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市场调查报告书
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1911813

东非润滑油市场：市场占有率分析、产业趋势与统计、成长预测（2026-2031年）

East Africa Lubricants - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

预计东非润滑油市场将从 2025 年的 3.0253 亿公升成长到 2026 年的 3.1754 亿公升，到 2031 年将达到 4.0457 亿公升，2026 年至 2031 年的复合年增长率为 4.96%。

东非润滑油市场-IMG1

目前东非润滑油市场的成长主要得益于基础设施的快速发展、强劲的汽车需求以及非洲大陆自由贸易区的区域一体化，这些因素共同推动东非润滑油市场转型为重要的消费中心。跨境贸易协调消除了曾经限制分销的关税壁垒，而对符合原厂配套（OEM）高等级合成油的需求不断增长，也使得每公升润滑油的售价稳步提升。从肯亚的标准轨铁路到坦尚尼亚的天然气製油厂，一系列大型计划的持续推​​进正在带动重型机械对东非润滑油市场的需求。同时，当地的润滑油调配企业正在提高产能、降低运输成本、缩短前置作业时间并加强品管，从而在全球供应风险的背景下增强了该地区的自给自足能力。

东非润滑油市场趋势与洞察

工业和基础设施的快速成长

肯亚和乌干达超过500亿美元的大型企划支出，加上坦尚尼亚天然气设施的200亿美元累计，将转化为全年对特种液压油、齿轮油和重型引擎润滑油的需求。卡鲁玛水力发电厂的建设和标准轨距铁路的扩建进一步推动了製造场所对金属加工液的需求。政府间发展组织（伊加特）将交通走廊改造为经济走廊的总体规划将确保施工机械的运作，从而直接提振东非润滑油市场的需求。高速公路的建设将降低服务偏远地区的经销商的运输成本，并扩大「最后一公里」的覆盖范围。计划也正在加速水泥、骨材和钢铁等相关产业的发展，增加了润滑油在整个供应链中的应用环节。

二手车数量迅速成长

随着消费者寻求经济实惠的交通方式，二手车进口量激增，换油频率也随之提高，导致每辆车的润滑油消费量增加。乌干达的车辆登记数据显示，跨境运输农产品的卡车老化现像日益普遍，反映了该地区的趋势。肯亚运作的组装增加了工厂内部的工业润滑油需求，同时也带动了工厂外的售后市场销售。摩托车如今已成为农村物流的必需品，推动了小型包装和二行程引擎润滑油的普及。注重成本控制的车队管理人员意识到，优质合成润滑油可以降低总拥有成本，从而推动了东非润滑油市场的升级需求。此外，数位化叫车平台进一步规范了车辆保养计划，使需求更加稳定。

基础油价格波动

原油价格波动挤压了缺乏避险工具的调油商的利润空间，并导致零售价格频繁调整。由于只有苏丹的阿尔贾伊利炼油厂部分运作，进口瓶颈日益加剧，迫使东非依赖更远的供应商。通货膨胀传导推高了终端用户的营运成本，导致一些业者延长换油週期，减缓了销售量成长。信用状成本上升使小规模经销商面临断货风险，促使市场份额转移到资金更雄厚的跨国公司。价格波动也推迟了新建调油厂的投资决策，延长了供应的不确定性。

细分市场分析

预计到2025年，机油仍将占东非润滑油市场45.62%的份额，主要得益于乘用车和商用车庞大的保有量。变速箱油和齿轮油预计将以5.12%的复合年增长率成长，超过其他品类，这反映了铰接式卡车和施工机械的成长，这些设备需要专用的传动系统油液。儘管销量不断增长，但合成油的快速普及推高了单价，为主要供应商的盈利奠定了基础。

受持续的土木工程活动推动，建筑工地液压油用量不断增加。同时，由于铁路、港口和能源计划对钢材的切割和成型需求增加，肯亚和坦尚尼亚工业园区的金属加工液需求也在上升。润滑脂对于矿用输送机轴承和船舶甲板设备仍然至关重要，儘管用量有所减少。当地润滑油生产商正在使用防伪QR码来保护其品牌，此举受到监管机构的欢迎，他们希望藉此加强东非润滑油产业。壳牌的产品系列优势表明，跨国公司如何利用丰富的产品种类和成熟的分销网络来增强其竞争优势。

东非润滑油报告按产品类型（引擎油、变速箱油和齿轮油、液压油、润滑脂等）、终端用户产业（汽车、重型机械、冶金和金属加工、发电等）以及地区（肯亚、坦尚尼亚、乌干达、衣索比亚、卢安达、蒲隆地、刚果民主共和国）进行细分。市场预测以百万公升为单位。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市场预测（ME）表
  • 3个月的分析师支持

