二手电动车市场

受技术进步、政策激励措施演变和消费者偏好变化的影响，美国二手电动车市场正经历重大变革。随着新电动车普及速度加快，二手纯电动车 (BEV)、混合动力电动车 (HEV) 和插电式混合动力电动车 (PHEV) 的库存量不断增加，并持续涌入市场。这既带来了新的机遇，也带来了新的挑战。对于希望在汽车产业中保持领先地位的利害关係人而言，了解这个新兴市场的动态至关重要。

Guidehouse Research 透过对影响二手电动车市场的因素进行全面分析，探讨了这个主题。这些因素包括价格承受能力、政策激励措施、总拥有成本以及二手车型供应的成长。本报告涵盖 2025 年至 2034 年期间，重点关注美国市场，并按动力系统对市场进行细分。研究方法包括：透过与产业专家访谈进行的一手研究、来自市场报告和政府资料的二手调查，以及使用预测模型进行的定量分析。研究也探讨了关键障碍，包括政策不确定性、电池衰减疑虑以及技术快速发展。

报告的主要发现强调了电池健康评估行业标准的重要性，以及针对价值链各环节制定客製化策略的必要性。一项值得注意的发现是：预计未来十年二手电动车市场将稳步成长，其中插电式混合动力车 (PHEV) 预计将成为成长最快的细分市场。本报告为原始设备製造商 (OEM)、经销商、政策制定者和投资者提供了实用见解，帮助他们了解趋势、降低风险，并在不断发展的二手电动车市场中发现战略机会。

目录

第一章：摘要整理

• 市场概览
• 范围
• 市场预测

第二章：市场问题

• 引言
• 驱动因素
  • 价格承受能力提升
  • 产品供应量增加与车型多样化
  • 激励措施与强制规定
  • 降低总体拥有成本
• 限制因素
  • 政策不确定性
  • 电池衰减与寿命问题
  • 充电基础设施的可近性和可靠性
  • 技术快速发展和车型过时

第三章 产业概况价值链

• 主要参与者
  • 特许经销商和原始设备製造商 (OEM)
  • 独立经销商和线上经销商
• 不断变化的商业模式

第四章：市场预测

• 研究方法
• 美国市场预测

第五章：结论与建议

• 主要结论
• 建议
• 一般性建议
• 特许经销商和原始设备製造商 (OEM)
• 独立经销商和线上经销商

第六章：缩写与简称

第七章：目录

第八章：图表和表格

第九章：范​​围、来源、方法与註释

The U.S. market for used EVs is undergoing a significant transformation, driven by advances in technology, evolving policy incentives, and shifting consumer preferences. As new EV adoption accelerates, a growing inventory of used battery EVs (BEVs), hybrid EVs (HEVs), and plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) is entering the market, creating new opportunities and challenges. Understanding the dynamics of this emerging market is essential for stakeholders seeking to navigate the automotive landscape.

Guidehouse Research approaches this topic with a comprehensive analysis of the factors influencing the used EV market, including affordability, policy incentives, total cost of ownership, and the increasing availability of used models. The report covers the period from 2025 to 2034, with a focus on the U.S. market and segmentation by vehicle powertrain. Methodologies include primary research through interviews with industry experts, secondary research from market reports and government data, and quantitative analysis using forecasting models. The study also addresses key barriers such as policy uncertainty, battery degradation concerns, and the rapid pace of technology development.

Key recommendations from the report emphasize the importance of industry-wide standards for assessing battery health and the need for tailored strategies across different segments of the value chain. One notable finding is that the used EV market is expected to grow steadily over the next decade, with plug-in hybrid vehicles anticipated to be the fastest-growing segment. This report provides actionable insights for OEMs, dealerships, policymakers, and investors seeking to understand market trends, mitigate risks, and identify strategic opportunities in the evolving used EV landscape.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

• 1.1 Market Overview
• 1.2 Scope
• 1.3 Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

• 2.1 Introduction
• 2.2 Drivers
  • 2.2.1 Increasing Affordability
  • 2.2.2 Growing Availability and Model Diversity
  • 2.2.3 Incentives and Mandates
    • 2.2.3.1 Federal Policies
    • 2.2.3.2 State and Local Policies
  • 2.2.4 TCO Savings
• 2.3 Barriers
  • 2.3.1 Policy Uncertainty
  • 2.3.2 Battery Degradation and Lifespan Concerns
  • 2.3.3 Charging Infrastructure Accessibility and Reliability
  • 2.3.4 Rapid Technology Advancement and Model Obsolescence

3. Industry Value Chain

• 3.1 Key Players
  • 3.1.1 Franchised Dealerships and OEMs
  • 3.1.2 Independent and Online Dealerships
• 3.2 Changing Business Model

4. Market Forecasts

• 4.1 Methodology
• 4.2 U.S. Forecast

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

• 5.1 Key Takeaways
• 5.2 Recommendations
  • 5.2.1 General Recommendations
  • 5.2.2 Franchised Dealerships and OEMs
  • 5.2.3 Independent and Online Dealerships

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7. Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources, Methodology and Notes

List of Figures

• Chart 1-1. Used Vehicle Sales by Powertrain, U.S.: 2025-2034
• Chart 2-1. New Vehicle Sales by Powertrain, U.S.: 2010-2024
• Chart 2-2. New and Used Vehicle Average Sales Price, U.S.: 2000-2019
• Chart 4-1. New and Used Vehicle Sales, U.S.: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-2. Used Vehicle Sales by Powertrain, U.S.: 2025-2034
• Figure 3-1. Used EV Market Value Chain