2026-2030年全球最后一公里配送市场

全球最后一公里配送市场预计将在 2025 年至 2030 年间成长至 542 亿美元，预测期内复合年增长率为 4.2%。

本报告对全球最后一公里配送市场进行了全面分析，包括市场规模和预测、趋势、成长要素和挑战，以及对约 25 家供应商的分析。

该报告对当前市场状况、最新趋势和驱动因素以及整体市场环境进行了最新分析。市场成长的驱动因素包括全球电子商务产业的成长、产品和配送的优质化以及仓库数量的增加。

本研究采用客观的方法，结合一手和二手讯息，包括来自主要行业相关人员的意见。报告包含全面的市场规模数据、区域細項分析、供应商格局以及对主要企业的分析。报告提供历史数据和预测数据。

该研究指出，未来几年，对技术创新的高度重视是推动全球最后一公里配送市场成长的关键因素之一，同时，专注于满足特定终端用户群体的需求以及最后一公里配送与 CEP 网路的日益融合，预计都将推动市场出现巨大的需求。

目录

第一章执行摘要

第二章 Technavio 分析

• 价格、生命週期、顾客购买篮、采用率和购买标准分析
• 投入与差异化因素的重要性
• 混淆来源
• 驱动因素和挑战的影响

第三章 市场情势

• 市场生态系统
• 市场特征
• 价值链分析

第四章 市场规模

• 市场定义
• 市场区隔分析
• 2025年市场规模
• 2025-2030年市场展望

第五章 市场规模表现

• 2020-2024年全球最后一公里配送市场
• 2020-2024年服务细分市场分析
• 应用细分市场分析 2020-2024
• 2020-2024年车辆类型细分市场分析
• 2020-2024年区域市场分析
• 2020-2024年国家细分市场分析

第六章 定性分析

• 人工智慧对全球最后一公里配送市场的影响 全球最后一公里配送市场

第七章五力分析

• 五力分析概述
• 买方的议价能力
• 供应商的议价能力
• 新进入者的威胁
• 替代品的威胁
• 竞争威胁
• 市场状况

8. 按服务进行市场区隔

• 比较：按服务
• B2C
• B2B
• 按服务分類的市场机会

第九章 按应用进行市场细分

• 比较：透过应用
• 快速消费品（日常消费品）
• 电子商务
• 零售
• 其他的
• 按应用分類的市场机会

第十章 依车辆类型分類的市场细分

• 比较：按车辆类型
• 厢型车和卡车
• 摩托车
• 无人机
• 按车辆类型分類的市场机会

第十一章 客户情况

第十二章 区域情势

• 区域细分
• 区域比较
• 亚太地区
  • 中国
  • 日本
  • 印度
  • 韩国
  • 澳洲
  • 印尼
• 北美洲
  • 我们
  • 加拿大
  • 墨西哥
• 欧洲
  • 德国
  • 英国
  • 法国
  • 义大利
  • 西班牙
  • 荷兰
• 中东和非洲
  • 沙乌地阿拉伯
  • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
  • 南非
  • 以色列
  • 土耳其
• 南美洲
  • 巴西
  • 阿根廷
  • 智利
• 各区域的市场机会

第十三章：驱动因素、挑战与机会

• 市场驱动因素
• 市场挑战
• 驱动因素和挑战的影响
• 市场机会

第十四章 竞争格局

• 概述
• 竞争格局
• 令人困惑的局面
• 产业风险

第十五章 竞争分析

• 公司简介
• 企业排名指数
• 公司市场定位
• CMA CGM Group
• Deutsche Bahn AG
• Deutsche Post AG
• DSV AS
• FedEx Corp.
• FM Logistic
• JB Hunt Transport Services
• Kuehne Nagel Management AG
• Nippon Express Holdings Inc.
• Royal Mail Group Ltd.
• Schneider Electric SE
• SNCF Group
• United Parcel Service Inc.
• Werner Enterprises Inc.
• XPO Inc.

第十六章附录

The global last mile delivery market is forecasted to grow by USD 54.2 bn during 2025-2030, accelerating at a CAGR of 4.2% during the forecast period. The report on the global last mile delivery market provides a holistic analysis, market size and forecast, trends, growth drivers, and challenges, as well as vendor analysis covering around 25 vendors.

