及预测(依产品类型、通路、地区及竞争格局划分,2021-2031年)Dairy Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Product Type, By Distribution Channel, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球乳製品市场预计将从 2025 年的 1,1883 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 1,3513.5 亿美元,年复合成长率为 4.82%。
该行业涉及将牛、水牛、山羊和绵羊等哺乳动物的液态奶加工成各种消费品,包括奶油、起司、优格和奶粉。该行业的成长主要得益于发展中地区持续的人口成长和都市化,这提高了人们的可支配收入,并改善了他们获取商业性食品供应链的途径。此外,消费者对乳製品作为饮食蛋白质和必需营养素的重要来源的认识不断提高,也增强了对这些主食的持续需求,确保了消费保持稳定,而非受短期趋势的影响。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 11883亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 1,351,350 万美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 4.82% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 优格 |
| 最大的市场 | 亚太地区 |
儘管经济情势波动,但市场依然强劲。联合国粮食及农业组织(粮农组织)预测,到2024年,全球牛奶产量将增加1.5%,达到约9.81亿吨。然而,该行业面临着可能阻碍未来发展的重大挑战,尤其是饲料和能源等生产投入成本的波动。这些成本波动挤压了生产者的利润空间,并造成供应链不稳定,对市场的持续扩张构成重大障碍。
推动市场扩张的关键因素之一是消费者对高附加价值乳製品的强劲需求。由于加工乳製品(如起司、优格和功能性蛋白)保质期更长、营养价值更高,消费者越来越倾向于选择这类产品而非液态奶。这种转变促使加工商拓展产品线,并提升生产能力以满足全球需求。例如,美国乳製品出口协会在其2025年2月发布的《2024年美国乳製品出口数据》中指出,美国起司出口量达到创纪录的508,808公吨,比上年增长17%。为了因应这一成长,乳製品产业正策略性地调整其国际贸易策略,将重点转向利润更高、保质期更长的产品。
新兴经济体可支配收入的成长进一步推动了这一趋势,扩大了商业性食品供应链的覆盖范围。随着发展中地区购买力的提升,家庭正从非正规市场转向包装乳製品,从而促进了当地生产基地的復苏。根据美国农业部2025年12月发布的《乳製品:全球市场与贸易》报告,由于产业状况的改善,阿根廷的牛奶产量预计将在2025年恢復8.5%。不断增长的需求支撑了贸易总额,国际乳製品协会(IDFA)在2025年指出,美国乳製品出口额在上年度达到82亿美元,凸显了该行业的经济韧性。
生产投入成本(尤其是饲料和能源成本)的不确定性为酪农带来了财务上的不确定性,并直接限制了他们的市场潜力。由于饲料和能源成本占总生产成本的很大一部分,价格上涨和波动会显着挤压酪农的利润空间,并减少可用于扩大牛规模和进行必要技术升级的资金。这种财务压力常常迫使酪农做出艰难的商业决策,例如减少牛规模或降低饲料的营养价值,导致牛奶产量下降,并限制加工商所需原料的供应。
这种成本主导的供应限制模式限制了乳製品产业满足不断增长的需求的能力。例如,澳洲乳业局(Dairy Australia)在2024年12月预测,2024-2025年度国内牛奶供应量将萎缩至83亿公升,并指出持续高企的营运成本和利润率下降是导致供应量下降的主要原因。初级牛奶供应量的减少将限制起司和奶粉等下游产品的生产,减缓全球乳製品市场的扩张,并造成供应链的不稳定性。
随着生产者在寻求优化牛奶产量的同时应对劳动力短缺问题,精准酪农技术的应用正在从根本上改变乳牛生产的模式。农民越来越多地使用自动化挤奶系统、机器人餵食解决方案和基于感测器的健康监测工具来更有效率地管理牛。这种技术变革使得对动物健康和牛奶品质的即时数据分析成为可能,从而减少了对人工的依赖并优化了资源配置。根据利乐公司于2024年3月发布的2023年度报告,该公司总销售额达8.88亿欧元(年增25%)。这一成长主要归功于机器人技术和数据管理应用在全球的普及,显示数位化正成为业务永续营运的必要条件。
同时,为因应监管压力和环境问题,乳製品产业正积极转型,朝向永续和环保的包装解决方案迈进。乳製品加工商正积极以生物基材料、完全可回收的纸盒和瓶盖紧固装置取代传统塑料,以减少物流和消费后废弃物相关的碳足迹。这项倡议已成为品牌永续。这表明,包装创新已从一项次要的成本支出转变为市场策略的核心要素。
The Global Dairy Market is projected to rise from USD 1018.83 Billion in 2025 to USD 1351.35 Billion by 2031, expanding at a CAGR of 4.82%. This industry involves the harvesting and processing of liquid milk from mammals such as cows, buffaloes, goats, and sheep into various consumable products including butter, cheese, yogurt, and milk powders. The sector's growth is primarily underpinned by sustained population increases and urbanization in developing regions, factors that boost disposable incomes and improve access to commercial food supply chains. Furthermore, the enduring demand for these staple goods is reinforced by growing consumer awareness of dairy as a vital source of dietary protein and essential nutrients, ensuring consumption remains stable rather than dependent on fleeting trends.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 1018.83 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 1351.35 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 4.82% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Yogurt |
| Largest Market | Asia Pacific |
Despite economic fluctuations, market volume remains robust; the Food and Agriculture Organization forecast in 2024 that world milk production would increase by 1.5 percent to nearly 981 million tonnes. However, the industry faces significant hurdles that could impede future progress, most notably the volatility of operational input costs like animal feed and energy. These fluctuating expenses compress producer margins and introduce instability into the supply chain, serving as a substantial challenge to the market's continued expansion.
