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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1716436
2032 年主食市场预测:按产品类型、来源、形式、分销管道、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Staple Food Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Product Type (Cereals, Roots & Tubers, Vegetables, Fruits, Pulses and Legumes, Sugars & Oils and Other Product Types), Source, Form, Distribution Channel, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球主食市场预计在 2025 年达到 2 兆美元,到 2032 年将达到 3.3 兆美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 7.1%。
主食是人们经常大量食用的重要食物成分,也是全球营养的支柱。这些食物通常提供人口大部分的热量和营养摄入,包括谷类、根茎类蔬菜和豆类等。主食是一种价格实惠且随时可用的选择,对于维持社区生活至关重要,尤其是在经济受限的地区。主食的生产和消费受到文化偏好、地理和农业实践的影响。此外,主食在粮食安全中发挥关键作用,确保了不同社会经济环境中不断增长的人口的基本营养。
据世界银行集团称,许多中低收入国家持续经历国内食品价格大幅上涨。到2024年11月,70%的低收入国家将经历5%以上的通货膨胀。
全球人口成长与都市化
消费者对营养、有机和强化主食产品的偏好不断变化,促进了市场扩张。此外,精密农业和基因改造等农业技术的进步正在提高生产力并确保稳定的供应。政府促进粮食安全的政策和对主要作物种植的补贴为生产提供了进一步的奖励。人们越来越意识到主食在对抗营养不良方面的重要性,这也推动了对主食作物的需求。
难以预测的天气模式、干旱和洪水
气候紊乱将加剧供应链挑战,导致成本上升和可用性降低。此外,由于城市扩张和土壤劣化导致耕地面积减少,也限制了农业生产。世界各地复杂多样的食品安全法规给生产商带来了合规挑战并限制了国际贸易。受地缘政治紧张局势和投入成本波动的影响,价格波动为市场稳定带来了不确定性。
线上零售平台的兴起
网路零售让人们更容易获得主食产品,尤其是在偏远地区,并促进了更广泛的分销网络。此外,消费者对永续来源的有机主食的需求正在刺激生产商进行创新。对包装和加工技术的投资创造了诸如强化和即食主食等增值选择。扩大对食品安全和营养益处的意识提升宣传活动将增加服务不足地区的市场潜力。
主食价格波动
过度依赖单一栽培和不可持续的耕作方式等环境挑战威胁作物的长期生存能力。劳动力短缺导致的生产成本上升以及化肥和其他投入品价格上涨将进一步加重负担。此外,地缘政治衝突和贸易限制正在扰乱全球供应链并造成市场不确定性。景气衰退对消费者购买力的不利影响也可能限製成长,特别是在价格敏感地区。
新冠疫情扰乱了供应链并造成劳动力短缺,暴露了主食市场的脆弱性。封锁导致运输和储存延误,造成产品损坏和局部短缺。但疫情也加速了电子商务趋势,消费者在网路上购买更多生活必需品。政府干预,包括救援物资和援助计划,有助于稳定危机期间的供应链。此外,人们对粮食安全的认识不断提高,凸显了主食的重要性,并加强了其在全球营养中的重要角色。
预计谷物产业将成为预测期内最大的产业。
由于谷物是亚洲、非洲和拉丁美洲等地区的主食,预计将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。小麦、大米和玉米等谷物价格低廉、用途广泛且营养价值高,推动了其广泛消费。此外,加工和强化技术的进步使得谷物产品更加健康、更容易取得,进一步推动了市场的成长。
预计在预测期内,植物基部分将以最高的复合年增长率增长。
由于消费者对健康和环境永续性的意识不断提高,预计植物基食品领域将在预测期内实现最高成长率。消费者正在寻找符合道德规范且不含化学物质的主食,这导致对有机产品的需求激增。通路的改善和主流市场上有机认证产品的供应进一步促进了这一趋势,反映出人们对永续消费的偏好日益增长。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率,这得益于不同人群对主食的高需求。完善的供应链网路和先进的农业技术为该地区的强势地位做出了贡献。政府支持农民和稳定主粮价格的措施正在增强市场弹性。此外,更健康的饮食习惯和强化主食产品的趋势正在推动成长。
在预测期内,北美预计将实现最高的复合年增长率,因为其人口众多且对主食的依赖程度很高。各国经济的快速成长正在提高购买力并推动对高品质主食的需求。该地区蓬勃发展的电子商务使得主食产品更容易买到,即使在农村地区也是如此。此外,扩大农业倡议和确保粮食安全的政府计画正在推动市场成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Staple Food Market is accounted for $2.0 trillion in 2025 and is expected to reach $3.3 trillion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 7.1% during the forecast period. Staple foods are essential dietary components consumed regularly and in large quantities, forming the cornerstone of global nutrition. These foods typically provide the majority of caloric and nutritional intake for populations and include items like grains, roots, and legumes. As affordable and easily accessible options, staple foods are crucial for sustaining communities, especially in regions with economic constraints. Their production and consumption are influenced by cultural preferences, geographic conditions, and agricultural practices. Moreover, staple foods play a significant role in food security, ensuring basic nourishment for growing populations across diverse socioeconomic landscapes.