The report offers an up-to-date analysis regarding the current market scenario, the latest trends and drivers, and the overall market environment. The market is driven by growing global e-commerce industry, premiumization of goods and merchandise delivery, growing number of warehouses.

The study was conducted using an objective combination of primary and secondary information including inputs from key participants in the industry. The report contains a comprehensive market size data, segment with regional analysis and vendor landscape in addition to an analysis of the key companies. Reports have historic and forecast data.

Technavio's global last mile delivery market is segmented as below:

By Service

• B2C
• B2B

By Application

• FMCG
• E-commerce
• Retails
• Others

By Vehicle Type

• Vans and trucks
• Two-wheelers
• Drones

Geography

• APAC
  • China
  • Japan
  • India
  • South Korea
  • Australia
  • Indonesia
• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • The Netherlands
• Middle East and Africa
  • UAE
  • South Africa
  • Turkey
• South America
  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Chile
• Rest of World (ROW)

This study identifies the strong focus on technological advances as one of the prime reasons driving the global last mile delivery market growth during the next few years. Also, strong focus on offering services to specific end-user segment and convergence of last-mile and cep networks will lead to sizable demand in the market.

The report on the global last mile delivery market covers the following areas:

• Global last mile delivery market sizing
• Global last mile delivery market forecast
• Global last mile delivery market industry analysis

The robust vendor analysis is designed to help clients improve their market position, and in line with this, this report provides a detailed analysis of several leading global last mile delivery market vendors that include CMA CGM Group, Deutsche Bahn AG, Deutsche Post AG, DSV AS, FarEye Technologies Pvt. Ltd., FedEx Corp., FM Logistic, Honeywell International Inc., Infosys Ltd., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Kuehne Nagel Management AG, Nippon Express Holdings Inc., Royal Mail Group Ltd., Schneider Electric SE, SNCF Group, United Parcel Service Inc., Werner Enterprises Inc., XPO Inc.. Also, the global last mile delivery market analysis report includes information on upcoming trends and challenges that will influence market growth. This is to help companies strategize and leverage all forthcoming growth opportunities.

The publisher presents a detailed picture of the market by the way of study, synthesis, and summation of data from multiple sources by an analysis of key parameters such as profit, pricing, competition, and promotions. It presents various market facets by identifying the key industry influencers. The data presented is comprehensive, reliable, and a result of extensive primary and secondary research. The market research reports provide a complete competitive landscape and an in-depth vendor selection methodology and analysis using qualitative and quantitative research to forecast accurate market growth.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

• 1.1 Market overview
  • Executive Summary - Chart on Market Overview
  • Executive Summary - Data Table on Market Overview
  • Executive Summary - Chart on Global Market Characteristics
  • Executive Summary - Chart on Market by Geography
  • Executive Summary - Chart on Market Segmentation by Service
  • Executive Summary - Chart on Market Segmentation by Application
  • Executive Summary - Chart on Market Segmentation by Vehicle Type
  • Executive Summary - Chart on Incremental Growth
  • Executive Summary - Data Table on Incremental Growth
  • Executive Summary - Chart on Company Market Positioning

2 Technavio Analysis

• 2.1 Analysis of price sensitivity, lifecycle, customer purchase basket, adoption rates, and purchase criteria
  • Analysis of price sensitivity, lifecycle, customer purchase basket, adoption rates, and purchase criteria
• 2.2 Criticality of inputs and Factors of differentiation
• 2.3 Factors of disruption
• 2.4 Impact of drivers and challenges

3 Market Landscape

• 3.1 Market ecosystem
• 3.2 Market characteristics
• 3.3 Value chain analysis

4 Market Sizing

• 4.1 Market definition
• 4.2 Market segment analysis
  • Market segments
• 4.3 Market size 2025
• 4.4 Market outlook: Forecast for 2025-2030

5 Historic Market Size

• 5.1 Global Last Mile Delivery Market 2020 - 2024
  • Historic Market Size - Data Table on Global Last Mile Delivery Market 2020 - 2024 ($ billion)
• 5.2 Service segment analysis 2020 - 2024
  • Historic Market Size - Service Segment 2020 - 2024 ($ billion)
• 5.3 Application segment analysis 2020 - 2024
  • Historic Market Size - Application Segment 2020 - 2024 ($ billion)
• 5.4 Vehicle Type segment analysis 2020 - 2024
  • Historic Market Size - Vehicle Type Segment 2020 - 2024 ($ billion)
• 5.5 Geography segment analysis 2020 - 2024
  • Historic Market Size - Geography Segment 2020 - 2024 ($ billion)
• 5.6 Country segment analysis 2020 - 2024
  • Historic Market Size - Country Segment 2020 - 2024 ($ billion)