目录

第一章 引言

  • 研究假设和市场定义
  • 调查范围

第二章调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章 市场情势

  • 市场概览
  • 市场驱动因素
    • 工业和基础设施快速发展
    • 二手车保有量快速成长
    • 汽车製造商推广优质合成机油
    • 跨境贸易自由化（非洲大陆自由贸易区）
    • 扩大本地配製能力
  • 市场限制
    • 基油价格波动
    • 仿冒品品
    • 外汇短缺
  • 价值链分析
  • 波特五力模型
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 买方的议价能力
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争程度

第五章 市场规模与成长预测

  • 依产品类型
    • 机油
    • 变速箱油和齿轮油
    • 油压
    • 润滑脂
    • 金属加工油
    • 其他产品类型（例如，压缩机油、加工油）
  • 按最终用户行业划分
    • 车
      • 搭乘用车
      • 商用车辆
      • 摩托车
    • 重型机械
    • 冶金/金属加工
    • 发电
    • 船
    • 其他终端用户产业（石油和天然气、农业、水泥等）
  • 按地区
    • 肯亚
    • 坦尚尼亚
    • 乌干达
    • 衣索比亚
    • 盧安达
    • 蒲隆地
    • 刚果民主共和国

第六章 竞争情势

  • 市场集中度
  • 策略趋势
  • 市占率（%）/排名分析
  • 公司简介
    • BP plc
    • Chevron Corporation
    • Engen Petroleum Ltd.
    • ENOC
    • ExxonMobil
    • General Petroleum FZE
    • Hass Petroleum
    • Lake Group
    • LIQUI MOLY GmbH
    • MOCL（Mineral Oil Corporation Ltd.）
    • Motul SA
    • National Oil Corporation of Kenya, Energizing Kenya
    • Oryx Energies
    • Rubis Energie
    • Shell plc
    • SINOPEC
    • TotalEnergies
    • Vivo Energy Holding BV
    • Yana Oil（Bureau Veritas）

第七章 市场机会与未来展望

简介目录
Product Code: 50001863

The East Africa Lubricants Market is expected to grow from 302.53 million liters in 2025 to 317.54 million liters in 2026 and is forecast to reach 404.57 million liters by 2031 at 4.96% CAGR over 2026-2031.

East Africa Lubricants - Market - IMG1

Current expansion is propelled by an infrastructure boom, resilient automotive demand, and the region's integration into the African Continental Free Trade Area, collectively transforming the East Africa lubricants market into a pivotal consumption hub. Cross-border trade harmonization removes tariff barriers that once constrained circulation, while OEM specifications for higher-grade synthetics steadily lift the value of every liter sold. A steady pipeline of megaprojects, from the Standard Gauge Railway in Kenya to gas liquefaction plants in Tanzania, funnels heavy-duty equipment requirements back into the East Africa lubricants market. At the same time, local blenders add capacity to cut freight costs, shorten lead times, and elevate quality oversight, reinforcing regional self-sufficiency amidst global supply risk.

East Africa Lubricants Market Trends and Insights

Industrial and Infrastructure Boom

Megaproject spending above USD 50 billion in Kenya and Uganda, plus USD 20 billion earmarked for Tanzanian gas facilities, translates into year-round consumption of specialized hydraulic fluids, gear oils, and heavy-duty engine lubricants. Hydropower builds such as Karuma and the widening of the Standard Gauge Railway intensify demand for metalworking fluids across fabrication shops. The IGAD master plan to convert transport corridors into economic corridors ensures that construction equipment fleets remain active, feeding direct volume growth into the East Africa lubricants market. Improved highways lower freight costs for distributors servicing remote sites, broadening last-mile reach. Each project also accelerates auxiliary industries such as cement, aggregates, and steel, multiplying lubricant touchpoints across the supply chain.

Rapid Growth of Used-Vehicle Fleet

Second-hand imports surge as consumers seek affordable mobility, forcing more frequent oil changes that lift per-vehicle lubricant consumption. Uganda's registration data mirrors a regional trend where aging trucks shuttle agricultural output across borders. Kenya's re-emerging assembly lines add industrial lubricant demand inside production plants while sustaining aftermarket sales outside factory gates. Motorcycles, now indispensable in rural logistics, popularize smaller pack sizes and two-stroke formulations. Cost-sensitive fleet managers realize that premium synthetics can lower total cost of ownership, nudging up-trading within the East Africa lubricants market. Digital ride-hailing platforms further formalize maintenance schedules, institutionalizing steady demand.

Base-Oil Price Volatility

Crude swings compress margins for blenders lacking hedging tools, stoking frequent price revisions at retail. Import bottlenecks intensify because only Sudan's Al-Jaili refinery runs partial capacity, leaving East Africa reliant on distant suppliers. Inflationary pass-through raises end-user operating costs, tempting some operators to stretch drain intervals, thereby weakening volume growth. Smaller distributors risk stockouts when letters of credit become costlier, nudging market share toward cash-rich multinationals. Volatility also delays capital decisions on new blending plants, prolonging supply insecurity.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. OEM Push Toward Higher-Grade Synthetics
  2. Cross-Border Trade Liberalization (AfCFTA)
  3. Foreign-Exchange Shortages

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Engine oils continued to account for 45.62% of the East Africa lubricants market in 2025, supported by a vast installed base of passenger and commercial vehicles. Transmission and gear oils are set to outpace all other categories at a 5.12% CAGR, mirroring growth in articulated trucks and construction machinery that demand specialty drivetrain fluids. The segment's rapid shift toward synthetics signals higher per-unit value even as volumes climb, anchoring profitability for major suppliers.