According to the World Bank Group, many low- and middle-income countries still experience significant inflation in domestic food prices. An inflate rate of more than 5% has been experienced in 70% of low-income countries till November 2024.
Increasing global population and urbanization
Changing consumer preferences for nutritional, organic, and fortified staple products contribute to market expansion. Moreover, advancements in agricultural practices, such as precision farming and genetic modification, are enhancing productivity, ensuring stable supplies. Government policies promoting food security and subsidies for staple crop cultivation further incentivize production. The growing awareness around the nutritional importance of staples in combating malnutrition also boosts their demand.
Unpredictable weather patterns, droughts, and floods
Climate change disruptions exacerbate supply chain challenges, leading to inflated costs and reduced availability. Additionally, limited access to arable land due to urban expansion and soil degradation constrains agricultural output. Complex and varying food safety regulations globally present compliance difficulties for producers, limiting international trade. Price volatility influenced by geopolitical tensions and fluctuating input costs adds uncertainty to market stability.
Rise of online retail platforms
Online retail enables easier access to staple products, especially in remote areas, fostering wider distribution networks. Additionally, consumer demand for sustainably sourced and organic staple foods has spurred innovation among producers. Investments in packaging technologies and processing techniques create value-added options like fortified and ready-to-eat staples. Expanding awareness campaigns around food security and nutritional benefits enhance market potential in underserved regions.
Fluctuations in staple food prices
Environmental challenges, including over-reliance on monoculture and unsustainable farming practices, threaten long-term crop viability. Increasing production costs driven by labor shortages and rising prices of fertilizers and other inputs add to the strain. Moreover, geopolitical conflicts and trade restrictions disrupt global supply chains, creating market uncertainties. Adverse effects of economic downturns on consumer purchasing power can also limit growth, especially in price-sensitive regions.
The COVID-19 pandemic exposed vulnerabilities in the staple food market by disrupting supply chains and causing labor shortages. Lockdowns led to delays in transportation and storage, resulting in product spoilage and regional shortages. However, the pandemic also accelerated trends in e-commerce, with consumers increasingly purchasing staple foods online. Government interventions including relief packages and support programs helped stabilize supply chains during the crisis. Moreover, the heightened awareness around food security highlighted the essential nature of staple foods, reinforcing their critical role in global nutrition.
The cereals segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The cereals segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period owing to their status as dietary staples in regions such as Asia, Africa, and Latin America. The affordability, versatility, and nutritional value of grains like wheat, rice, and maize drive their widespread consumption. Furthermore, advancements in processing and fortification technologies have led to the creation of healthier and more accessible grain-based products boosting the market growth.
The plant-based segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the plant-based segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate driven by increasing consumer awareness of health and environmental sustainability. Consumers are seeking chemical-free and ethically produced staples, leading to a surge in demand for organic variants. Improved distribution channels and the availability of certified organic products in mainstream markets further contribute to this trend reflecting the growing preference for sustainable consumption.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share supported by a high demand for staple foods across diverse demographics. Established supply chain networks and advanced agricultural technology contribute to the region's strong position. Government initiatives aimed at supporting farmers and stabilizing staple food prices enhance market resilience. Moreover, the increasing trend of health-conscious diets and fortified staple products drives growth.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR due to its large population base and high dependence on staple foods. Rapid economic growth in countries fosters increased purchasing power and demand for quality staples. The region's dynamic e-commerce landscape enables greater accessibility to staple products, even in rural areas. Moreover expansion of agricultural initiatives and government programs to ensure food security boost market growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Staple Food Market include Archer Daniels Midland Company, Brasil Foods, Bunge Limited, Cargill, Cargill Incorporation, Coca-Cola, Danone, Louis Dreyfus Company, Mondelez, Nestle SA, Olam International, PepsiCo, Syngenta AG and Wilmar International.
In August 2024, LDC announced the creation of a new business unit dedicated to global pulses merchandising, aiming to meet the growing demand for plant-based proteins and promote sustainable agriculture.
In March 2024, PepsiCo announced plans to reduce sodium content in 75% of its convenience foods by 2030, including a 15% reduction in Lay's Classic Potato Chips, aligning with global health recommendations.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.