6 Qualitative Analysis

• 6.1 The Impact of AI on the Global Last Mile Delivery Market

7 Five Forces Analysis

• 7.1 Five forces summary
  • Five forces analysis - Comparison between 2025 and 2030
• 7.2 Bargaining power of buyers
  • Bargaining power of buyers - Impact of key factors 2025 and 2030
• 7.3 Bargaining power of suppliers
  • Bargaining power of suppliers - Impact of key factors in 2025 and 2030
• 7.4 Threat of new entrants
  • Threat of new entrants - Impact of key factors in 2025 and 2030
• 7.5 Threat of substitutes
  • Threat of substitutes - Impact of key factors in 2025 and 2030
• 7.6 Threat of rivalry
  • Threat of rivalry - Impact of key factors in 2025 and 2030
• 7.7 Market condition

8 Market Segmentation by Service

• 8.1 Market segments
• 8.2 Comparison by Service
• 8.3 B2C - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 8.4 B2B - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 8.5 Market opportunity by Service
  • Market opportunity by Service ($ billion)

9 Market Segmentation by Application

• 9.1 Market segments
• 9.2 Comparison by Application
• 9.3 FMCG - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 9.4 E-commerce - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 9.5 Retails - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 9.6 Others - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 9.7 Market opportunity by Application
  • Market opportunity by Application ($ billion)

10 Market Segmentation by Vehicle Type

• 10.1 Market segments
• 10.2 Comparison by Vehicle Type
• 10.3 Vans and trucks - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 10.4 Two-wheelers - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 10.5 Drones - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 10.6 Market opportunity by Vehicle Type
  • Market opportunity by Vehicle Type ($ billion)

11 Customer Landscape

• 11.1 Customer landscape overview
  • Analysis of price sensitivity, lifecycle, customer purchase basket, adoption rates, and purchase criteria

12 Geographic Landscape

• 12.1 Geographic segmentation
• 12.2 Geographic comparison
• 12.3 APAC - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.3.1 China - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.3.2 Japan - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.3.3 India - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.3.4 South Korea - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.3.5 Australia - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.3.6 Indonesia - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 12.4 North America - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.4.1 US - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.4.2 Canada - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.4.3 Mexico - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 12.5 Europe - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.5.1 Germany - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.5.2 UK - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.5.3 France - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.5.4 Italy - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.5.5 Spain - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.5.6 The Netherlands - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 12.6 Middle East and Africa - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.6.1 Saudi Arabia - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.6.2 UAE - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.6.3 South Africa - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.6.4 Israel - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.6.5 Turkey - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 12.7 South America - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.7.1 Brazil - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.7.2 Argentina - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
  • 12.7.3 Chile - Market size and forecast 2025-2030
• 12.8 Market opportunity by geography
  • Market opportunity by geography ($ billion)
  • Data Tables on Market opportunity by geography ($ billion)

13 Drivers, Challenges, and Opportunity

• 13.1 Market drivers
  • Growing global e-commerce industry
  • Premiumization of goods and merchandise delivery
  • Growing number of warehouses
• 13.2 Market challenges
  • Operational challenges for last mile delivery companies
  • Risks associated with damage and theft of packages
  • Introduction of alternative delivery services
• 13.3 Impact of drivers and challenges
  • Impact of drivers and challenges in 2025 and 2030
• 13.4 Market opportunities
  • Strong focus on technological advances
  • Strong focus on offering services to specific end-user segment
  • Convergence of last-mile and CEP networks

14 Competitive Landscape

• 14.1 Overview
• 14.2 Competitive Landscape
  • Overview on criticality of inputs and factors of differentiation
• 14.3 Landscape disruption
  • Overview on factors of disruption
• 14.4 Industry risks
  • Impact of key risks on business

15 Competitive Analysis

• 15.1 Companies profiled
  • Companies covered
• 15.2 Company ranking index
  • Company ranking index
• 15.3 Market positioning of companies
  • Matrix on companies position and classification
• 15.4 CMA CGM Group
  • CMA CGM Group - Overview
  • CMA CGM Group - Product / Service
  • CMA CGM Group - Key news
  • CMA CGM Group - Key offerings
  • SWOT
• 15.5 Deutsche Bahn AG
  • Deutsche Bahn AG - Overview
  • Deutsche Bahn AG - Product / Service
  • Deutsche Bahn AG - Key offerings
  • SWOT
• 15.6 Deutsche Post AG
  • Deutsche Post AG - Overview
  • Deutsche Post AG - Business segments
  • Deutsche Post AG - Key news
  • Deutsche Post AG - Key offerings
  • Deutsche Post AG - Segment focus
  • SWOT
• 15.7 DSV AS
  • DSV AS - Overview
  • DSV AS - Business segments
  • DSV AS - Key offerings
  • DSV AS - Segment focus
  • SWOT
• 15.8 FedEx Corp.
  • FedEx Corp. - Overview
  • FedEx Corp. - Business segments
  • FedEx Corp. - Key news
  • FedEx Corp. - Key offerings
  • FedEx Corp. - Segment focus
  • SWOT
• 15.9 FM Logistic
  • FM Logistic - Overview
  • FM Logistic - Product / Service
  • FM Logistic - Key offerings
  • SWOT
• 15.10 J.B. Hunt Transport Services
  • J.B. Hunt Transport Services - Overview
  • J.B. Hunt Transport Services - Business segments
  • J.B. Hunt Transport Services - Key offerings
  • J.B. Hunt Transport Services - Segment focus
  • SWOT
• 15.11 Kuehne Nagel Management AG
  • Kuehne Nagel Management AG - Overview
  • Kuehne Nagel Management AG - Business segments
  • Kuehne Nagel Management AG - Key news
  • Kuehne Nagel Management AG - Key offerings
  • Kuehne Nagel Management AG - Segment focus
  • SWOT
• 15.12 Nippon Express Holdings Inc.
  • Nippon Express Holdings Inc. - Overview
  • Nippon Express Holdings Inc. - Business segments
  • Nippon Express Holdings Inc. - Key news
  • Nippon Express Holdings Inc. - Key offerings
  • Nippon Express Holdings Inc. - Segment focus
  • SWOT
• 15.13 Royal Mail Group Ltd.
  • Royal Mail Group Ltd. - Overview
  • Royal Mail Group Ltd. - Product / Service
  • Royal Mail Group Ltd. - Key offerings
  • SWOT
• 15.14 Schneider Electric SE
  • Schneider Electric SE - Overview
  • Schneider Electric SE - Business segments
  • Schneider Electric SE - Key news
  • Schneider Electric SE - Key offerings
  • Schneider Electric SE - Segment focus
  • SWOT
• 15.15 SNCF Group
  • SNCF Group - Overview
  • SNCF Group - Product / Service
  • SNCF Group - Key offerings
  • SWOT
• 15.16 United Parcel Service Inc.
  • United Parcel Service Inc. - Overview
  • United Parcel Service Inc. - Business segments
  • United Parcel Service Inc. - Key news
  • United Parcel Service Inc. - Key offerings
  • United Parcel Service Inc. - Segment focus
  • SWOT
• 15.17 Werner Enterprises Inc.
  • Werner Enterprises Inc. - Overview
  • Werner Enterprises Inc. - Business segments
  • Werner Enterprises Inc. - Key offerings
  • Werner Enterprises Inc. - Segment focus
  • SWOT
• 15.18 XPO Inc.
  • XPO Inc. - Overview
  • XPO Inc. - Business segments
  • XPO Inc. - Key news
  • XPO Inc. - Key offerings
  • XPO Inc. - Segment focus
  • SWOT

16 Appendix

• 16.1 Scope of the report
  • Market definition
  • Objectives
  • Notes and caveats
• 16.2 Inclusions and exclusions checklist
  • Inclusions checklist
  • Exclusions checklist
• 16.3 Currency conversion rates for US$
  • Currency conversion rates for US$
• 16.4 Research methodology
  • Research methodology
• 16.5 Data procurement
  • Information sources
• 16.6 Data validation
  • Data validation
• 16.7 Validation techniques employed for market sizing
  • Validation techniques employed for market sizing
• 16.8 Data synthesis
  • Data synthesis
• 16.9 360 degree market analysis
  • 360 degree market analysis
• 16.10 List of abbreviations
  • List of abbreviations