Across construction sites, hydraulic fluid usage rides on the back of sustained earth-moving activity, while metalworking fluids register upticks as Kenya's and Tanzania's industrial parks cut and shape steel for rail, port, and energy projects. Greases remain indispensable in mining conveyor bearings and marine deck gear despite their smaller absolute tonnage. Local blenders integrate anti-counterfeit QR codes to safeguard brand equity, a move welcomed by regulators aiming to sanitize the East Africa lubricants industry. Shell's portfolio dominance demonstrates how multinationals capitalize on broad SKU coverage and entrenched channel presence to reinforce competitive moats.

The East Africa Lubricants Report is Segmented by Product Type (Engine Oils, Transmission and Gear Oils, Hydraulic Fluids, Greases, and More), End-User Industry (Automotive, Heavy Equipment, Metallurgy and Metalworking, Power Generation, and More), and Geography (Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Ethiopia, Rwanda, Burundi, and Democratic Republic of Congo). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Volume (Million Liters).

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

  1. BP plc
  2. Chevron Corporation
  3. Engen Petroleum Ltd.
  4. ENOC
  5. ExxonMobil
  6. General Petroleum FZE
  7. Hass Petroleum
  8. Lake Group
  9. LIQUI MOLY GmbH
  10. MOCL (Mineral Oil Corporation Ltd.)
  11. Motul S.A.
  12. National Oil Corporation of Kenya, Energizing Kenya
  13. Oryx Energies
  14. Rubis Energie
  15. Shell plc
  16. SINOPEC
  17. TotalEnergies
  18. Vivo Energy Holding B.V.
  19. Yana Oil (Bureau Veritas)

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Industrial and Infrastructure Boom
    • 4.2.2 Rapid Growth of Used-Vehicle Fleet
    • 4.2.3 OEM Push toward Higher-Grade Synthetics
    • 4.2.4 Cross-Border Trade Liberalization (AfCFTA)
    • 4.2.5 Local Blending Capacity Expansion
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Base-Oil Price Volatility
    • 4.3.2 Counterfeit and Sub-Standard Products
    • 4.3.3 Foreign-Exchange Shortages
  • 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.5.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.5.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.5.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.5.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.5.5 Degree of Competition

5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Volume)

  • 5.1 By Product Type
    • 5.1.1 Engine Oils
    • 5.1.2 Transmission and Gear Oils
    • 5.1.3 Hydraulic Fluids
    • 5.1.4 Greases
    • 5.1.5 Metalworking Fluids
    • 5.1.6 Other Product Types (Compressor Oils, Process Oils, etc.)
  • 5.2 By End User Industry
    • 5.2.1 Automotive
      • 5.2.1.1 Passenger Vehicles
      • 5.2.1.2 Commercial Vehicles
      • 5.2.1.3 Motorcycles
    • 5.2.2 Heavy Equipment
    • 5.2.3 Metallurgy and Metalworking
    • 5.2.4 Power Generation
    • 5.2.5 Marine
    • 5.2.6 Other End-user Industries (Oil and Gas, Agri, Cement, etc.)
  • 5.3 By Geography
    • 5.3.1 Kenya
    • 5.3.2 Tanzania
    • 5.3.3 Uganda
    • 5.3.4 Ethiopia
    • 5.3.5 Rwanda
    • 5.3.6 Burundi
    • 5.3.7 Democratic Republic of Congo

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share (%)/Ranking Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 BP plc
    • 6.4.2 Chevron Corporation
    • 6.4.3 Engen Petroleum Ltd.
    • 6.4.4 ENOC
    • 6.4.5 ExxonMobil
    • 6.4.6 General Petroleum FZE
    • 6.4.7 Hass Petroleum
    • 6.4.8 Lake Group
    • 6.4.9 LIQUI MOLY GmbH
    • 6.4.10 MOCL (Mineral Oil Corporation Ltd.)
    • 6.4.11 Motul S.A.
    • 6.4.12 National Oil Corporation of Kenya, Energizing Kenya
    • 6.4.13 Oryx Energies
    • 6.4.14 Rubis Energie
    • 6.4.15 Shell plc
    • 6.4.16 SINOPEC
    • 6.4.17 TotalEnergies
    • 6.4.18 Vivo Energy Holding B.V.
    • 6.4.19 Yana Oil (Bureau Veritas)

7 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment
  • 7.2 Growth of waste-oil collection and re-refining
  • 7.3 Emerging e-commerce channels for lubricants