Market Driver
A primary catalyst driving market expansion is the surging demand for value-added dairy products, as consumers increasingly favor processed items like cheese, yogurt, and functional proteins over liquid milk for their extended shelf life and nutritional benefits. This shift is prompting processors to diversify their product lines and enhance manufacturing capabilities to satisfy global needs. For instance, the U.S. Dairy Export Council reported in February 2025, within its '2024 U.S. Dairy Exports' data, that U.S. cheese export volume rose by 17 percent year-over-year to a record 508,808 metric tons. Consequently, the industry is strategically pivoting toward these high-margin, shelf-stable goods as the focal point of international trade.
Adding to this momentum is the rise in disposable income within emerging economies, which facilitates greater access to commercial food supply chains. As purchasing power grows in developing regions, households are moving from informal markets to packaged dairy goods, stimulating a recovery in regional production hubs. According to the United States Department of Agriculture's 'Dairy: World Markets and Trade' report from December 2025, milk production in Argentina was expected to rebound by 8.5 percent in 2025 due to improved sector conditions. This escalating demand supports overall trade value, with the International Dairy Foods Association noting in 2025 that U.S. dairy exports reached USD 8.2 billion for the preceding year, underscoring the sector's economic resilience.
Market Challenge
The unpredictability of operational input costs, specifically regarding animal feed and energy, creates a precarious financial landscape for dairy producers that directly restricts market potential. Since feed and energy account for a significant portion of total production costs, elevated or volatile prices severely squeeze farmer profit margins, reducing the capital available for herd expansion or necessary technological upgrades. This financial pressure often forces producers to make difficult operational choices, such as reducing herd sizes or compromising on the quality of nutritional rations, which inevitably leads to lower milk yields and constrains the raw material availability required by processors.
This pattern of cost-driven supply restriction limits the industry's capacity to meet rising demand. For example, Dairy Australia forecast in December 2024 that the national milk pool would contract to 8.3 billion liters for the 2024-2025 season, attributing the decline largely to the pressure of persistently high operating costs and tightening margins. Such contractions in the primary milk supply curtail the manufacturing volume of downstream products like cheese and milk powder, thereby stalling the volume expansion of the global dairy market and creating instability within the supply chain.
Market Trends
The adoption of precision dairy farming technologies is fundamentally transforming production dynamics as producers aim to optimize milk yields while addressing labor shortages. Farmers are increasingly utilizing automated milking systems, robotic feeding solutions, and sensor-based health monitoring tools to improve herd management efficiency. This technological shift enables real-time data analysis regarding animal health and milk quality, reducing reliance on manual labor and optimizing resource allocation. According to Lely's 'Annual Report 2023' published in March 2024, the company reported a total turnover of EUR 888 million, a 25 percent increase attributed primarily to the global adoption of robotics and data management applications, indicating that digitalization is becoming essential for operational viability.
Simultaneously, the industry is undergoing a rigorous transition toward sustainable and eco-friendly packaging solutions to address regulatory pressures and environmental concerns. Dairy processors are actively replacing conventional plastics with bio-based materials, fully recyclable cartons, and tethered cap mechanisms to reduce the carbon footprint associated with logistics and post-consumer waste. This movement serves as a core differentiator for brands seeking to retain environmentally conscious consumers. As noted by Elopak in their February 2024 'Fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial results' presentation, the company achieved a record full-year revenue of EUR 1.13 billion, driven significantly by increased sales of aseptic and sustainable packaging, signaling that packaging innovation has shifted from a peripheral cost to a central element of market strategy.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Dairy Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Dairy Market.
Global Dairy Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: